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USM

Southern Miss 27 at Arkansas State 21

ARST
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Centennial Bank Stadium
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Win probability · ARST
modelARST aheadUSM aheadconfidence bandkey playARST scoreUSM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:38 · (07:52) No Huddle #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU05 (#10 D.Hendricks), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior−9.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:04: Elijah Metcalf 76 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick) — USM win probability +5.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:05: (02:08) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 02:05 — USM win probability +5.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:08: (13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass complete short middle to #87 T.Little caught at USM01, for 6 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:08 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson) — ARST win probability +20.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 9:15: (09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #88 K.Heath caught at ASU01, for 15 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:15, 1ST DOWN #40 C.Wilbanks kick attempt good (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard) — USM win probability +13.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:15: (03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM00, for 3 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson) — ARST win probability +27.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6USM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:17USM 4th & 10 at ARST 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:38USM 4th & 1 at ARST 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.7%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:39ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:38ARST 4th & 22 at USM 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:16ARST 4th & 5 at ARST 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:46USM 4th & 13 at USM 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:14ARST 4th & 9 at ARST 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:11USM 4th & 7 at USM 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:40USM 4th & 3 at USM 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:05ARST 4th & 1 at ARST 36, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:50USM 4th & 3 at ARST 38, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−1.8
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:05USM 4th & 13 at ARST 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−8.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:54ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 39, down 13
    Close callPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:34USM 4th & 6 at USM 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:09USM 4th & 13 at USM 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3USM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:02ARST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:43USM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:04USM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:08ARST Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:15USM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:15ARST Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU23, for 0 yards to the ASU25 fumbled by #16 C.Cobb at ASU25 forced by #30 G.Ponder recovered by USM #30 G.Ponder at ASU25, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:2960% → 60%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
39.8%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #5 M.Jones caught at ASU27, for 18 yards to the ASU07 (#25 A.Alexander), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
39.8%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU06 (#8 B.Barnes)Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
39.9%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to ASU00Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
40.0%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 4 yards to the ASU10 (#95 S.Mitchell)Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
40.1%
(13:19) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 13:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0640% → 42%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
40.2%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep left to #7 C.Rucker caught at USM35, for 55 yards to the USM20 (#1 J.Moten; #22 C.Myrick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
40.5%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM17 (#1 J.Moten)Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+7
40.7%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #5 K.Clay caught at USM21, for 7 yards to the USM10 (#22 C.Myrick; #17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
40.9%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 2 yards loss to the USM12 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
41.1%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #16 C.Cobb caught at USM07, for 7 yards to the USM05 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
41.8%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #5 K.Clay caught at USM02, for 5 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:02, 1ST DOWN #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:1358% → 57%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
41.6%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the USM28, out of bounds at USM28Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+5
41.6%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #14 R.Briggs Jr. caught at USM30, for 5 yards to the USM33 (#17 C.Boti), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
41.8%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM36 (#93 G.Ransaw)Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+16
42.0%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 16 yards gain to the ASU48 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+34
41.9%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep middle to #9 E.Metcalf caught at ASU17, for 34 yards to the ASU14 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
41.7%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU14 (#17 C.Boti; #93 G.Ransaw)Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+8
41.9%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #88 K.Heath caught at ASU07, for 8 yards to the ASU06 (#0 T.Yowe), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
42.3%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU05 (#20 K.Taylor; #25 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
42.8%
(07:52) No Huddle #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU05 (#10 D.Hendricks), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5243% → 43%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
