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GAST

Georgia State 7 at NC State 41

NCSU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:02 · A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+31.8Home team on offense+7.0Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:37: Destin Coates run for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK) — GAST win probability +0.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 3:22: Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +0.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:41: Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:43: Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:32GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:22NCSU 4th & 5 at GAST 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:22GAST 4th & 5 at NCSU 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00NCSU 4th & 2 at GAST 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41GAST 4th & 16 at GAST 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:02NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:46GAST 4th & 5 at NCSU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NCSU 4th & 1 at GAST 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:28GAST 4th & 1 at NCSU 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−1.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:13NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 48, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:15GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:57GAST 4th & 15 at NCSU 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:04GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:24GAST 4th & 5 at NCSU 44, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:37GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:32NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:41NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:43NCSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:12NCSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:12NCSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:235% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 15 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
95.2%
Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+46
95.2%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 46 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.2%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.4%
Destin Coates run for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:5795% → 94%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 23 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 14 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
94.5%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+6
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
94.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Victor HeywardSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+10
94.5%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Cedric Stone) to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
94.5%
Nakia Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
94.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 5 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.9%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
93.9%
Tra Barnett run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
93.9%
Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-3
93.8%
Dan Ellington sacked by Alim McNeill and Isaiah Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
93.9%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
94.0%
Brandon Wright punt for 53 yds, downed at the NCSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:4293% → 93%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
93.3%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 6Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+15
93.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 15 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+56
93.3%
Thayer Thomas pass complete to Trent Pennix for 56 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
93.6%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+8
93.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
93.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
93.6%
C.J. Riley run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
93.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Cedric StoneSimilar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
92.7%
Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.7%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
92.5%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.6%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
92.6%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
92.4%
Seth Paige run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
92.3%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+3
92.4%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
92.6%
Brandon Wright punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:2792% → 93%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.5%
Trent Pennix run for 6 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
91.5%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Trent PennixSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
91.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+39
91.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 39 yds to the NCSTATE 31 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
92.1%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-1
92.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Dylan Parham for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+5
91.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+1
91.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+20
91.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 20 yds to the GeoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.9%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.4%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
92.3%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Nick McCloudSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
92.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Taz Bateman for 14 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.1%
Taz Bateman run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
92.1%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Nick McCloudSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-7
92.3%
Dan Ellington sacked by Alim McNeill for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
92.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 3:5792% → 91%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
92.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for 9 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
92.3%
Trent Pennix run for 2 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
92.2%
Trent Pennix run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 25Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 16
OWN 25
+15
92.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 15 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
92.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 6 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
92.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
92.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
92.3%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-10
91.5%
NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
91.0%
A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:508% → 9%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.9%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Chris IngramSimilar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+20
92.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 20 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
91.4%
Demarcus Kirk run for 11 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
91.1%
Dan Ellington run for 17 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
90.7%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 3 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
90.5%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+2
91.0%
Taz Bateman run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
91.2%
Brandon Wright 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 63 yds · 0:4692% → 94%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+34
91.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 34 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.5%
Ryan Finley run for no gain to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+24
92.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 24 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
94.0%
Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
93.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.8%
Nakia Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
94.0%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Jerome SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+17
93.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 17 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
94.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
94.1%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+8
93.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 8 yds Terry Thomas fumbled, forced by Jaylon Jones, recovered by NCStSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-2
93.6%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
92.7%
Dan Ellington run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
50
0
92.2%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
50
+4
92.5%
Taz Bateman run for 4 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
92.3%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 5 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-6
92.5%
Penny Hart run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.3%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan StrachanSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
94.3%
Nakia Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 48Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
93.9%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
93.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taz Bateman at the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
93.4%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny HartSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
93.5%
Dan Ellington sacked by Germaine Pratt for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
93.6%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin GentrySimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
93.7%
Brandon Wright punt for 59 yds, downed at the NCSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:2694% → 98%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
93.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 12 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
94.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Dylan Parham for 12 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
94.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+20
94.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 20 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
94.3%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+11
94.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 11 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
94.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:462% → 1%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
98.0%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.0%
Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
98.0%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 34 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
97.7%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+6
97.8%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 6 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+12
97.8%
NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Jarius Morehead) to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
97.6%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 7 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-15
98.6%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Penny Hart) to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 20
+3
98.5%
Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
98.6%
Dan Ellington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
99.0%
Brandon Wright 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eurndraus BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
99.1%
Trent Pennix run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+14
99.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 14 yds Stephen Louis fumbled, forced by Chris Bacon, recovered by NCSt C.J. Riley for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
99.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 16 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.1%
Brady Bodine run for no gain to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+23
99.1%
Ryan Finley pass intercepted Quavian White return for 23 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 32 yds · 5:401% → 1%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.1%
Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 24 Tra Barnett fumbled, forced by Tanner Ingle, recovered by GeoStSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+16
99.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 16 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.1%
Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
99.1%
Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
99.1%
Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.1%
Taz Bateman run for 2 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin GentrySimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
99.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Hunter Atkinson) to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Dan Ellington run for no gain to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+15
99.2%
Destin Coates run for 15 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Jonathan IfediSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+9
99.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 9 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.5%
Brady Bodine run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+39
100.0%
Brady Bodine run for 39 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
Seth Paige run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
100.0%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Diondre Champaigne for 11 yds Diondre Champaigne fumbled, forced by Brock Miller, recovered by NCSt Maurice Trowell , return for 17 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
100.0%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (Damien Darden) to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+3
100.0%
Brady Bodine run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+4
100.0%
Brady Bodine run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+8
100.0%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Quavian White) to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Matthew McKay run for 2 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
100.0%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 15 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Diondre Champaigne, broken up by Brock MillerSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Diondre Champaigne, broken up by Maurice TrowellSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
100.0%
Destin Coates run for 12 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Seth Paige for 6 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+18
100.0%
Aaron Winchester pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 18 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:43
Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+4.1
FG · Q2 0:00
Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOOD
+1.3
FG · Q1 3:22
Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOOD
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com