2025 · Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl · Dec 19, 2025 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreMEM score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:03 · (08:03) #94 K.Vinesett field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann), clock 08:03
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q1 3:21: Wesley Grimes 31 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- TD · Q2 14:56: No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann) — NCSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- TD · Q2 4:59: (05:07) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #9 J.Hawkins caught at NC St.24, for 28 yards to the NC St.00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut) — MEM win probability +6.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q2 4:53: (04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NC St.38 (#3 S.Brumfield; #5 C.Bracy) — NCSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- TD · Q2 1:28: (01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #12 T.Hoffmann caught at Mep09, for 40 yards to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:28, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann) — NCSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
- Q1 8:11MEM 4th & 9 at MEM 40, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snapGo for it34.7%−0.132% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call34.8%average punt
- Q1 8:18NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 25, up 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snapGo for it64.4%−0.425% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call64.8%average punt
- Q1 4:16MEM 4th & 2 at NCSU 33, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call34.5%57% to convertField goal34.1%−0.449% to makePunt33.9%−0.6average punt
- Q2 10:33MEM 4th & 10 at NCSU 38, down 21Close callKicked a field goal · 15.8% before the snapGo for it15.3%30% to convertField goalTheir call15.1%−0.238% to makePunt15.2%−0.1average punt
- Q2 8:03NCSU 4th & 5 at MEM 34, up 21Close callKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snapGo for it86.5%42% to convertField goalTheir call86.0%−0.547% to makePunt85.3%−1.2average punt
- Q2 3:19NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 42, up 17Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snapGo for it84.5%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call83.9%−0.7average punt
- Q2 1:55MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 37, down 17Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snapGo for it15.5%−0.337% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call15.8%average punt
- Q3 12:51MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 37, down 24Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snapGo for it7.4%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call7.2%−0.2average punt
- Q3 6:18NCSU 4th & 9 at MEM 39, up 24Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snapGo for it96.0%32% to convertField goal95.8%−0.236% to makePuntTheir call95.9%−0.1average punt
- Q3 5:20MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 24, down 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snapGo for it3.7%−0.438% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call4.1%average punt
- Q3 2:41NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 48, up 24Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call97.5%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt96.8%−0.7average punt
- Q4 14:06NCSU 4th & 22 at MEM 32, up 24Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call97.6%−0.58% to convertField goal98.1%51% to makePunt97.9%−0.2average punt
- Q4 10:23MEM 4th & 9 at NCSU 34, down 24Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call1.3%32% to convertField goal1.3%−<0.147% to makePunt1.2%−0.1average punt
- Q4 8:47NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 39, up 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snapGo for it98.8%−<0.141% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call98.9%average punt
- Q4 8:40NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 39, up 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snapGo for it98.8%−<0.141% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call98.9%average punt
- Q4 2:49MEM 4th & 1 at NCSU 28, down 24Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call0.7%71% to convertField goal0.6%−0.160% to makePunt0.5%−0.2average punt
- Q4 1:04NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 31, up 24Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snapGo for it99.4%−0.133% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call99.5%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
- Q1 11:32NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call63.7%97% to makeGo for two63.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 3:21NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call71.3%97% to makeGo for two71.2%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 14:56NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call82.0%97% to makeGo for two81.9%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 4:59MEM Touchdown, down 18 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call18.7%97% to makeGo for two18.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 1:28NCSU Touchdown, up 23 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call91.7%97% to makeGo for two91.6%−0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartNCSUDrive 1TD8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0169% → 70%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
68.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #8 K.Jackson caught at NC St.46, for 23 yards to the NC St.48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
69.0%
(14:16) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NC St.50 (#5 C.Bracy; #6 E.Roussaw Jr.)Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 8
50
+4
68.9%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush right for 4 yards gain to the Mep46 (#5 C.Bracy; #31 D.Ward)Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+7
68.9%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Mep39 (#7 D.Watts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
69.0%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #87 D.Daniels caught at Mep17, for 22 yards to the Mep17 (#24 K.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
69.0%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Mep14 (#3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
