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ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Georgia State 31

GAST
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:32 · Ethan Duane punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Home team on offense+15.4Pregame prior+2.5Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:29: Tucker Gregg 4 Yd Run (Michael Hayes Kick) — GAST win probability +4.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:04: D. Grainger pass,to J. Thrash for 38 yds for a TD, (M. Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +6.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:15: H. Wolff pass,to A. Jennings III for 12 yds for a TD, (E. Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +8.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:00: Darren Grainger run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +15.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:02: Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +13.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:43GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57ODU 4th & 4 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:15GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:23ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:35ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:41GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:52ODU 4th & 4 at GAST 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:06GAST 4th & 5 at ODU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:51GAST 4th & 6 at ODU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:59ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13GAST 4th & 3 at ODU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−2.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:32ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00GAST 4th & 1 at ODU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−1.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−6.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:20GAST 4th & 8 at ODU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−3.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:51ODU 4th & 7 at GAST 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:57GAST 4th & 17 at GAST 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:57GAST 4th & 17 at GAST 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:23ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:35ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:29GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:15ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:00GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:02GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1160% → 60%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
59.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+7
59.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
59.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
59.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
59.5%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-1
59.6%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4641% → 41%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
59.3%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
59.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
59.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+3
59.4%
Hayden Wolff run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4260% → 60%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
59.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
59.6%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+7
59.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
59.5%
Michael Hayes punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:4041% → 44%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
59.5%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+9
59.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 9 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
59.3%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+61
56.4%
Javon Harvey 61 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:3857% → 57%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
57.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+18
57.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 18 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
57.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
57.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 7 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+7
57.6%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
57.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+21
57.5%
Darren Grainger run for 21 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
57.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 15 yds Tailique Williams fumbled, recovered by ODU Tre Hawkins IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3444% → 44%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
55.6%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+1
55.6%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 9Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
55.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 8
OWN 9
0
56.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (Blake Watson) to the ODU 2Similar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 12
OWN 5
+28
55.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 32 yds , Tailique Williams returns for 28 yds to the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:5457% → 61%
Q1 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
56.9%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
61.2%
Tucker Gregg 4 Yd Run (Michael Hayes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4841% → 41%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
58.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
59.4%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5460% → 59%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
59.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
59.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
59.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
58.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 47 yds , Isiah Paige returns for no gain to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:4942% → 43%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
58.5%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+1
57.6%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
58.1%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+17
58.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 17 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
57.0%
Hayden Wolff run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
56.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-3
56.7%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
57.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 1:4859% → 68%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
59.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
59.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+37
58.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 37 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
61.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
61.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
67.9%
D. Grainger pass,to J. Thrash for 38 yds for a TD, (M. Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4935% → 46%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
65.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+22
64.8%
Blake Watson run for 22 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+32
63.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 32 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
62.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
62.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for no gain to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
54.1%
H. Wolff pass,to A. Jennings III for 12 yds for a TD, (E. Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 5:1560% → 60%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.6%
LaMarcus Brand run for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
59.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to LaMarcus Brand for 12 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
61.5%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
61.4%
Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-5
60.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (Luis Cristobal) to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+8
58.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tucker Gregg for 8 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 5
OPP 48
+10
59.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 10 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
61.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+12
61.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 12 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
62.4%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+3
62.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+2
61.4%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
59.7%
Michael Hayes 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5145% → 43%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-9
55.2%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Javon Denis and Jeffery Clark for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 19
OWN 18
+2
56.0%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 20
0
56.8%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0144% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
55.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jontrey Hunter for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+8
56.3%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
56.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 6 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
57.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 52 yds , Tailique Williams returns for 4 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:5959% → 79%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
59.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
59.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 6 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
58.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
59.7%
Darren Grainger sacked by Kris Trinidad for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+10
59.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
60.8%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+15
59.0%
HAYES, Michael punt 34 yards to the ODU26, fair catch by PAIGE, Isiah, clock 10:13. PENALTY ODU Roughing the Kicker on LINDENFELDAR, Luke enforced 15 yards from the GSU40 to the ODU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
62.7%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+7
60.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+4
61.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+6
60.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 6 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
63.6%
Darren Grainger run for 15 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
63.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-1
63.6%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+11
62.2%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
63.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.6%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.7%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4626% → 25%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
73.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
73.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-7
75.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
88.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:3014% → 14%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
86.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 16 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
84.7%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-5
84.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Thomas Gore for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
84.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
86.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20FG
21 plays · 84 yds · 10:1291% → 99%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
91.1%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
91.5%
Darren Grainger run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
92.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
92.8%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (Jamari Thrash) to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
92.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+16
92.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tucker Gregg for 16 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
92.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+11
92.9%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
92.9%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
92.9%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+9
92.7%
Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
92.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
92.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
92.9%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the right incomplete intended for THRASH, Jamari thrown to the ODU0. PENALTY ODU Offsides on WILLIAMS JR., Steven enforced 5 yards from the ODU18 to the ODU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+2
92.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
92.9%
QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards, GRAINGER, Darren fumbled at ODU16 , recovered by GSU GRAINGER, Darren at the ODU16, returned 0 yards to the ODU16, End of Play. PENALTY ODU Unnecessary Roughness on JONES, Terry enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the ODU8 to the ODU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
92.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
97.6%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
97.6%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
98.8%
Michael Hayes 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:293% → 7%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Spencer) to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+54
96.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 54 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
96.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 3 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
96.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
93.2%
Ethan Sanchez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 0:5398% → 99%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
98.3%
GREGG, Tucker rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the ODU43 (HENDERSON, Jason). PENALTY GSU Holding on BROADWAY, Bryson enforced 10 yards from the ODU46 to the GSU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+1
98.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+2
98.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 17
OWN 47
0
98.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 17
OWN 47
+2
98.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 43 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 17
OWN 47
+2
98.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 43 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 21 yds · 2:343% → 1%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
97.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 8 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 2
OWN 20
0
97.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+12
97.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 12 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-8
98.5%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Shamar McCollum for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+10
98.6%
WOLFF, Hayden pass to the right incomplete intended for BLY, Jordan thrown to the ODU40. PENALTY GSU Holding on HUNTER, Jontrey enforced 10 yards from the ODU24 to the ODU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
98.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 7 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-5
98.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (Ali Jennings III) to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-9
98.5%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jeffery Clark for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 17
OWN 27
0
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.3%
Antoine Lane run for 8 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+2
99.3%
Antoine Lane run for 2 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.3%
[NHSG] Kneel down by GRAINGER, Darren at ODU25 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
99.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by GRAINGER, Darren at ODU27 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:00
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
+15.1
TD · Q3 4:02
Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
+13.3
TD · Q2 7:15
H. Wolff pass,to A. Jennings III for 12 yds for a TD, (E. Sanchez KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com