ARDLINETry the model
USM

Southern Miss 27 at Arkansas State 21

ARST
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Centennial Bank Stadium
Win probability · ARST
modelARST aheadUSM aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAY
What moved it - hover a play below
Q2 11:11 · (11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #1 J.Moten at USM03 #1 J.Moten return 0 yards to the USM03 (#7 C.Rucker)
01
Market gave ARST a 32% pregame chance
−15
02
ARST has the ball
−9
03
ARST trailing by 10
−6
04
Blowout context favors the defense
−5
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
(15:00) #96 R.Harradine kickoff 65 yards to the ASU00, Touchback
0.0
Q1 14:53
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU23, for 0 yards to the ASU25 fumbled by #16 C.Cobb at ASU25 forced by #30 G.Ponder recovered by USM #30 G.Ponder at ASU25, End Of Play
+2.9
Q1 14:46
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #5 M.Jones caught at ASU27, for 18 yards to the ASU07 (#25 A.Alexander), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-5.9
Q1 14:25
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU06 (#8 B.Barnes)
-0.1
Q1 14:03
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to ASU00
0.0
Q1 13:50
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 4 yards to the ASU10 (#95 S.Mitchell)
0.0
Q1 13:17
(13:19) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 13:17
-3.6
Q1 13:17
(13:17) #96 R.Harradine kickoff 65 yards to the ASU00, Touchback
+1.2
Q1 13:08
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep left to #7 C.Rucker caught at USM35, for 55 yards to the USM20 (#1 J.Moten; #22 C.Myrick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+5.8
Q1 12:54
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM17 (#1 J.Moten)
+2.9
Q1 12:25
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #5 K.Clay caught at USM21, for 7 yards to the USM10 (#22 C.Myrick; #17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 12:00
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 2 yards loss to the USM12 (#35 C.Jones)
0.0
Q1 11:24
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #16 C.Cobb caught at USM07, for 7 yards to the USM05 (#35 C.Jones)
0.0
Q1 11:02
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #5 K.Clay caught at USM02, for 5 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:02, 1ST DOWN #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
+7.9
Q1 10:57
(11:02) #25 C.Amaya kickoff 65 yards to the USM00 #6 M.Davis return 19 yards to the USM19 (#44 J.Sample; #38 J.Drew)
-1.5
Q1 10:51
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the USM28, out of bounds at USM28
-3.1
Q1 10:25
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #14 R.Briggs Jr. caught at USM30, for 5 yards to the USM33 (#17 C.Boti), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 10:12
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM36 (#93 G.Ransaw)
0.0
Q1 9:40
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 16 yards gain to the ASU48 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 9:17
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep middle to #9 E.Metcalf caught at ASU17, for 34 yards to the ASU14 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWN
-2.2
Q1 8:54
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU14 (#17 C.Boti; #93 G.Ransaw)
-1.1
Q1 8:31
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #88 K.Heath caught at ASU07, for 8 yards to the ASU06 (#0 T.Yowe), out of bounds
0.0
Q1 8:12
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU05 (#20 K.Taylor; #25 A.Alexander)
+0.4
Q1 7:38
(07:52) No Huddle #1 B.Braxton rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU05 (#10 D.Hendricks), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELD
+0.8
Q1 7:31
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush right for 0 yards to the ASU05 (#5 J.Hawkins; #35 C.Jones)
+6.5
Q1 7:38
Timeout , clock 07:38
-4.4
Q1 7:00
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU07 (#35 C.Jones; #90 N.Hallenbeck)
+4.4
Q1 6:22
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #5 K.Clay caught at ASU12, for 4 yards to the ASU11 (#23 A.Richard, Jr.), out of bounds
+0.2
Q1 5:39
(05:45) #29 J.Waller punt 52 yards to the USM37, out of bounds at USM37
-0.6
Q1 5:34
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush left for 7 yards gain to the USM44 (#20 K.Taylor)
-3.8
Q1 5:39
Timeout , clock 05:39
+3.8
Q1 5:15
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Chester thrown to ASU39 broken up by #9 A.Dickerson QB hurried by #11 D.Collins
-5.2
Q1 5:05
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #8 B.Brown caught at ASU48, for 15 yards to the ASU41 (#0 T.Yowe), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 4:35
