2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreWAKE score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:09 · (05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #0 V.Snow thrown to WF20 broken up by #8 B.Johnson QB hurried by #10 G.Kirschke, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 9:42: (09:47) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass complete short middle to #86 H.Provience caught at WF00, for 2 yards to the WF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:42 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias) — NCSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- FG · Q2 0:00: Connor Calvert 23 Yd Field Goal — WAKE win probability +4.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- TD · Q3 10:44: (10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU00, for 6 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:44 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour) — WAKE win probability +13.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
- TD · Q3 7:29: (07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU00, for 10 yards to the NCSU00 QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson III TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:29, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour) — WAKE win probability +11.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:27: (02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour) — WAKE win probability +11.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
- Q1 2:08WAKE 4th & 15 at NCSU 49, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snapGo for it54.6%−0.617% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call55.2%average punt
- Q2 6:54WAKE 4th & 22 at WAKE 21, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snapGo for it38.2%−3.37% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call41.5%average punt
- Q2 4:37NCSU 4th & 6 at WAKE 43, up 7Close callPunted · 59.7% before the snapGo for it59.8%40% to convertField goal58.7%−1.128% to makePuntTheir call59.1%−0.7average punt
- Q2 0:49WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 45, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call40.1%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt39.2%−0.9average punt
- Q3 9:45NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 25, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snapGo for it40.2%−2.628% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call42.8%average punt
- Q3 5:09NCSU 4th & 5 at WAKE 32, down 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call25.9%42% to convertField goal25.4%−0.551% to makePunt23.9%−2.0average punt
- Q3 2:27WAKE 4th & 1 at NCSU 1, up 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call75.1%59% to convertField goal71.3%−3.894% to makePunt61.1%−14.0average punt
- Q3 0:41NCSU 4th & 21 at NCSU 25, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snapGo for it9.3%−3.38% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call12.6%average punt
- Q4 9:19NCSU 4th & 24 at NCSU 28, down 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snapGo for it1.5%−0.56% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call1.9%average punt
- Q4 6:57WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 27, up 24Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snapGo for it98.7%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call98.4%−0.2average punt
- Q4 2:54NCSU 4th & 1 at WAKE 26, down 24Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call1.1%71% to convertField goal0.8%−0.364% to makePunt0.6%−0.5average punt
- Q4 1:51NCSU 4th & 12 at WAKE 18, down 24Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call0.7%21% to convertField goal0.6%−<0.179% to makePunt0.5%−0.2average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
- Q1 13:03WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call58.2%97% to makeGo for two58.2%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 8:17NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call43.9%97% to makeGo for two43.9%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 9:42NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call53.7%97% to makeGo for two53.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 10:44WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call57.1%97% to makeGo for two56.9%−0.245% to convert
- Q3 2:27WAKE Touchdown, up 16 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call86.3%97% to makeGo for two86.1%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 11:24WAKE Touchdown, up 23 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call97.8%−0.297% to makeGo for two98.0%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartNCSUDrive 1FUMBLE4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1346% → 46%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
45.7%
(15:00) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NCSU24 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
45.8%
(14:31) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #20 D.Desinor caught at NCSU17, for 0 yards to the NCSU24 (#21 A.Hall; #43 F.Cusano)Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
45.9%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU30 fumbled by #11 C.Bailey at NCSU27 forced by #23 V.Firenze recovered by WF #8 B.Johnson at NCSU30 #8 B.Johnson return 28 yards to the NCSU02 (#78 T.Mitchell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3454% → 55%
Q1 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
45.8%
(13:39) #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU01 (#88 I.Shirley)Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.2%
(13:06) #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #48 M.Lusardi caught at NCSU00, for 1 yard to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:03 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #6 S.Pizzella, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3445% → 48%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
45.4%
(13:02) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #8 K.Jackson caught at NCSU38, for 13 yards to the NCSU38 (#2 B.Blades II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
45.4%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #0 V.Snow caught at NCSU31, for 1 yard to the NCSU39 (#23 V.Firenze), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
