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ODU

Old Dominion 34 at NC State 46

NCSU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:34 · Niklas Sade 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+26.4Home team on offense−7.5Score differential−3.4Garbage-time factor−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:52: Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +12.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:22: Ray Lawry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK) — ODU win probability +28.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:01: Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Stephen Louis for 16 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +24.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:01: Matt Dayes run for 10 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK) — NCSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:57: Antonio Vaughan 9 Yd pass from Taylor Heinicke (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ODU win probability +19.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:22NCSU 4th & 13 at ODU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:27ODU 4th & 1 at NCSU 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00NCSU 4th & 3 at ODU 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:10NCSU 4th & 2 at ODU 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−1.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:34NCSU 4th & 10 at ODU 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:50ODU 4th & 9 at NCSU 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:52ODU 4th & 5 at NCSU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:52ODU 4th & 2 at NCSU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−0.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:35ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 21, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:35ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:36ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:46NCSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:27ODU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:10ODU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32NCSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:52NCSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:22ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:01NCSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:01NCSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:57ODU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    17.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.9%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:59NCSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:2412% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
88.2%
Taylor Heinicke run for no gain to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+20
88.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 20 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
88.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 11 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
88.2%
Ray Lawry run for 19 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
88.2%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
88.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+8
87.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 8 yds to the NCSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to David Washington for 5 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:0887% → 86%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
87.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 9 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+14
87.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to David Grinnage for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
87.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+19
87.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 19 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
87.3%
Tony Creecy run for 12 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
87.3%
Jacoby Brissett sacked by Poncho Barnwell for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+3
87.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 3 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 12
OPP 15
-1
87.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Tony Creecy for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+33
86.2%
Niklas Sade 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
86.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass intercepted Rodman Noel return for 21 yds to the ODU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4786% → 87%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
86.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
86.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 8 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+3
86.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
86.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.9%
Shadrach Thornton 2 Yd Run (Niklas Sade Kick), (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:1914% → 18%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.4%
Cam Boyd run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
86.2%
Cam Boyd run for 7 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
86.2%
Cam Boyd run for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
86.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
85.6%
Taylor Heinicke run for 10 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
85.4%
Cam Boyd run for 7 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
85.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for no gain to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+9
85.4%
Ray Lawry run for 9 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
85.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Nick England for 5 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+16
85.2%
Cam Boyd run for 16 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
85.2%
Cam Boyd run for 2 yds to the NCSt 6Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
85.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 4 yds to the NCSt 2Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.4%
Cam Boyd run for 1 yd to the NCSt 1Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.9%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:2182% → 82%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
82.2%
Matt Dayes run for 15 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
82.6%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 13 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
83.2%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (N/A) to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+3
82.5%
Matt Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
81.9%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to David Grinnage, broken up by Richie StatonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+9
81.5%
Jacoby Brissett run for 9 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
82.1%
Wil Baumann punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Antonio Vaughan at the ODU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 2:5419% → 29%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
81.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 14 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
81.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 13 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
80.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
80.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+15
80.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 15 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
80.0%
Ray Lawry run for 6 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+11
79.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 11 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
79.8%
Ray Lawry run for 15 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
79.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 9 yds to the NCSt 2Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
71.5%
Ray Lawry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:3674% → 68%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
74.1%
Shadrach Thornton run for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
74.0%
Shadrach Thornton run for 5 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
74.0%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+8
73.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 8 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
74.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 5 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+6
74.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 6 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
74.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Shadrach Thornton, broken up by Andrew EverettSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
74.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan AlstonSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
74.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+34
68.0%
Niklas Sade 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 3:4432% → 37%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
68.2%
Cam Boyd run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
68.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio VaughanSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