43.1%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush right for 0 yards to the ASU05 (#5 J.Hawkins; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+2
43.3%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU07 (#35 C.Jones; #90 N.Hallenbeck)Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+4
43.2%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #5 K.Clay caught at ASU12, for 4 yards to the ASU11 (#23 A.Richard, Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
43.3%
(05:45) #29 J.Waller punt 52 yards to the USM37, out of bounds at USM37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:5156% → 59%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
44.0%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush left for 7 yards gain to the USM44 (#20 K.Taylor)Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
43.6%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Chester thrown to ASU39 broken up by #9 A.Dickerson QB hurried by #11 D.CollinsSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+15
43.7%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #8 B.Brown caught at ASU48, for 15 yards to the ASU41 (#0 T.Yowe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+35
43.7%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete deep middle to #2 T.Chapman caught at ASU06, for 35 yards to the ASU06, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
43.2%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ASU07 (#4 B.Whitehead)Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
40.7%
Landry Lyddy 7 Yd Run (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3942% → 42%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
42.2%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU42 (#16 J.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
43.3%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU48, for 7 yards to the ASU49 (#1 J.Moten), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
43.3%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #87 T.Little caught at USM30, for 23 yards to the USM28 (#1 J.Moten), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
44.1%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Bonelli thrown to USM20Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-1
44.1%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at USM31, for 1 yard loss to the USM29 (#22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-6
43.3%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor sacked for loss of 11 yards to the USM40 (#30 G.Ponder, #14 J.Tapp)Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 22
OPP 40
0
41.6%
(00:46) #29 J.Waller punt 40 yards to the USM00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
42.3%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #8 B.Barnes at ASU35 #8 B.Barnes return for loss of 2 yards to the ASU33 (#2 T.Chapman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0643% → 42%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
42.5%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #87 T.Little caught at ASU34, for 5 yards to the ASU38 (#41 A.Foster)Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
43.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 0 yards to the ASU38 (#36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
43.3%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Rucker thrown to ASU39 broken up by #3 I.FosterSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
42.2%
(14:22) #29 J.Waller punt 38 yards to the USM24, out of bounds at USM24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
37.0%
Elijah Metcalf 76 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11INT
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:4536% → 37%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
35.6%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU22, for 3 yards loss to the ASU22 (#3 I.Foster; #22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
35.4%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #3 H.Summers caught at ASU27, for 8 yards to the ASU30 (#3 I.Foster; #11 J.Pennix)Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
35.2%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at ASU35, for 7 yards to the ASU37 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
35.8%
PENALTY ASU False Start (#78 R.McGehee) 5 yards from ASU37 to ASU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+12
35.2%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 12 yards gain to the ASU44 (#35 C.Jones; #6 D.King)Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+10
36.2%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #16 C.Cobb thrown to USM26 PENALTY USM Holding (#24 J.Battle) 10 yards from ASU44 to USM46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
36.6%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush left for 0 yards to the USM46 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
36.1%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM38, for 8 yards to the USM38 (#11 J.Pennix), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
36.5%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM34 (#13 M.Haygood; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
37.4%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #1 J.Moten at USM03 #1 J.Moten return 0 yards to the USM03 (#7 C.Rucker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1364% → 64%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+13
36.3%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 13 yards gain to the USM16 (#0 T.Yowe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
35.6%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy sacked for loss of 3 yards to the USM13 (#32 E.Hassler)Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+3
35.8%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 3 yards gain to the USM16 (#8 B.Barnes)Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+5
36.2%
(09:38) PENALTY USM Illegal Snap (#67 B.Roman) 5 yards from USM16 to USM11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+2
36.2%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #0 J.Pittman caught at USM09, for 2 yards to the USM13 (#25 A.Alexander; #38 J.Drew)Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
36.4%
(08:50) #96 R.Harradine punt 55 yards to the ASU32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2335% → 33%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
34.9%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 1 yard gain to the ASU33 (#3 I.Foster; #22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+5
34.3%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #87 T.Little caught at ASU34, for 5 yards to the ASU38 (#35 C.Jones; #3 I.Foster)Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
34.1%
PENALTY ASU False Start (#78 R.McGehee) 5 yards from ASU38 to ASU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
33.0%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Rucker thrown to USM26Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
32.7%
(07:14) #29 J.Waller punt 45 yards to the USM22 fair catch by #9 E.Metcalf at USM22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5767% → 67%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
