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TROY

Troy 0 at Old Dominion 33

ODU
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 13, 2025 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+2.6ODU 98.4%No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rushmiddle for 25 yards gain to the TRO00TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:57, 1ST DOWN #75S.Grant rush attempt failedAWAY 0 - HOME 26 · Q3 8:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:57 · No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 25 yards gain to the TRO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:57, 1ST DOWN #75 S.Grant rush attempt failed
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense+29.7Pregame prior+10.3Score differential+15.9Garbage-time factor+9.2Blowout margin+9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:16: #93 N.Eichner field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin), clock 10:16 PENALTY TU Running Into The Kicker declined — ODU win probability +4.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the ODU49 (#0 J.Williams; #98 J.Fils-Aime) — ODU win probability +3.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:54: No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 11 yards gain to the TU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:54, 1ST DOWN #93 N.Eichner kick attempt good (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin) — ODU win probability +11.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:52: No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #19 D.Johnson caught at ODU26, for 14 yards to the ODU26 (#6 J.Powe), out of bounds PENALTY ODU Holding (#75 S.Grant) 6 yards from ODU12 to ODU06. NO PLAY — ODU win probability +4.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:57: No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 25 yards gain to the TRO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:57, 1ST DOWN #75 S.Grant rush attempt failed — ODU win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TROY made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:24ODU 4th & 3 at TROY 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:40TROY 4th & 2 at TROY 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:34ODU 4th & 2 at TROY 14, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:03TROY 4th & 4 at ODU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.4%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:16ODU 4th & 6 at TROY 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:16TROY 4th & 17 at TROY 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:52TROY 4th & 18 at TROY 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:52ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 12, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:04TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 48, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 6, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:58TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 34, down 20
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:15ODU 4th & 1 at TROY 1, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:11TROY 4th & 20 at TROY 29, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:48ODU 4th & 3 at TROY 29, up 26
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:05TROY 4th & 10 at TROY 46, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:25ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 15, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:21TROY 4th & 2 at ODU 11, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:04TROY 4th & 2 at midfield, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:54ODU 4th & 2 at TROY 42, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:37ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:54ODU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:57ODU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:51ODU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:3675% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
75.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush right for 11 yards gain to the ODU24 (#8 J.White; #6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
75.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Brown thrown to ODU23 broken up by #0 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
75.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush left for 15 yards gain to the ODU39 (#3 D.Lafayette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
75.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 26 yards gain to the TU 35 (#7 J.Stringer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
75.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TU 32 (#6 J.Powe; #14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
75.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TU 28 (#7 J.Stringer; #6 J.Powe)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
75.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the TU 28 (#19 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
74.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Thomas thrown to TU 03 QB hurried by #22 D.Smith, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
74.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TU 31 fumbled by #22 T.Meadows at TU 28 forced by #43 K.Trinidad recovered by ODU #3 M.Easterly at TU 31, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:3775% → 76%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
74.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TU 25 (#0 J.Williams; #14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh)Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
74.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TU 22 (#44 L.Hodge; #93 K.Curry)Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
74.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush left for 3 yards gain to the TU 19 (#3 D.Lafayette; #44 L.Hodge), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
74.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Butler thrown to TU 19 broken up by #3 D.LafayetteSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
76.1%
Ja'Cory Thomas 19 Yd pass from Colton Joseph (Nathanial Eichner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5324% → 24%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
75.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass complete short right to #88 J.Worley caught at TU 29, for 10 yards to the TU 33 fumbled by #88 J.Worley at TU 29 forced by #38 S.Naotala recovered by TU #88 J.Worley at TU 33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
75.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TU 37 (#38 S.Naotala; #4 J.Mack Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
75.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 0 yards to the TU 37 (#43 K.Trinidad; #9 D.Lynch)Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+4
75.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass complete short right to #22 T.Meadows caught at TU 39, for 4 yards to the TU 41 (#6 Z.Frink)Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+49
75.7%
#28 E.Crenshaw punt 51 yards to the ODU08 #3 D.Roche return 49 yards to the TU 43 (#28 E.Crenshaw; #85 F.Rogosch) PENALTY ODU Personal Foul (#19 L.Struck) 15 yards from TU 43 to ODU42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:0676% → 76%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
76.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ODU49 (#8 J.White; #1 L.Medina)Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
76.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TU 44 (#19 D.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short middle to #6 J.Thomas thrown to TU 31Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+22
76.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 22 yards gain to the TU 22 (#5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
76.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TU 18 (#1 L.Medina; #22 D.Smith)Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
76.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Thomas thrown to TU 12Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+4
76.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush left for 4 yards gain to the TU 14 (#5 K.Levine), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
76.3%
#93 N.Eichner field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin), clock 03:34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:2325% → 24%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
75.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush right for 3 yards gain to the TU 44 (#3 M.Easterly; #36 J.Gibson)Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+10
75.4%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at ODU46, for 10 yards to the ODU46 (#2 N.Stiger), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
75.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TU 47 (#38 S.Naotala)Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 17
OWN 47
+3
75.9%
Shotgun #4 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TU 50 (#4 J.Mack Jr.; #36 J.Gibson)Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 14
50
+10
76.0%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #7 R.Thomas caught at ODU46, for 10 yards to the ODU40 (#12 J.Carter; #34 J.Culbreath)Similar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
75.9%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 1 yard to the ODU41 (#97 L.Menter, #40 H.Malecki), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 15:0377% → 85%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
76.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #6 J.Thomas caught at ODU40, for 8 yards to the ODU49 (#8 J.White)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
76.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #20 T.Jones caught at ODU48, for 1 yard to the ODU50 (#3 D.Lafayette)Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+3
75.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TU 47 (#0 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
76.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TU 43 (#98 J.Fils-Aime; #2 S.Cattledge)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
76.9%
PENALTY ODU False Start (#55 M.Woudsma) 5 yards from TU 43 to TU 48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+1
76.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TU 47 (#2 S.Cattledge)Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+33
76.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep right to #2 T.Brown caught at TU 15, for 33 yards to the TU 14 (#3 D.Lafayette), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TU Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
77.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #7 N.Abdul-Rahim Gladding caught at TU 15, for 6 yards to the TU 08 (#3 D.Lafayette)Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
77.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TU 05 (#7 J.Stringer; #0 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-5
76.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Old Dominion rush middle for 5 yards loss to the TU 10 fumbled by Old Dominion at TU 10 recovered by ODU #1 C.Joseph at TU 10, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
81.4%
#93 N.Eichner field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin), clock 10:16 PENALTY TU Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
84.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the ODU49 (#0 J.Williams; #98 J.Fils-Aime)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
79.4%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease rush right for 6 yards gain to the TU 41 (#30 F.Giles; #18 J.Forrest)Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
79.0%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TU 44 (#30 F.Giles; #1 K.Thomas)Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
78.9%
Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TU 46 (#99 C.Daniels; #1 K.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
79.1%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TU 39 (#4 J.Mack Jr.)Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+10
79.9%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #14 E.Conner caught at TU 41, for 10 yards to the TU 49 (#19 L.Struck; #12 J.Carter)Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-10
79.2%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TU 39 (#43 K.Trinidad, #18 J.Forrest)Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
80.4%
#28 E.Crenshaw punt 23 yards to the ODU38, out of bounds at ODU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 4:2282% → 94%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+51
82.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep middle to #2 T.Brown caught at TU 15, for 51 yards to the TU 11 (#5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
82.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Brown thrown to TU 10 broken up by #5 K.LevineSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 11 yards gain to the TU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:54, 1ST DOWN #93 N.Eichner kick attempt good (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:579% → 8%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
90.8%
Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 0 yards to the TU 26 (#9 D.Lynch; #34 J.Culbreath) PENALTY ODU Offside 5 yards from TU 26 to TU 31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 5
OWN 31
+4
90.3%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #2 P.Higgins caught at TU 32, for 4 yards to the TU 35 (#3 M.Easterly)Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+16
90.1%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 16 yards gain to the ODU49 (#3 M.Easterly), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
89.9%
Shotgun #18 D.Epps rush left for 0 yards (1) to the ODU49 (#3 M.Easterly; #23 J.Haynes) PENALTY TU Illegal Block in Back (#14 E.Conner) 10 yards from ODU48 to TU 42Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 19
OWN 42
+1
90.9%
Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TU 43 (#94 R.Williams Jr.; #18 J.Forrest)Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 18
