2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreNCSU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:00 · (01:05) #96 J.Waller punt 49 yards to the VAN00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q3 7:03: Makhilyn Young 7 Yd Run (Brock Taylor Kick) — VAN win probability +14.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
- TD · Q4 14:11: (14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #28 S.Alexander caught at NCS08, for 10 yards to the NCS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:11, 1ST DOWN #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel) — VAN win probability +26.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: VAN +2 timeouts on the defense).
- TD · Q4 9:35: (09:39) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN00, for 23 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:35, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias) — NCSU win probability +21.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 6:18: Junior Sherrill 43 Yd pass from Jared Curtis (Brock Taylor Kick) — VAN win probability +31.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
- TD · Q4 0:00: Cayden Daniels 0 Yd Fumble Return (Brock Taylor Kick) — VAN win probability +85.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
- Q1 8:44VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 39, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call57.3%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt57.0%−0.4average punt
- Q1 6:09VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 40, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snapGo for it55.5%−0.329% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call55.8%average punt
- Q2 14:52NCSU 4th & 14 at NCSU 13, up 14Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snapGo for it51.2%−2.417% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call53.6%average punt
- Q2 8:09NCSU 4th & 5 at VAN 7, up 14Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snapGo for it59.2%−<0.134% to convertField goalTheir call59.2%91% to makePunt51.9%−7.3average punt
- Q2 3:32VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 45, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snapGo for it32.8%−1.026% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call33.7%average punt
- Q2 1:51NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 14, up 17Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call73.6%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt71.8%−1.7average punt
- Q2 1:06NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 19, up 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snapGo for it71.5%−1.638% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call73.1%average punt
- Q3 13:48VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 16, down 10Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snapGo for it35.2%−0.835% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call36.1%average punt
- Q3 10:52VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 25, down 10Close callPunted · 34.0% before the snapGo for it34.7%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call34.3%−0.4average punt
- Q3 5:01NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 34, up 10Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call71.4%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt69.7%−1.8average punt
- Q3 1:00NCSU 4th & 6 at VAN 49, up 10Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snapGo for it74.0%−0.140% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call74.1%average punt
- Q4 8:02VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, down 10Close callWent for it · 13.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call14.0%−0.341% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt14.3%average punt
- Q4 3:27NCSU 4th & 1 at VAN 38, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call74.7%70% to convertField goal65.5%−9.238% to makePunt64.6%−10.1average punt
- Q4 2:04NCSU 4th & 7 at VAN 31, up 3Close callWent for it · 78.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call76.6%−0.137% to convertField goal76.7%54% to makePunt70.8%−6.0average punt
- Q4 0:00NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 5, up 3Numbers favored punt by 11.8 ptsWent for it · 83.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call74.4%−11.833% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt86.2%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
- Q1 11:05NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call41.4%97% to makeGo for two41.4%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 2:58NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call49.3%97% to makeGo for two49.2%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 0:12VAN Touchdown, down 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call38.0%97% to makeGo for two37.9%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 8:52NCSU Touchdown, up 16 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call78.0%97% to makeGo for two77.8%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 7:03VAN Touchdown, down 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call32.2%97% to makeGo for two32.1%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 14:11VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call41.6%97% to makeGo for two41.2%−0.445% to convert
- Q4 9:35NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call83.0%97% to makeGo for two82.6%−0.445% to convert
- Q4 6:18VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the tryNumbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · madeKickTheir call30.5%−1.797% to makeGo for two32.1%45% to convert
- Q4 0:00VAN Touchdown, up 3 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call79.0%−0.997% to makeGo for two79.9%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartNCSUDrive 1TD8 plays · 82 yds · 3:4343% → 45%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
57.2%
(14:50) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NCS25 (#24 N.Rinaldi; #17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
57.2%
(14:24) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush right for 5 yards gain to the NCS30 (#5 Y.Ouattara; #53 G.Seabrooks III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
57.3%
(13:44) #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #2 J.Trader caught at NCS44, for 14 yards to the NCS44 (#4 M.Hight), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
57.1%
(13:08) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush right for 10 yards gain to the VAN46 (#7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
57.0%
(12:33) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN44, for 6 yards to the VAN40 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
57.0%
(11:55) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN38 (#25 M.Lewis; #92 J.Stone)Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+38
