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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at Wyoming 27

WYO
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:52 · #47 G.Heil punt 42 yards to the WYO31 #19 C.Coenen return 9 yards to the WYO40 (#14 R.Weber; #43 A.Cavaco-Amoy)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+1.2Pregame prior−4.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:04: #47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry), clock 10:04 — WYO win probability +1.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 2:00: Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 14 yards gain to the HAW36 fumbled by #6 T.Hughes at HAW36 forced by #12 W.Ho'ohuli recovered by WYO #6 T.Hughes at HAW36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN — WYO win probability +11.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:52: Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 18 yards gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry) — WYO win probability +11.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:11: No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete deep middle to #9 D.Tauaefa caught at WYO00, for 20 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11, 1ST DOWN #98 S.Olvera-Harle kick attempt good (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey) — HAW win probability +15.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:46: Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 18 yards gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:46, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry) — WYO win probability +5.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:13WYO 4th & 6 at HAW 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:27HAW 4th & 10 at WYO 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:29HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:04WYO 4th & 5 at HAW 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:52HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:00HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.9%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:07HAW 4th & 18 at HAW 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:46HAW 4th & 1 at WYO 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−4.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−15.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:47WYO 4th & 7 at HAW 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−0.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:47HAW 4th & 1 at WYO 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−2.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:36HAW 4th & 13 at WYO 37, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.1%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:04HAW 4th & 10 at WYO 14, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q4 14:52WYO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:11HAW Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:46WYO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:4742% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.4%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush left for 6 yards gain to the WYO31 (#11 J.Otis)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+20
42.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #89 J.Wilson caught at WYO32, for 20 yards to the HAW49 (#3 J.Figueroa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
42.4%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 8 yards gain to the HAW41 (#25 M.Thompson; #11 J.Otis)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
42.4%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 3 yards gain to the HAW38 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
42.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #87 I.Schoenfeld caught at HAW32, for 6 yards to the HAW32 (#11 J.Otis)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
42.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush left for 4 yards gain to the HAW28, out of bounds at HAW28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
42.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #9 J.Holman caught at HAW15, for 13 yards to the HAW15 (#3 J.Figueroa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
42.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #2 E.Richardson thrown to HAW15 broken up by #56 S.ElliottSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
42.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush left for 1 yard gain to the HAW14 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli; #52 L.McCoy) PENALTY WYO Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+3
44.1%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at HAW14, for 3 yards to the HAW11 (#11 J.Otis; #4 E.Palmer)Similar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
44.5%
#47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry), clock 10:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 4:4656% → 56%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
44.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #1 D.Rice caught at HAW32, for 14 yards to the HAW49 (#5 B.Cheek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
43.8%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #6 K.Carvalho caught at WYO47, for 9 yards to the WYO42 (#22 J.DaCosta; #42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+11
43.7%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WYO31 (#22 J.DaCosta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
43.6%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #3 C.Brown caught at WYO22, for 9 yards to the WYO22 (#25 T.Williams)Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
43.6%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Brown thrown to WYO04Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+6
43.7%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #8 T.Uiliata caught at WYO19, for 6 yards to the WYO16 (#3 I.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
43.6%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 5 yards gain to the WYO11 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+6
43.6%
Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO05 (#5 B.Cheek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
44.6%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #0 C.Barfield thrown to WYO00 broken up by #23 J.ThomasSimilar
Q1 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
44.6%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Carvalho thrown to WYO00Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
45.0%
PENALTY HAW False Start (#58 D.DeRosa, Jr.) 5 yards from WYO05 to WYO10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
45.2%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #8 T.Uiliata thrown to WYO00Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
44.4%
#98 S.Olvera-Harle field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey), clock 05:27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 5:2345% → 46%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
45.0%
Shotgun #3 D.DeBlanc rush right for 1 yard loss to the WYO24 (#51 L.Lagafuaina)Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
