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GAST

Georgia State 31 at Kennesaw State 17

KENN
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Fifth Third Stadium
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Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:38 · (04:47) #34 M.McKenzie punt 45 yards to the GSU11 #10 D.Riles return 9 yards to the GSU20 (#13 C.Miller)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Home team on offense−8.9Score differential−4.0Pregame prior+8.4Garbage-time factor−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:02: (12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 18 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:02, 1ST DOWN #6 W.Campbell VI pass attempt Successful — GAST win probability +7.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:40: (00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens) — GAST win probability +15.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:42: (04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:42, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens) — GAST win probability +9.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:53: (01:01) Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush left for 12 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:53, 1ST DOWN #11 B.Munroe pass attempt Successful — KENN win probability +18.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:15: (09:19) #39 S.Layous field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens), clock 09:15 — KENN win probability +1.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 9:18GAST 4th & 4 at KENN 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:28KENN 4th & 4 at GAST 11, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:28GAST 4th & 9 at KENN 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:26KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:49GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 24, up 11
    Close callPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38KENN 4th & 6 at KENN 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:47KENN 4th & 18 at GAST 38, down 18
    Close callPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:44KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 42, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:51GAST 4th & 1 at midfield, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.2%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:15GAST 4th & 4 at KENN 24, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:35KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:31GAST 4th & 1 at KENN 28, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 12:02GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:40GAST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:42GAST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:53KENN Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:2935% → 36%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
64.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #9 R.Dorsey caught at GSU29, for 9 yards to the GSU34 (#44 B.Hopson; #5 T.Lawson)Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
64.6%
PENALTY GSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from GSU34 to GSU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
64.6%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU32 (#31 K.Russell)Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
64.6%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #9 R.Dorsey caught at GSU39, for 10 yards to the GSU42 (#20 T.Hallum), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
64.4%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU44 (#11 T.Christopher; #9 I.Paul)Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
64.3%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #13 D.Avery Jr. thrown to KSU48 broken up by #5 T.Lawson PENALTY GSU Holding (#81 A.McBride) 10 yards from GSU44 to GSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+24
64.5%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 24 yards gain to the KSU42 (#44 B.Hopson; #5 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.2%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Murray Jr. thrown to KSU42Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
64.1%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KSU29 (#5 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
63.9%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU23 (#18 J.Anglin)Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
63.7%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU23 (#92 J.Cooper; #46 J.Greaves Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
63.8%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU23 (#11 T.Christopher; #55 U.Nwoha)Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
63.8%
(09:17) #39 S.Layous field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens), clock 09:18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:2464% → 64%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
63.5%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at KSU28, for 14 yards to the KSU39 (#7 O.Dupree), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+44
63.7%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete deep right to #11 B.Munroe caught at GSU40, for 44 yards to the GSU17 (#11 T.Bolton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
64.5%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 Z.Booker rush left for 0 yards to the GSU17 (#7 D.Walker)Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
64.4%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU15 (#4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+4
64.1%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU11 (#34 J.Hood)Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
64.3%
(06:30) #89 D.Kinney field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #60 B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton), clock 06:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:5536% → 38%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.8%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #85 G.Hollier thrown to GSU45Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.8%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU26 (#6 M.Patterson; #44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
64.0%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at GSU32, for 14 yards to the GSU40 (#20 T.Hallum; #44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
63.0%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #10 D.Riles caught at GSU42, for 9 yards to the GSU49 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+23
62.5%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at KSU36, for 23 yards to the KSU28 (#5 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
62.1%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU24 (#28 K.Moss)Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