45.4%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU43 (#23 V.Firenze; #21 A.Hall)Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+17
45.4%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #19 P.Douglas caught at WF45, for 17 yards to the WF40 (#5 D.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
45.6%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #19 P.Douglas caught at WF36, for 6 yards to the WF34 (#5 D.Patterson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
45.8%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.McCoy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WF29 (#43 F.Cusano; #20 K.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
45.8%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WF30 (#55 K.Dembele)Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+6
45.6%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #86 H.Provience caught at WF26, for 6 yards to the WF24 (#8 B.Johnson)Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
47.9%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep right to #82 C.Robinson caught at WF01, for 24 yards to the WF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:17, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WF Holding declined #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT16 plays · 26 yds · 6:0453% → 52%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.1%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WF29 (#88 I.Shirley; #33 Z.Moore)Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
47.0%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WF36 (#0 P.Aguirre; #33 Z.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
47.0%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #12 K.Johnson caught at WF39, for 4 yards to the WF40 QB hurried by #33 Z.Moore (#14 J.Sensabaugh)Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
46.8%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WF39 (#22 J.Vick; #90 J.Victor)Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+7
47.3%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WF45, for 7 yards to the WF46 QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson III (#22 J.Vick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
46.8%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle thrown to WF46 broken up by #5 H.Dyson III QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson IIISimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
47.0%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to NCSU39 PENALTY WF Holding offsetting NCSU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
47.1%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU49 (#4 K.Mack), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+5
46.7%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU44 (#2 R.Royal, III; #13 J.Adedire), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
46.5%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Shanks thrown to NCSU35 QB hurried by #92 C.BondSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
46.6%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU44 (#33 Z.Moore; #13 J.Adedire)Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
47.1%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU43, for 5 yards to the NCSU39 QB hurried by #35 L.Hodge (#22 J.Vick)Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+10
47.4%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU37, for 17 yards to the NCSU22 (#35 L.Hodge) PENALTY WF Pass Interference (#10 J.Foley) 10 yards from NCSU39 to NCSU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
48.2%
(02:08) #45 E.Hyams punt 45 yards to the NCSU04, out of bounds at NCSU04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD15 plays · 96 yds · 7:2148% → 59%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
48.2%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU07 (#20 K.Lee; #6 R.Tongue)Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+19
48.2%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at NCSU21, for 19 yards to the NCSU26 (#6 R.Tongue), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
48.9%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #0 V.Snow caught at NCSU30, for 9 yards to the NCSU35 (#6 R.Tongue; #46 D.Dyce)Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-2
49.8%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NCSU33 (#97 M.Herron)Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+24
48.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #82 C.Robinson caught at WF50, for 24 yards to the WF43 QB hurried by #8 B.Johnson (#13 A.Williams; #11 L.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
51.1%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at WF37, for 6 yards to the WF37 (#2 B.Blades II)Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
51.3%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at WF34, for 6 yards to the WF31 (#23 V.Firenze), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
51.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #19 P.Douglas caught at WF23, for 11 yards to the WF20 (#6 R.Tongue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
52.2%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.McCoy rush middle for 0 yards to the WF20 (#97 M.Herron; #23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
52.4%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at WF16, for 12 yards to the WF08 (#21 A.Hall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
52.6%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 7 yards gain to the WF01 (#8 B.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
52.8%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WF02 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.5%
(09:47) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass complete short middle to #86 H.Provience caught at WF00, for 2 yards to the WF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:42 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT8 plays · -1 yds · 2:3743% → 39%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
57.0%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WF25 (#29 B.Barnhardt)Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
57.0%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #10 J.Foley caught at WF30, for 5 yards to the WF30 (#7 B.Nelson II)Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