55.5%
(11:06) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 38 yards gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:05, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT11 plays · 10 yds · 4:4956% → 54%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
56.0%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush right for 7 yards gain to the VAN37 (#55 K.Evans; #14 J.Sensabaugh)Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+5
56.0%
(10:21) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep left to #5 T.Brown thrown to NCS35 PENALTY VAN Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#58 O.Irving) 5 yards from VAN37 to VAN32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
55.8%
(10:16) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN35, for 6 yards to the VAN38 (#3 T.Teasdell; #0 P.Aguirre)Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
55.7%
(09:37) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN39, for 1 yard to the VAN39 (#2 R.Royal, III)Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+1
55.1%
(08:48) #2 J.Curtis rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN40 (#42 K.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
55.3%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN41 (#0 P.Aguirre)Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
54.9%
(07:33) #22 M.Young rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN45 (#3 T.Teasdell) PENALTY VAN Holding (#70 C.McConnell) 10 yards from VAN41 to VAN31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+9
54.4%
(07:07) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #5 T.Brown caught at VAN35, for 9 yards to the VAN40 (#22 J.Vick)Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
54.2%
(06:24) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Thomas thrown to VAN47 QB hurried by #35 L.HodgeSimilar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+33
53.7%
(06:19) #37 T.Ebel punt 47 yards to the NCS13 #0 V.Snow return 33 yards to the NCS46 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD8 plays · 54 yds · 3:0747% → 53%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
53.1%
(06:10) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCS48 (#11 B.Longwell; #94 B.Mann)Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
52.9%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #13 T.Warren caught at VAN47, for 5 yards to the VAN47 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
52.9%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 4 yards gain to the VAN43 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
52.4%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #5 D.Dozier thrown to VAN30Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
52.3%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #5 D.Dozier caught at VAN30, for 13 yards to the VAN30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
52.0%
(03:38) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 0 yards to the VAN30 (#94 B.Mann; #25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
46.9%
(03:00) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN03, for 30 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:58, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4INT5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2049% → 47%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.5%
(02:44) #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Thomas thrown to NCS41 QB hurried by #55 K.EvansSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
48.4%
(02:45) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAN45 (#31 B.Benson)Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
48.4%
(02:01) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 3 yards gain to the VAN48 (#0 P.Aguirre) PENALTY VAN Holding (#58 O.Irving) 10 yards from VAN45 to VAN35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
46.8%
(01:31) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass intercepted by #14 J.Sensabaugh at NCS17 QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson III, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2754% → 55%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
46.0%
(01:22) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush left for 0 yards to the NCS17 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
45.7%
(00:44) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCS19 (#94 B.Mann; #32 M.Carter)Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-6
45.3%
(00:02) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NCS13 (#24 N.Rinaldi)Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 14
OWN 13
0
45.5%
(14:51) #96 J.Waller punt 32 yards to the NCS45 fair catch by #4 M.Hight at NCS45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6FUMBLE5 plays · 13 yds · 1:5048% → 46%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
47.6%
PENALTY VAN False Start (#51 C.Azubuike) 5 yards from NCS45 to NCS50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 15
50
+10
47.0%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #22 M.Young caught at NCS40, for 10 yards to the NCS40 (#31 B.Benson)Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
47.2%
(14:10) #22 M.Young rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCS36 (#47 A.Farrow)Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
46.4%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCS34 (#0 P.Aguirre; #47 A.Farrow), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
46.4%
(13:03) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCS32 fumbled by #2 J.Curtis at NCS33 forced by #0 P.Aguirre recovered by NCS #47 A.Farrow at NCS32, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7FG13 plays · 61 yds · 4:4857% → 60%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.8%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #82 C.Robinson thrown to NCS46Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
42.9%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #13 T.Warren thrown to NCS45 broken up by #24 N.RinaldiSimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+15
43.0%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #2 J.Trader caught at NCS40, for 15 yards to the NCS47 (#25 M.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
41.5%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at NCS43, for 13 yards to the VAN40 (#5 Y.Ouattara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
40.3%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN31, for 10 yards to the VAN30 (#1 D.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
39.8%
(10:46) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #2 J.Trader thrown to VAN00Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
39.7%
(10:45) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN29 (#99 T.Carter)Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+17
36.7%
(10:13) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 D.Gause caught at VAN25, for 17 yards to the VAN12 (#21 D.Chandler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
35.3%
(09:30) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN10 (#24 N.Rinaldi)Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
34.6%
(08:48) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 3 yards gain to the VAN07 (#32 M.Carter), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
35.0%
(08:15) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #86 H.Provience thrown to VAN00Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
40.5%
(08:09) #94 K.Vinesett field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias), clock 08:09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT12 plays · 27 yds · 4:2739% → 34%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
38.5%
(08:02) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 9 yards gain to the VAN27 (#42 K.Carter; #31 B.Benson)Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
38.9%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Conner thrown to VAN30Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+4
38.5%
(07:41) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 4 yards gain to the VAN31 (#44 J.Moreta; #88 I.Shirley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
37.7%
(06:58) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #13 K.Barnett caught at VAN27, for 6 yards to the VAN37, out of bounds at VAN41 PENALTY VAN Holding (#9 B.Coleman) 10 yards from VAN37 to VAN27Similar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 14
OWN 27
+5
36.6%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #13 K.Barnett caught at VAN27, for 5 yards to the VAN32 (#4 K.Mack)Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+14
36.2%
(05:55) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #5 T.Brown caught at VAN40, for 14 yards to the VAN46 (#4 K.Mack; #31 B.Benson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
37.9%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #22 M.Young caught at VAN46, for 0 yards to the VAN46 (#0 P.Aguirre)Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
37.3%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush right for 3 yards gain to the VAN49 (#5 H.Dyson III), out of bounds PENALTY VAN Holding (#56 L.Cooper) 10 yards from VAN46 to VAN36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+9
34.4%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 9 yards gain to the VAN45 (#58 E.Satchell)Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
34.8%
(03:47) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short right to #9 B.Coleman thrown to NCS36 broken up by #4 K.MackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9PUNT14 plays · 14 yds · 2:1867% → 72%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
33.0%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush right for 7 yards gain to the NCS12 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+1
31.3%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCS13 (#22 B.Cowan; #53 G.Seabrooks III)Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+1
31.3%
(02:09) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush right for 1 yard gain to the NCS14 (#22 B.Cowan; #53 G.Seabrooks III)Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 1
OWN 14
+1
26.3%
(01:53) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCS15 (#17 E.Kolenge; #5 Y.Ouattara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
25.3%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 11 yards gain (7) to the NCS26 (#8 C.Heard) PENALTY NCS Holding (#54 T.Andersen) 10 yards from NCS22 to NCS12Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 13
OWN 12
0
25.2%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 0 yards to the NCS12 (#5 Y.Ouattara)Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+5
27.7%
PENALTY NCS False Start (#19 P.Douglas) 5 yards from NCS12 to NCS07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 18
OWN 7
0
30.3%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Jackson thrown to NCS37Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 18
OWN 7
+12
30.7%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 12 yards gain to the NCS19 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
27.6%
(01:11) #96 J.Waller punt 26 yards to the NCS45, out of bounds at NCS45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10TD6 plays · 45 yds · 0:4932% → 42%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
32.3%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short right to #28 S.Alexander thrown to NCS43 broken up by #35 L.Hodge QB hurried by #5 H.Dyson IIISimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
32.0%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 20 yards gain to the NCS25, out of bounds at NCS25 PENALTY VAN Holding (#58 O.Irving) 10 yards from NCS45 to VAN45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+9
30.3%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #7 C.Adams caught at NCS46, for 9 yards to the NCS46 (#3 T.Teasdell)Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+19
29.8%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 19 yards gain to the NCS27 (#10 T.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
32.4%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep middle to #8 J.Conner thrown to NCS00 PENALTY NCS Illegal Substitution declined NCS Pass Interference (#10 T.White) 15 yards from NCS27 to NCS12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
42.4%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at NCS00, for 12 yards to the NCS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:12, 1ST DOWN #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11END OF HALF3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5637% → 35%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
37.4%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush right for 3 yards gain to the VAN16 (#3 T.Teasdell)Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
37.2%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep left to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to NCS43 broken up by #14 J.SensabaughSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
35.8%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep left to #8 J.Conner thrown to VAN44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13INT4 plays · 30 yds · 1:2863% → 66%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
36.9%
(13:39) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #86 H.Provience caught at NCS47, for 18 yards to the NCS48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
35.6%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 9 yards gain to the VAN43 (#7 R.Jones; #24 N.Rinaldi)Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
34.0%