OWN 43
0
91.0%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short middle to #2 P.Higgins thrown to ODU44 broken up by #3 M.EasterlySimilar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 18
OWN 43
0
91.1%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep left to #7 R.Thomas thrown to ODU19 QB hurried by #30 F.GilesSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 18
OWN 43
0
92.3%
#28 E.Crenshaw punt 44 yards to the ODU13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Hargrove rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ODU12 (#93 K.Curry)Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
94.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Thomas thrown to TU 46Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 11
OWN 12
0
94.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short middle to #3 D.Roche thrown to ODU09 QB hurried by #22 D.SmithSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+1
94.0%
#96 I.Brandt punt 40 yards to the TU 48 #2 P.Higgins return 1 yard to the TU 49 (#18 J.Forrest)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:489% → 7%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.3%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #14 E.Conner thrown to TU 49Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
91.6%
PENALTY TU False Start (#18 D.Epps) 5 yards from TU 49 to TU 44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
92.2%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep right to #2 P.Higgins thrown to ODU35 QB hurried by #4 J.Mack Jr.Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+4
92.3%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush left for 4 yards gain to the TU 48 (#4 J.Mack Jr.; #5 B.Crutchfield)Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+1
93.0%
#28 E.Crenshaw punt 46 yards to the ODU06 #3 D.Roche return 1 yard to the ODU07 (#20 K.Campbell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:0495% → 96%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
95.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ODU10 (#6 J.Powe; #4 T.Thompson)Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+2
95.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ODU12 (#22 D.Smith; #7 J.Stringer)Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+6
95.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #19 D.Johnson caught at ODU26, for 14 yards to the ODU26 (#6 J.Powe), out of bounds PENALTY ODU Holding (#75 S.Grant) 6 yards from ODU12 to ODU06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 11
OWN 6
0
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #11 T.Johnson thrown to ODU20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OWN 6
0
95.6%
#96 I.Brandt punt 0 yards to the ODU06 blocked by #20 K.Campbell recovered by TRO #10 J.Strait at ODU35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14MISSED FG
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
92.0%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush left for 6 yards gain to the ODU29 (#18 J.Forrest; #34 J.Culbreath)Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+8
91.8%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #18 D.Epps caught at ODU21, for 8 yards to the ODU21, out of bounds at ODU21, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+39
91.8%
#40 S.Renfroe field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:026% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.7%
Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush right for 7 yards gain to the TRO32 (#6 Z.Frink; #38 S.Naotala)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
93.4%
Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TRO31 (#90 C.Forbes)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
93.5%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush right for 3 yards gain to the TRO34 (#4 J.Mack Jr.; #9 D.Lynch)Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
94.3%
#28 E.Crenshaw punt 43 yards to the ODU23 #3 D.Roche return for loss of 3 yards to the ODU20 (#13 D.Nelson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:4395% → 95%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
94.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ODU26 (#3 D.Lafayette; #6 J.Powe)Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+67
94.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 67 yards gain to the TRO07 (#8 J.White), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
95.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TRO06 (#18 J.Perry; #2 S.Cattledge)Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Thomas thrown to TRO00 PENALTY ODU Illegal Shift declinedSimilar
Q3 12:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
95.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 N.Abdul-Rahim Gladding pass complete short left to #1 C.Joseph caught at TRO09, for 5 yards to the TRO01 (#0 J.Williams; #1 L.Medina)Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
95.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TRO03 (#7 J.Stringer; #1 L.Medina), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
95.2%
Shotgun #4 J.Williams rush middle for 0 yards to the TRO03 (#34 J.Culbreath; #3 M.Easterly)Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
95.2%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass intercepted by #2 N.Stiger at TRO37 QB hurried by #38 S.Naotala, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 37 yds · 1:1896% → 98%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
95.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TRO25 (#3 D.Lafayette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 25 yards gain to the TRO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:57, 1ST DOWN #75 S.Grant rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -36 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
98.8%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #0 R.Mothershed caught at TRO32, for 11 yards to the TRO39 fumbled by #0 R.Mothershed at TRO38 forced by #19 L.Struck recovered by TRO #1 J.Lovett at TRO39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.8%
Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush left for 3 yards gain to the TRO42 (#19 L.Struck; #18 J.Forrest)Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-10
98.8%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TRO32 (#18 J.Forrest)Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 17
OWN 32
-3
98.8%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TRO29 (#36 J.Gibson)Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 20
OWN 29
0
99.0%
#28 E.Crenshaw punt 47 yards to the ODU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:1199% → 100%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
98.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Thomas thrown to TRO30 PENALTY TRO Personal Foul (#1 L.Medina) 15 yards from ODU24 to ODU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ODU43 (#0 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #2 T.Brown caught at ODU48, for 5 yards to the ODU48 (#8 J.White)Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
