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RICH

Richmond 0 at NC State 73

NCSU
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2026 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadRICH aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreRICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:45 · (03:45) #96 J.Waller punt 35 yards to the RICH30 fair catch by #2 J.Fair at RICH30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+36.9Home team on offense+22.9Score differential+20.8Blowout margin+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1Garbage-time factor+7.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:44: (10:53) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 65 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:44, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias) — NCSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:01: (01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:01 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias) — NCSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:33: (11:37) #11 C.Bailey rush right for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:33 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias) — NCSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:30: (08:31) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:30 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias) — RICH win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:23: (06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at RICH04, for 15 yards to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:23, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias) — NCSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RICH made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:09RICH 4th & 12 at RICH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:55RICH 4th & 10 at RICH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:09RICH 4th & 7 at NCSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:24RICH 4th & 5 at RICH 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:20RICH 4th & 7 at RICH 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 35, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:42RICH 4th & 7 at RICH 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:51RICH 4th & 24 at RICH 11, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:11RICH 4th & 3 at NCSU 36, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:44RICH 4th & 7 at RICH 41, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:31NCSU 4th & 15 at RICH 28, up 63
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:06RICH 4th & 5 at RICH 30, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:21NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:44NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:01NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:33NCSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:30NCSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:23NCSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:04NCSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:49NCSU Touchdown, up 72 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:512% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short middle to #1 Q.Veney thrown to RICH35 QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson IIISimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.2%
(14:51) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short right to #1 Q.Veney caught at RICH27, for 11 yards to the RICH36 (#3 T.Teasdell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
98.1%
(14:11) Shotgun #9 M.Creamer rush right for 2 yards loss to the RICH34 (#88 I.Shirley)Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
98.0%
(13:33) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short middle thrown to RICH34 QB hurried by #42 K.CarterSimilar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
98.0%
(13:18) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short right to #8 B.Allen thrown to RICH42 broken up by #7 B.Nelson IISimilar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
98.0%
(13:14) #37 N.Gray punt 43 yards to the NCSU23 fair catch by #0 V.Snow at NCSU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:4098% → 98%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
98.0%
(13:07) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #2 J.Trader caught at NCSU32, for 12 yards to the NCSU35 (#3 T.Burney; #13 K.Richardson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+43
97.9%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 43 yards gain to the RICH22 (#4 J.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
97.9%
(11:58) No Huddle #1 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RICH19 (#9 J.Allen)Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
97.9%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush left for 19 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:21, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:202% → 2%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short middle to #9 M.Creamer thrown to RICH20Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
(11:13) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short middle to #8 B.Allen thrown to RICH35 broken up by #31 B.BensonSimilar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
(11:10) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete deep left to #8 B.Allen thrown to NCSU46Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
(11:04) #37 N.Gray punt 45 yards to the NCSU30 #0 V.Snow return 5 yards to the NCSU35 (#12 T.Bullock; #11 B.Houser)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
98.0%
(10:53) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 65 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:44, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:262% → 2%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.9%
(10:35) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short left to #1 Q.Veney thrown to RICH15 broken up by #22 J.VickSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
97.9%
(10:32) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short right to #8 B.Allen caught at RICH28, for 6 yards to the RICH28 (#7 B.Nelson II), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+23
97.9%
(09:52) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short middle to #9 M.Creamer caught at RICH35, for 23 yards to the NCSU49 (#53 J.Warren, Jr.; #0 P.Aguirre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.0%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short left to #14 J.Rice thrown to NCSU46Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
98.0%
(09:05) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Fair thrown to NCSU45Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
