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GAST

Georgia State 24 at Old Dominion 25

ODU
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:02 · Kade Loggins punt for 34 yds, downed at the ODU 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense−2.4Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:32: Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 29 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +9.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:34: Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 31 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +11.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:49: Obie Sanni run for 67 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +19.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:18: Liam Rickman 22 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +7.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Grant Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD — ODU win probability +70.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 14GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 7:32ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:32ODU 4th & 20 at ODU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:02GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:44ODU 4th & 3 at GAST 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−1.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00GAST 4th & 2 at ODU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:42ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:41ODU 4th & 20 at ODU 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:14ODU 4th & 10 at GAST 45, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    26.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:04GAST 4th & 9 at ODU 47, up 21
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:13ODU 4th & 11 at GAST 44, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    22.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:32ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:50GAST 4th & 25 at GAST 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:42ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 44, down 21
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:23GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:34ODU 4th & 5 at GAST 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:03GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:11GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:18GAST 4th & 4 at ODU 4, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−13.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:07ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:54GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:09ODU 4th & 19 at ODU 31, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 2.4 ptsWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−2.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:37GAST 4th & 7 at ODU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−5.7
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:37ODU 4th & 19 at GAST 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−3.6
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:00ODU 4th & 3 at GAST 3, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−26.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−33.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:16GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:32GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:15GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:34ODU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:49ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4450% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
49.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 9 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
49.7%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
49.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
49.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+5
50.0%
Old Dominion Penalty, Equipment Violation enforced (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
50
+4
49.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
49.8%
Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
49.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
49.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
49.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-10
49.7%
CARROLL, Marcus rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the ODU11 (HENDERSON, Jason;MATTHEWS, Wayne). PENALTY GSU Holding on REECE, Avery enforced 10 yards from the ODU12 to the ODU22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 18
OPP 22
+6
49.8%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+16
48.0%
Darren Grainger run for 16 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4249% → 48%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
48.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
48.5%
Grant Wilson run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
48.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+5
47.6%
DUANE, Ethan punt 39 yards to the GSU41, CARTER, Jacari returned 5 yards to the GSU46 (DUTTON, Dominic), out of bounds, clock 07:42. PENALTY GSU Running Into the kicker on MARSHALL, Cam enforced 5 yards from the ODU20 to the ODU25 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
47.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 30 yds, downed at the GAST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2253% → 53%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
47.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 3 yds to the GAST 48Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
47.0%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-13
47.0%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted Ashton Whitner return for 13 yds to the ODU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3849% → 47%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
48.7%
Grant Wilson sacked by Henry Bryant III for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 16
OWN 40
-15
48.0%
WILSON, Grant pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to DUTTON, Dominic caught at the ODU41 and advanced to the ODU45 (BROWN, Bryquice), out of bounds. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on BUTLER, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the ODU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 31
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 31
OWN 25
+11
47.5%
Tariq Sims run for 11 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 20
OWN 36
0
47.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:3053% → 52%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-15
47.4%
Georgia State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GAST 16Similar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+4
47.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 20Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-6
47.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for a loss of 6 yards to the GAST 14Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+8
47.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
47.5%
Kade Loggins punt for 34 yds, downed at the ODU 44Similar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
47.7%
WILSON, Grant pass to the right incomplete intended for WICKS, Keshawn thrown to the GSU42. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on ABRAHAM, Justin enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the GSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:1848% → 48%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
48.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jalen Butler for 7 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
48.4%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
48.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
47.5%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:1255% → 65%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
45.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 5 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
44.8%
Javon Denis run for 5 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
44.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
44.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
44.7%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+5
45.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 5 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
44.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
44.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
44.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
35.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 29 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5037% → 36%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.1%
Obie Sanni run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
36.7%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
36.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 14 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:2765% → 74%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
34.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+16
34.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 16 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
34.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 3 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
29.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
26.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 11 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3429% → 27%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.7%
Grant Wilson run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
28.6%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-12
28.4%
Grant Wilson sacked by Justin Abraham and Shamar McCollum for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
26.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 35 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
50
-40
23.8%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted Nolan Johnson return for 40 yds to the GAST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1229% → 27%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
29.3%
Obie Sanni run for 1 yd to the GAST 44Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+4
29.1%
Obie Sanni run for 4 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
29.0%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-5
28.7%
Old Dominion Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the GAST 45Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 10
OPP 45
-7
27.0%
Grant Wilson sacked by Justin Abraham and Jontrey Hunter for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1078% → 81%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
22.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
22.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+1
22.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 4
OPP 42
-5
23.5%
Georgia State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gavin Pringle) to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
19.2%
Tristan Lyon punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 1:5124% → 24%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