61.9%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #19 J.Miller caught at KSU22, for 4 yards to the KSU20 (#12 K.Jones)Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+10
62.2%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush left for 10 yards gain to the KSU10 (#12 K.Jones; #4 A.Ford), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
61.7%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the KSU06 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
61.2%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 3 yards loss to the KSU09 (#6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
61.7%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short left to #9 R.Dorsey thrown to KSU00Similar
Q1 1:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
61.6%
(01:30) #39 S.Layous field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens), clock 01:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3161% → 60%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
61.4%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU05 (#45 K.Butler; #52 A.Mullings)Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
61.2%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU05 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+1
60.5%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #24 B.Woods III caught at KSU02, for 1 yard to the KSU06 (#13 D.Faria; #15 T.Mittman)Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+17
60.1%
(14:59) #34 M.McKenzie punt 44 yards to the KSU50 #10 D.Riles return 17 yards to the KSU33 (#22 P.Clemmer) PENALTY GSU Holding (#34 J.Hood) 10 yards from KSU33 to KSU43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:4141% → 50%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
59.5%
(14:51) Shotgun #19 J.Miller rush right for 8 yards gain to the KSU35 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+12
58.7%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the KSU23 (#5 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
58.5%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU23 (#92 J.Cooper) PENALTY GSU Holding (#56 D.Duffus) 10 yards from KSU23 to KSU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+20
58.5%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #24 Q.Wiggins caught at KSU19, for 20 yards to the KSU13, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
58.1%
PENALTY GSU False Start (#57 K.Benjamin) 5 yards from KSU13 to KSU18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+18
50.4%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 18 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:02, 1ST DOWN #6 W.Campbell VI pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:3052% → 51%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.1%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU29 (#13 D.Faria)Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
52.0%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #6 L.Murrell caught at KSU29, for 7 yards to the KSU36 (#8 D.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.0%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #15 J.Rogers thrown to KSU43Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
51.7%
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU42 (#8 D.Lee; #4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
51.8%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #6 L.Murrell thrown to KSU50 broken up by #8 D.Lee PENALTY KSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
50.8%
(10:38) #34 M.McKenzie punt 55 yards to the GSU03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:3149% → 52%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
50.7%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU05 (#6 M.Patterson; #44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
50.6%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the GSU05 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+11
50.4%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #9 R.Dorsey caught at GSU12, for 11 yards to the GSU16 (#6 M.Patterson; #9 I.Paul), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
49.1%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Hart rush right for 5 yards gain to the GSU21 (#11 T.Christopher; #6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
47.7%
(07:46) Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #82 Z.Stair caught at GSU19, for 3 yards to the GSU24 (#5 T.Lawson)Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
47.8%
(07:06) Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #10 D.Riles thrown to GSU47 QB hurried by #55 U.NwohaSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
48.3%
(07:02) #14 C.Teeter punt 59 yards to the KSU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:0546% → 44%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
46.3%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 12 yards gain to the KSU29 (#28 J.Kelly), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
46.4%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #4 Z.Booker caught at KSU33, for 11 yards to the KSU40 (#15 T.Mittman; #20 C.Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
47.0%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Morgan rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU40 (#28 J.Kelly; #92 A.Vaughns)Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
46.2%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush left for 4 yards gain to the KSU44 (#95 R.Kramer)Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
45.1%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short middle to #24 B.Woods III thrown to KSU45 broken up by #52 A.MullingsSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+9
43.7%
(04:47) #34 M.McKenzie punt 45 yards to the GSU11 #10 D.Riles return 9 yards to the GSU20 (#13 C.Miller)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:5155% → 79%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
44.9%
(04:36) Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU21 (#6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
44.0%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #24 Q.Wiggins caught at GSU19, for 0 yards to the GSU21 (#44 B.Hopson; #53 A.Miller)Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
44.2%
PENALTY GSU False Start (#9 R.Dorsey) 5 yards from GSU21 to GSU16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+45
44.0%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete deep left to #4 K.Washington caught at GSU45, for 45 yards to the KSU39 (#4 A.Ford; #7 L.Evans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
40.6%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Miller rush right for 10 yards gain to the KSU29 (#4 A.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
39.1%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #4 K.Washington caught at KSU27, for 14 yards to the KSU15 (#4 A.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
