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ODU

Old Dominion 21 at Georgia State 14

GAST
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:06 · Ian Brandt punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jyron Gilmore at the GAST 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense−1.9Score differential−1.9Pregame prior+3.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:25: Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 20 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +9.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:38: Tariq Sims run for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +18.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:08: Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +13.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:19: Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 24 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +26.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:24: (01:24) [NHSG] Kneel down by JOSEPH, Colton at ODU36 (team loss of 2), clock 01:14. — ODU win probability +12.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:40GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:05GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:45ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:32GAST 4th & 23 at GAST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:05GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:12ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:06ODU 4th & 5 at GAST 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:38GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:12ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:02GAST 4th & 11 at ODU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−1.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−6.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:40ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:19GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:26GAST 4th & 2 at ODU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−3.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:44GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:07GAST 4th & 5 at ODU 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−5.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:31ODU 4th & 1 at GAST 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−2.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:25ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 20, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:17ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:25GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:38ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:08ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:19GAST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1356% → 56%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
56.1%
Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-3
56.1%
Freddie Brock run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 26Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
56.1%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
56.1%
James Allen punt for 38 yds , Isiah Paige returns for no gain to the ODU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4044% → 44%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
56.1%
Colton Joseph sacked by Henry Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
56.2%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+17
56.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Myles Alston for 17 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
56.0%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
56.0%
Devin Roche run for no gain to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
56.1%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
56.4%
Ian Brandt punt for 25 yds, downed at the GAST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5556% → 56%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
56.4%
Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the GAST 30Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-5
56.4%
Freddie Brock run for a loss of 5 yards to the GAST 25Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
56.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
56.0%
punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2044% → 44%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
56.3%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
56.4%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+5
56.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Bryce Duke for 5 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
56.5%
Ian Brandt punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:1356% → 56%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
56.4%
Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
56.5%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
56.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 11 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
56.5%
Jordan Ford run for 1 yd to the GAST 36Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
56.6%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+10
56.3%
VEILLEUX, Christian pass to the left incomplete thrown to the GSU36. PENALTY ODU Holding on REASON, Rasheed enforced 10 yards from the GSU36 to the GSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
57.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 10 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
57.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-13
56.8%
Christian Veilleux sacked by Mario Thompson and TEAM for a loss of 13 yards to the GAST 43Similar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 23
OWN 43
0
56.0%
James Allen punt for 35 yds, downed at the ODU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:1544% → 51%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
56.4%
Colton Joseph run for 13 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
56.2%
Tariq Sims run for 6 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
55.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
55.6%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
56.1%
(03:56) JOSEPH, Colton pass deep up the middle intercepted by WATSON, Kenyatta at the GSU30 intended for PAIGE, Isiah. Watson return for 44 yards to the ODU26 (WOUDSMA, Maarten), clock 03:42. PENALTY GSU Holding on ROBINSON, Josiah enforced 10 yards from the ODU39 to the ODU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
55.4%
Tariq Sims run for 8 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+13
55.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Isiah Paige for 13 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
54.4%
Tariq Sims run for 9 yds to the GAST 21Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 1
OPP 21
0
54.2%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+17
54.7%
Devin Roche run for 17 yds to the GAST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.2%
Devin Roche run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1151% → 50%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.1%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
51.0%
Jordan Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 24Similar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
50.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
49.7%
James Allen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4850% → 50%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
49.7%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
48.8%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
49.2%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
50.0%
Ian Brandt punt for 37 yds , DJ Riles returns for no gain to the GAST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3750% → 60%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
50.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 7 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
51.0%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the GAST 33Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+19
50.3%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jordan Ford for 19 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.7%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
51.4%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+10
50.4%
(12:18) VEILLEUX, Christian pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TUCKER, Petey broken up by GRIFFIN, Dywan at the ODU23, clock 12:13. PENALTY ODU Holding on RANKIN JR., Angelo enforced 10 yards from the ODU48 to the ODU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
51.7%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Darius Bush for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+5
50.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to DJ Riles for 5 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+19
50.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 19 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
59.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 20 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:1744% → 46%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
56.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 22 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
54.0%
Tariq Sims run for no gain to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
54.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 4 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+1
53.9%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the GAST 48Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
54.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jyron Gilmore at the GAST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2057% → 58%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
57.4%
Freddie Brock run for 7 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+6
58.4%
Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
57.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 3 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
59.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
59.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
57.8%
James Allen punt for 48 yds , Isiah Paige returns for no gain to the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:1645% → 44%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
55.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 2 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+3
54.9%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+9
55.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 9 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
54.4%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-10
54.5%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (Maarten Woudsma) to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 18
OWN 15
0
54.8%
Colton Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 18
OWN 15
-5
55.6%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 23
OWN 10
+12
55.6%
Bryce Duke run for 12 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+38
56.4%
Ian Brandt punt for 38 yds , DJ Riles returns for no gain to the GAST 42 , returns for no gain to the GAST 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13MISSED FG
15 plays · 42 yds · 2:0260% → 56%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
59.6%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+16
58.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 16 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
60.4%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 5 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
60.4%
Freddie Brock run for 6 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
61.3%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
61.4%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+8
59.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to DJ Riles for 8 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
61.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 5 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-11
61.3%
Christian Veilleux sacked by Will Jones II for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+5
56.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 5 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
56.0%
Liam Rickman 34 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2046% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
54.0%
Colton Joseph run for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
53.3%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
53.1%
Colton Joseph run for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-10
52.6%
(13:28) JOSEPH, Colton pass short up the middle complete for 13 yards to CONROY, Pat caught at the ODU42 and advanced to the GSU47 (PRINGLE, Gavin), clock 13:19. PENALTY ODU Holding on SAUNDERS, Santana enforced 10 yards from the ODU40 to the ODU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+5
55.6%
(13:09) JOSEPH, Colton pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PAIGE, Isiah broken up by WATSON, Kenyatta at the GSU40, clock 13:06. PENALTY GSU Offsides on LORENZO, Christian enforced 5 yards from the ODU30 to the ODU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.0%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
55.9%
Ian Brandt punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DJ Riles at the GAST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1458% → 55%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
57.6%
Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the GAST 24Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
57.1%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Jordan Ford for 5 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-10
56.6%
(11:38) VEILLEUX, Christian scrambles up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the GSU37 (NAOTALA, Koa), clock 11:32. PENALTY GSU Holding on CHUKWUMA, Ben enforced 10 yards from the GSU29 to the GSU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
55.5%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 14
OWN 19
+28
54.8%
James Allen punt for 55 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 28 yds to the GAST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4949% → 48%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
50.8%
Isiah Paige run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+21
53.0%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 21 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
49.5%
(10:29) ROCHE, Devin rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the GSU27 (HEIMULI, Daniel), clock 10:27. PENALTY ODU Holding on WOUDSMA, Maarten enforced 10 yards from the GSU30 to the GSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+8
51.7%
Georgia State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kevin Swint) to the GAST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:4157% → 59%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
57.3%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
57.2%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 5 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+29
56.0%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 29 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
61.4%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
61.5%
Freddie Brock run for 4 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
61.1%
Freddie Brock run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-1
59.3%
Kyle Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:4548% → 71%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
51.6%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
51.8%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+11
52.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Diante Vines for 11 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
50.1%
Bryce Duke run for 1 yd to the GAST 44Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
50.1%
Bryce Duke run for 6 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+13
49.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 13 yds to the GAST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
47.6%
Tariq Sims run for 11 yds to the GAST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
47.4%
Colton Joseph run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 16Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+10
47.9%
Colton Joseph run for 10 yds to the GAST 6Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
29.0%
Tariq Sims run for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5236% → 33%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.2%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
36.0%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.5%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 3 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
33.3%
James Allen punt for 59 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 13 yds to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:2369% → 90%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
31.1%
Colton Joseph run for 16 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
28.7%
Devin Roche run for 2 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
28.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Pat Conroy for 11 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
26.7%
Colton Joseph run for 27 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
23.8%
Devin Roche run for 14 yds to the GAST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
23.1%
Devin Roche run for a loss of 5 yards to the GAST 9Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
9.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:5515% → 11%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
14.9%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+20
14.6%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Michel Dukes for 20 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
16.3%
Christian Veilleux run for 3 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+10
15.9%
Freddie Brock run for 10 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
14.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to Ted Hurst for 15 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
14.9%
Christian Veilleux pass complete to CJ Beasley for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
14.8%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
11.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 5
OPP 24
0
10.9%
Christian Veilleux pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:3193% → 95%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
7.4%
Tariq Sims run for 5 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+16
7.2%
Colton Joseph run for 16 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
6.4%
Tariq Sims run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
5.9%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+8
5.5%
Colton Joseph run for 8 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
5.4%
Devin Roche run for no gain to the GAST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
6.9%
Christian Veilleux pass intercepted Angelo Rankin Jr. return for no gain to the ODU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5495% → 96%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
5.5%
Tariq Sims run for 5 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-1
4.8%
Tariq Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+3
4.7%
Tariq Sims run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+36
4.5%
Ian Brandt punt for 36 yds , DJ Riles returns for no gain to the GAST 46 , returns for no gain to the GAST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:534% → 30%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
3.7%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 7 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+8
3.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 8 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
3.8%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 9 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+2
4.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 2 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
3.9%
Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
29.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 24 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:4724% → 18%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
23.6%
Michel Dukes run for 26 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
20.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-9
17.5%
Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 38 Zach Gibson fumbled, recovered by ODU Mario Thompson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:5195% → 94%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
5.0%
(01:24) [NHSG] Kneel down by JOSEPH, Colton at ODU36 (team loss of 2), clock 01:14.Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-3
5.4%
(00:40) [NHSG] Kneel down by JOSEPH, Colton at ODU33 (team loss of 3), clock 00:38.Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 15
OWN 33
-3
5.8%
(00:33) [NHSG] Kneel down by JOSEPH, Colton at ODU30 (team loss of 3), clock 00:29.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:19
Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 24 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
+26
TD · Q3 2:38
Tariq Sims run for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-18.9
TD · Q4 13:08
Colton Joseph pass complete to Demariyon Houston for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com