(12:41) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VAN40 (#22 B.Cowan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
34.1%
(12:08) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass intercepted by #22 B.Cowan at VAN17 #22 B.Cowan return 0 yards to the VAN17 (#86 H.Provience)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0235% → 33%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
35.2%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #8 J.Conner caught at VAN22, for 9 yards to the VAN26 (#22 J.Vick)Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
36.0%
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #9 B.Coleman thrown to VAN30Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-1
34.8%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Lassiter rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VAN25 (#2 R.Royal, III), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
33.1%
(10:54) #37 T.Ebel punt 31 yards to the NCS44, out of bounds at NCS44 PENALTY VAN Illegal Formation 5 yards from NCS44 to NCS49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15TD5 plays · 51 yds · 1:5167% → 82%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
33.3%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN45, for 6 yards to the VAN45 (#26 C.Daniels), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+22
32.8%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #19 P.Douglas caught at VAN30, for 22 yards to the VAN23 (#7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
32.4%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAN18 (#24 N.Rinaldi; #29 M.Capers)Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
31.9%
(09:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at VAN20, for 6 yards to the VAN12 (#7 R.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY VAN Face Mask declined VAN Horse Collar Tackle (#7 R.Jones) 6 yards from VAN12 to VAN06, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.0%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN00, for 6 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:52 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4221% → 37%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
21.1%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 17 yards gain to the VAN42 (#7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
22.3%
(08:06) No Huddle #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VAN45 (#31 B.Benson) PENALTY NCS Face Mask (#31 B.Benson) 15 yards from VAN45 to NCS40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+33
22.5%
(07:38) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete deep left to #5 T.Brown caught at NCS07, for 33 yards to the NCS07, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT14 plays · 26 yds · 5:4768% → 75%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.0%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 2 yards gain to the NCS27, out of bounds at NCS27Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
30.5%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #82 C.Robinson caught at NCS34, for 7 yards to the NCS34 (#4 M.Hight)Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
30.2%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the NCS34 (#11 B.Longwell; #92 J.Stone)Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
29.2%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCS36 (#17 E.Kolenge; #53 G.Seabrooks III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
27.0%
(04:24) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush left for 1 yard loss to the NCS35 (#97 H.Bray)Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-1
27.5%
(03:52) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #0 V.Snow caught at NCS34, for 1 yard loss to the NCS34 (#7 R.Jones)Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+13
28.0%
(03:14) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 D.Gause caught at NCS33, for 13 yards to the NCS47 (#3 C.Lawrence), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
24.5%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #7 D.Gause caught at NCS48, for 2 yards to the NCS49 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
23.2%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #1 J.Scott caught at NCS43, for 2 yards to the VAN49 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
22.7%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Jackson thrown to VAN40 broken up by #26 C.DanielsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD8 plays · 80 yds · 1:4428% → 59%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
27.6%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VAN23 (#99 A.Prim)Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
27.4%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 1 yard gain to the VAN24 (#58 E.Satchell)Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+38
26.1%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete deep right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at NCS41, for 38 yards to the NCS38 (#14 J.Sensabaugh), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
30.6%
(14:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #9 B.Coleman caught at NCS30, for 18 yards to the NCS20 (#14 J.Sensabaugh), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
32.9%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #28 S.Alexander thrown to NCS15Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
32.2%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short middle to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to NCS15 PENALTY NCS Roughing The Passer (#99 A.Prim) 10 yards from NCS20 to NCS10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
58.6%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #28 S.Alexander caught at NCS08, for 10 yards to the NCS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:11, 1ST DOWN #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19TD11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3055% → 88%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.5%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Trader thrown to NCS42Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
46.5%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Trader thrown to NCS40 broken up by #6 J.Matthews PENALTY VAN Pass Interference (#6 J.Matthews) 15 yards from NCS25 to NCS40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
42.4%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Trader thrown to NCS46 broken up by #26 C.DanielsSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
43.2%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at NCS44, for 4 yards to the NCS44 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+11
42.4%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at NCS50, for 11 yards to the VAN45 (#26 C.Daniels; #7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
37.8%