70.0%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 14 yards gain to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:32, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT7 plays · 1 yds · 3:0131% → 30%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
69.4%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush left for 3 yards gain to the Mep42 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
69.4%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #12 B.Kluse caught at Mep43, for 0 yards to the Mep42 (#6 D.Marshall) PENALTY Mep Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#52 Y.Walker) 5 yards from Mep42 to Mep37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-2
70.2%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #9 J.Hawkins caught at Mep33, for 2 yards loss to the Mep35 (#1 C.Fordham; #54 S.Harsh)Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+5
70.5%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #22 F.Peasant caught at Mep36, for 5 yards to the Mep40 (#41 C.Gordon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3PUNT4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0770% → 70%
Q1 8:18
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
69.8%
#91 N.Konieczynski punt 45 yards to the Mep30 fair catch by #0 J.Thompson at Mep30Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
70.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush right for 1 yard loss to the NC St.25 (#7 D.Watts; #99 P.Walker)Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
70.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #5 N.Rogers thrown to NC St.35 QB hurried by #93 J.BellSimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
70.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #6 W.Grimes thrown to NC St.45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4DOWNS13 plays · 37 yds · 4:0230% → 30%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep right to #12 B.Kluse thrown to Mep50Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
70.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 12 yards gain (2) to the Mep42 (#26 A.Brown Jr.) PENALTY Mep Holding (#62 E.Newman) 10 yards from Mep32 to Mep22Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+2
70.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #9 J.Hawkins caught at Mep18, for 2 yards to the Mep24 (#6 D.Marshall)Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+24
70.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #6 M.Bussey caught at Mep42, for 24 yards to the Mep48 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
69.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NC St.47 (#1 C.Fordham; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
69.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep right to #12 B.Kluse thrown to NC St.26Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
69.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #6 M.Bussey caught at NC St.45, for 6 yards to the NC St.41 (#6 D.Marshall; #54 S.Harsh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
69.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush right for 1 yard gain to the NC St.40 (#6 D.Marshall; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
69.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NC St.33 (#1 C.Fordham; #26 A.Brown Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
69.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Smith thrown to NC St.25 broken up by #22 J.VickSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
69.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short right to #6 M.Bussey thrown to NC St.46Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
70.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 0 yards to the NC St.33 (#1 C.Fordham; #8 C.Slone), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD5 plays · 67 yds · 1:0271% → 75%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
70.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #6 W.Grimes thrown to NC St.30 PENALTY Mep Pass Interference (#1 O.Cooper) 15 yards from NC St.33 to NC St.48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
71.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #5 N.Rogers caught at Mep47, for 21 yards to the Mep31 (#7 D.Watts), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
71.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #6 W.Grimes thrown to Mep33 broken up by #6 E.Roussaw Jr.Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
71.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Jackson thrown to Mep11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6INT5 plays · 26 yds · 2:0726% → 26%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Mep34 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
73.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 13 yards gain to the Mep47 (#19 T.Teasdell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
73.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #6 M.Bussey caught at Mep50, for 4 yards to the NC St.49 (#1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-55
73.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass intercepted by #1 C.Fordham at NC St.42 #1 C.Fordham return 55 yards to the Mep03 (#87 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0877% → 83%
Q1 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
76.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Mep01 (#5 C.Bracy; #7 D.Watts)Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the Mep01 (#1 O.Cooper). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:06)Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8MISSED FG11 plays · 37 yds · 4:1517% → 14%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Mep32 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
82.8%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Mep30 (#44 B.Cleveland; #30 Z.Williams)Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
83.5%
(13:43) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #12 B.Kluse caught at Mep35, for 10 yards to the Mep40 (#7 B.Nelson, II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
83.9%
(13:06) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush right for 7 yards gain to the Mep47 (#7 B.Nelson, II)Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
83.7%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep right to #12 B.Kluse thrown to NC St.25 broken up by #7 B.Nelson, IISimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+15
84.0%
(12:35) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #87 B.Anderson caught at Mep50, for 15 yards to the NC St.38 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
83.9%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NC St.36 (#90 J.Victor)Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-2
84.6%
