2026 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2026 · Doak Campbell Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
FLA31
FSU27
FLA by 4 · market FLA by 4.5
Win chance
FLA57%
FLA 57%FSU 43%
Projected total
58pts
Market total 52.5
Explore the range of outcomes
49%
chance Florida wins by 3 or more
51% Florida wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← FSU winsFLA wins →
-35-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- FSU by 6 to FLA by 10
- 80% of outcomes
- FSU by 16 to FLA by 20
- 90% of outcomes
- FSU by 26 to FLA by 27
- Median
- FLA by 2
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.