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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNLV score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:43 · (13:49) #26 M.Choules punt 35 yards to the Hawaii34 fair catch by #8 T.Uiliata at Hawaii34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
This game in five plays
- KEY PLAY · Q2 1:44: Timeout Hawai'i, clock 01:44 — HAW win probability +4.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 1:38: (01:42) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the Hawaii02 (#2 K.Moore; #95 G.Speight) — UNLV win probability +4.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
- TD · Q2 1:33: (01:38) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:33 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson) — UNLV win probability +13.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q4 9:42: (09:51) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 10 yards gain to the UNLV21 (#11 J.Otis), 1ST DOWN — UNLV win probability +6.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
- TD · Q4 4:51: (04:56) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 50 yards gain to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:51, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson) — UNLV win probability +8.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 10 of 11UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
- Q1 13:43UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snapGo for it55.1%−0.148% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call55.2%average punt
- Q1 12:39HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 35, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snapGo for it45.0%−0.131% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call45.0%average punt
- Q1 6:29HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 32, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snapGo for it42.4%−0.714% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call43.2%average punt
- Q1 2:12UNLV 4th & 4 at HAW 33, up 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call58.2%48% to convertField goal57.7%−0.549% to makePunt57.3%−0.9average punt
- Q2 14:50HAW 4th & 1 at UNLV 31, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call43.0%71% to convertField goal41.4%−1.754% to makePunt40.5%−2.5average punt
- Q2 14:09HAW 4th & 10 at UNLV 21, down 7Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snapGo for it41.1%−0.928% to convertField goalTheir call42.0%74% to makePunt37.7%−4.3average punt
- Q2 11:56UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snapGo for it54.2%−0.448% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call54.6%average punt
- Q2 7:40HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 40, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snapGo for it41.7%−1.618% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call43.3%average punt
- Q2 5:04UNLV 4th & 8 at midfield, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snapGo for it55.5%−<0.134% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call55.5%average punt
- Q2 3:52HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 29, down 4Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 43.1% before the snapGo for it44.2%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call42.6%−1.7average punt
- Q2 1:12HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, down 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snapGo for it28.6%−1.230% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call29.8%average punt
- Q2 0:02UNLV 4th & 2 at HAW 48, up 11Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call71.1%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt70.3%−0.9average punt
- Q3 9:29HAW 4th & 17 at UNLV 23, down 11Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snapGo for it23.7%−2.213% to convertField goalTheir call25.9%70% to makePunt20.1%−5.8average punt
- Q3 8:03UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 29, up 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snapGo for it70.8%−2.818% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call73.6%average punt
- Q3 1:32HAW 4th & 15 at UNLV 15, down 8Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snapGo for it21.1%−3.715% to convertField goalTheir call24.9%83% to makePunt14.0%−10.9average punt
- Q4 9:53HAW 4th & 1 at UNLV 10, down 8Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call24.6%71% to convertField goal21.4%−3.288% to makePunt6.8%−17.8average punt
- Q4 6:39UNLV 4th & 3 at midfield, up 8Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 87.9% before the snapGo for it88.1%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call86.5%−1.6average punt
- Q4 5:02HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 8, down 8Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snapGo for it8.2%−1.512% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call9.7%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
- Q1 9:33UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call55.4%97% to makeGo for two55.3%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 1:33UNLV Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call68.7%97% to makeGo for two68.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 4:51UNLV Touchdown, up 14 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call95.8%97% to makeGo for two95.3%−0.545% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartUNLVDrive 1PUNT5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0555% → 54%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
45.5%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #84 K.Burnett caught at UNLV30, for 8 yards to the UNLV33 (#2 K.Moore)Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
45.5%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #24 D.Jones thrown to UNLV40 broken up by #25 M.ThompsonSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
45.6%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNLV31 (#99 O.Pollard; #12 W.Ho'ohuli)Similar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
45.8%
(13:49) #26 M.Choules punt 35 yards to the Hawaii34 fair catch by #8 T.Uiliata at Hawaii34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5646% → 46%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
45.8%
(13:42) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Alves thrown to Hawaii38 QB hurried by #5 Q.KeyesSimilar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
45.9%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Hawaii35 (#23 C.Santee)Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
45.9%
(12:55) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #7 T.Griffiths thrown to UNLV49 PENALTY Hawaii Holding declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD9 plays · 80 yds · 2:5754% → 56%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
46.1%
