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2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · Center Parc Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
GAST30
UL25
GAST by 5
Win chance
GAST59%
UL 41%GAST 59%
Projected total
55pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
52%
chance Georgia State wins by 3 or more
48% Georgia State wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← UL winsGAST wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
UL by 6 to GAST by 14
80% of outcomes
UL by 16 to GAST by 27
90% of outcomes
UL by 22 to GAST by 31
Median
GAST by 3
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com