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NIU

Northern Illinois 14 at Georgia State 35

GAST
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:08 · (04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Rogers thrown to GSU20, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense+30.7Pregame prior+1.5Score differential+22.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Garbage-time factor+8.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:21: (12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at GSU18, for 22 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:21, 1ST DOWN #33 J.Schlenhardt kick attempt good (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans) — NIU win probability +6.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:08: (12:21) #39 R.Short kickoff 65 yards to the GSU00 #17 I.Stone return 100 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:08 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens) — GAST win probability +8.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 0:50: (00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 8 yards to the GSU42 (#0 J.Reeder), fumble by #5 T.Dickens recovered by NIU #58 R.Liegel at GSU42, End Of Play — NIU win probability +6.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:25: (06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:25 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens) — GAST win probability +6.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:25: (01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Riles pass complete deep right to #9 R.Dorsey caught at NIU15, for 50 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:25, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens) — GAST win probability +6.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 10:53NIU 4th & 9 at GAST 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:13GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:58NIU 4th & 1 at GAST 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−0.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:20NIU 4th & 18 at GAST 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:36GAST 4th & 20 at GAST 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−2.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:45NIU 4th & 3 at GAST 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:35NIU 4th & 18 at GAST 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:14GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:16NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:40NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 45, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:58GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 31, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:08NIU 4th & 3 at GAST 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:48NIU 4th & 14 at GAST 43, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:48GAST 4th & 1 at NIU 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:00GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:58NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:55GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:21NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:08GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:25GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:25GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3972% → 72%
Q1 14:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
71.5%
(14:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NIU05 (#90 K.Sneed)Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.7%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #81 A.McBride caught at NIU03, for 5 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:00 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:5128% → 28%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
71.6%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Cranford rush left for 10 yards gain to the NIU37 (#13 D.Faria), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+8
71.4%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU45, for 8 yards to the NIU45, out of bounds at NIU45. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+18
71.6%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 55 yards gain (18) to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 12:42, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NIU Holding (#7 C.Thompson) 10 yards from GSU37 to GSU47Similar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
71.5%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Cranford rush right for 26 yards gain to the GSU21, out of bounds at GSU21, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
71.4%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU17 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson; #13 D.Faria)Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
71.4%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short left to #0 L.Bryant thrown to GSU02 broken up by #7 D.WalkerSimilar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-3
71.5%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 3 yards loss to the GSU20 (#20 C.Owens; #52 A.Mullings)Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
71.8%
(10:53) #33 J.Schlenhardt field goal attempt from 37 yards NO GOOD (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #41 T.Stumbaugh), clock 10:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:3072% → 72%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
72.0%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #81 A.McBride caught at GSU25, for 7 yards to the GSU27 (#25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+13
72.2%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #10 D.Riles caught at GSU31, for 7 yards to the GSU34 (#18 J.Thomas) PENALTY GSU Face Mask (#56 D.Duffus) 13 yards from GSU27 to GSU14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+4
72.1%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #17 I.Stone caught at GSU10, for 4 yards to the GSU18 (#2 A.Jones; #16 K.Conyers)Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+14
72.0%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #10 D.Riles caught at GSU32, for 14 yards to the GSU32, out of bounds at GSU32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
72.0%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU35 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
72.4%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the GSU37 (#44 J.Murray; #25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
72.4%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #9 R.Dorsey thrown to GSU40 QB hurried by #97 J.KingSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
72.1%
(07:16) #14 C.Teeter punt 47 yards to the NIU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 4:5628% → 33%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
72.5%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #9 G.Dimopoulos caught at NIU20, for 6 yards to the NIU22 (#15 T.Mittman; #13 D.Faria)Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+1
72.4%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the NIU23 (#34 J.Hood) PENALTY GSU Personal Foul (#52 A.Mullings) 15 yards from NIU23 to NIU38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
