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NCAT

North Carolina A&T 10 at Georgia State 59

GAST
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2026 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadNCAT aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreNCAT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:53 · (04:53) #46 D.Page punt 12 yards to the GSU45, out of bounds at GSU45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+23.0Home team on offense+33.2Score differential+26.8Blowout margin+15.8Garbage-time factor+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Lanear McCrary Jr. 8 Yd Run (Samer Layous Kick) — GAST win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:00: (07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:00 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley) — GAST win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:12: (05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short middle to #13 A.Rucker caught at GSU46, for 61 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:12, 1ST DOWN #31 A.Holland kick attempt good (H: #46 D.Page, LS: #93 D.Wittke) — NCAT win probability +2.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NCAT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:38: (02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:38, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley) — GAST win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:19: (00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #19 J.Miller caught at NCA05, for 8 yards to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley) — GAST win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NCAT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:33NCAT 4th & 9 at NCAT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:23NCAT 4th & 8 at NCAT 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:04NCAT 4th & 11 at NCAT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:38NCAT 4th & 12 at NCAT 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:35NCAT 4th & 17 at NCAT 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:20NCAT 4th & 14 at NCAT 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:52GAST 4th & 8 at NCAT 8, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:47NCAT 4th & 9 at NCAT 23, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:53NCAT 4th & 2 at NCAT 43, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:58GAST 4th & 1 at NCAT 31, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:04NCAT 4th & 16 at GAST 22, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:00GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 46, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:43NCAT 4th & 3 at NCAT 26, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NCAT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:17GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:00GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:12NCAT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:38GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:19GAST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:20GAST Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCATDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:123% → 4%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
96.7%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush left for 12 yards gain to the NCA41 (#92 A.Vaughns; #28 J.Kelly), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.6%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Thomas pass incomplete short right to #9 S.Blizzard thrown to NCA41 QB hurried by #52 A.MullingsSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
96.5%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Thomas pass complete short right to #13 A.Rucker caught at NCA40, for 3 yards to the NCA44 (#11 T.Bolton), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-2
96.4%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Thomas sacked for loss of 2 yards to the NCA42 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+1
96.3%
(12:39) #46 D.Page punt 40 yards to the GSU18 #10 D.Riles return 1 yard to the GSU19 (#5 J.Dillard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4096% → 96%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
96.3%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the GSU21 (#27 J.Kimbrough-Campbell)Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+9
96.2%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the GSU30 (#9 D.Frederick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
96.1%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #11 M.Buron caught at GSU35, for 16 yards to the GSU46 (#9 D.Frederick) PENALTY GSU Holding (#54 T.Williams) 10 yards from GSU30 to GSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+9
96.0%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 9 yards gain to the GSU29 (#9 D.Frederick; #27 J.Kimbrough-Campbell)Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
95.9%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #10 D.Riles caught at GSU35, for 7 yards to the GSU36 (#1 K.Blankumsee)Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
95.8%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #13 D.Avery Jr. thrown to GSU37 broken up by #21 M.HarveySimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
95.8%
(09:50) #14 C.Teeter punt 55 yards to the NCA09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:054% → 5%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
95.8%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NCA07 (#20 C.Owens; #15 T.Mittman)Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+3
95.6%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short right to #5 J.Dillard caught at NCA08, for 3 yards to the NCA10 (#11 T.Bolton)Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+1
95.5%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCA11 (#11 T.Bolton)Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+26
95.4%
(07:45) #46 D.Page punt 45 yards to the GSU44 #10 D.Riles return 26 yards to the NCA30 (#16 R.Jones-Amen-Hetep), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
95.9%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete deep right to #0 D.Murray Jr. caught at NCA06, for 30 yards to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:17, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:064% → 5%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete deep left to #2 M.Carlock-Williams thrown to GSU25Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.7%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short left to #3 A.Jones caught at NCA31, for 7 yards to the NCA32, out of bounds at NCA32Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
95.6%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short middle to #5 J.Dillard caught at NCA35, for 17 yards to the NCA49 (#7 D.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.4%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete short left to #5 J.Dillard thrown to GSU49Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