68.7%
Taylor Heinicke run for 9 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
67.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Melvin Vaughn for 9 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+5
67.3%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 5 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
67.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
67.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 9 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
67.0%
Taylor Heinicke run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+34
63.5%
Antonio Vaughan pass complete to Zach Pascal for 34 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
63.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
63.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the NCSt 10Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
63.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Justin JonesSimilar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
62.8%
Ricky Segers 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1862% → 74%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
62.0%
Bryan Underwood run for 10 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
62.2%
Tony Creecy run for 3 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+42
62.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 42 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
65.4%
Matt Dayes run for 1 yd to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+11
65.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 11 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
65.4%
Matt Dayes run for 6 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
65.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan Alston, broken up by Andrew EverettSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
73.7%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 7 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Jacoby Brissett pass to Marquez Valdes-Scantling GOOD) OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.5%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 59 yds · 6:0274% → 83%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
73.8%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Stephen Louis for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
72.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan AlstonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+15
71.0%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 15 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
74.6%
Shadrach Thornton run for 8 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
74.6%
Shadrach Thornton run for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+6
74.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 6 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
75.5%
Matt Dayes run for 14 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
75.5%
Matt Dayes run for 5 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
75.5%
Matt Dayes run for 3 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+2
74.3%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
70.3%
Shadrach Thornton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 2 Shadrach Thornton fumbled, recovered by NCSt Shadrach Thornton , return for 8 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.7%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3022% → 48%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
78.4%
Gerard Johnson run for 30 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
75.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 5 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
74.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for no gain to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
75.5%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+16
76.7%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 16 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
73.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 7 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
73.6%
Ray Lawry run for no gain to the NCSt 17Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+1
74.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 1 yd to the NCSt 16Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+4
76.1%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
73.6%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the NCSt 11Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+7
73.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 7 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
52.1%
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2159% → 81%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
58.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 18 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
62.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bo Hines for 27 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
65.3%
Matt Dayes run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+17
65.1%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matt Dayes for 17 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
65.3%
Matt Dayes run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+16
81.4%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Stephen Louis for 16 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0125% → 23%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Zach Pascal for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
73.4%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
74.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, false start (N/A) to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
76.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Zach Pascal, broken up by Jack TochoSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
77.0%
Taylor Heinicke punt for 53 yds, downed at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4578% → 91%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
77.8%
Jacoby Brissett run for 20 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
80.2%
Shadrach Thornton run for 17 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
81.0%
Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+15
80.8%
Jacoby Brissett run for 15 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
81.3%
Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Marquez Valdes-ScantlingSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+16
81.2%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to David Grinnage for 16 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
91.3%
Matt Dayes run for 10 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
17 plays · 82 yds · 5:5811% → 32%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
89.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 1 yd to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
89.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 7 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-5
88.8%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+14
92.2%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 14 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.0%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Vincent LoweSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-14
90.5%
Taylor Heinicke sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 14 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 24
OWN 21
+23
91.9%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 23 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
90.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
89.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+23
88.8%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Jonathan Duhart for 23 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
87.1%
Ray Lawry run for 1 yd to the NCSt 27Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+15
87.5%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Antonio Vaughan for 15 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
87.1%
Ray Lawry run for 3 yds to the NCSt 9Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
87.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Nick EnglandSimilar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
68.0%
Antonio Vaughan 9 Yd pass from Taylor Heinicke (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:5889% → 97%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
88.5%
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
88.8%
Tony Creecy run for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
87.9%
Jacoby Brissett run for 2 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
88.8%
Johnathan Alston run for 3 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+23
97.4%
Shadrach Thornton run for 23 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19Uncategorized
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.1%
Taylor Heinicke pass complete to Vincent Lowe for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.6%
Taylor Heinicke pass incomplete to Antonio Vaughan, broken up by Justin JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:22
Ray Lawry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ricky Segers KICK)
-28.8
TD · Q3 1:01
Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Stephen Louis for 16 yds for a TD, (Niklas Sade KICK)
+24.9
TD · Q4 5:57
Antonio Vaughan 9 Yd pass from Taylor Heinicke (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com