57.3%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WF33 (#0 P.Aguirre; #4 K.Mack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
57.6%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep middle to #10 J.Foley thrown to NCSU20Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
58.0%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WF32 (#0 P.Aguirre)Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-11
59.5%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WF21 (#58 E.Satchell)Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 22
OWN 21
0
60.7%
(06:57) #45 E.Hyams punt 41 yards to the NCSU38 fair catch by #0 V.Snow at NCSU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7PUNT6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1260% → 60%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
60.0%
(06:54) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush left for 0 yards to the NCSU38 (#10 G.Kirschke; #94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
59.9%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at WF47, for 15 yards to the WF47 (#38 S.Eaddy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
61.6%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 0 yards to the WF47 (#11 L.Hardy; #52 D.Afalava)Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
61.8%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at NCSU49, for 4 yards to the WF43 (#38 S.Eaddy; #43 F.Cusano)Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
61.7%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #13 T.Warren thrown to WF36 broken up by #23 V.FirenzeSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
60.4%
(04:44) #96 J.Waller punt 38 yards to the WF05, out of bounds at WF05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FG23 plays · 89 yds · 4:3239% → 43%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
60.8%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 0 yards to the WF05 (#0 P.Aguirre; #99 A.Prim)Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+20
61.4%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #10 J.Foley caught at WF16, for 20 yards to the WF25 QB hurried by #13 J.Adedire (#29 B.Barnhardt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.8%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 0 yards to the WF25 (#33 Z.Moore)Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.4%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WF26, for 3 yards to the WF28 (#22 J.Vick), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
62.2%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WF33, for 8 yards to the WF36 (#35 L.Hodge; #29 B.Barnhardt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
60.7%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 J.Searcy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WF38 (#33 Z.Moore)Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
60.6%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #84 D.Barry thrown to WF45 QB hurried by #0 P.AguirreSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+7
61.4%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #10 J.Foley caught at WF45, for 7 yards to the WF45 (#22 J.Vick), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+16
61.1%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU40, for 16 yards to the NCSU39, out of bounds at NCSU39, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCSU Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
58.4%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #18 D.Dickmann caught at NCSU33, for 9 yards to the NCSU30 (#7 B.Nelson II)Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+17
57.8%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 J.Searcy rush middle for 17 yards gain to the NCSU13 (#0 P.Aguirre; #56 O.Abraham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
57.7%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU11 (#33 Z.Moore; #56 O.Abraham)Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
59.5%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to NCSU00Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+9
60.4%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #12 K.Johnson thrown to NCSU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCSU Offside declined NCSU Pass Interference (#2 R.Royal, III) 9 yards from NCSU11 to NCSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.7%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU01 (#5 H.Dyson III; #0 P.Aguirre). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.9%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #85 W.Loerzel thrown to NCSU00 QB hurried by #0 P.AguirreSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
61.6%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete short left to #8 C.Hernandez thrown to NCSU02 QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson III PENALTY WF Illegal Formation 5 yards from NCSU01 to NCSU06. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9TD13 plays · 73 yds · 4:0443% → 59%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
57.0%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WF28 (#5 H.Dyson III)Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+24
57.4%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete deep right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU48, for 24 yards to the NCSU48, out of bounds at NCSU48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
53.9%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU42 (#58 E.Satchell)Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
53.6%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU42 (#22 J.Vick)Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+10
54.4%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU39, for 10 yards to the NCSU32 QB hurried by #58 E.Satchell (#14 J.Sensabaugh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
53.1%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #10 J.Foley thrown to NCSU12Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
53.1%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #22 D.Lawrence caught at NCSU33, for 6 yards to the NCSU26 (#58 E.Satchell), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+18
54.1%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU17, for 18 yards to the NCSU08, out of bounds at NCSU08, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU17, for 26 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
