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USA

South Alabama 38 at Georgia State 31

GAST
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 23, 2025 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:55: (08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:55 #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) PENALTY #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) PENALTY GSU Offside declined — USA win probability +7.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:56: C. Brown pass to T. Hurst for 5 yds, for a TD — GAST win probability +15.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:38: (09:38) No Huddle #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #85 G.Hollier caught at USA00, for 11 yards to the USA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:38, 1ST DOWN #23 D.Murray Jr. pass attempt Successful — GAST win probability +35.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:39: (05:39) #35 D.Little field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner), clock 05:39 — USA win probability +12.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:49: (01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49 #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) — USA win probability +35.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:37GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 10, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18USA 4th & 1 at GAST 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:41GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:07USA 4th & 2 at GAST 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−0.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:53GAST 4th & 3 at USA 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:02GAST 4th & 10 at USA 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:03USA 4th & 7 at USA 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:04GAST 4th & 8 at USA 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:20USA 4th & 17 at USA 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−3.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:51GAST 4th & 2 at USA 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−1.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:27USA 4th & 4 at USA 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−1.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:39USA 4th & 5 at GAST 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−17.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:01GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−2.5
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1739% → 40%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
39.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 R.Amos rush left for 3 yards gain to the GSU05 (#5 C.Wallace, Jr.; #28 D.McKenzie)Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
39.5%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #1 T.Hurst thrown to GSU21Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+5
39.5%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #82 K.Washington caught at GSU02, for 5 yards to the GSU10 (#8 M.Harris)Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
39.6%
(13:38) #91 R.Chandley punt 43 yards to the USA47 #1 D.Voisin return 0 yards to the USA47 (#32 T.McCrary)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:4460% → 62%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
39.7%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #1 D.Voisin caught at USA45, for 7 yards to the GSU46 (#23 J.Jones; #28 B.Causey III)Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
39.7%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #1 D.Voisin caught at GSU46, for 5 yards to the GSU41 (#4 D.Hopkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
39.9%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU36 (#20 C.Owens; #13 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+1
39.9%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush right for 1 yard gain to the GSU35 (#16 B.Thomas)Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+7
40.1%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #12 B.Jenkins caught at GSU30, for 7 yards to the GSU28 (#7 D.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
40.0%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU24 (#7 D.Walker)Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
40.2%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #1 D.Voisin caught at GSU22, for 4 yards to the GSU20 (#28 B.Causey III; #2 D.Fillmore)Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
40.5%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU19 (#9 M.Dean)Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
40.9%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU18 (#4 D.Hopkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
38.1%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #12 B.Jenkins caught at GSU00, for 18 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:40, 1ST DOWN #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:1339% → 42%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
39.1%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 R.Amos rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU30 (#28 D.McKenzie; #27 I.Mafe)Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
39.1%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Murray Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the GSU30 (#7 T.Goodwill)Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+70
41.5%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #1 T.Hurst caught at GSU39, for 70 yards to the USA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:15, 1ST DOWN #92 L.Rickman kick attempt good (H: #93 B.Gaines, LS: #97 S.Radnoti)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5658% → 61%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.7%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USA26 (#25 J.Robinson)Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
41.8%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush left for 0 yards to the USA26 (#25 J.Robinson; #10 H.Bryant)Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
38.8%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #9 J.Scott caught at USA32, for 74 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:12, 1ST DOWN #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1239% → 44%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.8%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #85 G.Hollier thrown to GSU45Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.8%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Robinson rush left for 5 yards gain to the GSU30 (#1 W.Miller; #5 C.Wallace, Jr.)Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
38.7%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #88 L.Wadle caught at GSU35, for 5 yards to the GSU35 (#5 C.Wallace, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
38.9%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #5 J.Robinson caught at GSU34, for 8 yards to the GSU43 (#1 W.Miller; #32 B.Myrick)Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
39.7%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU48 (#1 W.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
43.9%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #23 D.Murray Jr. caught at USA43, for 52 yards to the USA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:55, 1ST DOWN #92 L.Rickman kick attempt good (H: #93 B.Gaines, LS: #97 S.Radnoti)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4357% → 63%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.7%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete deep to #81 B.Long caught at USA50, for 27 yards to the GSU48 (#25 J.Robinson), out of bounds PENALTY USA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#70 A.Hale) 5 yards from USA25 to USA20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
42.9%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 10 yards gain to the USA30 (#23 J.Jones; #45 K.Butler)Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
42.7%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USA39 (#4 D.Hopkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+55
42.0%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete deep middle to #1 D.Voisin caught at GSU14, for 55 yards to the GSU06 (#24 C.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.8%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:12 #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:1838% → 38%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.3%
(02:07) No Huddle #5 J.Robinson rush right for 4 yards gain to the GSU29 (#1 W.Miller)Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
38.5%
PENALTY GSU Illegal Snap (#54 T.Williams) 5 yards from GSU29 to GSU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
38.2%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush right for 13 yards gain to the GSU37 (#32 B.Myrick; #20 T.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
38.6%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #86 K.Milton thrown to USA45 broken up by #2 J.HendersonSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
38.5%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU39 (#90 E.Smiley)Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
38.2%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Simmons thrown to GSU41 QB hurried by #97 T.Thomas and #20 T.JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+10
37.5%
(14:47) #91 R.Chandley punt 53 yards to the USA08 #1 D.Voisin return 10 yards to the USA18 (#30 K.Walker; #43 J.Laterza)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 6:3962% → 73%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
37.7%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush left for 2 yards gain to the USA20 (#6 J.Huff; #20 C.Owens)Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
37.7%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush right for 5 yards gain to the USA25 (#2 D.Fillmore; #20 C.Owens)Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+11
37.6%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #11 A.Eager caught at USA30, for 11 yards to the USA36 (#2 D.Fillmore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
36.7%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #1 D.Voisin caught at USA46, for 10 yards to the USA46 (#12 S.McCall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
36.2%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USA49 (#56 F.Lewis II; #30 K.Walker)Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+7
36.0%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU44 (#11 I.Mathews; #4 D.Hopkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
35.7%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #21 K.Phillips caught at GSU44, for 8 yards to the GSU36 (#30 K.Walker)Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+9
35.5%
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 9 yards gain to the GSU27 (#6 J.Huff; #5 T.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
35.3%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 P.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU25 (#21 D.Maxey III; #13 J.Rhodes-Nelson)Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+6
34.9%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #12 B.Jenkins caught at GSU19, for 6 yards to the GSU19 (#5 T.Scott)Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
35.2%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short middle to #6 M.Woods thrown to GSU08 broken up by #4 D.HopkinsSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+15
36.1%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush left for 15 yards gain to the GSU04, out of bounds at GSU04, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
34.6%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU03 (#11 I.Mathews; #56 F.Lewis II)Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
26.7%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:55 #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) PENALTY #36 H.DiBoyan kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner) PENALTY GSU Offside declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 3:4328% → 27%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.0%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #1 T.Hurst caught at GSU31, for 7 yards to the GSU32 (#8 M.Harris; #10 D.Hughes)Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
28.6%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU33 (#45 E.Smith IV)Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+19
28.1%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #1 T.Hurst caught at GSU45, for 19 yards to the USA48 (#1 W.Miller; #44 W.Felton IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
29.1%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #13 D.Avery Jr. thrown to USA07 broken up by #2 J.Henderson QB hurried by #45 E.Smith IVSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
29.0%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #9 J.Simmons caught at USA49, for 4 yards to the USA44 (#2 J.Henderson; #10 D.Hughes)Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+3
28.6%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #23 D.Murray Jr. caught at USA47, for 3 yards to the USA41 (#32 B.Myrick; #20 T.Johnson)Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+9
27.5%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #1 T.Hurst caught at USA34, for 9 yards to the USA32 (#5 C.Wallace, Jr.; #22 C.Dozier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
28.1%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Murray Jr. rush right for 0 yards to the USA32 (#1 W.Miller)Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
28.0%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #1 T.Hurst thrown to USA25 broken up by #6 N.ChandlerSimilar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
27.4%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short left to #88 L.Wadle thrown to USA30 broken up by #17 D.YoungSimilar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
26.9%
(04:02) #15 B.McAlister field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #93 B.Gaines, LS: #97 S.Radnoti), clock 04:02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10MISSED FG
20 plays · 51 yds · 3:5075% → 81%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
25.5%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete deep right to #9 J.Scott thrown to GSU30Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
25.5%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush left for 5 yards gain to the USA37 (#30 K.Walker; #25 J.Robinson)Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+11
25.1%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 11 yards gain to the USA48 (#23 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
23.6%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush left for 1 yard loss to the USA47 (#30 K.Walker)Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+11
22.5%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short middle to #6 M.Woods caught at USA46, for 11 yards to the GSU42 (#23 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
21.9%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU40 (#9 M.Dean; #32 T.McCrary)Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
21.7%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+8