95.4%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush right for 1 yard loss to the NCA48 (#34 J.Hood)Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
95.4%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete short middle to #5 J.Dillard thrown to GSU33 broken up by #32 T.McCrarySimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
95.5%
(05:04) #46 D.Page punt 42 yards to the GSU10 fair catch by #10 D.Riles at GSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:5696% → 96%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
95.5%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU15 (#9 D.Frederick; #15 T.Dye)Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+1
95.4%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU16 (#7 T.Brown)Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+4
95.2%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at GSU20, for 4 yards to the GSU20 (#14 D.Duncan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.3%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Murray Jr. thrown to GSU24Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
95.3%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU27 (#20 J.Purefory-Thaxton)Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
95.1%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU31 (#21 M.Harvey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
95.1%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #82 Z.Stair caught at GSU44, for 13 yards to the GSU44 (#14 D.Duncan), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCA Personal Foul (#66 E.Ilechukwu) 15 yards from GSU44 to NCA41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
95.2%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at NCA38, for 8 yards to the NCA33 (#7 T.Brown; #2 S.Davis II)Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+19
95.2%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush left for 19 yards gain to the NCA14 (#27 J.Kimbrough-Campbell; #2 S.Davis II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
95.1%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #82 Z.Stair caught at NCA15, for 6 yards to the NCA08 (#0 T.George)Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
96.3%
Lanear McCrary Jr. 8 Yd Run (Samer Layous Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:144% → 4%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.8%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA27 (#4 X.Esqillion; #1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.7%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete short right thrown to NCA34 QB hurried by #92 A.VaughnsSimilar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
95.7%
PENALTY NCA False Start (#70 E.Williams) 5 yards from NCA27 to NCA22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+17
95.8%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush middle for 17 yards gain to the NCA39 (#7 D.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.6%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete short middle to #5 J.Dillard thrown to GSU50Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
95.7%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush left for 2 yards loss to the NCA37 (#20 C.Owens; #4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
95.7%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete deep right to #88 E.Kennedy thrown to GSU41Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
95.7%
(12:40) #46 D.Page punt 33 yards to the GSU30 fair catch by #10 D.Riles at GSU30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:3196% → 98%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.0%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep middle to #82 Z.Stair thrown to NCA21Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
96.0%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the GSU29 (#0 T.George)Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+21
95.5%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #10 D.Riles caught at GSU45, for 21 yards to the GSU50 (#27 J.Kimbrough-Campbell; #1 K.Blankumsee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
50
+9
95.9%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #9 R.Dorsey caught at NCA44, for 9 yards to the NCA41 (#27 J.Kimbrough-Campbell)Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
95.9%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCA37 (#97 A.James), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
95.8%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #4 K.Washington caught at NCA40, for 4 yards to the NCA33 (#14 D.Duncan)Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+3
95.8%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush right for 3 yards gain to the NCA30 (#13 E.Conover; #0 T.George)Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+7
95.6%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the NCA23 (#94 S.Cabaniss-Ali; #21 M.Harvey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
95.7%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the NCA16 (#20 J.Purefory-Thaxton)Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+10
95.5%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush left for 4 yards gain to the NCA12 (#2 S.Davis II) PENALTY GSU Holding declined GSU Holding (#76 J.Brown) 10 yards from NCA16 to NCA26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+24
95.5%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #9 R.Dorsey caught at NCA11, for 24 yards to the NCA02 (#20 J.Purefory-Thaxton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:00 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:363% → 5%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.4%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short middle to #88 E.Kennedy caught at NCA30, for 5 yards to the NCA30 (#13 D.Faria)Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
97.3%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush left for 2 yards gain to the NCA32 (#45 K.Butler)Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
97.4%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush right for 7 yards gain to the NCA39, out of bounds at NCA39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
94.8%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short middle to #13 A.Rucker caught at GSU46, for 61 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:12, 1ST DOWN #31 A.Holland kick attempt good (H: #46 D.Page, LS: #93 D.Wittke)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:0395% → 98%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
95.2%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the GSU48 (#9 D.Frederick)Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+14
95.2%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NCA38 (#7 T.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
95.3%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #85 G.Hollier caught at NCA21, for 21 yards to the NCA17 (#14 D.Duncan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