52.8%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU07 (#55 K.Evans; #4 K.Mack)Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
53.0%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU02, for 6 yards to the NCSU01 (#7 B.Nelson II), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
55.3%
(11:02) PENALTY WF False Start 5 yards from NCSU01 to NCSU06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
41.5%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU00, for 6 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:44 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5345% → 43%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.2%
(10:44) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Warren thrown to NCSU32 QB hurried by #11 L.HardySimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Jackson thrown to NCSU27 QB hurried by #94 Z.LohavichanSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
43.4%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 0 yards to the NCSU25 (#11 L.Hardy), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.6%
(09:49) #96 J.Waller punt 40 yards to the WF35 muffed by #8 C.Hernandez at WF35 recovered by WF #8 C.Hernandez at WF36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD5 plays · 64 yds · 2:1658% → 73%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
42.0%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass incomplete deep right to #88 B.Kania thrown to NCSU38 PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference offsetting WF Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
41.9%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #12 K.Johnson caught at WF35, for 1 yard to the WF37 (#0 P.Aguirre; #22 J.Vick)Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+52
42.1%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete deep middle to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU29, for 52 yards to the NCSU11 (#14 J.Sensabaugh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
38.3%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush left for 1 yard gain to the NCSU10 (#5 H.Dyson III; #33 Z.Moore)Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
27.2%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU00, for 10 yards to the NCSU00 QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson III TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:29, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12DOWNS8 plays · 28 yds · 2:1430% → 27%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
30.1%
(07:27) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NCSU39 (#21 A.Hall; #11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+3
29.4%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 D.Gause caught at NCSU38, for 3 yards to the NCSU42 (#2 B.Blades II)Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+21
27.1%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at NCSU38, for 6 yards to the NCSU48 (#5 D.Patterson; #23 V.Firenze) PENALTY WF Roughing The Passer (#97 M.Herron) 15 yards from NCSU48 to WF37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
29.7%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #82 C.Robinson thrown to WF36Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
29.5%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #13 T.Warren thrown to WF02Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
28.6%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #82 C.Robinson caught at WF32, for 5 yards to the WF32 (#2 B.Blades II)Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
27.2%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #0 V.Snow thrown to WF20 broken up by #8 B.Johnson QB hurried by #10 G.Kirschke, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13TD8 plays · 68 yds · 2:1975% → 90%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-12
25.1%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Foley rush middle for 12 yards loss to the WF20 fumbled by #10 J.Foley at WF23 recovered by WF #10 J.Foley at WF20, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 22
OWN 20
+19
26.0%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WF33, for 19 yards to the WF39 (#0 P.Aguirre), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
24.0%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WF36 (#0 P.Aguirre) PENALTY NCSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WF39 to WF44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
22.9%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete deep left to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU21, for 36 yards to the NCSU20 QB hurried by #55 K.Evans, out of bounds at NCSU20, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCSU Personal Foul (#88 I.Shirley) 10 yards from NCSU20 to NCSU10, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
21.8%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU13, for 4 yards to the NCSU06 (#0 P.Aguirre; #88 I.Shirley)Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
21.6%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU01 (#42 K.Carter)Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.3%
(02:37) No Huddle #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU01 (#2 R.Royal, III; #44 J.Moreta). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (02:37) No Huddle #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:37, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.4%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT8 plays · 0 yds · 1:3814% → 12%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.4%
(02:25) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #19 P.Douglas caught at NCSU27, for 5 yards to the NCSU30 (#23 V.Firenze)Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
14.8%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU36 (#23 V.Firenze; #2 B.Blades II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
13.9%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #7 D.Gause thrown to NCSU30Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-3
13.8%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NCSU25 (#55 K.Dembele, #11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 21
OWN 25
0
13.0%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #7 D.Gause thrown to NCSU30 QB hurried by #11 L.HardySimilar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 21