(11:26) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #22 F.Peasant caught at NC St.41, for 2 yards loss to the NC St.38 (#22 J.Vick; #1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
85.6%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep right to #8 B.Dorsey thrown to NC St.07Similar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
85.7%
(10:33) #44 G.Spetic field goal attempt from 56 yards NO GOOD (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut), clock 10:33, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9FG7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2388% → 90%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
87.5%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NC St.43 (#24 K.Wilson; #33 D.Mathena)Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
89.1%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #9 T.Anderson thrown to Mep08Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+18
88.9%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #82 P.Douglas caught at NC St.46, for 18 yards to the Mep39 (#5 C.Bracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
89.5%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 4 yards gain to the Mep35 (#13 J.Jordan; #8 C.Burden)Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
89.8%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mep34 (#7 D.Watts)Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
89.3%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #5 N.Rogers thrown to Mep20 broken up by #9 W.Whitlow Jr.Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+51
90.0%
(08:03) #94 K.Vinesett field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann), clock 08:03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5612% → 18%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.9%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush left for 11 yards gain to the Mep36 (#6 D.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.7%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #88 J.Cross caught at Mep41, for 9 yards to the Mep45 (#6 D.Marshall; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
87.3%
(07:07) Shotgun #9 J.Hawkins rush left for 7 yards gain to the NC St.48 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.8%
(06:28) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short right thrown to NC St.40 QB hurried by #33 K.Soares, Jr.Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
88.1%
(06:25) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush right for 13 yards gain to the NC St.35 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.6%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short middle to #32 M.Adcock thrown to NC St.25 QB hurried by #4 T.ThomasSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
88.4%
(05:41) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NC St.28 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+28
81.8%
(05:07) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #9 J.Hawkins caught at NC St.24, for 28 yards to the NC St.00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3486% → 86%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
86.2%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NC St.38 (#3 S.Brumfield; #5 C.Bracy)Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
86.8%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #44 C.Hardy caught at NC St.42, for 9 yards to the NC St.47 (#7 D.Watts; #24 K.Wilson) PENALTY NC St. Illegal Touch-Pass (#44 C.Hardy) 6 yards from NC St.38 to NC St.32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+10
86.5%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #6 W.Grimes caught at NC St.37, for 10 yards to the NC St.42 (#3 S.Brumfield; #2 C.Logan Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
86.3%
(03:23) #98 C.Noonkester punt 39 yards to the Mep19 fair catch by #0 J.Thompson at Mep19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2016% → 14%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
84.5%
(03:15) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #0 J.Thompson caught at Mep10, for 5 yards loss to the Mep14 (#22 J.Vick) PENALTY NC St. Face Mask (#22 J.Vick) 15 yards from Mep19 to Mep34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
83.9%
(03:10) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Mep33 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.; #8 C.Slone)Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
85.1%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete short left thrown to Mep43 QB hurried by #54 S.HarshSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+4
85.4%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #9 J.Hawkins caught at Mep36, for 4 yards to the Mep37 (#19 T.Teasdell)Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
85.7%
(01:58) #30 L.Carrigan punt 38 yards to the NC St.25 fair catch by #9 T.Anderson at NC St.25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13TD3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2088% → 94%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.4%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right thrown to NC St.30 QB hurried by #88 R.BuellSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+35
88.4%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 35 yards gain to the Mep40 (#5 C.Bracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
94.4%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #12 T.Hoffmann caught at Mep09, for 40 yards to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:28, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14END OF HALF6 plays · 2 yds · 1:008% → 7%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
91.7%
PENALTY Mep False Start (#68 J.Young) 5 yards from Mep31 to Mep26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+8
92.2%
(01:21) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Mep34 (#26 A.Brown Jr.)Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-11
91.9%
(01:00) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis sacked for loss of 11 yards to the Mep23 (#4 T.Thomas)Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 18
OWN 23
+10
92.6%
(00:22) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Mep33 (#19 T.Teasdell; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:528% → 6%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
92.2%
(14:54) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short right to #8 B.Dorsey caught at Mep25, for 2 yards to the Mep32 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
92.4%
(14:17) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush left for 4 yards gain to the Mep36 (#1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+1