23.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 8 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+12
24.5%
Tariq Sims run for 12 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
24.5%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+22
23.4%
Grant Wilson run for 22 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
25.8%
Tariq Sims run for 3 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-12
25.3%
Grant Wilson sacked by Henry Bryant III for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 19
OWN 48
+8
23.8%
Grant Wilson run for 8 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
23.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1387% → 89%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
13.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 11 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
12.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
13.0%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 15
50
0
13.2%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
50
+7
11.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2818% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.4%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.2%
Grant Wilson run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
18.3%
WILSON, Grant scrambles to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the ODU40, out of bounds. PENALTY ODU Holding on SAUNDERS, Santana enforced 10 yards from the ODU29 to the ODU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+13
18.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jalen Butler for 13 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
17.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 4:4287% → 91%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
13.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 6 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
12.9%
KZ Adams run for 1 yd to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
13.4%
KZ Adams run for 6 yds to the GAST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
12.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 8 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+4
12.4%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
12.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
12.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-18
13.1%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 18 yards to the GAST 45 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GAST Ben Chukwuma [NHSG] QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush up the middle for a loss of 18 yards, GRAINGER, Darren fumbled at ODU44 forced by MATTHEWS, Wayne, recovered by GSU CHUKWUMA, Ben at the GSU45, returned 0 yards to the GSU45, End of Play.Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 25
OWN 45
0
8.8%
Tristan Lyon punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:0812% → 11%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
11.8%
Obie Sanni run for 11 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
12.0%
Obie Sanni run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
12.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 11 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
12.9%
Obie Sanni run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
12.2%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+7
12.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 7 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
11.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 4:1994% → 96%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
6.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 5 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
6.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 4 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
6.4%
KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
6.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
6.3%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GAST 34Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-1
6.4%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 33Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
4.4%
Kade Loggins punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:497% → 18%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
6.7%
Tariq Sims run for 4 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+1
7.2%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
6.7%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+31
18.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 31 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2688% → 89%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
12.2%
KZ Adams run for 3 yds to the GAST 36Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
11.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 4 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
11.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
11.5%
Kade Loggins punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:1116% → 35%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
15.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+67
34.7%
Obie Sanni run for 67 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3871% → 73%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
29.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
28.3%
KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
28.6%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 33Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
27.1%
Kade Loggins punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2632% → 34%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
32.2%
Tariq Sims run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
33.6%
Grant Wilson pass intercepted return for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:2777% → 85%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
23.0%
KZ Adams run for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
22.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+32
23.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 32 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
22.7%
KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
23.0%
KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
15.1%
Liam Rickman 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1117% → 14%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.1%
Tariq Sims run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
16.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
15.9%
Grant Wilson sacked by Justin Abraham and Javon Denis for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
14.2%
Ian Brandt punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1386% → 86%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
14.2%
KZ Adams run for 1 yd to the GAST 38Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
14.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
14.3%
Kade Loggins punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4516% → 11%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
15.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 11 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
16.6%
SIMS, Tariq rush up the middle for a gain of 15 yards to the GSU45 (JOHNSON, Jeremiah;COOPER, Ronald). PENALTY ODU Holding on BLACK, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the ODU40 to the ODU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+8
15.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 8 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
15.3%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-7
14.6%
Grant Wilson sacked by Javon Denis and Jordan Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 19
OWN 31
-7
11.3%
Grant Wilson sacked by Tylon Dunlap for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 29MISSED FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3290% → 92%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
9.7%
KZ Adams run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
7.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-3
7.3%
KZ Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
8.3%
Liam Rickman 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 30FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 3:0010% → 15%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
9.5%
Obie Sanni run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+14
9.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 14 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
9.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
9.9%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
11.2%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
11.0%
Obie Sanni run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+34
9.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 34 yds to the GAST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
15.0%
WILSON, Grant pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MURPHY, Reymello thrown to the GSU0. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on GORDON, Terrell enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the GSU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
15.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Tariq Sims for 1 yd to the GAST 3Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
15.0%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the GAST 2Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
13.2%
ADAMS, Chris rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the GSU0, TOUCHDOWN ODU, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY ODU Face mask on ADAMS, Chris enforced 15 yards from the GSU2 to the GSU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-2
11.2%
Grant Wilson sacked by Josiah Robinson and Shamar McCollum for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 19Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+37
14.8%
Ethan Sanchez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 31SF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:1594% → 92%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-6
6.0%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 6 yards to the GAST 4Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 16
OWN 4
-4
7.8%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 32TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:1323% → 94%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+43
22.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 43 yds to the GAST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
31.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for no gain to the GAST 6Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
31.1%
Obie Sanni run for 2 yds to the GAST 4Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
23.8%
Grant Wilson run for 1 yd to the GAST 3Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.9%
Grant Wilson run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Grant Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD
+70.1
TD · Q4 14:49
Obie Sanni run for 67 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+19
TD · Q3 1:34
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 31 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com