21.9%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short right to #9 J.Scott caught at GSU30, for 8 yards to the GSU30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
21.3%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #1 D.Voisin caught at GSU24, for 9 yards to the GSU21 (#6 J.Huff; #5 T.Scott)Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 1
OPP 21
0
21.1%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush right for 0 yards to the GSU21, out of bounds at GSU21Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
21.4%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU16 (#25 J.Robinson; #56 F.Lewis II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
20.2%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 P.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU15 (#11 I.Mathews; #45 K.Butler)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-10
19.4%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Eager rush right for 15 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:10 PENALTY USA Holding (#70 A.Hale) 10 yards from GSU15 to GSU25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 19
OPP 25
+8
19.0%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete short left to #1 D.Voisin caught at GSU20, for 8 yards to the GSU17 (#6 J.Huff), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+35
19.1%
(00:00) #36 H.DiBoyan field goal attempt from 35 yards NO GOOD (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5177% → 77%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.1%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USA28 (#25 J.Robinson; #10 H.Bryant)Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
22.6%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete deep left to #11 A.Eager thrown to GSU25 broken up by #4 D.HopkinsSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
23.0%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Scott thrown to USA33Similar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
23.5%
(14:04) #40 A.Pulkkinen punt 49 yards to the GSU23 fair catch by #5 J.Robinson at GSU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 5:4924% → 25%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
23.5%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU27 (#28 D.McKenzie; #7 T.Goodwill)Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
23.7%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU31 (#96 D.Wiseman)Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+5
23.1%
PENALTY USA Delay Of Game (#20 T.Johnson) 5 yards from GSU31 to GSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
22.3%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU43 (#1 W.Miller; #10 D.Hughes)Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
22.7%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush right for 5 yards gain to the GSU48 (#10 D.Hughes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
23.0%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #5 J.Robinson caught at GSU50, for 7 yards to the USA45 (#1 W.Miller)Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+13
23.1%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush middle for 13 yards gain to the USA32 (#8 M.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
23.3%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USA26 (#10 D.Hughes)Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+3
23.3%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #5 J.Robinson caught at USA30, for 3 yards to the USA23 (#2 J.Henderson; #8 M.Harris)Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
22.2%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USA19 (#1 W.Miller; #32 B.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
22.5%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 R.Amos rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USA10 (#90 E.Smiley; #99 S.Johnson)Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
22.3%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 R.Amos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USA08 (#17 D.Young; #45 E.Smith IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
21.3%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #1 T.Hurst thrown to USA00Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
21.3%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #30 R.Amos thrown to USA07 broken up by #32 B.MyrickSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
20.6%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Simmons thrown to USA05Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
25.1%
(08:04) #92 L.Rickman field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #93 B.Gaines, LS: #97 S.Radnoti), clock 08:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3776% → 75%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.7%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush right for 2 yards gain to the USA27 (#4 D.Hopkins; #11 I.Mathews)Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
23.2%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport sacked for loss of 1 yard to the USA26 (#30 K.Walker, #16 B.Thomas)Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
23.8%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport sacked for loss of 8 yards to the USA18 (#30 K.Walker)Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+2
24.6%
(06:30) #40 A.Pulkkinen punt 46 yards to the GSU36 #5 J.Robinson return 2 yards to the GSU38 (#10 D.Hughes; #28 D.McKenzie)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14TD
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:1625% → 39%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
24.6%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush left for 9 yards gain to the GSU47 (#28 D.McKenzie), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
25.5%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Robinson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU50 (#6 N.Chandler; #90 E.Smiley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
50
-1
25.2%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #23 D.Murray Jr. caught at GSU48, for 1 yard loss to the GSU49 (#32 B.Myrick)Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+15
23.2%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush middle for 15 yards gain to the USA36 (#5 C.Wallace, Jr.; #28 D.McKenzie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
23.2%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Robinson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USA33 (#1 W.Miller; #28 D.McKenzie)Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
24.3%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Robinson rush left for 3 yards gain to the USA30 (#1 W.Miller; #20 T.Johnson)Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+2
22.8%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 R.Amos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USA28 (#14 C.Blaylock; #32 B.Myrick)Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+13
21.2%
(01:58) No Huddle #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #85 G.Hollier caught at USA16, for 13 yards to the USA15 (#5 C.Wallace, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
23.4%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #9 J.Simmons caught at USA19, for 3 yards to the USA12 (#28 D.McKenzie)Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
23.2%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short left to #9 J.Simmons caught at USA17, for 4 yards to the USA08 (#28 D.McKenzie; #34 B.Thomas)Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+3
21.8%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USA05 (#96 D.Wiseman; #20 T.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.0%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the USA05 (#32 B.Myrick; #97 T.Thomas)Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.6%