44.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO25 (#51 L.Lagafuaina)Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
44.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at WYO30, for 10 yards to the WYO35 (#43 A.Cavaco-Amoy; #21 M.Meyer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
45.1%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 2 yards gain to the WYO37 (#8 M.Ioane)Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
45.3%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 2 yards to the WYO35 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli)Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
44.5%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete deep middle to #2 E.Richardson thrown to HAW22Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+2
45.5%
#18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 51 yards to the HAW14 #8 T.Uiliata return 9 yards to the HAW23 (#22 J.DaCosta) PENALTY HAW Holding 8 yards from HAW16 to HAW08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
45.9%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 0 yards to the HAW08 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #44 J.Redfern)Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
46.0%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Uiliata thrown to HAW10Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+7
46.1%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #6 K.Carvalho caught at HAW13, for 7 yards to the HAW15 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
46.7%
#47 G.Heil punt 45 yards to the WYO40 PENALTY WYO Holding 10 yards from WYO40 to WYO30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:2547% → 50%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
46.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short middle to #2 E.Richardson caught at WYO35, for 8 yards to the WYO38 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+2
48.0%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 2 yards gain to the WYO40 (#55 Z.Petelo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
47.7%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 5 yards gain to the WYO45 (#0 J.Hughes)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
48.1%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short left to #89 J.Wilson thrown to HAW50 broken up by #2 K.Moore. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #89 J.Wilson caught at HAW45, for 5 yards to the WYO50 fumbled by #89 J.Wilson at HAW45 forced by #2 K.Moore recovered by HAW #0 J.Hughes at HAW50 #0 J.Hughes return 50 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:39)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
47.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #8 M.Holman caught at WYO47, for 36 yards to the HAW19 (#4 E.Palmer) PENALTY WYO Pass Interference 10 yards from WYO45 to WYO35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+16
45.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #19 C.Coenen caught at WYO37, for 16 yards to the HAW49 (#13 E.Gipson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
48.3%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at HAW45, for 8 yards to the HAW41 (#13 E.Gipson)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+31
48.4%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 31 yards gain to the HAW10 (#13 E.Gipson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
48.7%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Holman thrown to HAW00 QB hurried by #56 S.ElliottSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
48.7%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 5 yards gain to the HAW05 (#4 E.Palmer)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.2%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #1 S.Harris thrown to HAW03 QB hurried by #56 S.ElliottSimilar
Q2 10:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
50.1%
#47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry), clock 10:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0550% → 47%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
49.9%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush left for 1 yard gain to the HAW08 (#92 D.Drake; #26 G.Rutherford)Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+19
50.2%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush right for 19 yards gain to the HAW27, out of bounds at HAW27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
49.2%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 3 yards gain to the HAW30 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
48.9%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #17 N.Delgadillo caught at HAW33, for 4 yards to the HAW34 (#25 T.Williams)Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-7
48.9%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 7 yards to the HAW27 (#98 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+9
53.1%
#47 G.Heil punt 42 yards to the WYO31 #19 C.Coenen return 9 yards to the WYO40 (#14 R.Weber; #43 A.Cavaco-Amoy)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:4753% → 65%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
53.2%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO43 (#25 M.Thompson)Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+7
53.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at WYO47, for 7 yards to the WYO50 (#25 M.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
65.5%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 14 yards gain to the HAW36 fumbled by #6 T.Hughes at HAW36 forced by #12 W.Ho'ohuli recovered by WYO #6 T.Hughes at HAW36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
60.5%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 3 yards gain to the HAW33 (#55 Z.Petelo)Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+27
60.6%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #83 K.Frendt caught at HAW20, for 27 yards to the HAW06 (#25 M.Thompson; #2 K.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
63.3%
#1 S.Harris rush right for 5 yards gain to the HAW01 (#0 J.Hughes; #55 Z.Petelo)Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.5%
#8 M.Holman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:05 #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 3 yds · 1:5838% → 33%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #8 T.Uiliata thrown to HAW40Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.7%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HAW29 (#21 J.Dunkley; #22 J.DaCosta)Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
62.8%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #8 T.Uiliata caught at HAW34, for 5 yards to the HAW34 (#9 D.Miller)Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
64.1%
#8 T.Uiliata rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HAW36 (#92 D.Drake; #21 J.Dunkley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
62.8%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 8 yards to the HAW28 (#11 E.Bogar), fumble by #12 M.Alejado recovered by HAW #12 M.Alejado at HAW28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 18
OWN 28
0