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete deep middle to #2 T.Chapman caught at ASU06, for 35 yards to the ASU06, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD
-0.9
Q1 4:23
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ASU07 (#4 B.Whitehead)
-0.2
Q1 3:43
Landry Lyddy 7 Yd Run (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)
-10.9
Q1 3:23
(03:31) #96 R.Harradine kickoff 62 yards to the ASU03 #16 C.Cobb return 34 yards to the ASU37 (#33 A.Sledge)
+2.0
Q1 3:17
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU42 (#16 J.Lewis), out of bounds
+3.5
Q1 2:43
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU48, for 7 yards to the ASU49 (#1 J.Moten), 1ST DOWN
+0.6
Q1 2:19
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #87 T.Little caught at USM30, for 23 yards to the USM28 (#1 J.Moten), 1ST DOWN
+0.3
Q1 2:06
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Bonelli thrown to USM20
+1.9
Q1 1:48
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at USM31, for 1 yard loss to the USM29 (#22 C.Myrick)
0.0
Q1 1:21
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor sacked for loss of 11 yards to the USM40 (#30 G.Ponder, #14 J.Tapp)
-0.1
Q1 0:38
(00:46) #29 J.Waller punt 40 yards to the USM00, Touchback
-0.3
Q1 0:31
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #8 B.Barnes at ASU35 #8 B.Barnes return for loss of 2 yards to the ASU33 (#2 T.Chapman)
-5.7
Q1 0:22
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #87 T.Little caught at ASU34, for 5 yards to the ASU38 (#41 A.Foster)
+3.5
Q1 0:00
End of 1st quarter.
+0.3
Q2 14:53
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 0 yards to the ASU38 (#36 B.Lewis)
+0.5
Q2 14:25
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Rucker thrown to ASU39 broken up by #3 I.Foster
-0.2
Q2 14:16
(14:22) #29 J.Waller punt 38 yards to the USM24, out of bounds at USM24
0.0
Q2 14:04
Elijah Metcalf 76 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)
-17.5
Q2 14:05
(14:05) #96 R.Harradine kickoff 65 yards to the ASU00, Touchback
+12.2
Q2 13:56
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU22, for 3 yards loss to the ASU22 (#3 I.Foster; #22 C.Myrick)
-9.2
Q2 13:35
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #3 H.Summers caught at ASU27, for 8 yards to the ASU30 (#3 I.Foster; #11 J.Pennix)
0.0
Q2 13:02
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at ASU35, for 7 yards to the ASU37 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 12:52
PENALTY ASU False Start (#78 R.McGehee) 5 yards from ASU37 to ASU32. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 12:35
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush left for 12 yards gain to the ASU44 (#35 C.Jones; #6 D.King)
0.0
Q2 12:21
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #16 C.Cobb thrown to USM26 PENALTY USM Holding (#24 J.Battle) 10 yards from ASU44 to USM46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
+0.5
Q2 12:10
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush left for 0 yards to the USM46 (#35 C.Jones)
+0.8
Q2 11:43
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM38, for 8 yards to the USM38 (#11 J.Pennix), out of bounds
0.0
Q2 11:26
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM34 (#13 M.Haygood; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWN
-0.2
Q2 11:32
Timeout Southern Miss, clock 11:32
-5.1
Q2 10:59
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 13 yards gain to the USM16 (#0 T.Yowe), 1ST DOWN
+2.1
Q2 10:38
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy sacked for loss of 3 yards to the USM13 (#32 E.Hassler)
-0.5
Q2 9:54
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 3 yards gain to the USM16 (#8 B.Barnes)
+0.1
Q2 9:38
(09:38) PENALTY USM Illegal Snap (#67 B.Roman) 5 yards from USM16 to USM11. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 9:15
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #0 J.Pittman caught at USM09, for 2 yards to the USM13 (#25 A.Alexander; #38 J.Drew)
0.0
Q2 8:46
(08:50) #96 R.Harradine punt 55 yards to the ASU32
0.0
Q2 8:37
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 1 yard gain to the ASU33 (#3 I.Foster; #22 C.Myrick)
+2.4
Q2 8:45
Timeout , clock 08:45
-3.4
Q2 8:12
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #87 T.Little caught at ASU34, for 5 yards to the ASU38 (#35 C.Jones; #3 I.Foster)
-0.5
Q2 7:45
PENALTY ASU False Start (#78 R.McGehee) 5 yards from ASU38 to ASU33. NO PLAY
+0.1
Q2 7:22
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Rucker thrown to USM26
-0.1
Q2 7:14
(07:14) #29 J.Waller punt 45 yards to the USM22 fair catch by #9 E.Metcalf at USM22
