2026 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026 · Centennial Bank Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
ARST37
ULM19
ARST by 18
Win chance
ARST82%
ULM 18%ARST 82%
Projected total
56pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance Arkansas State wins by 14 or more
46% Arkansas State wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← ULM winsARST wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- ARST by 5 to 26
- 80% of outcomes
- ULM by 5 to ARST by 37
- 90% of outcomes
- ULM by 12 to ARST by 42
- Median
- ARST by 15
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.