97.9%
(09:01) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short middle to #87 S.Clarke caught at NCSU48, for 3 yards to the NCSU46 (#35 L.Hodge; #92 C.Bond)Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
97.9%
(08:14) #37 N.Gray punt 32 yards to the NCSU14 fair catch by #0 V.Snow at NCSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 6:5998% → 98%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
97.9%
(08:07) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush right for 3 yards gain to the NCSU17 (#12 T.Bullock)Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+32
97.9%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #2 J.Trader caught at NCSU15, for 32 yards to the NCSU49 (#12 T.Bullock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.9%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Jackson thrown to RICH15Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
97.9%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NCSU48 (#21 J.Thorne; #8 B.Lassiter)Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+15
97.8%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at RICH37, for 15 yards to the RICH37 (), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
97.9%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 13 yards gain (8) to the RICH24 (#12 T.Bullock) PENALTY NCSU Holding (#82 C.Robinson) 10 yards from RICH29 to RICH39Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 12
OPP 39
+8
97.8%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #5 D.Dozier caught at RICH34, for 8 yards to the RICH31 (#4 J.Washington)Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-2
97.8%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards loss to the RICH33 (#9 J.Allen; #21 J.Thorne)Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+12
97.7%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #8 K.Jackson caught at RICH25, for 12 yards to the RICH21 (#12 T.Bullock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
97.7%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #2 J.Trader caught at RICH23, for 8 yards to the RICH13 (#11 B.Houser; #21 J.Thorne)Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 2
OPP 13
-1
97.7%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RICH14 (#21 J.Thorne; #9 J.Allen)Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+7
97.6%
(01:38) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RICH07 (#11 B.Houser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:01 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:252% → 2%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.2%
(00:59) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short left to #8 B.Allen caught at RICH40, for 16 yards to the RICH41 (#7 B.Nelson II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.2%
(00:21) Shotgun #9 M.Creamer rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RICH47 (#2 R.Royal, III; #10 T.White)Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
98.2%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short right to #87 S.Clarke caught at RICH44, for 8 yards to the NCSU45 (#7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-13
98.2%
(14:19) Shotgun #1 Q.Veney rush middle for 13 yards loss to the RICH42 fumbled by #1 Q.Veney at RICH47 recovered by NCSU #10 T.White at RICH42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:2898% → 99%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
98.4%
(14:14) Shotgun #14 J.Paylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RICH41 (#6 C.Byrd; #9 J.Allen)Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+15
98.4%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep middle to #8 K.Jackson thrown to RICH00 PENALTY RICH Pass Interference (#13 K.Richardson) 15 yards from RICH41 to RICH26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.4%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RICH24 (#6 C.Byrd)Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+18
98.4%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 18 yards gain to the RICH06 (#11 B.Houser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.4%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 5 yards gain to the RICH01 (#9 J.Allen; #11 B.Houser)Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
(11:37) #11 C.Bailey rush right for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:33 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 9INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.1%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short left to #8 B.Allen thrown to NCSU46Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.1%
(11:27) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RICH45 (#31 B.Benson; #88 I.Shirley)Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+1
99.2%
(10:39) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass intercepted by #22 J.Vick at NCSU30 #22 J.Vick return for loss of 1 yard to the NCSU29, out of bounds at NCSU29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:5399% → 98%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 11
OWN 29
+21
99.1%
(10:33) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at NCSU29, for 21 yards to the NCSU50 (#3 T.Burney; #22 D.Geronomi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.1%
(10:09) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush left for 6 yards gain to the RICH44 (#47 D.Sellers)Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+42
99.2%
(09:45) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #8 K.Jackson caught at RICH44, for 42 yards to the RICH02, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RICH UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#5 T.Baldwin) 1 yard from RICH02 to RICH01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
(09:18) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the RICH01 (#11 B.Houser; #40 J.Wilkes)Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
(08:31) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:30 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RICH30 (#0 P.Aguirre; #29 B.Barnhardt)Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
(07:44) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short left to #8 B.Allen thrown to RICH38Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
(07:42) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Fair thrown to RICH39Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+22
99.5%
(07:37) #37 N.Gray punt 42 yards to the NCSU28 #0 V.Snow return 22 yards to the RICH50 (#30 A.McKenzie; #47 D.Sellers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:5299% → 100%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.4%
(07:22) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush right for 50 yards gain (2) to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 07:15 PENALTY NCSU Holding (#62 J.McCrimon) 10 yards from RICH48 to NCSU42Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 18