0.0
Q2 7:08
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM27 (#32 E.Hassler)
-0.1
Q2 6:48
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #6 M.Davis caught at USM24, for 6 yards to the USM33 (#6 A.McGhee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 6:31
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #5 M.Jones caught at USM30, for 0 yards to the USM33 (#22 N.Nelson) PENALTY USM Holding (#88 K.Heath) 10 yards from USM33 to USM23. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 6:07
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #6 M.Davis caught at USM21, for 8 yards to the USM31 (#8 B.Barnes; #6 A.McGhee)
0.0
Q2 5:47
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #6 M.Davis thrown to USM40 QB hurried by #94 C.Sigler
+0.1
Q2 5:47
PENALTY USM False Start (#62 A.Maui) 5 yards from USM31 to USM26. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 5:41
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USM36 (#95 S.Mitchell; #20 K.Taylor)
0.0
Q2 5:11
(05:15) #96 R.Harradine punt 21 yards to the ASU43, out of bounds at ASU43
-0.5
Q2 5:05
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU48 (#95 M.Clinton; #17 M.Montgomery)
+1.3
Q2 4:44
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU48, for 3 yards to the USM49 (#6 D.King)
+1.0
Q2 4:19
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at USM42, for 7 yards to the USM42 (#53 J.Harper), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 4:10
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM40 (#14 J.Tapp; #36 B.Lewis)
+1.5
Q2 4:15
Timeout Southern Miss, clock 04:15
-4.3
Q2 3:33
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM36 (#95 M.Clinton; #14 J.Tapp)
+4.3
Q2 2:57
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #16 C.Cobb caught at USM31, for 8 yards to the USM28 (#14 J.Tapp; #6 D.King), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 2:33
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #5 K.Clay caught at USM28, for 1 yard to the USM27 (#17 M.Montgomery)
0.0
Q2 1:55
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #1 J.Moten at USM12 broken up by #17 M.Montgomery #1 J.Moten return 22 yards to the USM34 (#7 C.Rucker)
+0.1
Q2 1:48
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep right to #7 C.Chester thrown to ASU41 broken up by #38 J.Drew
-3.8
Q2 1:55
Timeout , clock 01:55
+3.8
Q2 1:41
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 4 yards gain to the USM38 (#10 D.Hendricks; #95 S.Mitchell)
-5.3
Q2 1:37
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM44, for 11 yards to the USM49 (#20 K.Taylor; #9 A.Dickerson), 1ST DOWN
-1.0
Q2 1:42
Timeout Arkansas State, clock 01:42
+4.3
Q2 1:30
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU48 (#17 C.Boti; #20 K.Taylor) PENALTY USM Holding (#56 G.Nunnery) 10 yards from USM49 to USM39. NO PLAY
-4.3
Q2 1:24
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Ishmael thrown to USM39 broken up by #4 B.Whitehead
0.0
Q2 1:19
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 7 yards gain to the USM46 (#25 A.Alexander)
0.0
Q2 1:12
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete deep right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at ASU32, for 23 yards to the ASU31 (#9 A.Dickerson; #38 J.Drew), 1ST DOWN
-0.1
Q2 1:18
Timeout Arkansas State, clock 01:18
+4.4
Q2 0:56
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 2 yards gain to the ASU29 (#20 K.Taylor; #8 B.Barnes)
-4.7
Q2 0:34
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete deep left to #88 K.Heath thrown to ASU01 broken up by #38 J.Drew
0.0
Q2 0:29
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass intercepted by #25 A.Alexander at ASU26 QB hurried by #32 E.Hassler, End Of Play
0.0
Q2 0:25
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU32, for 7 yards to the ASU33 (#11 J.Pennix), out of bounds
+2.5
Q2 0:18
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #19 J.Reed III thrown to USM24 QB hurried by #14 J.Tapp
0.0
Q2 0:12
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush left for 6 yards gain to the ASU39 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 0:09
(00:09) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete, Spike
+0.1
Q2 0:05
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete deep middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at USM41, for 20 yards to the USM41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 0:10
Timeout Southern Miss, clock 00:10
-2.6
Q2 0:03
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #3 I.Foster at USM02 #3 I.Foster return 23 yards to the USM25, End Of Play
+4.6
Q2 0:05
Timeout Arkansas State, clock 00:05
-2.1
Q2 0:00
End of 2nd quarter.