72.1%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #7 C.Thompson caught at NIU50, for 12 yards to the NIU50 (#32 T.McCrary), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GSU Offside declinedSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
50
0
71.7%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete deep middle to #7 C.Thompson thrown to GSU10 broken up by #32 T.McCrary QB hurried by #99 M.BerteSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
50
+11
72.0%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the GSU39 (#34 J.Hood), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
71.7%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU37 (#0 J.Reeder)Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+14
71.7%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #24 E.Porter caught at GSU35, for 14 yards to the GSU23 (#32 T.McCrary), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
71.1%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush left for 0 yards to the GSU23 (#7 D.Walker; #45 K.Butler)Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
71.2%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #7 C.Thompson caught at GSU21, for 6 yards to the GSU17 (#15 T.Mittman)Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
71.2%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #7 C.Thompson caught at GSU14, for 3 yards to the GSU14 (#15 T.Mittman). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+14
67.4%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:58, 1ST DOWN #33 J.Schlenhardt kick attempt good (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5369% → 75%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
69.0%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush right for 3 yards loss to the GSU22 (#25 B.Kerperin; #18 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+18
68.6%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #9 R.Dorsey caught at GSU40, for 18 yards to the GSU40 (#29 R.Walker; #16 K.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.7%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #13 D.Avery Jr. thrown to NIU30Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
69.2%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the GSU46 (#90 K.Sneed; #44 J.Murray)Similar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+21
69.4%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #9 R.Dorsey caught at NIU41, for 21 yards to the NIU33 (#16 K.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
70.4%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NIU31 (#12 A.Warren)Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+13
70.4%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush left for 13 yards gain to the NIU18 (#18 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
74.5%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #9 R.Dorsey caught at NIU01, for 18 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:55, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0727% → 36%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
72.8%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #45 T.Johnson Jr. caught at NIU34, for 17 yards to the NIU42 (#15 T.Mittman; #34 J.Hood), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
72.0%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU43 (#95 R.Kramer; #20 C.Owens) PENALTY GSU Holding (#92 A.Vaughns) 10 yards from NIU43 to GSU47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
71.3%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete deep middle to #0 L.Bryant caught at GSU26, for 25 yards to the GSU22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
64.4%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at GSU18, for 22 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:21, 1ST DOWN #33 J.Schlenhardt kick attempt good (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:3127% → 25%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
73.0%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #7 C.Thompson caught at NIU40, for 16 yards to the NIU41 (#12 D.Johnson Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
72.1%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NIU43 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
72.2%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #45 T.Johnson Jr. caught at NIU43, for 9 yards to the GSU48 (#0 J.Reeder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
71.2%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 3 yards to the NIU49 (#52 A.Mullings)Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+5
72.6%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush right for 5 yards gain to the GSU46 (#7 D.Walker)Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+10
72.1%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at GSU36, for 10 yards to the GSU36, out of bounds at GSU36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
71.5%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 1 yard loss to the GSU37 (#21 D.Maxey III)Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
72.1%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short left to #19 K.McInerney thrown to GSU32Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-7
72.8%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 7 yards to the GSU44 (#4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
74.7%
(07:27) #36 J.Ference punt 18 yards to the GSU26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:3875% → 73%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
74.8%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #9 R.Dorsey thrown to NIU32Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
74.4%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #4 K.Washington thrown to GSU30 broken up by #29 R.WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+10
73.8%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #13 D.Avery Jr. caught at GSU35, for 9 yards to the GSU35 (#25 B.Kerperin; #5 Y.Falke) PENALTY GSU Holding (#54 T.Williams) 10 yards from GSU26 to GSU16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 20
OWN 16
0
73.7%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #9 R.Dorsey thrown to NIU46Similar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 20
OWN 16
+2
73.1%
(06:42) #14 C.Teeter punt 49 yards to the NIU35 #1 D.Rogers return 2 yards to the NIU37 (#17 I.Stone; #87 A.McGee)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:4327% → 26%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
73.3%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Cranford rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NIU44 (#8 D.Lee; #99 M.Berte)Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
72.4%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #0 L.Bryant caught at NIU48, for 6 yards to the NIU50 (#7 D.Walker; #8 D.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
50
+23
72.0%
(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #0 L.Bryant caught at GSU40, for 23 yards to the GSU27 (#21 D.Maxey III; #12 D.Johnson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
70.5%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GSU29 (#88 K.Norwood)Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