OWN 42
+43
99.4%
(07:13) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at RICH39, for 43 yards to the RICH15 (#11 B.Houser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.5%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at RICH04, for 15 yards to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:23, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short right to #87 S.Clarke caught at RICH27, for 3 yards to the RICH28 (#3 T.Teasdell)Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short left to #15 K.Williams thrown to RICH34 QB hurried by #42 K.CarterSimilar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
(05:34) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass incomplete short right to #8 B.Allen thrown to RICH30 QB hurried by #34 C.CronkSimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.6%
(05:30) #37 N.Gray punt 44 yards to the NCSU28 #0 V.Snow return 4 yards to the NCSU32, out of bounds at NCSU32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.5%
(05:17) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 2 yards to the NCSU30 (#5 T.Baldwin)Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU35 (#95 B.Lee)Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
99.6%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #0 V.Snow broken up by #47 D.SellersSimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
99.6%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #0 V.Snow thrown to NCSU45 broken up by #47 D.SellersSimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
99.6%
(03:45) #96 J.Waller punt 35 yards to the RICH30 fair catch by #2 J.Fair at RICH30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 50
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
(03:06) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RICH32 (#56 O.Abraham)Similar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
(03:06) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RICH32 (#56 O.Abraham)Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 48
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
PENALTY RICH False Start (#67 J.Smith) 5 yards from RICH32 to RICH27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 53
OWN 27
+6
99.7%
(02:27) Shotgun #18 A.Snelsire pass complete short middle to #2 J.Fair caught at RICH33, for 6 yards to the RICH33 (#0 P.Aguirre; #4 K.Mack)Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
99.8%
(01:57) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 0 yards to the RICH33 (#34 C.Cronk)Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+43
99.8%
(01:49) #37 N.Gray punt 43 yards to the NCSU24 muffed by #0 V.Snow at NCSU24 recovered by NCSU #0 V.Snow at NCSU24 #0 V.Snow return for loss of 2 yards to the NCSU22 (), out of bounds PENALTY NCSU Holding (#12 C.Gordon) 10 yards from NCSU24 to NCSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 1:07100% → 100%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.7%
(01:39) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NCSU22 (#21 J.Thorne)Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+9
99.7%
(01:27) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #82 C.Robinson caught at NCSU25, for 9 yards to the NCSU31 (#42 B.Laughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.7%
(01:19) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #82 C.Robinson thrown to RICH47Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
99.7%
(01:16) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #13 T.Warren caught at NCSU36, for 10 yards to the NCSU41 (#3 T.Burney; #21 J.Thorne), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
(01:10) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #13 T.Warren thrown to RICH17Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
(01:03) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 1 yard gain to the NCSU42 (#12 T.Bullock), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+54
99.7%
(00:55) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Jackson caught at RICH35, for 54 yards to the RICH04 (#22 D.Geronomi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.7%
(00:44) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left thrown to RICH00 PENALTY RICH Holding (#12 T.Bullock) 2 yards from RICH04 to RICH02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle thrown to RICH00 PENALTY RICH Holding (#13 K.Richardson) 1 yard from RICH02 to RICH01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
(00:28) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RICH34 (#13 J.Adedire)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:37100% → 100%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.7%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass complete short right to #0 V.Snow caught at NCSU40, for 7 yards to the NCSU41 (#31 H.Wood), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
99.7%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Desinor rush right for 4 yards gain to the NCSU45 (#40 J.Wilkes; #42 B.Laughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.8%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass complete short right to #82 C.Robinson caught at NCSU50, for 6 yards to the RICH49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Desinor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RICH46 (#44 M.Bailey; #31 H.Wood)Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
(12:30) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RICH40 (#95 B.Lee; #40 J.Wilkes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
99.8%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson sacked for loss of 2 yards to the RICH42 (#91 J.Serkfem)Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+16
99.8%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush left for 16 yards gain to the RICH26 (#12 T.Bullock), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
99.8%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.McCoy rush middle for 12 yards gain to the RICH14 (#21 J.Thorne; #40 J.Wilkes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass incomplete short right to #45 T.Vaughn thrown to RICH00 QB hurried by #6 C.ByrdSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.8%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass complete short right to #45 T.Vaughn caught at RICH06, for 9 yards to the RICH05 (#42 B.Laughlin; #21 J.Thorne)Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush left for 5 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:04, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Foster-Powell rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RICH24 (#34 C.Cronk; #44 J.Moreta)Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan pass complete short right to #3 A.Foster-Powell caught at RICH18, for 2 yards loss to the RICH22 (#12 C.Gordon), out of bounds PENALTY RICH Illegal Shift 5 yards from RICH24 to RICH19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan pass incomplete short left to #15 K.Williams thrown to RICH30 broken up by #24 M.TateSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-3