(12:35) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 11 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#0 J.Hughes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
46.1%
(12:09) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Lyons thrown to Hawaii45 PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (#5 J.Edmond) 15 yards from UNLV31 to UNLV46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
45.9%
(12:03) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Thomas thrown to UNLV40 broken up by #52 L.McCoySimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+25
46.0%
(11:59) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #84 K.Burnett caught at Hawaii35, for 25 yards to the Hawaii29 (#2 K.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
45.8%
(11:21) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short middle to #84 K.Burnett thrown to Hawaii25 broken up by #2 K.MooreSimilar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
45.8%
(11:15) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 4 yards gain to the Hawaii25 (#0 J.Hughes)Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+6
46.0%
(10:44) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #8 T.Lyons caught at Hawaii19, for 6 yards to the Hawaii19, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
45.9%
(10:07) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Hawaii07 (#2 K.Moore; #18 Z.Mariteragi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
44.1%
(09:32) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:33 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT9 plays · 7 yds · 2:5445% → 44%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
44.7%
(09:33) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Hawaii23 (#94 L.Conti)Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
44.5%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Alves thrown to Hawaii30Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
44.2%
(08:58) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #1 D.Rice caught at Hawaii34, for 16 yards to the Hawaii39 (#4 T.Nkuba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
44.7%
(08:21) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 2 yards gain to the Hawaii41 (#4 T.Nkuba) PENALTY Hawaii Holding 10 yards from Hawaii39 to Hawaii29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
44.4%
(07:59) Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 0 yards to the Hawaii29 (#8 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+3
44.2%
(07:18) Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Hawaii32 (#8 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 17
OWN 32
0
43.8%
(06:43) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Rice thrown to Hawaii31Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 17
OWN 32
0
43.6%
(06:37) #47 G.Heil punt 41 yards to the UNLV27 #4 D.Irvin Jr. return 0 yards to the UNLV27, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5DOWNS10 plays · 40 yds · 4:0556% → 57%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
43.7%
(06:29) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short right to #88 V.Jefferson caught at UNLV43, for 8 yards to the UNLV35 (#0 J.Hughes)Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
43.3%
(05:56) #0 J.Glover rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV35 (#11 J.Otis)Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+7
43.3%
(05:20) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
42.7%
(04:41) Shotgun #0 J.Glover rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNLV50 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli)Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 2
50
0
42.3%
(04:06) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short middle to #4 D.Irvin Jr. thrown to Hawaii33Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 2
50
+11
42.5%
(04:01) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Hawaii39 (#11 J.Otis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
42.2%
(03:33) Shotgun #0 J.Glover rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Hawaii36 (#96 I.Letuli)Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
41.9%
(02:58) Shotgun #0 J.Glover rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Hawaii33 (#5 J.Edmond)Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
41.8%
(02:16) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short left to #84 K.Burnett thrown to Hawaii30Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
42.6%
(02:16) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short left to #17 A.Walker thrown to Hawaii25, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6FG12 plays · 46 yds · 2:5243% → 47%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
43.3%
(02:11) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete deep middle to #2 A.Harris thrown to UNLV39 broken up by #4 T.NkubaSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
43.2%
(02:01) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Hawaii34 (#8 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+26
42.6%
(01:23) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #6 K.Carvalho caught at Hawaii42, for 26 yards to the UNLV40 (#7 J.Pope; #10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
44.5%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
45.1%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #17 N.Delgadillo thrown to UNLV17Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
44.4%
(00:10) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV31 (#8 K.Ka'aihue; #15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+10
43.7%
(14:53) Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNLV21 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
45.0%
(14:31) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Alves thrown to UNLV05 broken up by #42 A.PorterSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
45.0%
(14:19) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Rice thrown to UNLV20Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
44.2%
(14:16) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Rice thrown to UNLV20 broken up by #42 A.PorterSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
46.5%
(14:11) #98 S.Olvera-Harle field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey), clock 14:09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0554% → 53%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.1%
(14:08) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV26 (#11 J.Otis)Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
46.2%
(13:29) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV26 (#95 G.Speight)Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
46.4%
(12:49) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#31 A.Paogofie; #52 L.McCoy)Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
46.7%
(12:07) #26 M.Choules punt 64 yards to the Hawaii05, out of bounds at Hawaii05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT10 plays · 35 yds · 4:1046% → 44%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
