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SCST

South Carolina State 14 at South Florida 63

USF
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:41 · Elliott Janish punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Alvon Isaac at the USF 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+39.3Home team on offense+7.4Score differential+2.3Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Garbage-time factor+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:56: Byrum Brown pass complete to Jonathan Echols for 22 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK) — USF win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:20: Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 26 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK) — USF win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:26: Kacy Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Nico Cavanillas Alti KICK) — SCST win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:53: Byrum Brown pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 42 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK) — USF win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:49: Nykahi Davenport run for 43 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK) — USF win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 2 of 5SCST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 4:51SCST 4th & 23 at SCST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:01USF 4th & 10 at USF 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:22SCST 4th & 12 at SCST 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:41SCST 4th & 10 at SCST 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:43USF 4th & 4 at USF 17, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:59SCST 4th & 5 at USF 43, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:57SCST 4th & 15 at SCST 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:16SCST 4th & 17 at SCST 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:36SCST 4th & 6 at SCST 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:36SCST 4th & 10 at SCST 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:42SCST 4th & 1 at USF 5, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:44SCST 4th & 2 at USF 2, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:13USF 4th & 1 at USF 11, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:50SCST 4th & 2 at SCST 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:29USF 4th & 2 at SCST 31, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:27USF 4th & 23 at SCST 36, up 49
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 9 of 9SCST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:27USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:56USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:20USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:26SCST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:53USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:49USF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:16USF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:40USF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:28USF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:02SCST Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:28USF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCSTDrive 1INT TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:252% → 3%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Jordan Smith run for 1 yd to the SCST 26Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
97.9%
Ryan Stubblefield run for 10 yds to the SCST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
97.8%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Deyandre Ruffin for 11 yds to the SCST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
97.7%
Ryan Stubblefield run for 6 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+27
97.6%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Jordan Smith for 27 yds to the USF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.5%
Mason Pickett-Hicks run for 1 yd to the USF 19Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+11
97.4%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Deyandre Ruffin for 11 yds to the USF 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
97.3%
Jordan Smith run for 3 yds to the USF 5Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-93
97.3%
Ryan Stubblefield pass intercepted Mac Harris return for 93 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 4:313% → 3%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.4%
Tyler Smith run for 3 yds to the SCST 23Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
97.3%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 6 yds to the SCST 29Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
97.2%
Kacy Fields run for 2 yds to the SCST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
97.2%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Nicholas Brown for 10 yds to the SCST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
97.1%
Tyler Smith run for 1 yd to the SCST 42Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-5
97.0%
PENALTY SCSU False Start (Marsh,Kiande) 5 yards from SCSU42 to SCSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Tyler SmithSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-9
97.0%
Ryan Stubblefield sacked by Traevon Mitchell for a loss of 9 yards to the SCST 28Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 23
OWN 28
0
97.0%
Elliott Janish punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USF 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Christian NeptuneSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
96.9%
Byrum Brown run for no gain to the USF 38Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
96.8%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Christian NeptuneSimilar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
96.7%
Chase Leon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jalen Johnson at the SCST 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:323% → 4%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
96.8%
Ryan Stubblefield run for 24 yds to the SCST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
96.6%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Johnny Jones for 9 yds to the USF 46Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-5
96.4%
Johnny Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCST 49Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-6
96.3%
Ryan Stubblefield sacked by Mac Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the SCST 43Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 12
OWN 43
+18
96.4%
Elliott Janish punt for 42 yds , Alvon Isaac returns for 18 yds to the USF 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:1896% → 97%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
96.4%
Alvon Isaac run for 3 yds to the USF 36Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
96.4%
Alvon Isaac run for 5 yds to the USF 41Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+9
96.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Keshaun Singleton for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
96.4%
Alvon Isaac run for 3 yds to the SCST 47Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
96.4%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Keshaun SingletonSimilar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+15
96.2%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Byrum pass intercepted by Adams,KZ at SCSU42 broken up by Reed,Sharmari Adams,KZ return 0 yards to the SCSU42, End Of Play PENALTY SCSU Roughing The Passer (Lunz, II,Michael) 15 yards from SCSU47 to SCSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
96.3%
Byrum Brown run for 7 yds to the SCST 25Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+3
96.3%
Alvon Isaac run for 3 yds to the SCST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
97.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jonathan Echols for 22 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 5:073% → 4%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.8%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Tyler Smith for 4 yds to the SCST 29Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
96.7%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 7 yds to the SCST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.6%
KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 35Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+12
96.6%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Deyandre Ruffin for 12 yds to the SCST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
96.4%
William Atkins IV sacked by Mac Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the SCST 42 William Atkins IV fumbled, recovered by SCST Kiande Marsh , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 15
OWN 42
-5
96.5%
PENALTY SCSU False Start 5 yards from SCSU42 to SCSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+5
96.5%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Nicholas Sowell for 5 yds to the SCST 42Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+5
96.5%
(09:27) Shotgun Atkins IV,William pass incomplete short left to Ruffin,Deyandre thrown to USF45 PENALTY USF Offside (Watson III,Rico) 5 yards from SCSU42 to SCSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
96.3%
William Atkins IV run for no gain to the SCST 47Similar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
96.4%
Elliott Janish punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Alvon Isaac at the USF 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 2:2197% → 98%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 14
OWN 7
+4
96.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Keshaun Singleton for 4 yds to the USF 11Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
96.4%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Keshaun SingletonSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+6
96.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Keshaun Singleton for 6 yds to the USF 17Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 4
OWN 17
+9
96.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 9 yds to the USF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
96.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 10 yds to the USF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
96.5%
Cartevious Norton run for 8 yds to the USF 44Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+21
96.6%
Cartevious Norton run for 21 yds to the SCST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
96.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Keshaun Singleton for 9 yds to the SCST 26Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+26
98.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 26 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:142% → 2%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.0%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Deyandre Ruffin for 7 yds to the SCST 32Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
98.0%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Nicholas Brown for 5 yds to the SCST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.0%
Tyler Smith run for 8 yds to the SCST 45Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
98.0%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Nicholas Sowell for 7 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.0%
William Atkins IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.1%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 5 yds to the USF 43Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
98.0%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Tyler SmithSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
98.1%
Elliott Janish punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Alvon Isaac at the USF 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5898% → 99%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
98.3%
Alvon Isaac run for 2 yds to the USF 9Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+5
98.4%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Byrum pass complete short left to Sullivan,Wyatt caught at USF07, for 5 yards to the USF14 (Scott,Brenyen) PENALTY SCSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from USF09 to USF14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
98.4%
Alvon Isaac run for no gain to the USF 14Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
98.5%
Byrum Brown pass intercepted Brenyen Scott return for no gain to the USF 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:233% → 5%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.5%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Cyrus Eillison for 5 yds to the USF 22Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
97.5%
Tyler Smith run for no gain to the USF 22Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+15
97.7%
(00:47) Shotgun Atkins IV,William pass incomplete deep right to Johnson,Jalen thrown to USF00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USF Pass Interference (Banks,Kajuan) 15 yards from USF22 to USF07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
97.6%
William Atkins IV run for 6 yds to the USF 1Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.5%
Ka'Von Chisolm run for no gain to the USF 1Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
Kacy Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Nico Cavanillas Alti KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:1496% → 97%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
96.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Alvon Isaac for 9 yds to the USF 37Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+17
96.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 17 yds to the SCST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
96.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 5 yds to the SCST 41Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
96.6%
PENALTY SCSU Offside (Chisolm,Ka'Von) 5 yards from SCSU41 to SCSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+54
97.0%
Nico Gramatica 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:5596% → 99%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.4%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Chas NimrodSimilar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.3%
Cartevious Norton run for 6 yds to the SCST 47Similar
Q3 14:27
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
96.2%
Cartevious Norton run for 13 yds South Florida Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCST 44Similar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
96.2%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the SCST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
98.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 42 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:512% → 2%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Tyler Smith run for no gain to the SCST 25Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Jalen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.2%
PENALTY SCSU False Start (Umoren,Moses) 5 yards from SCSU25 to SCSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+19
98.2%
Elliott Janish punt for 42 yds , Alvon Isaac returns for 19 yds to the SCST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.6%
Nykahi Davenport run for 43 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 15PUNT TD
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:260% → 0%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
KZ Adams run for no gain to the SCST 25Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
KZ Adams run for no gain to the SCST 25Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.7%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Nicholas Sowell for 14 yds to the SCST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Ryan Stubblefield run for no gain to the SCST 39Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-7
99.7%
Ryan Stubblefield sacked by Jhalyn Shuler for a loss of 7 yards to the SCST 32Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 17