C. Brown pass to T. Hurst for 5 yds, for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2370% → 69%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.7%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Voisin thrown to USA35Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.2%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA30 (#30 K.Walker)Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
29.6%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport rush right for 1 yard gain to the USA31 (#9 M.Dean), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
30.6%
(13:28) #40 A.Pulkkinen punt 40 yards to the GSU29 #5 J.Robinson return 6 yards to the GSU35 (#11 A.Eager; #8 M.Harris)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:4232% → 75%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.2%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep middle to #1 T.Hurst thrown to USA25 broken up by #6 N.ChandlerSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
31.8%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush right for 14 yards gain to the GSU49 (#14 C.Blaylock; #8 M.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
35.6%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush left for 15 yards gain to the USA36 (#7 T.Goodwill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
36.7%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USA32 (#7 T.Goodwill; #20 T.Johnson)Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
38.6%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Simmons rush right for 3 yards gain to the USA29 (#20 T.Johnson; #91 N.Jennings)Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+8
36.2%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush left for 8 yards gain to the USA21 (#6 N.Chandler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
38.5%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush left for 10 yards gain to the USA11 (#20 T.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
38.6%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Murray Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA06 (#20 T.Johnson)Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
38.6%
PENALTY GSU False Start (#58 D.Bailey Jr.) 5 yards from USA06 to USA11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
74.5%
(09:38) No Huddle #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #85 G.Hollier caught at USA00, for 11 yards to the USA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:38, 1ST DOWN #23 D.Murray Jr. pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:5237% → 56%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.2%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USA30 (#56 F.Lewis II)Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+39
62.1%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass complete deep right to #9 J.Scott caught at GSU31, for 39 yards to the GSU31 (#32 T.McCrary), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
55.2%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU27 (#16 B.Thomas)Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+5
54.7%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU22 (#6 J.Huff; #9 M.Dean)Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+13
55.1%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 13 yards gain to the GSU09 (#5 T.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
54.7%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU08 (#9 M.Dean)Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
54.9%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Phillips rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU05 (#4 D.Hopkins; #16 B.Thomas) PENALTY USA Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q4 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.4%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Davenport pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Voisin thrown to GSU00Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
44.5%
(05:39) #35 D.Little field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner), clock 05:39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:1355% → 58%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
55.1%
(05:27) No Huddle #30 R.Amos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU22 (#97 T.Thomas)Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+14
54.8%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass complete short right to #88 L.Wadle caught at GSU25, for 14 yards to the GSU36 (#28 D.McKenzie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
57.6%
(04:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 R.Amos rush left for 4 yards gain (-4) to the GSU40 fumbled by #30 R.Amos at GSU40 forced by #20 T.Johnson recovered by USA #2 J.Henderson at GSU40 #2 J.Henderson return 8 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:11 PENALTY USA Personal Foul (#18 R.Moss Jr.) 15 yards from GSU32 to GSU47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:0358% → 95%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
41.8%
K. Bullock run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
42.0%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU40 (#21 D.Maxey III)Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
40.9%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU35 (#10 H.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
39.5%
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GSU33 (#30 K.Walker)Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
39.4%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush right for 5 yards gain to the GSU28 (#25 J.Robinson; #9 M.Dean)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+24
39.5%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 24 yards gain to the GSU04 (#23 J.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
4.6%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49 #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4115% → 10%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
14.8%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep middle to #13 D.Avery Jr. thrown to USA30 PENALTY USA Pass Interference (#2 J.Henderson) 15 yards from GSU25 to GSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
17.3%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #1 T.Hurst thrown to USA25 broken up by #6 N.ChandlerSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
16.4%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Simmons thrown to GSU45Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
15.7%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown rush left for 5 yards gain to the GSU45 (#20 T.Johnson)Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 5
OWN 45
-22
9.9%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Brown pass intercepted by #20 T.Johnson at GSU50 QB hurried by #97 T.Thomas #20 T.Johnson return 22 yards to the GSU28 (#68 M.Cook), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:1596% → 96%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
4.2%
(00:52) Kneel down by South Alabama at GSU29 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-1
4.4%
(00:32) Kneel down by South Alabama at GSU30 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:38
(09:38) No Huddle #8 C.Brown pass complete short middle to #85 G.Hollier caught at USA00, for 11 yards to the USA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:38, 1ST DOWN #23 D.Murray Jr. pass attempt Successful
+35.9
TD · Q4 1:49
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Bullock rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49 #35 D.Little kick attempt good (H: #40 A.Pulkkinen, LS: #44 B.Turner)
-35
TD · Q4 14:56
C. Brown pass to T. Hurst for 5 yds, for a TD
+15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com