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ODU

Old Dominion 22 at NC State 49

NCSU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:52 · Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 7 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+37.4Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:32: Jalan McClendon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:06: Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:31: David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ODU win probability +3.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:46: Jalan McClendon pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:45: Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:52NCSU 4th & 2 at ODU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:19ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:06NCSU 4th & 23 at NCSU 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:05ODU 4th & 7 at NCSU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:36ODU 4th & 4 at NCSU 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:32ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:22ODU 4th & 24 at ODU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 37, up 18
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:18ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 32, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:39ODU 4th & 21 at ODU 16, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:19ODU 4th & 7 at NCSU 20, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:07NCSU 4th & 5 at ODU 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:00ODU 4th & 20 at ODU 48, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 7:24NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:32NCSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:06NCSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:31ODU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:46NCSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:45NCSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:19ODU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:33NCSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:12ODU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:56NCSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.8%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
89.8%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
89.8%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 1 yd to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 0
0
89.8%
PENALTY ODU illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY ST illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 70 yds, downed at the NCSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
15 plays · 95 yds · 5:5189% → 89%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+20
89.3%
Matthew Dayes run for 10 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 4 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
89.4%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen LouisSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+38
89.3%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 38 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
89.5%
Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+6
89.5%
Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
89.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 3 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+7
88.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 7 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
88.6%
Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+8
88.6%
Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.6%
Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.6%
Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.0%
Jalan McClendon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
88.6%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-5
88.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
88.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 8 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-2
88.6%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
88.8%
Bailey Cate punt for 51 yds, downed at the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
88.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-9
88.4%
Finley, R. pass incomplete to Trowell, M., PENALTY ST holding (Adams, T.) 9 yards to the ST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+2
88.4%
Jaylen Samuels run for 2 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 14
OWN 12
-9
88.2%
Ryan Finley sacked by Torrez Wentz and Rashaad Coward for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 3Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 23
OWN 3
0
88.0%
A.J. Cole III punt for 41 yds, downed at the NCSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
87.4%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
87.4%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+1
87.5%
Josh Marriner run for 1 yd to the NCSt 41Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
87.9%
Bailey Cate punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.8%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for no gain Matthew Dayes fumbled, forced by C.J. Bradshaw, recovered by ODU Bunmi RotimiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5713% → 15%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
86.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
86.8%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+9
87.1%
Jeremy Cox run for 9 yds to the NCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.8%
Jeremy Cox run for no gain to the NCSt 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
86.4%
Jeremy Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
86.8%
Jeremy Cox run for 1 yd to the NCSt 4Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
85.4%
Bailey Cate 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:0486% → 89%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
85.7%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+10
85.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 10 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
86.0%
Matthew Dayes run for 18 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
86.4%
Ryan Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+12
86.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 12 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
86.4%
Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+15
86.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 15 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
86.4%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 12 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the ODU 3Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.4%
Jalan McClendon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.7%
NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.2%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
88.4%
David Washington run for 7 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+8
88.0%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 8 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
87.8%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
88.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-6
88.3%
David Washington sacked by Kentavius Street for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
89.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 28 yds, downed at the NCSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:0689% → 93%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
88.6%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon CherrySimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
88.6%
Jakobi Meyers run for 2 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+9
88.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
88.6%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Gavin Locklear for 5 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
89.1%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 4 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
88.8%
Ryan Finley run for 3 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
89.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 32 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
89.2%
Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
92.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 22 yds · 2:358% → 4%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
92.4%
Zach Pascal run for 9 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+8
91.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 8 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.0%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
92.1%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+16
92.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 16 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
91.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 43Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 15
OPP 43
-4
91.7%
David Washington sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+6
92.4%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 6 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 13
OPP 41
-11
92.2%
David Washington sacked by Justin Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the NCSTATE 48 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 24
OWN 48
0
95.6%
Bailey Cate punt for 42 yds, downed at the NCSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
94.2%
Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+4
94.1%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
92.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
92.8%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry, broken up by Aaron YoungSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+7
92.6%
Ryan Finley run for 7 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
92.4%
A.J. Cole III punt for 54 yds, downed at the ODU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:477% → 12%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+20
93.5%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 20 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.0%
David Washington pass incomplete to Travis FulghamSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
93.3%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
93.1%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+9
93.4%
Bailey Cate run for 9 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+30
92.7%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 30 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
91.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
91.8%
David Washington run for 7 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+21
88.1%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3991% → 97%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
91.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+29
90.7%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 14 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Justice Davila) to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+40
91.5%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 40 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
91.5%
Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
91.5%
Jaylen Samuels run for 3 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.8%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
95.1%
Ray Lawry run for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+1
94.9%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-12
95.0%
David Washington sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 16
OWN 21
-5
95.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 21
OWN 16
0
95.3%
Bailey Cate punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:4597% → 99%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
97.0%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 21 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
97.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 10 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
97.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 5 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+8
97.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 8 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.2%
Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels, broken up by Sean CarterSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
97.2%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 6 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+10
97.1%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 10 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:200% → 1%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.7%
David Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.7%
Jeremy Cox run for 6 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+8
99.7%
David Washington pass complete to Jeremy Cox for 8 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
99.7%
David Washington pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 32 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+3
99.7%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 3 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
-5
99.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (Troy Butler) to the NCSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+10
99.7%
David Washington pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 10 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
99.7%
David Washington pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+20
98.8%
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 20 yds for a TD, (Bailey Cate PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:4699% → 100%
Q4 13:19
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+8
98.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 8 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.9%
Dakwa Nichols run for 3 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
98.9%
Dakwa Nichols run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
98.9%
Jaylen Samuels run for 17 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
98.9%
Maurice Trowell run for 2 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Ryan Finley pass complete to Cole Cook for 8 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:130% → 1%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
David Washington pass complete to Travis Fulgham for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+65
99.0%
Jeremy Cox run for 65 yds for a TD, (Bailey Cate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:1599% → 100%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.1%
Dakwa Nichols run for 6 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+9
99.1%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.1%
Dakwa Nichols run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-1
99.1%
Dakwa Nichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Kelvin HarmonSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+19
99.1%
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Dakwa Nichols for 19 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.2%
Dakwa Nichols run for 4 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Dakwa Nichols run for 9 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:490% → 0%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Jeremy Cox run for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Blake LaRussa pass complete to Marques Little for 4 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for 4 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
99.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for 18 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Gemonta Jackson run for no gain to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 11
OPP 43
-9
99.9%
Blake LaRussa sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Bailey Cate punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
100.0%
Johnny Frasier run for 8 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Johnny Frasier run for no gain to the NCSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:46
Jalan McClendon pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 3:06
Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q3 9:31
David Washington pass complete to Zach Pascal for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com