2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · Kenan Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
UNC28
NCSU25
UNC by 3 · market NCSU by 1.5
Win chance
UNC53%
NCSU 47%UNC 53%
Projected total
52pts
Market total 55.5
Explore the range of outcomes
53%
chance North Carolina wins
47% NC State wins
← NCSU winsUNC wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- NCSU by 8 to UNC by 13
- 80% of outcomes
- NCSU by 19 to UNC by 24
- 90% of outcomes
- NCSU by 24 to UNC by 32
- Median
- UNC by 1
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.