37.5%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU13 (#53 A.Miller; #9 I.Paul)Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+12
37.1%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #9 R.Dorsey caught at KSU01, for 12 yards to the KSU01 (#5 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.2%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10END OF HALF
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:3128% → 36%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
28.0%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU17 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
35.5%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #4 Z.Booker thrown to KSU30 QB hurried by #4 X.EsqillionSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+20
35.1%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #15 J.Rogers caught at KSU30, for 20 yards to the KSU37 (#32 T.McCrary), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.4%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #7 N.Dean thrown to KSU40 QB hurried by #4 X.EsqillionSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
35.7%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete deep left to #7 N.Dean thrown to GSU25 broken up by #32 T.McCrary QB hurried by #4 X.EsqillionSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 40 yds · 4:5927% → 22%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
27.3%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #6 L.Murrell caught at KSU25, for 7 yards to the KSU29 (#20 C.Owens)Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+7
27.8%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #11 B.Munroe caught at KSU35, for 7 yards to the KSU36 (#20 C.Owens), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
27.5%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at KSU39, for 5 yards to the KSU41 (#15 T.Mittman; #34 J.Hood)Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+13
28.1%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at KSU45, for 13 yards to the GSU46 (#8 D.Lee; #32 T.McCrary), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
27.7%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #19 R.Jesiolowski caught at GSU46, for 0 yards to the GSU46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
26.7%
PENALTY GSU Offside (#58 K.Howard) 5 yards from GSU46 to GSU41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
26.9%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #11 B.Munroe caught at GSU42, for 3 yards to the GSU38 (#16 K.Nelson)Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+8
26.7%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 8 yards gain to the GSU30 (#16 K.Nelson; #92 A.Vaughns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
26.5%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short middle to #24 B.Woods III caught at GSU31, for 1 yard to the GSU29 (#92 A.Vaughns)Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
25.8%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 0 yards to the GSU29 (#52 A.Mullings)Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+5
24.9%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#75 P.Ekeh) 5 yards from GSU29 to GSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 14
OPP 34
-4
23.4%
(10:41) Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush right for 4 yards loss to the GSU38 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
22.2%
(09:53) #34 M.McKenzie punt 31 yards to the GSU07 fair catch by #10 D.Riles at GSU07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 5:0081% → 98%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
18.8%
(09:47) Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU11 (#31 K.Russell)Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+5
18.4%
(09:07) Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the GSU16 (#6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
18.1%
(08:26) Shotgun #19 J.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the GSU18, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
16.4%
PENALTY GSU False Start (#85 G.Hollier) 5 yards from GSU18 to GSU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+44
16.1%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #85 G.Hollier caught at GSU25, for 44 yards to the KSU43 (#27 J.Holmes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
14.7%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain (1) to the KSU35 (#4 A.Ford; #18 J.Anglin) PENALTY GSU Holding (#55 G.Stanaland) 10 yards from KSU42 to GSU48Similar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 19
OWN 48
+5
14.4%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the KSU47, out of bounds at KSU47Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+22
13.0%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #10 D.Riles caught at KSU48, for 22 yards to the KSU25 (#7 L.Evans; #11 T.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
11.9%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #0 D.Murray Jr. caught at KSU25, for 13 yards to the KSU12 (#6 M.Patterson; #46 J.Greaves Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
2.4%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:42, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:422% → 2%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
2.4%
(04:35) Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush left for 12 yards gain to the KSU42 (#8 D.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
2.5%
(04:11) Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete deep right to #11 B.Munroe thrown to GSU23 broken up by #32 T.McCrarySimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
2.4%
(04:04) Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #13 D.Gary thrown to GSU42 QB hurried by #20 C.OwensSimilar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
2.4%
(03:55) Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short middle to #4 Z.Booker thrown to KSU47 broken up by #32 T.McCrarySimilar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
1.8%
(03:51) #34 M.McKenzie punt 39 yards to the GSU19 fair catch by #10 D.Riles at GSU19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:3998% → 98%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
2.0%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU26 (#2 T.Williams Jr.; #18 J.Anglin)Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+7
1.9%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU33 (#18 J.Anglin; #96 J.Grimes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
1.7%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass intercepted by #13 C.Miller at KSU35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:572% → 19%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
1.5%
(01:57) Shotgun #9 D.Bryson rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU42 (#32 T.McCrary), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+46
1.3%
(01:34) Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete deep middle to #15 J.Rogers caught at GSU23, for 46 yards to the GSU12 (#32 T.McCrary), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
