Try the model

Player rankings

The season's top FBS quarterbacks, running backs, receivers and tight ends by wins above replacement: what each player's plays were worth, adjusted for the opponent, against a typical backup.

The top 100 FBS receivers by WAR in 2020. Each links to his team's Players section.

#PlayerWAR
1DeVonta SmithWRAlabama0.340.23 to 0.45
2Jonathan Adams Jr.WRArkansas State0.290.14 to 0.44
3Keylon StokesWRTulsa0.270.18 to 0.35
4Jalen TolbertWRSouth Alabama0.270.12 to 0.40
5Jaelon DardenWRNorth Texas0.260.11 to 0.41
6Kadarius ToneyWRFlorida0.250.17 to 0.35
7Tylan WallaceWROklahoma State0.250.14 to 0.37
8Calvin Austin IIIWRMemphis0.240.07 to 0.39
9Romeo DoubsWRNevada0.240.10 to 0.36
10Jaquarii RobersonWRWake Forest0.230.15 to 0.32
11Dyami BrownWRNorth Carolina0.220.11 to 0.34
12Tutu AtwellWRLouisville0.220.13 to 0.33
13Marlon WilliamsWRUCF0.220.13 to 0.32
14Jaivon HeilighWRCoastal Carolina0.220.13 to 0.33
15Jaden WalleyWRMississippi State0.220.15 to 0.30
16David BellWRPurdue0.220.12 to 0.32
17Mike HarleyWRMiami0.210.12 to 0.30
18Elijah MooreWROle Miss0.210.11 to 0.31
19Jordan AddisonWRPittsburgh0.210.13 to 0.28
20Jahan DotsonWRPenn State0.200.13 to 0.28
21Treylon BurksWRArkansas0.200.12 to 0.27
22Emeka EmezieWRNC State0.190.12 to 0.28
23Terrace Marshall Jr.WRLSU0.190.12 to 0.27
24Kaylon GeigerWRTroy0.190.10 to 0.28
24Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanWRNorthwestern0.190.11 to 0.28
26Simi FehokoWRStanford0.190.11 to 0.26
27Drake LondonWRUSC0.190.14 to 0.24
28Sam PinckneyWRGeorgia State0.180.09 to 0.28
29Justin HallWRBall State0.180.12 to 0.26
30Osirus MitchellWRMississippi State0.180.12 to 0.24
31Dazz NewsomeWRNorth Carolina0.180.11 to 0.25
32Tyrice RichieWRNorthern Illinois0.180.11 to 0.25
33Erik EzukanmaWRTexas Tech0.180.11 to 0.25
34Kayshon BoutteWRLSU0.180.11 to 0.23
35Xavier HutchinsonWRIowa State0.170.07 to 0.27
36Zakhari FranklinWRUTSA0.170.10 to 0.25
36Tahj WashingtonWRMemphis0.170.09 to 0.25
38Rashod BatemanWRMinnesota0.170.11 to 0.24
38Kawaan BakerWRSouth Alabama0.170.08 to 0.27
40R.J. Sneed IIWRBaylor0.170.09 to 0.24
41Taj HarrisWRSyracuse0.170.06 to 0.28
41Dax MilneWRBYU0.170.09 to 0.24
43Bo MeltonWRRutgers0.170.08 to 0.24
44Tayvion RobinsonWRVirginia Tech0.160.10 to 0.23
44Trevon GrimesWRFlorida0.160.10 to 0.23
46Ainias SmithWRTexas A&M0.160.08 to 0.24
47Jaylon RobinsonWRUCF0.160.09 to 0.24
48DJ TurnerWRPittsburgh0.160.09 to 0.23
49Khalil ShakirWRBoise State0.150.07 to 0.24
50Reggie ToddWRTroy0.150.08 to 0.22
50Ty FryfogleWRIndiana0.150.07 to 0.24
52Kyric McGowanWRNorthwestern0.150.09 to 0.21
52Amare JonesWRTulane0.150.06 to 0.24
52Amari RodgersWRClemson0.150.08 to 0.23
55Tre WalkerWRSan José State0.150.05 to 0.25
55Tyler SneadWREast Carolina0.150.08 to 0.22
