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Resume rankings

Not who's best, but who's done the most: every FBS team ranked by how hard its record would be for a playoff-calibre team to match on the same schedule. The committee says it weighs resumes; here is one, ranked beside its own list. It's the record so far, not a forecast: each team's chance of making the playoff, which also weighs how good it is and what's left on its schedule, is on the playoff odds page, which uses this ranking to pick the field.

Full regular season. AP poll: final. Committee ranking: final, before the bowls.

Biggest disagreements with the committee

Teams either list has in its top 25 whose CFP rank is furthest from their resume rank.

Ranked above their resume

  • Houston
    9-3 · resume score 16.6 · schedule 2.3
    Resume #30
    CFP #21
  • Arizona
    9-3 · resume score 20.3 · schedule 2.4
    Resume #25
    CFP #17
  • Iowa
    8-4 · resume score 17.6 · schedule 3.2
    Resume #29
    CFP #23

Resume says higher

  • James Madison
    12-1 · resume score 72.5 · schedule 2.4
    Resume #9
    CFP #24
  • North Texas
    11-2 · resume score 50.9 · schedule 2.6
    Resume #17
    CFP #25
  • Navy
    10-2 · resume score 49.0 · schedule 2.5
    Resume #19
    CFP unranked

Every FBS team, 2025

136

Resume is how often a top-12 team, playing the same schedule, would fall short of the record, out of 100: higher is harder to match. The rule under row 12 marks the size of the playoff field.

#TeamRecordResumeAPCFP
1Indiana13-099.411
2Ohio State12-192.452
3Texas A&M11-189.587
4Oregon11-188.545
5Georgia12-187.663
6Texas Tech12-186.974
7Ole Miss11-184.536
8BYU11-284.41112
9James Madison12-172.51924
10Oklahoma10-268.6138
11Notre Dame10-260.81011
12Alabama10-358.699
13Vanderbilt10-256.91514
14Tulane11-256.91820
15Miami10-254.3210
16Texas9-352.11213
17North Texas11-250.92425
18Utah10-249.51415
20USC9-340.62016
21Michigan9-336.42118
22South Florida9-329.2--
23Georgia Tech9-324.6-22
24Virginia10-322.51619
25Arizona9-320.3-17
26Kennesaw State10-319.3--
27Illinois8-419.0--
28Old Dominion9-318.7--
29Iowa8-417.61723
30Houston9-316.62221
31UNLV10-315.8--
32Boise State9-415.7--
33Arizona State8-415.2--
34New Mexico9-314.7--
35San Diego State9-311.9--
36Louisville8-411.5--
37LSU7-511.4--
38TCU8-410.825-
39Iowa State8-49.8--
40Washington8-49.6--
41Tennessee8-49.4--
42Missouri8-49.0--
43SMU8-48.3--
44Pittsburgh8-47.2--
45East Carolina8-45.5--
46NC State7-54.9--
47Duke8-54.9--
48Western Michigan9-44.6--
49Wake Forest8-44.2--
50UConn9-33.9--
51Memphis8-43.6--
52Troy8-52.6--
53Ohio8-42.5--
54Western Kentucky8-42.4--
55Toledo8-42.1--
56Hawai'i8-42.0--
57Minnesota7-51.8--
58Cincinnati7-51.7--
59Northwestern6-61.6--
60Fresno State8-41.5--
61Nebraska7-51.4--
62Clemson7-51.3--
63California7-51.2--
64Penn State6-61.0--
65Washington State6-60.7--
66Missouri State7-50.7--
67Utah State6-60.7--
68Kansas State6-60.6--
69Kentucky5-70.6--
70Central Michigan7-50.5--
71Florida International7-50.4--
72Southern Miss7-50.4--
73Rutgers5-70.4--
74Army6-60.3--
75Mississippi State5-70.3--
76UTSA6-60.3--
77Georgia Southern6-60.3--
78Miami (OH)7-60.3--
79Jacksonville State8-50.3--
80Wisconsin4-80.3--
81Coastal Carolina6-60.2--
82Auburn5-70.2--
83Louisiana Tech7-50.2--
84Texas State6-60.2--
85Florida4-80.1--
86Kansas5-70.1--
87Louisiana6-60.1--
88Baylor5-70.1--
89Florida State5-70.1--
90South Carolina4-80.1--
91Arkansas State6-60.1--
92West Virginia4-8<0.1--
93Temple5-7<0.1--
94Stanford4-8<0.1--
95Marshall5-7<0.1--
96Rice5-7<0.1--
97Delaware6-6<0.1--
98UCF5-7<0.1--
99UCLA3-9<0.1--
100Michigan State4-8<0.1--
101Kent State5-7<0.1--
102App State5-7<0.1--
103Syracuse3-9<0.1--
104Colorado3-9<0.1--
105UAB4-8<0.1--
106Air Force4-8<0.1--
107Florida Atlantic4-8<0.1--
108Buffalo5-7<0.1--
109North Carolina4-8<0.1--
110Virginia Tech3-9<0.1--
111Ball State4-8<0.1--
112Maryland4-8<0.1--
113Liberty4-8<0.1--
114Akron5-7<0.1--
115South Alabama4-8<0.1--
116Wyoming4-8<0.1--
117Eastern Michigan4-8<0.1--
118Arkansas2-10<0.1--
119Purdue2-10<0.1--
120Tulsa4-8<0.1--
121Bowling Green4-8<0.1--
122Nevada3-9<0.1--
123New Mexico State4-8<0.1--
124UL Monroe3-9<0.1--
125San José State3-9<0.1--
126Boston College2-10<0.1--
127Colorado State2-10<0.1--
128Sam Houston2-10<0.1--
129Northern Illinois3-9<0.1--
130Middle Tennessee3-9<0.1--
131Oregon State2-10<0.1--
132Georgia State1-11<0.1--
133Charlotte1-11<0.1--
134Oklahoma State1-11<0.1--
135UTEP2-10<0.1--
136Massachusetts0-12<0.1--

How it works

Each team's record is held up against a benchmark: the season's 12th-best FBS team, about the last at-large team into a 12-team playoff, playing the same opponents at the same sites. The resume score is how often that benchmark would fall short of the record, out of 100. An unbeaten season through a hard schedule can score above 99; a three-loss season usually scores under 50. Only wins and losses count, not margins: this is what a team has done, not how good it is.

Team strength comes from YardLine's margin-of-victory Elo rating, the same one behind each team's stock chart, built from every game since 2014. Opponents are rated as they stand now, not on the day of the game, so beating a team that turned out to be good counts for more as the season goes on. The Elo column is that rating's rank: how good, beside the resume's how accomplished.

Elo's raw win chances are adjusted to match a decade of results: rating gaps count 15% more than plain Elo says, and teams below FBS are rated 310 points lower than their Elo, because the archive only sees them against FBS teams, which leaves their ratings too high. Both are fitted on every game since 2015, so a predicted 80% is won about 80% of the time.

Regular-season games only, conference championship games included: the committee ranks before the bowls and the playoff. Games update every Tuesday morning; the AP poll from its Sunday release, and the committee's ranking the morning after its Tuesday-night release.

YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com