71.1%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #45 T.Johnson Jr. caught at GSU34, for 0 yards to the GSU29 (#34 J.Hood)Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+9
73.1%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at GSU26, for 9 yards to the GSU20 (#20 C.Owens; #32 T.McCrary)Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 3
OPP 20
0
74.0%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #0 L.Bryant thrown to GSU15 broken up by #7 D.Walker, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:3976% → 77%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
75.5%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush left for 4 yards gain to the GSU24 (#25 B.Kerperin; #19 J.Bradley)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
74.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush right for 1 yard loss to the GSU23 (#25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+11
73.6%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #7 O.Dupree caught at GSU32, for 11 yards to the GSU34 (#9 D.Reynolds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
74.9%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete deep middle to #4 K.Washington caught at NIU45, for 21 yards to the NIU45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-41
77.0%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass intercepted by #16 K.Conyers at NIU25 #16 K.Conyers return 41 yards to the GSU34 (#4 K.Washington), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:1529% → 23%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-8
71.0%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 8 yards to the GSU42 (#0 J.Reeder), fumble by #5 T.Dickens recovered by NIU #58 R.Liegel at GSU42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 18
OPP 42
0
75.7%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Rogers thrown to GSU25Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
76.4%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Rogers thrown to GSU35Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
77.4%
(00:35) #36 J.Ference punt 32 yards to the GSU10, out of bounds at GSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
75.6%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU11 (#0 M.Canion; #2 A.Jones)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3376% → 75%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
76.2%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU31 (#5 Y.Falke; #0 M.Canion)Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
76.3%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU33 (#0 M.Canion; #12 A.Warren)Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+3
75.7%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #10 D.Riles caught at GSU31, for 3 yards to the GSU36 (#93 F.Omotoso)Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
75.4%
(13:21) #14 C.Teeter punt 46 yards to the NIU18 fair catch by #1 D.Rogers at NIU18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4725% → 24%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
75.3%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU22, for 12 yards to the NIU30 (#13 D.Faria; #11 T.Bolton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
75.1%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU31 (#4 X.Esqillion; #92 A.Vaughns)Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
75.3%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU35, for 5 yards to the NIU36 (#13 D.Faria)Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
75.1%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #83 J.Fowler thrown to NIU45 broken up by #8 D.LeeSimilar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
76.2%
(11:16) #36 J.Ference punt 33 yards to the GSU31 fair catch by #10 D.Riles at GSU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:2977% → 88%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
76.9%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #28 S.Hart caught at GSU32, for 12 yards to the GSU43 (#2 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
78.5%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Hart rush right for 2 yards loss to the GSU41 (#16 K.Conyers)Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+13
79.2%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush left for 13 yards gain to the NIU46 (#16 K.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+30
80.5%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 30 yards gain to the NIU16 (#5 Y.Falke; #25 B.Kerperin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
80.9%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NIU12 (#90 K.Sneed; #25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+8
82.0%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush left for 8 yards gain to the NIU04 (#90 K.Sneed; #31 C.Smith III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
81.7%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Pereira rush left for 3 yards gain to the NIU01 (#14 M.Armstrong)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.9%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the NIU01 (#19 J.Bradley)Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.4%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:25 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3314% → 13%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.5%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #1 D.Rogers caught at NIU22, for 2 yards loss to the NIU23 (#34 J.Hood)Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
86.9%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 13 yards gain to the NIU36 (#8 D.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.6%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short right to #0 L.Bryant thrown to NIU45Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.3%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NIU39 (#8 D.Lee; #45 K.Butler)Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
86.7%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #24 E.Porter caught at NIU40, for 6 yards to the NIU45 (#20 C.Owens; #32 T.McCrary)Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
87.3%
(03:46) #36 J.Ference punt 55 yards to the GSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0889% → 98%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
89.1%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the GSU26 (#8 C.Mau)Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
89.3%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the GSU26 (#8 C.Mau; #25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
91.8%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #5 L.McCrary Jr. caught at GSU27, for 9 yards to the GSU35 (#12 A.Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.4%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush middle for 0 yards to the GSU35 (#92 J.McGhee) PENALTY NIU Face Mask (#92 J.McGhee) 15 yards from GSU35 to GSU50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
50
+50
98.4%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 D.Riles pass complete deep right to #9 R.Dorsey caught at NIU15, for 50 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:25, 1ST DOWN #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19FUMBLE