+2.1
Q3 15:00
(15:00) #25 C.Amaya kickoff 65 yards to the USM00, Touchback
-2.8
Q3 14:49
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM23, for 1 yard loss to the USM24 (#25 A.Alexander)
+1.3
Q3 14:19
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #6 M.Davis caught at USM25, for 8 yards to the USM32 (#95 S.Mitchell)
-0.4
Q3 13:48
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to USM35 broken up by #94 C.Sigler QB hurried by #32 E.Hassler
0.0
Q3 13:40
(13:44) #96 R.Harradine punt 46 yards to the ASU22 #20 A.Blancas return 5 yards to the ASU27 (#3 I.Foster; #25 Z.Ruffin)
0.0
Q3 13:34
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 1 yard gain to the ASU28 (#17 M.Montgomery)
-0.8
Q3 13:05
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU35, for 8 yards to the ASU36 (#17 M.Montgomery)
0.0
Q3 12:47
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 0 yards to the ASU36 (#14 J.Tapp; #36 B.Lewis)
0.0
Q3 12:05
(12:11) #29 J.Waller punt 37 yards to the USM27 fair catch by #9 E.Metcalf at USM27
-1.2
Q3 11:56
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM32 (#93 G.Ransaw; #32 E.Hassler)
+1.9
Q3 12:05
Timeout , clock 12:05
-1.9
Q3 11:40
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the USM41 (#20 K.Taylor; #22 N.Nelson), 1ST DOWN
+1.9
Q3 11:29
PENALTY USM False Start (#75 H.Creel) 5 yards from USM41 to USM36. NO PLAY
-1.8
Q3 11:05
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the USM38 (#97 T.Carter)
+0.6
Q3 10:24
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #88 K.Heath caught at USM48, for 12 yards to the USM50 (#6 A.McGhee)
-0.6
Q3 10:05
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU45 (#22 N.Nelson; #8 B.Barnes), 1ST DOWN
+0.3
Q3 9:26
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the ASU44 (#22 N.Nelson)
0.0
Q3 9:11
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #2 T.Chapman caught at ASU49, for 6 yards to the ASU38 (#22 N.Nelson)
0.0
Q3 8:57
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short right to #88 K.Heath thrown to ASU20
-0.3
Q3 8:50
(08:54) #96 R.Harradine punt 38 yards to the ASU00, Touchback
+0.5
Q3 8:41
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at ASU34, for 16 yards to the ASU36 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWN
-0.3
Q3 8:50
Timeout , clock 08:50
+0.3
Q3 8:28
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU38 (#7 I.Gibson; #30 G.Ponder)
-0.3
Q3 7:51
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ASU42 (#55 C.Slayden; #17 M.Montgomery)
+0.1
Q3 7:14
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #16 C.Cobb caught at ASU49, for 7 yards to the ASU49 (#7 I.Gibson; #17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWN
-0.4
Q3 6:57
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USM44 (#22 C.Myrick)
+0.1
Q3 6:36
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 13 yards gain to the USM31 (#22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWN
+2.3
Q3 6:43
Timeout Southern Miss, clock 06:43
-3.6
Q3 6:08
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM27 (#17 M.Montgomery)
+3.7
Q3 5:51
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass intercepted by #1 J.Moten at USM00, Touchback
0.0
Q3 5:46
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM24 (#95 S.Mitchell)
-3.5
Q3 5:18
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #0 J.Pittman caught at USM19, for 1 yard to the USM25 (#0 T.Yowe), out of bounds
-1.1
Q3 4:33
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #88 K.Heath caught at USM37, for 12 yards to the USM37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
-0.2
Q3 4:12
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short right to #7 C.Chester caught at ASU45, for 35 yards to the ASU28 (#0 T.Yowe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+0.1
Q3 3:50
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ASU16 (#6 A.McGhee; #25 A.Alexander), 1ST DOWN. #95 S.Mitchell injured on the play
-1.0
Q3 3:29
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Chapman thrown to ASU01 broken up by #8 B.Barnes
0.0
Q3 3:24
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ASU12 (#20 K.Taylor; #17 C.Boti)
0.0
Q3 2:45
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ASU19 (#4 B.Whitehead, #32 E.Hassler)
0.0
Q3 2:05
(02:08) #40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 02:05
-3.4
Q3 2:05
(02:05) #96 R.Harradine kickoff 65 yards to the ASU00, Touchback
+0.9
Q3 1:57
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush right for 12 yards gain to the ASU37 (#3 I.Foster; #17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWN
+2.1
Q3 1:36
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #3 H.Summers caught at ASU43, for 6 yards to the ASU43 (#1 J.Moten)
0.0
Q3 1:19
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush right for 4 yards gain to the ASU47 (#6 D.King), 1ST DOWN
-0.5
Q3 0:58
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass incomplete short right to #16 C.Cobb thrown to ASU45
0.0
Q3 0:47
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM49 (#7 I.Gibson) PENALTY USM UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#7 I.Gibson) 15 yards from USM49 to USM34, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 0:30
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush left for 4 yards gain to the USM30 (#16 J.Lewis)
+1.1
Q3 0:06
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USM24 (#16 J.Lewis; #41 A.Foster), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 0:00
End of 3rd quarter.