57Amon-Ra St. BrownWRUSC0.150.08 to 0.22
58Victor TuckerWRCharlotte0.150.11 to 0.19
59Chris OlaveWROhio State0.150.10 to 0.19
60Thomas HenniganWRApp State0.150.09 to 0.21
61Yo'Heinz TylerWRBall State0.150.06 to 0.22
61JuanCarlos SantanaWRTulsa0.150.07 to 0.21
61Dez FitzpatrickWRLouisville0.140.07 to 0.22
61Shai WertsWRGeorgia Southern0.14−0.03 to 0.30
61Tray EaffordWRTroy0.140.10 to 0.19
61D'Wayne EskridgeWRWestern Michigan0.140.08 to 0.21
67Seth WilliamsWRAuburn0.140.05 to 0.24
68Zay FlowersWRBoston College0.140.03 to 0.26
68George PickensWRGeorgia0.140.07 to 0.20
70Jalen Moreno-CropperWRFresno State0.140.08 to 0.19
71Rashee RiceWRSMU0.140.06 to 0.22
71Anthony SchwartzWRAuburn0.140.05 to 0.22
73Shi SmithWRSouth Carolina0.130.07 to 0.21
73Garrett WilsonWROhio State0.130.08 to 0.19
75Wan'Dale RobinsonWRNebraska0.130.04 to 0.22
76Hassan BeydounWREastern Michigan0.130.08 to 0.18
76Terrell JanaWRVirginia0.130.09 to 0.17
78Jason BrownleeWRSouthern Miss0.130.07 to 0.19
79Ihmir Smith-MarsetteWRIowa0.130.08 to 0.17
80Kyle PhilipsWRUCLA0.120.06 to 0.19
81Jarrin PierceWRMiddle Tennessee0.120.05 to 0.21
81Jesse MatthewsWRSan Diego State0.120.08 to 0.17
83Josh PalmerWRTennessee0.120.06 to 0.19
83Kalil PimpletonWRCentral Michigan0.120.07 to 0.17
85Javon McKinleyWRNotre Dame0.120.08 to 0.16
86Tim JonesWRSouthern Miss0.120.07 to 0.17
86Yusuf AliWRMiddle Tennessee0.120.08 to 0.17
86CJ LewisWRBoston College0.120.09 to 0.15
89Dillon StonerWROklahoma State0.120.03 to 0.20
89Joshua CephusWRUTSA0.120.04 to 0.18
89Luke McCaffreyWRNebraska0.120.04 to 0.19
89Khalil McClainWRTroy0.120.06 to 0.17
89Isaiah WinsteadWRToledo0.120.08 to 0.15
89Duece WattsWRTulane0.110.07 to 0.16
95Antwan DavisWRBall State0.110.07 to 0.16
95Jalen WayneWRSouth Alabama0.110.06 to 0.17
97Brennan EaglesWRTexas0.110.06 to 0.16
98Xavier WhiteWRTexas Tech0.110.02 to 0.20
99Thayer ThomasWRNC State0.110.05 to 0.18
100Bailey GaitherWRSan José State0.110.02 to 0.21

How it works

Each player's value is YardLine's wins above replacement: every play's expected points credited to the players involved, adjusted for the opponent, against a typical backup; 53 points make a win. Beside each value is its 90% interval. The numbers and position ranks are the same as on each team page's Players section.

Only snaps between FBS teams while the game was in doubt count, so a starter on a team that blows opponents out plays fewer of them. Kickers and punters are ranked on the team pages. Linemen and defenders aren't listed: public play-by-play doesn't say who was on the field, so they're valued as units on the team pages instead. Only players above replacement level are listed. The rankings update every Tuesday.

YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com