OWN 25
+7
12.0%
(00:50) #96 J.Waller punt 48 yards to the WF27 #8 C.Hernandez return 7 yards to the WF34 (#7 D.Gause)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD8 plays · 66 yds · 4:1590% → 98%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
9.6%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 0 yards to the WF34 (#0 P.Aguirre)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
9.2%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at WF38, for 12 yards to the WF46 (#0 P.Aguirre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
7.9%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU49, for 5 yards to the NCSU49, out of bounds at NCSU49Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+14
7.3%
(13:40) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NCSU35 (#33 Z.Moore; #29 B.Barnhardt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
6.9%
(12:54) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush left for 9 yards gain to the NCSU26 (#33 Z.Moore; #29 B.Barnhardt)Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+9
6.6%
(12:12) Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short right to #18 D.Dickmann caught at NCSU25, for 9 yards to the NCSU17 (#22 J.Vick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
2.0%
(11:27) Shotgun #22 D.Lawrence rush middle for 17 yards gain to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:24, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16PUNT7 plays · -2 yds · 1:553% → 2%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
2.5%
(11:23) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at NCSU38, for 8 yards to the NCSU38 (#13 A.Williams)Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
2.7%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 4 yards gain to the NCSU42 (#23 Z.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
2.5%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #0 V.Snow caught at NCSU45, for 9 yards to the WF49 (#5 D.Patterson)Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
2.7%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.McCoy rush middle for 0 yards to the WF49 (#11 L.Hardy)Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-23
2.6%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #82 C.Robinson thrown to NCSU45 QB hurried by #11 L.Hardy PENALTY NCSU Intentional Grounding (#11 C.Bailey)Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 24
OWN 28
0
2.1%
(09:25) #96 J.Waller punt 54 yards to the WF18 fair catch by #8 C.Hernandez at WF18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17PUNT5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1798% → 99%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
1.8%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Clark rush middle for 0 yards to the WF18 (#44 J.Moreta)Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
1.2%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 J.Searcy rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WF25 (#7 B.Nelson II)Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+2
1.1%
(07:49) Shotgun #29 J.Searcy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WF27 (#0 P.Aguirre)Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
1.0%
(06:57) #45 E.Hyams punt 38 yards to the NCSU35 fair catch by #0 V.Snow at NCSU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18DOWNS15 plays · 47 yds · 4:581% → 1%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
1.3%
(06:56) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #20 D.Desinor caught at NCSU37, for 3 yards to the NCSU38 (#38 S.Eaddy)Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
1.2%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #86 H.Provience caught at NCSU32, for 1 yard to the NCSU39 (#8 B.Johnson)Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+14
1.2%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #83 A.Acker caught at WF47, for 14 yards to the WF47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
1.2%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WF40 (#8 B.Johnson)Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
1.3%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #86 H.Provience thrown to WF34Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
1.2%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 5 yards gain to the WF35 (#23 Z.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
1.2%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #25 D.Johnson caught at WF36, for 4 yards to the WF31 (#8 B.Johnson; #21 A.Hall)Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
1.3%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 1 yard gain to the WF30 (#43 F.Cusano), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
1.1%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #6 A.Locklear caught at WF27, for 4 yards to the WF26 (#13 A.Williams)Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+10
1.0%
(03:04) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WF16 (#11 L.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
1.0%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 D.Gause caught at WF10, for 6 yards to the WF10 (#21 A.Hall)Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-8
1.0%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 8 yards to the WF18 (#94 Z.Lohavichan)Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
0.8%
(01:58) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #19 P.Douglas thrown to WF00Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 12
OPP 18
0
0.7%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #6 A.Locklear thrown to WF00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19END OF GAME4 plays · -5 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:44
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short left to #8 C.Hernandez caught at NCSU00, for 6 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:44 #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)
-13.9
TD · Q3 2:27
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)
-11.9
TD · Q3 7:29
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.Lopez pass complete short middle to #10 J.Foley caught at NCSU00, for 10 yards to the NCSU00 QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson III TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:29, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Ploszay, LS: #49 E.Gilmour)
-11.1