95.3%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCA14 (#21 M.Harvey; #15 T.Dye)Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
98.2%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:38, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:452% → 2%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White sacked for loss of 2 yards to the NCA23 (#92 A.Vaughns, #28 J.Kelly)Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-6
97.8%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NCA17 (#4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+10
97.8%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush right for 14 yards gain (10) to the NCA31 (#16 K.Nelson) PENALTY NCA Holding (#88 E.Kennedy) 10 yards from NCA27 to NCA17Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+1
97.8%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short right to #9 S.Blizzard caught at NCA15, for 1 yard to the NCA18 (#20 C.Owens), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
97.8%
(01:39) #46 D.Page punt 43 yards to the GSU39 fair catch by #10 D.Riles at GSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:0698% → 100%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.4%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU42 (#47 E.Clayton)Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
98.5%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short left to #9 R.Dorsey thrown to NCA49Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+13
98.4%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #9 R.Dorsey caught at NCA48, for 13 yards to the NCA45 (#36 R.Strickland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.5%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #5 L.McCrary Jr. caught at NCA45, for 2 yards to the NCA43 (#9 D.Frederick) PENALTY NCA UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#59 J.Muhanyi) 15 yards from NCA43 to NCA28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.6%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #6 W.Campbell VI thrown to NCA20 broken up by #14 D.DuncanSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+20
98.6%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #0 D.Murray Jr. caught at NCA20, for 20 yards to the NCA08 (#7 T.Brown; #47 E.Clayton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #19 J.Miller caught at NCA05, for 8 yards to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-11
99.5%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White sacked for loss of 11 yards to the NCA36 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.5%
(14:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU44 (#27 J.Kimbrough-Campbell)Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+11
99.5%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira rush left for 11 yards gain to the NCA45 (#21 M.Harvey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+27
99.5%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira pass complete deep right to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at NCA18, for 27 yards to the NCA18, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.5%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira pass complete short right to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at NCA20, for 1 yard loss to the NCA19 (#2 S.Davis II)Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+2
99.6%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush left for 2 yards gain to the NCA17 (#7 T.Brown)Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
99.7%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira rush right for 17 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCA26 (#20 C.Owens; #0 J.Reeder)Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.7%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #80 J.White rush right for 74 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:45 PENALTY NCA Holding declined NCA Illegal Formation 5 yards from NCA26 to NCA21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.7%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete short right to #88 E.Kennedy thrown to NCA25 QB hurried by #28 J.KellySimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
99.7%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete deep right to #2 M.Carlock-Williams thrown to GSU39Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.7%
(10:26) #46 D.Page punt 0 yards to the NCA21 blocked by #15 T.Mittman recovered by GSU #16 K.Nelson at NCA08, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.7%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush left for 8 yards gain (1) to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:20 PENALTY GSU Holding (#6 W.Campbell VI) 10 yards from NCA07 to NCA17Similar
Q3 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+12
99.7%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 J.Miller rush left for 17 yards gain (12) to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:11 PENALTY GSU Personal Foul (#68 P.Diaz) 15 yards from NCA05 to NCA20Similar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+9
99.7%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira pass complete short right to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at NCA16, for 9 yards to the NCA11 (#14 D.Duncan)Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
99.7%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush left for 3 yards gain to the NCA08 (#27 J.Kimbrough-Campbell; #66 E.Ilechukwu)Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.7%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira pass incomplete short middle to #13 D.Avery Jr. thrown to NCA00Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
99.8%
(08:52) #39 S.Layous field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley), clock 08:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
99.8%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short right to #5 J.Dillard caught at NCA20, for 12 yards to the NCA22 (#3 D.Gaston), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Dillard thrown to NCA27Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.8%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NCA21 (#4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush right for 2 yards gain to the NCA23 (#20 C.Owens), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
99.8%
(06:50) #46 D.Page punt 23 yards to the NCA46, out of bounds at NCA46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Hart rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA44 (#59 J.Muhanyi) PENALTY NCA Offside (#95 J.Dixon) 5 yards from NCA46 to NCA41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+41
99.8%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Hart rush middle for 41 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:20, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Blizzard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA37 (#98 S.Chukwurah)Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
