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2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · Centennial Bank Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
GAST30
ARST27
GAST by 3
Win chance
GAST56%
GAST 56%ARST 44%
Projected total
58pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
56%
chance Georgia State wins
44% Arkansas State wins
← ARST winsGAST wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
ARST by 8 to GAST by 18
80% of outcomes
ARST by 18 to GAST by 26
90% of outcomes
ARST by 24 to GAST by 28
Median
GAST by 3
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com