99.9%
(07:48) Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan sacked for loss of 3 yards to the RICH16 (#47 A.Farrow)Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
PENALTY RICH Delay Of Game 5 yards from RICH16 to RICH11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 24
OWN 11
-6
99.9%
(06:57) #37 N.Gray punt 40 yards to the NCSU49 muffed by #0 V.Snow at NCSU49 recovered by RICH #12 T.Bullock at NCSU43, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU42 (#29 B.Barnhardt)Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
(06:02) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU36 (#56 O.Abraham)Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
99.9%
(05:16) Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan pass incomplete short left to #15 K.Williams thrown to NCSU19Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-10
99.9%
(05:11) Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan sacked for loss of 10 yards to the NCSU46 (#58 E.Satchell), fumble by #6 J.Callaghan recovered by RICH #75 B.McIntyre at NCSU46, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+51
99.9%
(05:04) Shotgun #14 J.Paylor rush right for 51 yards gain to the RICH03 (#31 H.Wood), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
(04:12) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass complete short middle to #86 H.Provience caught at RICH00, for 3 yards to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:12 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan pass incomplete short middle to #33 M.Jones thrown to RICH25 broken up by #33 Z.MooreSimilar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 13 yards gain to the RICH38 (#4 K.Mack; #29 B.Barnhardt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RICH39 (#56 O.Abraham)Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan rush left for 2 yards gain to the RICH41 (#33 Z.Moore; #24 M.Tate)Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
100.0%
(01:50) Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan pass incomplete short left to #15 K.Williams thrown to NCSU50 broken up by #24 M.TateSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
100.0%
(01:47) #37 N.Gray punt 42 yards to the NCSU17 fair catch by #0 V.Snow at NCSU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 10:03100% → 100%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
(01:41) Shotgun #25 D.Johnson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU22 (#91 J.Serkfem; #92 J.Reece)Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
(01:05) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU26 (#40 J.Wilkes)Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
(00:21) Shotgun #25 D.Johnson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU32 (#40 J.Wilkes; #42 B.Laughlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
(09:57) Shotgun #20 D.Desinor rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NCSU40 (#39 K.Mungro; #91 J.Serkfem)Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+24
99.9%
(09:24) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 24 yards gain to the RICH36 (#39 K.Mungro; #34 C.Calmus), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.9%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 N.Moss rush right for 13 yards gain to the RICH23 (#33 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
100.0%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 N.Moss rush left for 23 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 07:57 PENALTY NCSU Holding (#56 B.Smith) 10 yards from RICH23 to RICH33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 20
OPP 33
0
100.0%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass complete short middle to #45 T.Vaughn caught at RICH34, for 0 yards to the RICH33 (#92 J.Reece; #34 C.Calmus)Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 20
OPP 33
0
100.0%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson pass incomplete short left to #83 A.Acker thrown to RICH27Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 20
OPP 33
+5
100.0%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.McCoy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RICH28 (#33 M.Jones; #44 M.Bailey)Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
100.0%
(06:33) #94 K.Vinesett field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias), clock 06:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush right for 6 yards gain to the RICH31 (#44 J.Moreta)Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
(05:43) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RICH33 (#33 Z.Moore; #30 Z.Williams)Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-3
100.0%
(04:57) Shotgun #6 J.Callaghan rush middle for 3 yards loss to the RICH30 (#47 A.Farrow)Similar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
100.0%
(04:14) #37 N.Gray punt 47 yards to the NCSU23 #0 V.Snow return 9 yards to the NCSU32 (#30 A.McKenzie)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
(04:03) Shotgun #26 I.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU37 (#40 J.Wilkes; #92 J.Reece)Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 I.Jones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU39 (#34 C.Calmus)Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 I.Jones rush right for 5 yards gain to the NCSU44 (#92 J.Reece), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.McCoy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU49 (#20 M.Holland)Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+51
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #24 D.McCoy rush middle for 51 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RICH30 (#25 S.Dixon; #30 Z.Williams)Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
100.0%
(01:03) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush right for 1 yard loss to the RICH29 (#58 E.Satchell)Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
(00:14) Shotgun #36 W.Stephenson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RICH36 (#16 P.Surratt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:33
(11:37) #11 C.Bailey rush right for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:33 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)
+0.7
TD · Q1 1:01
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:01 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)
+0.6
TD · Q2 8:30
(08:31) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:30 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com