33.1%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM27 (#32 E.Hassler)Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+6
32.4%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #6 M.Davis caught at USM24, for 6 yards to the USM33 (#6 A.McGhee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
32.3%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #5 M.Jones caught at USM30, for 0 yards to the USM33 (#22 N.Nelson) PENALTY USM Holding (#88 K.Heath) 10 yards from USM33 to USM23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+8
32.9%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #6 M.Davis caught at USM21, for 8 yards to the USM31 (#8 B.Barnes; #6 A.McGhee)Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
32.7%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #6 M.Davis thrown to USM40 QB hurried by #94 C.SiglerSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+5
33.2%
PENALTY USM False Start (#62 A.Maui) 5 yards from USM31 to USM26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 17
OWN 26
+10
33.3%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USM36 (#95 S.Mitchell; #20 K.Taylor)Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
32.8%
(05:15) #96 R.Harradine punt 21 yards to the ASU43, out of bounds at ASU43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15INT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:1034% → 36%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
34.2%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU48 (#95 M.Clinton; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
34.7%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU48, for 3 yards to the USM49 (#6 D.King)Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+7
34.6%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at USM42, for 7 yards to the USM42 (#53 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
35.5%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM40 (#14 J.Tapp; #36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
35.3%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM36 (#95 M.Clinton; #14 J.Tapp)Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+8
35.2%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #16 C.Cobb caught at USM31, for 8 yards to the USM28 (#14 J.Tapp; #6 D.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
36.5%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #5 K.Clay caught at USM28, for 1 yard to the USM27 (#17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-22
36.1%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #1 J.Moten at USM12 broken up by #17 M.Montgomery #1 J.Moten return 22 yards to the USM34 (#7 C.Rucker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16INT
12 plays · 37 yds · 1:1970% → 72%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
30.4%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #7 C.Chester thrown to ASU41 broken up by #38 J.DrewSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
30.7%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 4 yards gain to the USM38 (#10 D.Hendricks; #95 S.Mitchell)Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+11
29.8%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM44, for 11 yards to the USM49 (#20 K.Taylor; #9 A.Dickerson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
29.8%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU48 (#17 C.Boti; #20 K.Taylor) PENALTY USM Holding (#56 G.Nunnery) 10 yards from USM49 to USM39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 20
OWN 39
0
30.9%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Ishmael thrown to USM39 broken up by #4 B.WhiteheadSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+7
31.0%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 7 yards gain to the USM46 (#25 A.Alexander)Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+23
30.4%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at ASU32, for 23 yards to the ASU31 (#9 A.Dickerson; #38 J.Drew), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
27.4%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 2 yards gain to the ASU29 (#20 K.Taylor; #8 B.Barnes)Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
27.2%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep left to #88 K.Heath thrown to ASU01 broken up by #38 J.DrewSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
27.9%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass intercepted by #25 A.Alexander at ASU26 QB hurried by #32 E.Hassler, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17INT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:2230% → 31%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
29.7%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU32, for 7 yards to the ASU33 (#11 J.Pennix), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
30.5%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #19 J.Reed III thrown to USM24 QB hurried by #14 J.TappSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+6
29.6%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush left for 6 yards gain to the ASU39 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
31.3%
(00:09) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+20
31.1%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at USM41, for 20 yards to the USM41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-23
31.0%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #3 I.Foster at USM02 #3 I.Foster return 23 yards to the USM25, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0970% → 69%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
30.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM23, for 1 yard loss to the USM24 (#25 A.Alexander)Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
30.6%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #6 M.Davis caught at USM25, for 8 yards to the USM32 (#95 S.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
30.0%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to USM35 broken up by #94 C.Sigler QB hurried by #32 E.HasslerSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
31.0%
(13:44) #96 R.Harradine punt 46 yards to the ASU22 #20 A.Blancas return 5 yards to the ASU27 (#3 I.Foster; #25 Z.Ruffin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2930% → 28%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
29.5%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 1 yard gain to the ASU28 (#17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+8
29.3%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU35, for 8 yards to the ASU36 (#17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
29.3%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 0 yards to the ASU36 (#14 J.Tapp; #36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
28.1%
(12:11) #29 J.Waller punt 37 yards to the USM27 fair catch by #9 E.Metcalf at USM27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:0672% → 72%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