(12:29) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN44 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
37.6%
(11:51) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 5 yards gain to the VAN39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+14
37.8%
(11:10) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN34, for 14 yards to the VAN25 (#7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
33.1%
(10:22) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush right for 2 yards gain to the VAN23 (#17 E.Kolenge; #11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
11.7%
(09:39) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN00, for 23 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:35, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20TD10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1418% → 48%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.6%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short right to #22 M.Young thrown to VAN31Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.1%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #28 S.Alexander caught at VAN22, for 5 yards to the VAN30 (#7 B.Nelson II)Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
16.3%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 0 yards to the VAN30 fumbled by #2 J.Curtis at VAN25 recovered by VAN #2 J.Curtis at VAN26 (#34 C.Cronk; #26 J.Best)Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
14.6%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush right for 9 yards gain to the VAN39 (#25 S.Dixon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
17.1%
PENALTY VAN False Start (#75 B.Johnson) 5 yards from VAN39 to VAN34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+13
15.1%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush right for 13 yards gain to the VAN47 (#0 P.Aguirre)Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+10
17.6%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush right for 10 yards gain to the NCS43 (#4 K.Mack; #92 C.Bond), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
16.7%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep right to #28 S.Alexander thrown to NCS21 broken up by #29 B.BarnhardtSimilar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
48.2%
Junior Sherrill 43 Yd pass from Jared Curtis (Brock Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21DOWNS12 plays · 44 yds · 4:0667% → 78%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
33.2%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 28 yards gain to the VAN47 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
26.1%
(05:36) Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush left for 1 yard gain to the VAN46 (#11 B.Longwell; #94 B.Mann)Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+5
24.8%
(04:42) Shotgun #2 J.Trader pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at VAN41, for 5 yards to the VAN41 (#26 C.Daniels)Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
24.1%
(04:12) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 3 yards gain to the VAN38 (#7 R.Jones; #29 M.Capers)Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
25.8%
(03:31) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush right for 4 yards gain to the VAN34 (#11 B.Longwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
20.6%
(02:55) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush right for 2 yards gain to the VAN32 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+5
18.3%
PENALTY NCS False Start (#62 J.McCrimon) 5 yards from VAN32 to VAN37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
19.2%
(02:18) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #0 V.Snow thrown to VAN23 QB hurried by #24 N.RinaldiSimilar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+6
20.5%
(02:10) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 D.Gause caught at VAN32, for 6 yards to the VAN31 (#11 B.Longwell). #62 J.McCrimon injured on the playSimilar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 7
OPP 31
0
22.0%
(02:07) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #6 A.Locklear thrown to VAN13 broken up by #7 R.Jones, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22INT9 plays · 53 yds · 0:5333% → 41%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
33.3%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete deep right to #5 T.Brown caught at NCS48, for 25 yards to the NCS44 (#2 R.Royal, III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
37.9%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush right for 1 yard gain to the NCS43 (#92 C.Bond; #53 J.Warren, Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+8
36.1%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #0 J.Sherrill caught at NCS40, for 8 yards to the NCS35 (#14 J.Sensabaugh)Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
38.3%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCS32 (#5 H.Dyson III; #34 C.Cronk), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
40.4%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep left to #28 S.Alexander thrown to NCS05Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+16
38.2%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #7 C.Adams caught at NCS27, for 16 yards to the NCS16, out of bounds at NCS16, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
40.7%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass intercepted by #29 B.Barnhardt at NCS02, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23FUMBLE RETURN TD7 plays · -2 yds · 0:5987% → 7%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
13.1%
(00:59) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCS05 (#17 E.Kolenge; #92 J.Stone)Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
12.4%
(00:55) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCS08 (#94 B.Mann)Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+1
8.9%
(00:49) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCS09 (#8 C.Heard; #17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+4
7.6%
PENALTY NCS Delay Of Game (#11 C.Bailey) 4 yards from NCS09 to NCS05. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24FUMBLE3 plays · 13 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.8%
(00:00) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #8 K.Jackson caught at NCS36, for 13 yards to the NCS38 lateral to #1 J.Scott for 13 yards gain to the NCS40 fumbled by #1 J.Scott at NCS40 recovered by VAN #6 J.Matthews at NCS38, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Cayden Daniels 0 Yd Fumble Return (Brock Taylor Kick)
+85.1
TD · Q4 6:18
Junior Sherrill 43 Yd pass from Jared Curtis (Brock Taylor Kick)
+31.5
TD · Q4 14:11
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #28 S.Alexander caught at NCS08, for 10 yards to the NCS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:11, 1ST DOWN #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel)
+26.4