19.1%
(01:01) Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush left for 12 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:53, 1ST DOWN #11 B.Munroe pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16FG
16 plays · 51 yds · 6:3291% → 94%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
9.1%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GSU23 (#55 U.Nwoha)Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+18
8.6%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 18 yards gain to the GSU41 (#13 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
7.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU43 (#11 T.Christopher; #44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
7.2%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 I.Stone rush left for 2 yards gain to the GSU45 (#44 B.Hopson; #9 I.Paul)Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
6.7%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU50 (#44 B.Hopson; #12 K.Jones)Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 1
50
+2
5.0%
(12:55) Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU48 (#18 J.Anglin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
4.1%
(12:17) Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU43 (#11 T.Christopher; #18 J.Anglin)Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+13
3.6%
(11:38) Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KSU30 (#13 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
3.3%
(10:57) Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU27 (#92 J.Cooper; #12 K.Jones)Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
2.9%
(10:12) Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU24 (#9 I.Paul; #97 J.Crawford)Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
4.0%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #4 K.Washington thrown to KSU11 QB hurried by #12 K.JonesSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+43
5.7%
(09:19) #39 S.Layous field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens), clock 09:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:263% → 2%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
2.6%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #19 R.Jesiolowski thrown to KSU33 QB hurried by #99 M.BerteSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
2.5%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU28 (#52 A.Mullings), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
2.4%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU28 (#52 A.Mullings; #99 M.Berte)Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
2.2%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short middle to #15 J.Rogers thrown to KSU35 QB hurried by #52 A.Mullings, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
1.9%
(07:35) Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the KSU18 fumbled by #5 L.McCrary Jr. at KSU20 forced by #18 J.Anglin recovered by KSU #0 P.Fisher at KSU18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19INT
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:302% → 2%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
2.2%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins sacked for loss of 4 yards to the KSU14 (#4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 14
OWN 14
0
1.8%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass intercepted by #8 D.Lee at KSU37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0298% → 98%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
1.7%
(06:39) Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU30 (#46 J.Greaves Jr.)Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
1.4%
(05:57) Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU28 (#0 P.Fisher)Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
1.7%
(05:37) Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush right for 0 yards to the KSU28 (#0 P.Fisher)Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
2.3%
(05:34) Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #85 G.Hollier thrown to KSU27, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:241% → 2%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
0.6%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #84 K.Davis caught at KSU31, for 11 yards to the KSU39 (#7 D.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.6%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #13 D.Gary thrown to GSU49Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+20
0.6%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #7 N.Dean caught at GSU49, for 20 yards to the GSU41 (#11 T.Bolton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
0.6%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #15 J.Rogers caught at GSU39, for 8 yards to the GSU33 (#7 D.Walker)Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+9
0.6%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #7 N.Dean caught at GSU29, for 9 yards to the GSU24 (#11 T.Bolton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
0.6%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #7 N.Dean caught at GSU19, for 9 yards to the GSU15 (#11 T.Bolton)Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+1
0.5%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Morgan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU14 (#99 M.Berte; #52 A.Mullings), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.6%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush right for 0 yards to the GSU14 (#99 M.Berte), out of bounds PENALTY KSU Holding (#76 N.Milovac) 10 yards from GSU14 to GSU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+9
0.6%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at GSU15, for 9 yards to the GSU15 (#15 T.Mittman)Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+12
0.5%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #88 J.Harrold caught at GSU10, for 12 yards to the GSU03 (#15 T.Mittman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
2.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short middle to #88 J.Harrold caught at GSU00, for 3 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:56 #1 R.Collins pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22END OF HALF
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
1.3%
(01:50) Kneel down by #8 C.Brown at GSU46 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-2
1.2%
(01:07) Kneel down by #8 C.Brown at GSU44 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-2
1.2%
(00:23) Kneel down by #8 C.Brown at GSU42 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:53
(01:01) Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush left for 12 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:53, 1ST DOWN #11 B.Munroe pass attempt Successful
+18
TD · Q2 0:40
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)
-15.9
TD · Q3 4:42
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:42, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com