28.5%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM32 (#93 G.Ransaw; #32 E.Hassler)Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+9
27.9%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the USM41 (#20 K.Taylor; #22 N.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
27.2%
PENALTY USM False Start (#75 H.Creel) 5 yards from USM41 to USM36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+2
28.3%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the USM38 (#97 T.Carter)Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+12
28.0%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #88 K.Heath caught at USM48, for 12 yards to the USM50 (#6 A.McGhee)Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 1
50
+5
27.3%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU45 (#22 N.Nelson; #8 B.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
26.6%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the ASU44 (#22 N.Nelson)Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
26.6%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #2 T.Chapman caught at ASU49, for 6 yards to the ASU38 (#22 N.Nelson)Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
26.8%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #88 K.Heath thrown to ASU20Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
28.0%
(08:54) #96 R.Harradine punt 38 yards to the ASU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21INT
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:5027% → 31%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
27.2%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at ASU34, for 16 yards to the ASU36 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
28.0%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU38 (#7 I.Gibson; #30 G.Ponder)Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
28.2%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ASU42 (#55 C.Slayden; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
27.8%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU49, for 7 yards to the ASU49 (#7 I.Gibson; #17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
29.1%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USM44 (#22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+13
30.7%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 13 yards gain to the USM31 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
30.9%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM27 (#17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
30.8%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass intercepted by #1 J.Moten at USM00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:4175% → 84%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
25.3%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM24 (#95 S.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
24.1%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #0 J.Pittman caught at USM19, for 1 yard to the USM25 (#0 T.Yowe), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+12
24.1%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #88 K.Heath caught at USM37, for 12 yards to the USM37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
22.7%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #7 C.Chester caught at ASU45, for 35 yards to the ASU28 (#0 T.Yowe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
20.6%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ASU16 (#6 A.McGhee; #25 A.Alexander), 1ST DOWN. #95 S.Mitchell injured on the playSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
20.4%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Chapman thrown to ASU01 broken up by #8 B.BarnesSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+4
20.4%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ASU12 (#20 K.Taylor; #17 C.Boti)Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 6
OPP 12
-4
20.7%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ASU19 (#4 B.Whitehead, #32 E.Hassler)Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+37
15.6%
(02:08) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 02:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4920% → 42%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
19.6%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush right for 12 yards gain to the ASU37 (#3 I.Foster; #17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
20.2%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #3 H.Summers caught at ASU43, for 6 yards to the ASU43 (#1 J.Moten)Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
20.6%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush right for 4 yards gain to the ASU47 (#6 D.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
20.4%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass incomplete short right to #16 C.Cobb thrown to ASU45Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
19.6%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM49 (#7 I.Gibson) PENALTY USM UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#7 I.Gibson) 15 yards from USM49 to USM34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
22.6%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush left for 4 yards gain to the USM30 (#16 J.Lewis)Similar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+6
22.9%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USM24 (#16 J.Lewis; #41 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
22.1%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 16 yards gain to the USM08 (#33 A.Sledge), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
21.9%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM06 (#17 M.Montgomery; #7 I.Gibson)Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
21.7%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 0 yards to the USM06 (#41 A.Foster; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
41.7%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass complete short middle to #87 T.Little caught at USM01, for 6 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:08 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 24TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:4473% → 93%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
27.5%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 8 yards gain to the USM42 (#20 K.Taylor; #8 B.Barnes)Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+10
25.7%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 10 yards gain to the ASU48 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
24.2%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU43 (#38 J.Drew)Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+10
23.5%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #6 M.Davis caught at ASU33, for 10 yards to the ASU33 (#9 A.Dickerson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
23.0%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ASU25 (#17 C.Boti)Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+3
22.6%
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush left for 3 yards gain to the ASU22 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
