2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Bridgeforth Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
JMU36
GAST25
JMU by 11 · market JMU by 12.25
Win chance
JMU83%
GAST 17%JMU 83%
Projected total
60pts
Market total 58.25
Explore the range of outcomes
71%
chance James Madison wins by 7 or more
29% James Madison wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← GAST winsJMU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- JMU by 5 to 23
- 80% of outcomes
- GAST by 5 to JMU by 32
- 90% of outcomes
- GAST by 11 to JMU by 39
- Median
- JMU by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 1% | 5% | <1% |
| James Madison | 49% | 55% | 18% |
| Also riding on it | Now | GAST wins (17%)If Georgia State wins (17%) | JMU wins (83%)If James Madison wins (83%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 30% | 34% | 29% |
| Memphis | 23% | 25% | 23% |
| UTSA | 14% | 16% | 14% |
and 2 more teams whose odds move a little
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds