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2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
MRSH31
GAST30
MRSH by 1
Win chance
MRSH48%
GAST 52%MRSH 48%
Projected total
61pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
48%
chance Marshall wins
52% Georgia State wins
← GAST winsMRSH wins →
-35-21-7+7+21
50% of outcomes
GAST by 11 to MRSH by 8
80% of outcomes
GAST by 21 to MRSH by 18
90% of outcomes
GAST by 28 to MRSH by 23
Median
GAST by 1
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com