45.9%
(11:56) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Hawaii08 (#20 L.Cleveland)Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+6
45.8%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Hawaii14, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+11
45.2%
(10:48) Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Hawaii25 (#7 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.8%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #22 T.Lacaden caught at Hawaii22, for 7 yards to the Hawaii32 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
47.3%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #18 B.Kamoku thrown to Hawaii37Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
45.6%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #18 B.Kamoku caught at Hawaii35, for 12 yards to the Hawaii44, out of bounds at Hawaii44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
47.8%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Hawaii48 (#32 K.Scanlan)Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-8
48.2%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Hawaii40 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 14
OWN 40
0
44.4%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #8 T.Uiliata thrown to UNLV46Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
43.6%
(07:43) #47 G.Heil punt 33 yards to the UNLV27 fair catch by #43 J.Beasley at UNLV27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT5 plays · 23 yds · 2:2456% → 55%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
44.3%
(07:38) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 21 yards gain to the UNLV48 (#2 K.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
42.8%
(07:05) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV50 (#95 G.Speight)Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 8
50
+2
42.4%
(06:28) Shotgun #1 A.Orji rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Hawaii48 (#11 J.Otis; #95 G.Speight)Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-2
42.7%
(05:57) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV47, for 2 yards loss to the Hawaii50 (#31 A.Paogofie)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1345% → 44%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.8%
(05:05) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #1 D.Rice caught at Hawaii15, for 0 yards to the Hawaii20 fumbled by #1 D.Rice at Hawaii20 forced by #2 D.Harris, out of bounds at Hawaii20Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
44.6%
(04:43) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Hawaii29 (#7 J.Pope; #10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
44.4%
(04:05) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Carvalho thrown to Hawaii30Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
43.6%
(03:58) #47 G.Heil punt 45 yards to the UNLV26 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD11 plays · 74 yds · 2:1156% → 69%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
44.3%
(03:53) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UNLV38, out of bounds at UNLV38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
41.8%
(03:21) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV39 (#11 J.Otis)Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
41.5%
(02:52) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV40 (#11 J.Otis)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+8
42.0%
(02:13) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNLV48 (#11 J.Otis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+44
41.3%
(02:00) #11 J.Arnold pass complete deep left to #6 K.McGee caught at Hawaii15, for 44 yards to the Hawaii08 (#2 K.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
39.7%
(01:50) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Hawaii02 (#25 M.Thompson; #11 J.Otis)Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.6%
(01:42) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the Hawaii02 (#2 K.Moore; #95 G.Speight)Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
31.1%
(01:38) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:33 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT5 plays · 1 yds · 0:1533% → 31%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.5%
(01:29) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #1 D.Rice caught at Hawaii27, for 1 yard to the Hawaii26 (#5 Q.Keyes)Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
32.5%
(01:23) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Rice thrown to Hawaii27Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
31.5%
(01:23) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Brown thrown to Hawaii31 broken up by #3 D.CraytonSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
31.1%
(01:20) #47 G.Heil punt 30 yards to the UNLV44, out of bounds at UNLV44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13END OF HALF8 plays · -2 yds · 1:0270% → 72%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
30.0%
(01:11) Shotgun #0 J.Glover rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV46 (#90 H.Dela Cruz)Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+4
29.9%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNLV50 (#0 J.Hughes)Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
50
+5
30.1%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (#55 G.Scroggs) 5 yards from UNLV50 to UNLV45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+7
29.2%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Hawaii48 (#31 A.Paogofie)Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 2
OPP 48
-10
28.0%
(00:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UNLV42 (#10 K.Akana), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14MISSED FG17 plays · 52 yds · 5:3131% → 26%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
31.4%
(14:29) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 5 yards gain to the Hawaii35 (#8 K.Ka'aihue; #10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
31.9%
(14:18) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 8 yards gain to the Hawaii43 (#7 J.Pope; #8 K.Ka'aihue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
32.4%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush right for 1 yard gain to the Hawaii44 (#94 L.Conti)Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
32.1%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #8 T.Uiliata thrown to UNLV41Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+20
31.0%
(13:11) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #1 D.Rice caught at Hawaii45, for 10 yards to the UNLV46 (#10 T.Fulton) PENALTY Hawaii Holding 10 yards from UNLV46 to Hawaii44Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+12
30.4%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #83 J.Fetui caught at UNLV44, for 12 yards to the UNLV44 (#4 T.Nkuba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
