Try the model

Player rankings

The season's top FBS quarterbacks, running backs, receivers and tight ends by wins above replacement: what each player's plays were worth, adjusted for the opponent, against a typical backup.

The top 100 FBS quarterbacks by WAR in 2014. Each links to his team's Players section.

#PlayerWAR
1Brandon DoughtyQBWestern Kentucky3.592.80 to 4.40
2Jared GoffQBCalifornia3.052.26 to 3.69
3Marcus MariotaQBOregon2.802.11 to 3.51
4Jameis WinstonQBFlorida State2.701.95 to 3.37
5Grant HedrickQBBoise State2.641.84 to 3.38
6Shane CardenQBEast Carolina2.571.77 to 3.58
7Anu SolomonQBArizona2.551.68 to 3.56
8Marquise WilliamsQBNorth Carolina2.501.76 to 3.34
9Dak PrescottQBMississippi State2.491.83 to 3.16
10Paxton LynchQBMemphis2.451.77 to 3.17
11Connor HallidayQBWashington State2.421.64 to 3.18
12Brett HundleyQBUCLA2.421.69 to 3.30
13Tyler MurphyQBBoston College2.381.72 to 3.14
14Everett GolsonQBNotre Dame2.381.62 to 3.10
15J.T. BarrettQBOhio State2.371.82 to 3.01
16Dylan ThompsonQBSouth Carolina2.351.59 to 3.04
17Kevin HoganQBStanford2.351.78 to 2.93
18Jake WatersQBKansas State2.301.63 to 2.98
19Blake SimsQBAlabama2.291.60 to 2.90
20Sefo LiufauQBColorado2.201.44 to 2.92
21Cody FajardoQBNevada2.191.45 to 2.93
22Keenan ReynoldsQBNavy2.091.41 to 2.83
23Cooper RushQBCentral Michigan2.051.50 to 2.61
24Greg Ward Jr.QBHouston2.051.50 to 2.59
25Gunner KielQBCincinnati2.011.37 to 2.61
26Cody KesslerQBUSC2.001.31 to 2.68
27Trevone BoykinQBTCU1.991.40 to 2.60
28Andrew HendrixQBMiami (OH)1.991.28 to 2.75
29Dane EvansQBTulsa1.961.29 to 2.63
30Pete ThomasQBUL Monroe1.941.14 to 2.74
31Bryce PettyQBBaylor1.921.34 to 2.50
32Brandon AllenQBArkansas1.911.42 to 2.46
33Jake RudockQBIowa1.901.33 to 2.52
34Taylor LambQBApp State1.891.38 to 2.36
35Taylor HeinickeQBOld Dominion1.881.09 to 2.62
36Connor CookQBMichigan State1.861.31 to 2.38
36Drew HareQBNorthern Illinois1.861.17 to 2.51
38Justin HolmanQBUCF1.851.27 to 2.43
39Blake DeckerQBUNLV1.841.19 to 2.53
40Clint TrickettQBWest Virginia1.811.24 to 2.51
41Brad KaayaQBMiami1.801.29 to 2.38
42Blake FrohnapfelQBMassachusetts1.791.09 to 2.41
43Jacoby BrissettQBNC State1.771.14 to 2.35
44Garrett GraysonQBColorado State1.761.28 to 2.29
45Tommy Armstrong Jr.QBNebraska1.751.13 to 2.34
46Maty MaukQBMissouri1.751.11 to 2.47
47C.J. BrownQBMaryland1.701.06 to 2.38
48Travis WilsonQBUtah1.671.06 to 2.25
49Driphus JacksonQBRice1.671.07 to 2.30
50Nick MarshallQBAuburn1.661.17 to 2.23
51Patrick TowlesQBKentucky1.661.05 to 2.32
52Fredi KnightenQBArkansas State1.661.02 to 2.38
53Cody SokolQBLouisiana Tech1.641.11 to 2.14
54Terrance BroadwayQBLouisiana1.621.09 to 2.20
55Rakeem CatoQBMarshall1.560.89 to 2.22
56James KnapkeQBBowling Green1.540.75 to 2.37
57Anthony BooneQBDuke1.540.85 to 2.36
58Nick ArbuckleQBGeorgia State1.531.10 to 1.93
59Tyler JonesQBTexas State1.520.87 to 2.14
60Chad VoytikQBPittsburgh1.510.98 to 2.05
61Tyrone SwoopesQBTexas1.500.93 to 2.12
62Kevin EllisonQBGeorgia Southern1.500.99 to 2.01
63Justin ThomasQBGeorgia Tech1.500.91 to 2.11
64Joshua DobbsQBTennessee1.491.10 to 1.87
65Gary NovaQBRutgers1.480.95 to 2.03
66Zach TerrellQBWestern Michigan1.450.98 to 1.91
66Brian BurrellQBFresno State1.450.85 to 2.04
68Nick MullensQBSouthern Miss1.411.02 to 1.82
69Sam B. RichardsonQBIowa State1.400.93 to 1.85
70Jaquez JohnsonQBFlorida Atlantic1.390.82 to 1.88
71Austin GrammerQBMiddle Tennessee1.390.84 to 1.94
72Jameill ShowersQBUTEP1.370.80 to 1.85
73P.J. WalkerQBTemple1.370.69 to 2.02
73Christian HackenbergQBPenn State1.370.61 to 2.15
75Taylor KellyQBArizona State1.350.89 to 1.84
76Trevor SiemianQBNorthwestern1.350.65 to 1.99
77Tyler RogersQBNew Mexico State1.340.95 to 1.87
78Christian StewartQBBYU1.340.72 to 1.94
79Kale PearsonQBAir Force1.340.71 to 1.99
80Cyler MilesQBWashington1.330.84 to 1.82
81Taysom HillQBBYU1.330.94 to 1.70
82Michael BrewerQBVirginia Tech1.300.61 to 1.95
83Trevor KnightQBOklahoma1.280.81 to 1.77
84Hutson MasonQBGeorgia1.260.90 to 1.66
85Brandon SilversQBTroy1.250.79 to 1.76
86Joe GrayQBSan José State1.240.80 to 1.68
87Bo WallaceQBOle Miss1.220.61 to 1.80
88Sean MannionQBOregon State1.210.61 to 1.86
89Mitch LeidnerQBMinnesota1.200.70 to 1.73
90Davis WebbQBTexas Tech1.200.71 to 1.69
91Brandon BridgeQBSouth Alabama1.190.66 to 1.75
92Logan WoodsideQBToledo1.160.71 to 1.55
93Colby KirkegaardQBWyoming1.140.73 to 1.59
94Kenny HillQBTexas A&M1.100.78 to 1.40
95John WolfordQBWake Forest1.080.56 to 1.70
96Deshaun WatsonQBClemson1.060.84 to 1.28
97Lamar JordanQBNew Mexico1.050.64 to 1.45
98Kyle PohlQBAkron1.040.58 to 1.52
98Jack MilasQBBall State1.040.63 to 1.43
100Greyson LambertQBVirginia1.030.56 to 1.41

How it works

Each player's value is YardLine's wins above replacement: every play's expected points credited to the players involved, adjusted for the opponent, against a typical backup; 53 points make a win. Beside each value is its 90% interval. The numbers and position ranks are the same as on each team page's Players section.

Only snaps between FBS teams while the game was in doubt count, so a starter on a team that blows opponents out plays fewer of them. Kickers and punters are ranked on the team pages. Linemen and defenders aren't listed: public play-by-play doesn't say who was on the field, so they're valued as units on the team pages instead. Only players above replacement level are listed. The rankings update every Tuesday.

YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com