2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Doak Campbell Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
FSU33
NCSU25
FSU by 8
Win chance
FSU72%
NCSU 28%FSU 72%
Projected total
58pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
49%
chance Florida State wins by 7 or more
51% Florida State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← NCSU winsFSU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- NCSU by 1 to FSU by 19
- 80% of outcomes
- NCSU by 12 to FSU by 26
- 90% of outcomes
- NCSU by 18 to FSU by 34
- Median
- FSU by 6
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.