92.2%
(13:31) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short left to #22 F.Peasant caught at Mep35, for 1 yard to the Mep37 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
93.6%
(12:57) #30 L.Carrigan punt 53 yards to the NC St.10, out of bounds at NC St.10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16PUNT13 plays · 51 yds · 6:2694% → 96%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
93.9%
(12:48) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 3 yards gain to the NC St.13 (#24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+12
94.3%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 12 yards gain to the NC St.25 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
94.4%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 6 yards gain to the NC St.31 (#24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-9
94.8%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NC St.22 (#7 D.Watts)Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 19
OWN 22
+15
94.9%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Joly thrown to NC St.37 PENALTY Mep Pass Interference (#11 I.Young) 15 yards from NC St.22 to NC St.37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.2%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 6 yards gain to the NC St.43 (#7 D.Watts; #1 O.Cooper)Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
95.3%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 0 yards to the NC St.43 (#13 J.Jordan)Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+17
95.5%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #7 J.Joly caught at Mep41, for 17 yards to the Mep40 (#31 D.Ward), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
96.0%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #9 T.Anderson caught at Mep41, for 8 yards loss to the Mep48 (#98 J.Marable)Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 18
OPP 48
+10
95.7%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #4 J.Scott caught at Mep44, for 7 yards to the Mep41 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.; #3 S.Brumfield) PENALTY NC St. Holding (#65 J.Peak) 10 yards from Mep48 to NC St.42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 28
OWN 42
+3
95.7%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 C.Fields rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NC St.45 (#5 C.Bracy; #3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 25
OWN 45
+16
95.9%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #31 C.Fields caught at NC St.50, for 16 yards to the Mep39 (#6 E.Roussaw Jr.; #3 S.Brumfield)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17PUNT4 plays · 4 yds · 0:524% → 3%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.3%
(06:14) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep left to #12 B.Kluse thrown to Mep45Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.3%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Lewis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mep24 (#22 J.Vick; #1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
96.5%
(05:29) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass incomplete deep left to #12 B.Kluse thrown to Mep45 broken up by #6 D.MarshallSimilar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
96.6%
(05:23) #30 L.Carrigan punt 47 yards to the NC St.29 fair catch by #9 T.Anderson at NC St.29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18DOWNS7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3497% → 98%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
96.8%
(05:18) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NC St.32 (#8 C.Burden; #23 C.Law)Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
96.9%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Scott thrown to NC St.32Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+7
97.3%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #6 W.Grimes caught at NC St.39, for 7 yards to the NC St.39 (#1 O.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
97.5%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NC St.45 (#24 K.Wilson; #33 D.Mathena)Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
97.7%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #6 W.Grimes thrown to Mep16Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
97.7%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 3 yards gain to the NC St.48 (#1 O.Cooper)Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
97.6%
(02:47) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush left for 0 yards to the NC St.48 (#9 W.Whitlow Jr.; #3 S.Brumfield), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19Uncategorized1 play · -9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
97.3%
(02:38) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush left for 9 yards loss to the Mep43 fumbled by #22 F.Peasant at NC St.45 forced by #25 J.Adedire recovered by NC St. #90 J.Victor at Mep43, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20DOWNS12 plays · 25 yds · 3:2398% → 99%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
97.9%
(02:33) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush right for 17 yards gain to the Mep40 (#23 C.Law), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
98.0%
(01:51) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #44 C.Hardy caught at Mep37, for 4 yards to the Mep36 (#24 K.Wilson)Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+16
98.1%
(01:14) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #5 N.Rogers caught at Mep25, for 16 yards to the Mep20 (#13 J.Jordan), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NC St. Illegal Block in Back (#7 J.Joly) 10 yards from Mep20 to Mep30Similar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-9
98.2%
(00:50) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 9 yards to the Mep39 (#90 T.Burton), fumble by #11 C.Bailey recovered by NC St. #71 Y.Mugharbil at Mep39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 19
OPP 39
+4
98.5%
(00:02) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Mep35 (#90 T.Burton; #3 S.Brumfield)Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+15
98.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #9 T.Anderson thrown to Mep19 PENALTY Mep Pass Interference (#13 J.Jordan) 15 yards from Mep35 to Mep20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-12
98.5%
(14:52) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Scott thrown to Mep11 QB hurried by #13 J.Jordan PENALTY NC St. Intentional Grounding (#11 C.Bailey)Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 22
OPP 32
0
98.5%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 0 yards to the Mep32 (#23 C.Law)Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 22