0.0
Q4 14:49
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 16 yards gain to the USM08 (#33 A.Sledge), 1ST DOWN
-1.4
Q4 14:15
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM06 (#17 M.Montgomery; #7 I.Gibson)
0.0
Q4 13:36
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers rush middle for 0 yards to the USM06 (#41 A.Foster; #17 M.Montgomery)
0.0
Q4 13:08
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass complete short middle to #87 T.Little caught at USM01, for 6 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:08 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
+20.2
Q4 13:08
(13:08) #25 C.Amaya kickoff 31 yards to the USM34 fair catch by #7 C.Chester at USM34
-3.6
Q4 12:59
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 8 yards gain to the USM42 (#20 K.Taylor; #8 B.Barnes)
-7.9
Q4 12:41
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 10 yards gain to the ASU48 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWN
-1.3
Q4 12:56
Timeout , clock 12:56
-0.3
Q4 12:19
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU43 (#38 J.Drew)
+0.9
Q4 11:49
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #6 M.Davis caught at ASU33, for 10 yards to the ASU33 (#9 A.Dickerson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-1.0
Q4 11:31
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ASU25 (#17 C.Boti)
0.0
Q4 11:12
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush left for 3 yards gain to the ASU22 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWN
-0.4
Q4 10:35
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #6 M.Davis caught at ASU10, for 12 yards to the ASU10 (#9 A.Dickerson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 10:16
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 4 yards gain to the ASU06 (#22 N.Nelson), out of bounds
-0.4
Q4 9:49
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:47 PENALTY USM Holding (#56 G.Nunnery) 10 yards from ASU06 to ASU16. NO PLAY
-0.1
Q4 9:38
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #2 T.Chapman caught at ASU15, for 1 yard to the ASU15 (#4 B.Whitehead)
+0.1
Q4 9:15
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short left to #88 K.Heath caught at ASU01, for 15 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:15, 1ST DOWN #40 C.Wilbanks kick attempt good (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard)
-12.6
Q4 9:15
(09:15) #96 R.Harradine kickoff 65 yards to the ASU00, Touchback
+0.4
Q4 9:06
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #10 J.Bonelli caught at ASU32, for 7 yards to the ASU32, End Of Play
+2.7
Q4 8:46
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #87 T.Little caught at ASU35, for 4 yards to the ASU36 (#13 M.Haygood; #22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 8:31
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush left for 3 yards gain to the ASU39 (#1 J.Moten; #13 M.Haygood)
+0.1
Q4 8:06
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short right to #5 K.Clay thrown to ASU38
-1.5
Q4 8:01
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Rucker thrown to ASU45 broken up by #7 I.Gibson
0.0
Q4 7:54
(07:58) #29 J.Waller punt 45 yards to the USM16, out of bounds at USM16
0.0
Q4 7:48
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM18 (#38 J.Drew)
-1.6
Q4 7:14
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM21 (#94 C.Sigler; #95 S.Mitchell)
0.0
Q4 6:28
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Braxton pass complete short middle to #88 K.Heath caught at USM20, for 4 yards to the USM25 (#25 A.Alexander; #95 S.Mitchell)
-0.6
Q4 5:50
PENALTY USM Delay Of Game 5 yards from USM25 to USM20. NO PLAY
0.0
Q4 5:34
(05:39) #96 R.Harradine punt 39 yards to the ASU41 fair catch by #20 A.Blancas at ASU41
0.0
Q4 5:23
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #7 C.Rucker caught at ASU38, for 4 yards to the ASU45 (#95 M.Clinton; #17 M.Montgomery)
+1.0
Q4 4:52
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #3 H.Summers caught at USM43, for 12 yards to the USM43 (#6 D.King), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD
0.0
Q4 4:31
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #3 H.Summers caught at USM43, for 7 yards to the USM36 (#23 A.Richard, Jr.; #17 M.Montgomery)