98.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ODU50 (#3 D.Lafayette; #0 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
50
-2
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 2 yards loss to the ODU48 (#8 J.White; #29 J.Lott)Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+2
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ODU50 (#19 D.Jackson Jr.; #93 K.Curry)Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 10
50
+14
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #2 T.Brown caught at TRO39, for 14 yards to the TRO36 (#7 J.Stringer; #5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #2 T.Brown caught at TRO35, for 9 yards to the TRO27 (#7 J.Stringer), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Roche rush middle for 0 yards to the TRO27 (#19 D.Jackson Jr.; #2 S.Cattledge)Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+47
99.6%
#93 N.Eichner field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin), clock 00:48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-2
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph sacked for loss of 2 yards to the TRO29 (#22 D.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
Shotgun #4 J.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TRO31 (#3 M.Easterly; #33 D.Iles)Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep middle to #0 R.Mothershed thrown to ODU32Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
99.7%
PENALTY ODU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#43 K.Trinidad) 15 yards from TRO31 to TRO46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
99.6%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TRO40 (#43 K.Trinidad), fumble by #9 G.Crowder recovered by TRO #9 G.Crowder at TRO40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #14 E.Conner caught at TRO39, for 6 yards to the TRO46 (#1 K.Thomas)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep left to #18 D.Epps thrown to ODU28 broken up by #6 Z.FrinkSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
#28 E.Crenshaw punt 44 yards to the ODU10, out of bounds at ODU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ODU13 (#93 K.Curry)Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+1
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ODU14 (#44 L.Hodge; #7 J.Stringer)Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+1
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #12 T.Myers caught at ODU15, for 1 yard to the ODU15, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
99.7%
#96 I.Brandt punt 37 yards to the TRO48 fair catch by #2 P.Higgins at TRO48 PENALTY ODU Kick Catch Interference (#18 K.Hargrove) 15 yards from TRO48 to ODU37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.7%
PENALTY TRO False Start (#85 F.Rogosch) 5 yards from ODU37 to ODU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+23
99.7%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #0 R.Mothershed caught at ODU34, for 23 yards to the ODU19 (#2 N.Stiger), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.7%
Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ODU18 (#3 M.Easterly)Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
99.7%
Shotgun #4 J.Williams rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ODU11 (#38 S.Naotala; #76 L.McFadden-Pressley)Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
99.7%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #7 R.Thomas thrown to ODU00 QB hurried by #4 J.Mack Jr.Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
99.7%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Worley thrown to ODU10 broken up by #3 M.Easterly, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Hargrove rush middle for 13 yards gain to the ODU24 (#6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Hargrove rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ODU29 (#44 L.Hodge)Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-1
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Hargrove rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ODU28 (#19 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+7
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ODU35 (#6 J.Powe; #3 D.Lafayette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Jones rush middle for 65 yards gain to the TRO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:51, 1ST DOWN #93 N.Eichner kick attempt good (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:410% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #0 R.Mothershed caught at TRO33, for 3 yards to the TRO34 (#19 L.Struck)Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #4 J.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TRO38 (#9 D.Lynch; #23 J.Haynes)Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #14 E.Conner caught at TRO41, for 4 yards to the TRO42 (#18 J.Forrest; #23 J.Haynes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 1 yard to the TRO41 (#9 D.Lynch, #43 K.Trinidad)Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #14 E.Conner caught at TRO43, for 9 yards to the TRO50 (#26 J.Watts; #7 R.Ramey)Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 2
50
0
99.9%
Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 0 yards to the TRO50 (#33 D.Iles; #1 K.Thomas)Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 2
50
0
99.9%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #14 E.Conner thrown to ODU48 QB hurried by #7 R.Ramey, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Hargrove rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TRO48 (#21 A.Garrett; #98 J.Fils-Aime)Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Hargrove rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TRO46 (#11 E.Davis; #93 K.Curry)Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Henicle rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TRO42 (#29 J.Lott)Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Henicle rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TRO41 (#2 S.Cattledge; #99 J.Peterson), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #25 D.Palmer rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TRO44 (#98 C.Spencer; #99 C.Daniels)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Shotgun #25 D.Palmer rush right for 0 yards to the TRO44 (#23 J.Haynes)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-9
100.0%
Shotgun #6 J.James sacked for loss of 9 yards to the TRO35 (#98 C.Spencer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:54
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 11 yards gain to the TU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:54, 1ST DOWN #93 N.Eichner kick attempt good (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin)
+11.8
FG · Q2 10:16
#93 N.Eichner field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #96 I.Brandt, LS: #30 B.Durkin), clock 10:16 PENALTY TU Running Into The Kicker declined
+4.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:52
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #19 D.Johnson caught at ODU26, for 14 yards to the ODU26 (#6 J.Powe), out of bounds PENALTY ODU Holding (#75 S.Grant) 6 yards from ODU12 to ODU06. NO PLAY
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com