OPP 32
0
98.6%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Scott thrown to Mep27 QB hurried by #99 P.WalkerSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 22
OPP 32
0
98.5%
(14:09) No Huddle #2 L.Thomas pass incomplete short right to #94 K.Vinesett thrown to Mep40, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21DOWNS8 plays · 34 yds · 3:322% → 1%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.5%
(13:58) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Mep37 (#6 D.Marshall; #54 S.Harsh)Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
98.5%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush right for 4 yards gain to the Mep41 (#6 D.Marshall)Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+13
98.6%
(12:50) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 13 yards gain to the NC St.46 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
98.6%
(12:22) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 11 yards gain to the NC St.35 (#6 D.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.6%
(11:39) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden rush right for 0 yards to the NC St.35 fumbled by #7 A.Maiden at NC St.35, out of bounds at NC St.35Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.6%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NC St.34 (#22 J.Vick; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
98.8%
(10:29) Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass incomplete short middle to #8 B.Dorsey thrown to NC St.18Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
98.8%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Maiden pass incomplete deep middle to #8 B.Dorsey thrown to NC St.04 broken up by #41 C.Gordon, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
98.9%
(10:21) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NC St.35 (#33 D.Mathena; #90 T.Burton)Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
98.9%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #12 T.Hoffmann thrown to NC St.44 broken up by #5 C.BracySimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+4
99.0%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 J.Joly caught at NC St.36, for 4 yards to the NC St.39 (#48 J.Flaker)Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 5
OWN 39
-35
99.0%
(08:55) #98 C.Noonkester punt 57 yards to the Mep04 PENALTY NC St. Illegal Use Of Hands offsetting Mep Illegal Substitution offsettingSimilar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
99.1%
(08:39) #98 C.Noonkester punt 46 yards to the Mep15 fair catch by #0 J.Thompson at Mep15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23DOWNS12 plays · 56 yds · 5:371% → 1%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
99.1%
(08:38) Shotgun #3 A.Hill pass complete short left to #80 T.Holmes caught at Mep10, for 4 yards loss to the Mep11 (#7 B.Nelson, II)Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+12
99.1%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Hill pass complete short middle to #80 T.Holmes caught at Mep15, for 12 yards to the Mep23 (#1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+5
99.3%
(07:21) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Mep28 (#8 C.Slone), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
99.3%
(06:44) Shotgun #3 A.Hill pass complete short right to #80 T.Holmes caught at Mep32, for 20 yards to the Mep48 (#19 T.Teasdell; #41 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Hill pass complete short right to #15 C.Ross caught at Mep47, for 0 yards to the Mep48 (#26 A.Brown Jr.)Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.4%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Hill pass complete short right to #22 F.Peasant caught at NC St.48, for 5 yards to the NC St.47 (#7 B.Nelson, II)Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+10
99.4%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 10 yards gain to the NC St.37 (#8 C.Slone; #26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.4%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Hill pass incomplete deep left to #1 C.Smith thrown to NC St.05Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-6
99.4%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Hill sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NC St.43 (#25 J.Adedire)Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+15
99.5%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Hill pass complete short right to #28 K.Spain caught at NC St.46, for 15 yards to the NC St.28 (#1 C.Fordham; #7 B.Nelson, II)Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 1
OPP 28
-1
99.5%
(02:51) Shotgun #22 F.Peasant rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NC St.29 (#1 C.Fordham; #33 K.Soares, Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24PUNT6 plays · 2 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
(02:46) Shotgun #31 C.Fields rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NC St.31 (#33 D.Mathena; #48 J.Flaker)Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-2
99.6%
(02:10) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NC St.29 (#23 C.Law)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
(01:59) Shotgun #31 C.Fields rush right for 2 yards gain to the NC St.31 (#9 W.Whitlow Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
99.8%
(01:12) #98 C.Noonkester punt 44 yards to the Mep25, out of bounds at Mep25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25END OF GAME4 plays · 25 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(01:01) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 0 yards to the Mep25 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.) PENALTY NC St. UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#42 K.Carter) 15 yards from Mep25 to Mep40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.6%
(00:49) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Mep45 (#30 Z.Williams; #92 C.Bond)Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
99.6%
(00:15) Shotgun #28 K.Spain rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Mep50 (#2 R.Royal, III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:59
(05:07) Shotgun #2 B.Lewis pass complete short middle to #9 J.Hawkins caught at NC St.24, for 28 yards to the NC St.00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #46 T.Gillis, LS: #40 J.Zarut)
-6.5
TD · Q2 14:56
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)
+6.1
TD · Q2 1:28
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #12 T.Hoffmann caught at Mep09, for 40 yards to the Mep00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:28, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)
+6