32.6%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Carvalho thrown to UNLV25 broken up by #1 M.Bin-WahadSimilar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
32.4%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #18 B.Kamoku caught at UNLV39, for 5 yards to the UNLV39 (#2 D.Harris)Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+8
32.0%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #3 C.Brown caught at UNLV35, for 8 yards to the UNLV31 (#7 J.Pope; #5 Q.Keyes), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNLV Roughing The Passer (#1 M.Bin-Wahad) 15 yards from UNLV31 to UNLV16, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
33.5%
(11:15) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNLV15 (#8 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
31.9%
(10:38) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Alves thrown to UNLV00 PENALTY Hawaii Holding offsetting UNLV Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
30.2%
(10:24) Shotgun #10 B.Jurgensen pass incomplete short right thrown to UNLV02Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
31.4%
(09:34) Shotgun #10 B.Jurgensen pass incomplete short right to #18 B.Kamoku thrown to UNLV02Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-8
29.7%
(09:34) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNLV23 (#91 E.Rudolph)Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 17
OPP 23
+41
26.4%
(09:28) #98 S.Olvera-Harle field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey), clock 09:29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT7 plays · 6 yds · 1:2673% → 72%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
27.2%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Lyons thrown to UNLV31 PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (#5 J.Edmond) 10 yards from UNLV23 to UNLV33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
27.1%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 8 yards gain to the UNLV41 (#11 J.Otis) PENALTY UNLV Holding 10 yards from UNLV33 to UNLV23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 20
OWN 23
0
27.5%
(09:13) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short middle to #6 K.McGee thrown to UNLV31Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+8
27.5%
(09:11) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush right for 8 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#10 K.Akana) PENALTY UNLV Holding offsetting Hawaii Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+6
27.4%
(08:48) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNLV29 (#5 J.Edmond)Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
27.5%
(08:18) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Thomas thrown to UNLV31 QB hurried by #91 J.SagapoluteleSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
28.0%
(08:08) #26 M.Choules punt 50 yards to the Hawaii21 #8 T.Uiliata return 0 yards to the Hawaii21 (#21 J.Tuchek) PENALTY Hawaii UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 J.Smith) 10 yards from Hawaii21 to Hawaii11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16FG17 plays · 74 yds · 6:1426% → 26%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
26.3%
(07:49) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 2 yards to the Hawaii09 (#44 K.Togafau)Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+4
25.9%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 6 yards gain to the Hawaii15 (#23 C.Santee) PENALTY Hawaii Holding 4 yards from Hawaii09 to Hawaii05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 16
OWN 5
+12
25.7%
(07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush left for 12 yards gain to the Hawaii17, out of bounds at Hawaii17Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+7
24.7%
(06:19) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #18 B.Kamoku caught at Hawaii21, for 7 yards to the Hawaii24, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
25.8%
(05:52) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush right for 4 yards gain to the Hawaii28 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
26.0%
(05:22) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #17 N.Delgadillo caught at Hawaii32, for 9 yards to the Hawaii37 (#5 Q.Keyes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
25.0%
(04:54) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush right for 15 yards gain to the UNLV48, out of bounds at UNLV48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
26.9%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #17 N.Delgadillo thrown to UNLV38 broken up by #5 Q.KeyesSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+16
26.6%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #2 A.Harris caught at UNLV40, for 16 yards to the UNLV32 (#4 T.Nkuba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
28.3%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #83 J.Fetui thrown to UNLV15 QB hurried by #7 J.PopeSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+14
28.2%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #17 N.Delgadillo caught at UNLV20, for 14 yards to the UNLV18 (#20 L.Cleveland), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNLV Targeting (#20 L.Cleveland) 9 yards from UNLV18 to UNLV09, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
27.9%
(02:33) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNLV15 (#44 K.Togafau)Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
26.1%
(01:44) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #18 B.Kamoku thrown to UNLV00Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
23.9%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Jurgensen pass incomplete short middle to #2 A.Harris thrown to UNLV00 broken up by #10 T.Fulton. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:40) Shotgun #10 B.Jurgensen pass complete short middle to #2 A.Harris caught at UNLV00, for 15 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:35 PENALTY UNLV Targeting (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
28.1%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Jurgensen pass incomplete short middle to #2 A.Harris thrown to UNLV00 broken up by #10 T.FultonSimilar
Q3 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
25.7%
(01:35) #98 S.Olvera-Harle field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #47 G.Heil, LS: #33 J.Mowrey), clock 01:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT8 plays · 39 yds · 2:0676% → 77%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
24.2%
(01:31) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 5 yards gain to the UNLV30 (#11 J.Otis; #52 L.McCoy)Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
23.3%
(00:51) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #8 T.Lyons caught at UNLV34, for 5 yards to the UNLV35 (#4 E.Palmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
23.3%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNLV39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