99.8%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Blizzard rush right for 6 yards gain to the NCA43 (#16 K.Nelson)Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.8%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete short middle to #5 J.Dillard thrown to NCA45 broken up by #16 K.NelsonSimilar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.8%
(04:53) #46 D.Page punt 12 yards to the GSU45, out of bounds at GSU45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.8%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Hart rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCA49 (#0 T.George; #59 J.Muhanyi)Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+9
99.8%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Hart rush right for 9 yards gain to the NCA40 (#36 R.Strickland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Hart rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCA35 (#23 C.Dalrymple)Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira pass complete short right to #6 W.Campbell VI caught at NCA31, for 4 yards to the NCA31 (#30 B.Hughley; #45 J.Coleman), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
99.8%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira pass incomplete short middle to #22 X.Butler thrown to NCA29Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira pass complete short right to #24 Q.Wiggins caught at NCA31, for 11 yards to the NCA20 (#45 J.Coleman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 X.Butler rush middle for 20 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:42, 1ST DOWN #26 B.Vorosmarty kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 21FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 7:380% → 0%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
PENALTY NCA False Start (#70 E.Williams) 5 yards from NCA25 to NCA20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCA24 (#30 R.Green)Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short right to #13 A.Rucker caught at NCA25, for 6 yards to the NCA30 (#30 R.Green), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short middle to #13 A.Rucker caught at NCA35, for 10 yards to the NCA40 (#12 D.Johnson Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass incomplete deep left to #13 A.Rucker thrown to GSU30Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 15 yards gain to the GSU45 (#22 T.Snead), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GSU39 (#26 J.Walker)Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU34 (#94 E.Richards), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU32 (#98 S.Chukwurah)Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+16
99.9%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White rush left for 16 yards gain to the GSU16, out of bounds at GSU16, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Blizzard rush middle for 0 yards to the GSU16 (#35 K.Feliz)Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
100.0%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU15 (#9 E.Butler Jr.; #95 R.Kramer)Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-7
100.0%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White sacked for loss of 7 yards to the GSU22 (#93 A.Moore)Similar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 16
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
(09:04) #31 A.Holland field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #46 D.Page, LS: #93 D.Wittke), clock 09:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 G.Nuckolls pass complete short right to #20 J.Bing Jr. caught at GSU25, for 15 yards to the GSU40 (#0 T.George; #30 B.Hughley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Bing Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU41 (#59 J.Muhanyi)Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 G.Nuckolls pass complete short right to #87 A.McGee caught at GSU43, for 2 yards to the GSU43 (#30 B.Hughley)Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 G.Nuckolls pass complete short right to #28 S.Hart caught at GSU40, for 3 yards to the GSU46 (#0 T.George; #30 B.Hughley)Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
(06:03) #14 C.Teeter punt 35 yards to the NCA19, out of bounds at NCA19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Blizzard rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCA24 (#47 C.Covington)Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 S.Blizzard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA26 (#44 F.Wilson)Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
100.0%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 C.Long pass complete short right to #15 C.Lane caught at NCA26, for 0 yards to the NCA26 (#21 D.Maxey III)Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
100.0%
(03:56) #46 D.Page punt 35 yards to the GSU39 fair catch by #18 D.Fulton at GSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24END OF GAME
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Stanley pass incomplete deep left to #87 A.McGee thrown to NCA21Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from GSU39 to GSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+13
100.0%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Stanley pass complete short right to #17 I.Stone caught at GSU40, for 13 yards to the GSU47 (#36 R.Strickland) PENALTY NCA Roughing The Passer (#58 C.Pickard) 15 yards from GSU47 to NCA38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
100.0%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Stanley pass complete short right to #18 D.Fulton caught at NCA32, for 6 yards to the NCA32 (#30 B.Hughley)Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
100.0%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Bing Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCA29 (#0 T.George; #40 E.Clabo)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+16
100.0%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Bing Jr. rush middle for 16 yards gain to the NCA13 (#36 R.Strickland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Bing Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCA09 (#97 A.James)Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
100.0%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Bing Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCA04 (#20 J.Purefory-Thaxton; #59 J.Muhanyi)Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-2
100.0%
(00:10) Kneel down by Georgia State at NCA06 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:38
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:38, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)
+3
TD · Q2 7:00
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:00 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #60 J.Tolley)
+2.5
TD · Q2 5:12
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.White pass complete short middle to #13 A.Rucker caught at GSU46, for 61 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:12, 1ST DOWN #31 A.Holland kick attempt good (H: #46 D.Page, LS: #93 D.Wittke)
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com