64.4%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #8 T.Uiliata thrown to HAW45Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
65.3%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete deep left to #83 J.Fetui thrown to WYO27 broken up by #23 J.ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+6
66.6%
#47 G.Heil punt 43 yards to the WYO29 #19 C.Coenen return 6 yards to the WYO35 (#18 B.Kamoku)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9END OF HALF
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:1665% → 64%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
65.3%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 15 yards to the WYO20 (#56 S.Elliott)Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+6
64.7%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO26 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli; #95 G.Speight)Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+5
63.9%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 5 yards gain to the WYO31 (#22 E.Rodrigues)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10DOWNS
18 plays · 74 yds · 9:1434% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
66.1%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #8 T.Uiliata caught at HAW24, for 1 yard loss to the HAW24 (#23 J.Thomas; #11 E.Bogar)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
66.4%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #2 A.Harris caught at HAW28, for 5 yards to the HAW29 (#25 T.Williams)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
66.6%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #9 D.Tauaefa caught at HAW34, for 6 yards to the HAW35 (#9 D.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
65.4%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #81 F.Abreu caught at HAW38, for 4 yards to the HAW39 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
64.3%
Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush left for 4 yards gain to the HAW43 (#26 G.Rutherford; #50 T.Maafala-Barbasa)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
64.5%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #8 T.Uiliata caught at HAW46, for 3 yards to the HAW46 (#25 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
64.2%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #6 K.Carvalho caught at HAW49, for 11 yards to the WYO43 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #3 I.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
63.6%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #1 D.Rice caught at WYO47, for 3 yards loss to the WYO46 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+6
64.5%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #81 F.Abreu caught at WYO41, for 6 yards to the WYO40 (#5 B.Cheek)Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+8
69.2%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #0 C.Barfield caught at WYO35, for 8 yards to the WYO32 (#25 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
67.4%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #8 T.Uiliata caught at WYO35, for 16 yards to the WYO16 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
66.8%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WYO05 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
66.8%
Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 3 yards gain to the WYO02 (#44 J.Redfern; #53 T.Seeds)Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
66.8%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #13 K.Eldredge thrown to WYO02 QB hurried by #23 J.ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
68.3%
Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO01 (#1 D.Hearns)Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.1%
#12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Rice thrown to WYO01 broken up by #23 J.Thomas QB hurried by #21 J.Dunkley, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
14 plays · 99 yds · 5:5474% → 94%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
73.7%
#6 T.Hughes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO04 (#99 O.Pollard; #51 L.Lagafuaina)Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
73.4%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush right for 0 yards to the WYO04 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli)Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+6
72.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at WYO06, for 6 yards to the WYO10 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli)Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 10
+5
78.5%
PENALTY HAW Illegal Formation 5 yards from WYO10 to WYO15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
76.2%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 13 yards gain to the WYO28 (#0 J.Hughes; #8 M.Ioane) PENALTY WYO Holding 7 yards from WYO15 to WYO08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+2
75.3%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush left for 2 yards gain to the WYO10 (#8 M.Ioane)Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
75.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short middle to #2 E.Richardson thrown to WYO15Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+26
74.8%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete deep left to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at WYO36, for 26 yards to the WYO36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
77.4%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #2 E.Richardson caught at HAW48, for 19 yards to the HAW45 (#18 Z.Mariteragi), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY HAW Targeting (#18 Z.Mariteragi) 15 yards from HAW45 to HAW30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
79.0%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes sacked for loss of 9 yards to the HAW39 (#8 M.Ioane, #95 G.Speight)Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 19
OPP 39
+14
78.1%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush left for 14 yards gain to the HAW25 (#22 E.Rodrigues)Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+7
78.1%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short left to #89 J.Wilson caught at HAW18, for 7 yards to the HAW18 (#25 M.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
93.8%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 18 yards gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:418% → 24%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.1%
#12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #81 F.Abreu caught at HAW30, for 9 yards to the HAW34 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
91.4%
#1 D.Rice rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HAW47 (#3 I.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
91.3%
No Huddle #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #2 A.Harris caught at WYO45, for 8 yards to the WYO45 (#3 I.Bell)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+5
90.8%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #81 F.Abreu caught at WYO40, for 5 yards to the WYO40 (#5 B.Cheek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush middle for 0 yards to the WYO40 (#50 T.Maafala-Barbasa)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+20