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Nicholas SowellSimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 17
OWN 32
+4
99.8%
Ashton Mosley 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Nico Gramatica Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Mason Pickett-Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 24Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
Ryan Stubblefield pass complete to Mason Pickett-Hicks for 5 yds to the SCST 29Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Ryan Stubblefield pass incomplete to Mason Pickett-HicksSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+45
99.8%
Elliott Janish punt for 45 yds , Alvon Isaac returns for 45 yds to the USF 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.8%
Alvon Isaac run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 32Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+46
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 46 yds to the SCST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 22 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Kacy Fields for no gain to the SCST 25Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Kacy FieldsSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Darius ThompsonSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+41
99.9%
Elliott Janish punt for 46 yds , Alvon Isaac returns for 41 yds to the SCST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Sam Franklin run for 30 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 20DOWNS
20 plays · 73 yds · 9:360% → 0%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for 16 yds to the SCST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 40Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Cyrus EillisonSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
(04:12) Shotgun Atkins IV,William sacked for loss of 7 yards to the SCSU33 (Hill,Rodney) PENALTY USF Personal Foul (Scott III,Richard) 15 yards from SCSU40 to USF45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
(03:43) Shotgun Atkins IV,William rush left for 0 yards to the USF45 (Hamilton,Zavier; Mitchell,Traevon) PENALTY SCSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from USF45 to USF50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 15
50
+4
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Darius Thompson for 4 yds to the USF 46Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Cyrus EillisonSimilar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+12
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Kacy Fields for 12 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
99.9%
Julian Milligan run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 36Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-6
99.9%
William Atkins IV sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the USF 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+28
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass complete to DaeMon Cherry for 28 yds to the USF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass complete to DaeMon Cherry for 9 yds to the USF 5Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for no gain to the USF 5Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Kacy Fields run for no gain to the USF 5Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Ka'Von Chisolm run for 1 yd to the USF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Tyler Smith run for 1 yd to the USF 3Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Kacy Fields for 1 yd to the USF 2Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to Nicholas SowellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
99.9%
Nykahi Davenport run for no gain to the USF 2Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
99.9%
Nykahi Davenport run for 8 yds to the USF 10Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Nykahi Davenport run for 1 yd to the USF 11Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Luke Goater punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USF 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Julian Milligan run for 1 yd to the USF 45Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
100.0%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to DaeMon CherrySimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+28
100.0%
William Atkins IV pass complete to Darius Thompson for 28 yds to the USF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Julian Milligan run for 17 yds for a TD (Nico Cavanillas Alti KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 7 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for no gain to the USF 39Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass complete to James Chenault for 7 yds to the USF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass incomplete to Jeremiah KogerSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 54 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Julian Milligan run for 5 yds to the SCST 30Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
William Atkins IV pass complete to John Grant for 3 yds to the SCST 33Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
William Atkins IV pass incomplete to DaeMon CherrySimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Elliott Janish punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Christian Neptune at the USF 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25PUNT
18 plays · 33 yds · 4:15100% → 100%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Jayden Davis run for 4 yds to the USF 35Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Christian Neptune for 4 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+22
100.0%
Jayden Davis run for 22 yds to the SCST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
100.0%
Jayden Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCST 41Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Christian Neptune for 5 yds to the SCST 36Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
PENALTY SCSU Offside (Chavis,Jackson) 5 yards from SCSU36 to SCSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass incomplete to James ChenaultSimilar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+8
100.0%
Gaston Moore run for 8 yds to the SCST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
100.0%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Garnett,Chase rush left for 20 yards gain to the SCSU03 (Dorsey,Charron), out of bounds PENALTY USF Holding (Dangler,Evan) 10 yards from SCSU23 to SCSU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 20
OPP 33
-5
100.0%
PENALTY USF False Start (Gordon Jr.,Gerrick) 5 yards from SCSU33 to SCSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 25
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Chase Garnett run for 4 yds to the SCST 34Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 21
OPP 34
-5
100.0%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Gaston rush right for 4 yards gain to the SCSU30 (Bookhart,Demario; Reed,Sharmari) PENALTY USF Illegal Shift 5 yards from SCSU34 to SCSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 26
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Chase Garnett run for 3 yds to the SCST 36Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 23
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Chase Garnett for no gain to the SCST 36Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 23
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Luke Goater punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Kacy Fields run for 6 yds to the SCST 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:26
Kacy Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Nico Cavanillas Alti KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q3 13:53
Byrum Brown pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 42 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 6:20
Byrum Brown pass complete to Joshua Porter for 26 yds for a TD (Nico Gramatica KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com