2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
UNM34
HAW15
UNM by 19 · market UNM by 14
Win chance
UNM81%
UNM 81%HAW 19%
Projected total
49pts
Market total 45.25
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance New Mexico wins by 14 or more
45% New Mexico wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← HAW winsUNM wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- UNM by 5 to 28
- 80% of outcomes
- HAW by 8 to UNM by 37
- 90% of outcomes
- HAW by 14 to UNM by 43
- Median
- UNM by 16
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 12% | 15% | <1% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds