2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · Carter-Finley Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
NCSU32
CAL23
NCSU by 9
Win chance
NCSU70%
CAL 30%NCSU 70%
Projected total
55pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance NC State wins by 7 or more
46% NC State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← CAL winsNCSU wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- CAL by 2 to NCSU by 18
- 80% of outcomes
- CAL by 11 to NCSU by 28
- 90% of outcomes
- CAL by 19 to NCSU by 32
- Median
- NCSU by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.