91.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush left for 20 yards gain to the WYO20 (#34 S.Perez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
76.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete deep middle to #9 D.Tauaefa caught at WYO00, for 20 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11, 1ST DOWN #98 S.Olvera-Harle kick attempt good (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:2483% → 89%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
82.9%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #1 S.Harris caught at WYO25, for 17 yards to the WYO42 (#4 E.Palmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
84.5%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO44 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli; #25 M.Thompson)Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
84.4%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO50 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli)Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 2
50
+5
83.8%
#6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #80 T.Siddons caught at HAW46, for 5 yards to the HAW45 (#25 M.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
85.0%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 8 yards gain to the HAW37 (#2 K.Moore; #4 E.Palmer)Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
84.9%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass incomplete short right to #89 J.Wilson thrown to HAW22 PENALTY WYO Intentional Grounding (#6 T.Hughes)Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+6
83.2%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes pass complete short right to #9 J.Holman caught at HAW47, for 6 yards to the HAW42 (#25 M.Thompson)Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
88.8%
#18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 42 yards to the HAW00, Touchback PENALTY WYO Holding 10 yards from HAW20 to HAW30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1112% → 9%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
87.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #2 A.Harris caught at HAW46, for 19 yards to the HAW49 (#9 D.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
86.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush left for 4 yards gain to the WYO47 (#34 S.Perez)Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
85.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Brown thrown to WYO35Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
86.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #17 N.Delgadillo caught at WYO43, for 5 yards to the WYO42 (#25 T.Williams)Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+8
87.0%
Shotgun #8 T.Uiliata rush right for 8 yards gain to the WYO34 (#34 S.Perez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
84.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush left for 0 yards to the WYO34 (#11 E.Bogar) PENALTY HAW Holding 10 yards from WYO34 to WYO44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+6
86.4%
Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WYO38 (#98 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+1
86.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO37 (#98 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 13
OPP 37
0
86.9%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete deep left to #2 A.Harris thrown to WYO01Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 13
OPP 37
+54
91.2%
#98 S.Olvera-Harle field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey), clock 04:36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 2:5092% → 99%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
92.2%
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush right for 15 yards gain to the HAW48 (#51 L.Lagafuaina), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
92.8%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush left for 13 yards gain to the HAW35 (#4 E.Palmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
92.9%
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HAW28 (#2 K.Moore)Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+6
92.8%
#1 S.Harris rush right for 6 yards gain to the HAW22 (#13 E.Gipson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
96.3%
#1 S.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HAW20 (#8 M.Ioane)Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
96.3%
#1 S.Harris rush right for 2 yards gain to the HAW18 (#13 E.Gipson)Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
99.4%
Shotgun #1 S.Harris rush middle for 18 yards gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:46, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16END OF GAME
14 plays · 56 yds · 1:422% → 2%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left thrown to HAW30 QB hurried by #21 J.DunkleySimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #26 S.Mikaele caught at HAW24, for 5 yards to the HAW30 (#50 T.Maafala-Barbasa)Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #8 T.Uiliata caught at HAW37, for 10 yards to the HAW40 (#1 D.Hearns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #26 S.Mikaele caught at HAW40, for 18 yards to the WYO42 (#34 S.Perez; #9 D.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
97.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #22 T.Lacaden caught at WYO36, for 7 yards to the WYO35 (#1 D.Hearns)Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+11
97.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #11 D.Alves caught at WYO24, for 11 yards to the WYO24, out of bounds at WYO24, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
97.2%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Carvalho thrown to WYO15 PENALTY WYO Pass Interference 10 yards from WYO24 to WYO14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.2%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Brown thrown to WYO00 broken up by #25 T.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
97.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #18 B.Kamoku thrown to WYO02Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
97.5%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Carvalho thrown to WYO10 broken up by #22 J.DaCostaSimilar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 10
OPP 14
-5
97.9%
Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 5 yards to the WYO19 (#26 G.Rutherford), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:11
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete deep middle to #9 D.Tauaefa caught at WYO00, for 20 yards to the WYO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11, 1ST DOWN #98 S.Olvera-Harle kick attempt good (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey)
-15
FUMBLE · Q2 2:00
Shotgun #6 T.Hughes rush middle for 14 yards gain to the HAW36 fumbled by #6 T.Hughes at HAW36 forced by #12 W.Ho'ohuli recovered by WYO #6 T.Hughes at HAW36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
+11.9
TD · Q4 14:52
Shotgun #8 M.Holman rush right for 18 yards gain to the HAW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52, 1ST DOWN #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #49 N.Curry)
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com