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:363% → 2%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.4%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #0 L.Bryant caught at NIU25, for 5 yards to the NIU25 (#7 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+23
97.7%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush right for 23 yards gain to the NIU48 (#13 D.Faria), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.7%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the NIU50 (#13 D.Faria)Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
50
0
97.8%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Thompson thrown to GSU35Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 8
50
+9
97.9%
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #7 C.Thompson caught at GSU42, for 9 yards to the GSU41, out of bounds at GSU41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
98.1%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU34 (#20 C.Owens)Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+10
97.9%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the GSU33 (#20 C.Owens; #34 J.Hood) PENALTY NIU Holding (#58 R.Liegel) 10 yards from GSU34 to GSU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 13
OPP 44
-1
98.2%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 2 yards to the GSU46 (#34 J.Hood, #95 R.Kramer)Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+25
98.5%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at GSU27, for 25 yards to the GSU21 (#15 T.Mittman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
98.1%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GSU15 (#4 X.Esqillion; #20 C.Owens)Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
98.2%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU14 (#92 A.Vaughns)Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+2
98.4%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU12 fumbled by #5 T.Dickens at GSU14 recovered by GSU #1 J.Rhodes-Nelson at GSU12, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2499% → 100%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.0%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the GSU13 (#25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
99.1%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU16 (#25 B.Kerperin; #97 J.King)Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+7
99.1%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #9 R.Dorsey caught at GSU23, for 7 yards to the GSU23, out of bounds at GSU23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.1%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU25 (#0 M.Canion)Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the GSU31 (#0 M.Canion; #25 B.Kerperin)Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
99.5%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep middle to #9 R.Dorsey thrown to NIU25Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
99.5%
(06:58) #35 L.Vargas punt 51 yards to the NIU18 fair catch by #1 D.Rogers at NIU18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.2%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #0 L.Bryant caught at NIU22, for 5 yards to the NIU23 (#32 T.McCrary)Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+9
99.2%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #9 G.Dimopoulos caught at NIU32, for 9 yards to the NIU32 (#13 D.Faria), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.2%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete deep left to #0 L.Bryant thrown to GSU35Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+36
99.2%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short middle to #9 G.Dimopoulos caught at NIU49, for 36 yards to the GSU32 (#20 C.Owens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-11
99.1%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 11 yards to the GSU43 (#1 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 21
OPP 43
0
99.2%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short right to #87 L.Russo thrown to GSU35Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 21
OPP 43
+18
99.3%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at GSU35, for 18 yards to the GSU25 (#12 D.Johnson Jr.)Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 3
OPP 25
0
99.2%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Rogers thrown to GSU20, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 I.Stone rush left for 10 yards gain to the GSU35 (#16 K.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush left for 5 yards gain to the GSU40 (#9 D.Reynolds)Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
99.8%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 Q.Wiggins rush right for 1 yard gain to the GSU41 (#44 J.Murray)Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 4
OPP 0
-2
99.9%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #10 D.Riles caught at GSU40, for 2 yards loss to the GSU39 fumbled by #10 D.Riles at GSU44 forced by #9 D.Reynolds recovered by NIU #30 A.Ellis at GSU39, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Loose ball recovery". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:181% → 0%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.5%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short right to #0 L.Bryant caught at GSU34, for 6 yards to the GSU33 (#7 D.Walker), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-10
99.4%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens sacked for loss of 10 yards to the GSU43 (#4 X.Esqillion)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
99.6%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete deep to #0 L.Bryant thrown to GSU02Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
99.6%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Rogers thrown to GSU13, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the GSU43 (#2 A.Jones)Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.9%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NIU48 (#90 K.Sneed)Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
99.9%
(00:55) No Huddle #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the NIU48 (#19 J.Bradley)Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+16
99.9%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush right for 16 yards gain to the NIU32 (#5 Y.Falke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
(00:25) PENALTY GSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from NIU32 to NIU37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 15
OPP 37
-2
99.9%
(00:17) Kneel down by Georgia State at NIU39 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:08
(12:21) #39 R.Short kickoff 65 yards to the GSU00 #17 I.Stone return 100 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:08 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)
+8
TD · Q2 12:21
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Dickens pass complete short left to #1 D.Rogers caught at GSU18, for 22 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:21, 1ST DOWN #33 J.Schlenhardt kick attempt good (H: #36 J.Ference, LS: #43 J.Evans)
-6.9
TD · Q3 6:25
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.McCrary Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:25 #39 S.Layous kick attempt good (H: #14 C.Teeter, LS: #50 B.Kitchens)
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com