21.0%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #6 M.Davis caught at ASU10, for 12 yards to the ASU10 (#9 A.Dickerson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
21.0%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 4 yards gain to the ASU06 (#22 N.Nelson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+10
20.9%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:47 PENALTY USM Holding (#56 G.Nunnery) 10 yards from ASU06 to ASU16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+1
20.7%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #2 T.Chapman caught at ASU15, for 1 yard to the ASU15 (#4 B.Whitehead)Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
7.4%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #88 K.Heath caught at ASU01, for 15 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:15, 1ST DOWN #40 C.Wilbanks kick attempt good (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:1212% → 10%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.7%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #10 J.Bonelli caught at ASU32, for 7 yards to the ASU32, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
12.5%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #87 T.Little caught at ASU35, for 4 yards to the ASU36 (#13 M.Haygood; #22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
11.8%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 3 yards gain to the ASU39 (#1 J.Moten; #13 M.Haygood)Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
11.6%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #5 K.Clay thrown to ASU38Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
10.7%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Rucker thrown to ASU45 broken up by #7 I.GibsonSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
10.3%
(07:58) #29 J.Waller punt 45 yards to the USM16, out of bounds at USM16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1493% → 95%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
6.7%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM18 (#38 J.Drew)Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+3
6.3%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM21 (#94 C.Sigler; #95 S.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+4
5.8%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #88 K.Heath caught at USM20, for 4 yards to the USM25 (#25 A.Alexander; #95 S.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+5
5.6%
PENALTY USM Delay Of Game 5 yards from USM25 to USM20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
5.4%
(05:39) #96 R.Harradine punt 39 yards to the ASU41 fair catch by #20 A.Blancas at ASU41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 27TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:089% → 36%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
9.3%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU38, for 4 yards to the ASU45 (#95 M.Clinton; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+12
9.1%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #3 H.Summers caught at USM43, for 12 yards to the USM43 (#6 D.King), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
8.7%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #3 H.Summers caught at USM43, for 7 yards to the USM36 (#23 A.Richard, Jr.; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+4
7.2%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at USM32, for 4 yards to the USM32 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
8.8%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM27 (#16 J.Lewis; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+24
8.8%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #7 C.Rucker caught at USM10, for 24 yards to the USM03 (#41 A.Foster; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
35.8%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM00, for 3 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 28PUNT
13 plays · 9 yds · 1:5986% → 94%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.8%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 5 yards gain to the USM30 (#0 T.Yowe)Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
12.4%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM32 (#10 D.Hendricks; #38 J.Drew)Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
10.9%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM37 (#20 K.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
8.9%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM40 (#20 K.Taylor)Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
8.8%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 0 yards to the USM40 (#95 S.Mitchell; #20 K.Taylor)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-1
7.4%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 1 yard loss to the USM39 (#4 B.Whitehead; #0 T.Yowe)Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+5
6.2%
PENALTY USM Delay Of Game 5 yards from USM39 to USM34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
6.5%
(01:11) #96 R.Harradine punt 41 yards to the ASU25 fair catch by #20 A.Blancas at ASU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 29INT
12 plays · 62 yds · 0:5912% → 20%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.8%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #4 D.Spencer caught at ASU19, for 7 yards to the ASU32, out of bounds at ASU32Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
13.2%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 0 yards to the ASU32, out of bounds at ASU32Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
11.6%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at ASU36, for 7 yards to the ASU39 (#3 I.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
12.0%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM22 PENALTY USM Pass Interference (#11 J.Pennix) 15 yards from ASU39 to USM46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
13.5%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM45, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+9
12.8%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM38, for 9 yards to the USM36, out of bounds at USM36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
13.6%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM15 broken up by #1 J.MotenSimilar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+23
13.6%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #7 C.Rucker caught at USM20, for 23 yards to the USM13 (#11 J.Pennix), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
19.6%
(00:04) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
19.6%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #41 A.Foster at USM00, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:15
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM00, for 3 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
+27
TD · Q4 13:08
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass complete short middle to #87 T.Little caught at USM01, for 6 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:08 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
+20.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-19.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com