21.7%
(14:59) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV41 (#99 O.Pollard)Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
21.1%
(14:23) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short middle to #84 K.Burnett thrown to Hawaii48 broken up by #25 M.ThompsonSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+53
22.7%
(14:16) #26 M.Choules punt 38 yards to the Hawaii21 fair catch by #8 T.Uiliata at Hawaii21 PENALTY UNLV Personal Foul (#17 A.Walker) 15 yards from Hawaii21 to Hawaii36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18DOWNS12 plays · 53 yds · 4:0726% → 25%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
25.8%
(14:07) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UNLV48 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
27.7%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNLV39 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
27.7%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete deep left to #11 D.Alves thrown to UNLV07Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
27.4%
(13:06) Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV34 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
29.1%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short middle to #18 B.Kamoku thrown to UNLV25Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
29.0%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#3 D.Crayton)Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+12
26.8%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #83 J.Fetui caught at UNLV19, for 12 yards to the UNLV19 (#4 T.Nkuba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
28.8%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV12 (#7 J.Pope)Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
28.6%
(10:44) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Rice thrown to UNLV15 QB hurried by #16 M.Altayeb and #42 A.PorterSimilar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
26.2%
(10:38) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #22 T.Lacaden caught at UNLV12, for 2 yards to the UNLV10 (#5 Q.Keyes)Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-1
24.5%
(09:58) Shotgun #26 S.Mikaele rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNLV11 (#94 L.Conti; #8 K.Ka'aihue), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT7 plays · 39 yds · 3:0382% → 87%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
18.0%
(09:51) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 10 yards gain to the UNLV21 (#11 J.Otis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+22
17.8%
(09:07) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass complete short middle to #84 K.Burnett caught at UNLV36, for 22 yards to the UNLV43 (#25 M.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
14.3%
(08:27) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNLV45 (#5 J.Edmond; #10 K.Akana)Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+5
12.8%
(07:46) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV50 (#2 K.Moore)Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 3
50
0
11.2%
(07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Arnold pass incomplete short middle to #84 K.Burnett thrown to Hawaii45 broken up by #52 L.McCoySimilar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 3
50
0
12.6%
(06:48) #26 M.Choules punt 35 yards to the Hawaii15 fair catch by #8 T.Uiliata at Hawaii15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2515% → 12%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
15.3%
(06:39) Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Hawaii12, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
14.7%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Carvalho thrown to Hawaii21 QB hurried by #94 L.ContiSimilar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 13
OWN 12
-4
13.7%
(05:53) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 4 yards to the Hawaii08 (#32 K.Scanlan)Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 17
OWN 8
0
12.0%
(05:08) #47 G.Heil punt 42 yards to the Hawaii50, out of bounds at Hawaii50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD1 play · 50 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
50
+50
3.1%
(04:56) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 50 yards gain to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:51, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22INT5 plays · 28 yds · 0:454% → 4%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
4.0%
(04:45) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #11 D.Alves caught at Hawaii40, for 19 yards to the Hawaii44 (#5 Q.Keyes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
4.0%
(04:45) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #11 D.Alves caught at Hawaii41, for 19 yards to the Hawaii44 fumbled by #11 D.Alves at Hawaii44 forced by #10 T.Fulton recovered by Hawaii #11 D.Alves at Hawaii44 (#10 T.Fulton; #5 Q.Keyes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
4.0%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Rice rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNLV47 (#8 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
4.2%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass intercepted by #5 Q.Keyes at UNLV29, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23END OF HALF11 plays · 36 yds · 2:4897% → 99%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
2.8%
(03:42) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV34 (#11 J.Otis; #5 J.Edmond)Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
2.4%
(03:26) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV36 (#2 K.Moore; #9 A.Tomczyk)Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+17
2.4%
(03:21) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Hawaii47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
2.1%
(02:34) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Hawaii44 (#97 J.Lynch; #25 M.Thompson)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
1.3%
(02:00) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Hawaii41 (#2 K.Moore)Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+8
1.2%
(01:12) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Hawaii33 (#2 K.Moore; #11 J.Otis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
1.2%
(00:45) Kneel down by #11 J.Arnold at Hawaii35 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:33
(01:38) Shotgun #11 J.Arnold rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:33 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)
-13.4
TD · Q4 4:51
(04:56) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 50 yards gain to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:51, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #26 M.Choules, LS: #47 T.Jacobson)
-8.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:42
(09:51) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 10 yards gain to the UNLV21 (#11 J.Otis), 1ST DOWN
-6.5