+0.2
Q4 4:08
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at USM32, for 4 yards to the USM32 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWN
-0.5
Q4 3:48
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Spencer rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM27 (#16 J.Lewis; #35 C.Jones)
+0.4
Q4 3:29
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #7 C.Rucker caught at USM10, for 24 yards to the USM03 (#41 A.Foster; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWN
-0.5
Q4 3:15
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM00, for 3 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
+19.6
Q4 3:15
(03:15) #25 C.Amaya kickoff 52 yards to the USM13 fair catch by #6 M.Davis at USM13
-4.0
Q4 3:08
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 5 yards gain to the USM30 (#0 T.Yowe)
-8.9
Q4 2:26
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM32 (#10 D.Hendricks; #38 J.Drew)
-0.5
Q4 2:21
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM37 (#20 K.Taylor), 1ST DOWN
-3.4
Q4 2:26
Timeout Arkansas State, clock 02:26
+16.1
Q4 2:14
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM40 (#20 K.Taylor)
-15.9
Q4 2:21
Timeout Arkansas State, clock 02:21
+15.9
Q4 2:09
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 0 yards to the USM40 (#95 S.Mitchell; #20 K.Taylor)
-16.1
Q4 2:15
Timeout Arkansas State, clock 02:15
+15.9
Q4 1:54
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 1 yard loss to the USM39 (#4 B.Whitehead; #0 T.Yowe)
-16.6
Q4 2:00
Timeout , clock 02:00
+0.5
Q4 1:15
PENALTY USM Delay Of Game 5 yards from USM39 to USM34. NO PLAY
-1.5
Q4 1:09
(01:11) #96 R.Harradine punt 41 yards to the ASU25 fair catch by #20 A.Blancas at ASU25
+0.1
Q4 1:03
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short right to #4 D.Spencer caught at ASU19, for 7 yards to the ASU32, out of bounds at ASU32
+7.3
Q4 0:57
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush right for 0 yards to the ASU32, out of bounds at ASU32
0.0
Q4 0:52
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #19 T.Fortenberry caught at ASU36, for 7 yards to the ASU39 (#3 I.Foster), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 0:43
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep right to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM22 PENALTY USM Pass Interference (#11 J.Pennix) 15 yards from ASU39 to USM46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-0.8
Q4 0:33
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM45, End Of Play
0.0
Q4 0:21
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short left to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM38, for 9 yards to the USM36, out of bounds at USM36, 1ST DOWN
+0.3
Q4 0:13
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete deep left to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM15 broken up by #1 J.Moten
+0.7
Q4 0:21
Timeout Southern Miss, clock 00:21
-7.5
Q4 0:07
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #7 C.Rucker caught at USM20, for 23 yards to the USM13 (#11 J.Pennix), 1ST DOWN
+7.5
Q4 0:04
(00:04) No Huddle #1 J.Raynor pass incomplete, Spike
+2.4
Q4 0:04
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #41 A.Foster at USM00, End Of Play
0.0
Q4 0:00
End of 4th quarter.
+0.1
Q2 11:11
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass intercepted by #1 J.Moten at USM03 #1 J.Moten return 0 yards to the USM03 (#7 C.Rucker)
+7.4
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:08
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Flowers pass complete short middle to #87 T.Little caught at USM01, for 6 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:08 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
+20.2
TD · Q4 3:15
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Raynor pass complete short middle to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM00, for 3 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #29 J.Waller, LS: #41 D.Nicolson)
+19.6
TD · Q2 14:04
Elijah Metcalf 76 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)
-17.5
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com