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NCSU

NC State 38 at Old Dominion 14

ODU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:31 · Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior−38.3Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:40: Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 70 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK) — ODU win probability +4.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:47: Jacoby Brissett run for 21 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:42: Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:44: Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK) — NCSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:48: Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 13 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK) — ODU win probability +5.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:31NCSU 4th & 1 at ODU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54NCSU 4th & 18 at ODU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:40ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:45NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:07ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:14NCSU 4th & 6 at ODU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:47ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:51NCSU 4th & 8 at ODU 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:39ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:52ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:49NCSU 4th & 5 at ODU 34, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−0.3
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:24ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 6, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 5:49NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:40ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:47NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:42NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:44NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:48ODU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:33NCSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.3%
Shuler Bentley run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
11.3%
Shuler Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
11.3%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 1 yd to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
11.3%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 46 yds, downed at the NCSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
15 plays · 73 yds · 7:4288% → 87%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan AlstonSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
12.0%
Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
11.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 5 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
11.9%
Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+12
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 12 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan AlstonSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
11.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+11
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 11 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jumichael Ramos for 14 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
11.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
11.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 8
0
11.9%
Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+5
11.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.3%
Jaylen Samuels run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
13.8%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
14.2%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Jerod Fernandez and Bradley Chubb for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
13.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 19
OWN 34
+3
13.6%
Kesean Strong run for 3 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+14
13.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 29 , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 14 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 4:0086% → 85%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
14.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 11 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
13.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 25 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
13.7%
Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+11
13.7%
Shadrach Thornton run for 11 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
13.7%
Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+6
13.7%
Jacoby Brissett run for 6 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-12
13.8%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Malique Johnson and Tim Ward for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 18
OPP 30
+48
15.5%
Kyle Bambard 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
19.4%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Ray Lawry for 70 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4781% → 85%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
18.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 21 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
17.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+25
17.7%
Matthew Dayes run for 25 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
14.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 21 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.1%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.1%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
15.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to David Washington, broken up by Jack TochoSimilar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
15.5%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
15.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 32 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCSt Jacoby BrissettSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
16.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 5 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
16.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
16.6%
A.J. Cole III punt for 53 yds, downed at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
16.9%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to David WashingtonSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
16.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Zach Pascal for 7 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
16.5%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+6
16.3%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 52 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 6 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
16.3%
Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+10
16.0%
Matthew Dayes run for 10 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
15.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jumichael Ramos for 5 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-4
15.7%
Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+3
16.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to David J. Grinnage for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
16.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
17.4%
Ray Lawry run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+3
17.2%
Zach Pascal run for 3 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 11
OWN 12
0
16.8%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Ray LawrySimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
16.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:2784% → 89%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
16.3%
Jacoby Brissett run for no gain to the NCSt 49Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
16.3%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+12
16.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 12 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
16.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
16.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+17
16.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 17 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
15.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
15.1%
Jacoby Brissett run for 7 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
11.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
12.8%
Ray Lawry run for 7 yds to the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
11.5%
Shadrach Thornton run for 7 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
11.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+6
11.5%
Shadrach Thornton run for 6 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
11.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
11.1%
Shadrach Thornton run for 15 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
10.8%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
10.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
10.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete, broken up by Tj RicksSimilar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
11.5%
A.J. Cole III punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Marques Little at the ODU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
11.7%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to David Washington for 9 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 1
OWN 15
0
11.8%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
11.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
11.9%
Vincent Lowe run for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 17
OWN 10
0
11.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete, broken up by Maurice TrowellSimilar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 17
OWN 10
+2
11.5%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 15
OWN 12
+34
11.5%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 42 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 34 yds to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:4691% → 97%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
8.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+6
8.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
8.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.8%
Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:565% → 12%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.2%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Blair RobertsSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.2%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
5.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to David Washington for 11 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
5.7%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 23 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
6.1%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to David Washington for 9 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+1
6.7%
Shuler Bentley run for 1 yd to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
6.7%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Isaiah Harper for 3 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
6.7%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+11
6.3%
BENTLEY, Shuler pass incomplete to WASHINGTON, D. (Burris, J.), PENALTY ST pass interference (Burris, J.) 11 yards to the ST13, 1ST DOWN ODU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
6.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to David Washington, broken up by Juston BurrisSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
6.7%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to Zach PascalSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
11.8%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 13 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:5091% → 94%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
8.6%
Shadrach Thornton run for 6 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
8.1%
Shadrach Thornton run for 8 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
8.0%
Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 7
50
+2
7.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+24
8.0%
Jacoby Brissett run for 24 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
7.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jumichael Ramos for 14 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
7.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matthew DayesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
7.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-7
7.5%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Poncho Barnwell and Rashaad Coward for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 0
OPP 19
+36
5.6%
Kyle Bambard 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.9%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
6.2%
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Vincent Lowe for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
6.1%
Shuler Bentley sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
5.7%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 36 yds, downed at the NCSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
4.4%
Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 40Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
4.4%
Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
4.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Gavin Locklear for 8 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
4.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 9 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+1
4.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
4.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
4.1%
Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
4.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Jaylen SamuelsSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
4.9%
A.J. Cole III punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Marques Little at the ODU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
3.7%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
3.6%
Shuler Bentley pass incomplete to David Washington, broken up by Germaine PrattSimilar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+2
3.6%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
3.6%
Satchel Ziffer punt for 44 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:3797% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
50
0
2.9%
Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
50
+14
2.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 14 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
2.9%
Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+9
2.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for 9 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
1.9%
Jaylen Samuels run for 15 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
1.9%
Shadrach Thornton run for 5 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.6%
Kesean Strong run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
0.6%
Zach Pascal run for no gain to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
0.6%
Kesean Strong run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:44
Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)
-6.1
TD · Q3 2:48
Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 13 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 0:42
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com