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ODU

Old Dominion 27 at James Madison 63

JMU
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:30 · Ian Brandt punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JMU 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense+35.1Score differential+30.0Pregame prior+1.9Garbage-time factor+10.4Blowout margin+15.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:00: Nick DeGennaro 7 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick) — JMU win probability +7.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:49: Dawson Johnson 16 Yd pass from Colton Joseph (Riley Callaghan Kick) — ODU win probability +12.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:57: Jordan Fuller 2 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick) — JMU win probability +15.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:49: Wayne Knight 13 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick) — JMU win probability +12.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:57: Alonza Barnett III 6 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick) — JMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:23ODU 4th & 1 at JMU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:10JMU 4th & 8 at ODU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:00ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 18, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−3.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00JMU 4th & 4 at ODU 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−1.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:44ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:45JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 37, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:50ODU 4th & 20 at ODU 15, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−2.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:30ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 31, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:18JMU 4th & 2 at JMU 43, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:29ODU 4th & 19 at ODU 14, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:31ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 37, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:54ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:23JMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:56ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:05JMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:19ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:00JMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 6:49ODU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:57JMU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:49JMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:57JMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:30JMU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 12:28JMU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 2:57JMU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:3160% → 60%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
60.1%
Lucas Struck 2 Yd Fumble Return (Riley Callaghan Kick)Similar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
60.0%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 24Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
59.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 9 yds to the JMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
59.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 4 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
59.5%
Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+58
60.3%
Alonza Barnett III 58 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:5340% → 40%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.1%
Trequan Jones run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
60.1%
Colton Joseph run for 2 yds to the ODU 27 Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tre' Brown III) to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+5
60.2%
PENALTY JMU Offside (Culp,Elijah) 5 yards from ODU17 to ODU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+23
60.2%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Tre' Brown III for 23 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
59.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Tre' Brown III for 6 yds to the JMU 49Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
59.7%
Colton Joseph run for 2 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
59.8%
Trequan Jones run for 1 yd to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
59.9%
Ian Brandt punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 5:0660% → 60%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
60.2%
Wayne Knight run for 8 yds to the JMU 28Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
60.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Michael ScottSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+20
59.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Josh Phifer for 20 yds to the JMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
60.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Braeden Wisloski for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
60.8%
Jordan Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 8
50
+10
60.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 10 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
61.0%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+4
60.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
60.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for no gain to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
60.1%
Patrick Rea punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4TD
1 play · 98 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+98
55.6%
Tre' Brown III 98 Yd pass from Colton Joseph (Riley Callaghan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4156% → 60%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
55.7%
Alonza Barnett III run for 10 yds to the JMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
60.1%
Nick DeGennaro 65 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4040% → 47%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
59.7%
Devin Roche run for 13 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
58.7%
Colton Joseph run for 17 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
58.0%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Joseph,Colton pass incomplete deep right to Abdul-Rahim Gladding,Na'eem thrown to JMU10 PENALTY JMU Pass Interference (Culp,Elijah) 15 yards from JMU45 to JMU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
57.6%
Devin Roche run for 7 yds to the JMU 23Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
57.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 2 yds to the JMU 21Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+9
57.8%
Devin Roche run for 9 yds to the JMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
57.2%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the JMU 11Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
56.6%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Tre' Brown IIISimilar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
53.5%
Tre' Brown III 11 Yd pass from Colton Joseph (Riley Callaghan PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0055% → 63%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.0%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
54.8%
Wayne Knight run for 5 yds to the JMU 34Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
54.8%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
55.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 23 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+37
56.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 34 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Targeting (Nickendre Stiger) to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.0%
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the ODU 2Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
56.1%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Phifer,Josh) 5 yards from ODU02 to ODU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
63.3%
Nick DeGennaro 7 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0339% → 55%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Maurki James for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
60.7%
Maurki James run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
60.9%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 6 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
60.1%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Dawson Johnson for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
60.0%
Maurki James run for 15 yds to the JMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
58.3%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the JMU 47Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+11
58.3%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 11 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
58.2%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the JMU 41Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+23
59.4%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding for 23 yds to the JMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
57.4%
Maurki James run for 2 yds to the JMU 16Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
45.3%
Dawson Johnson 16 Yd pass from Colton Joseph (Riley Callaghan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4749% → 65%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the JMU 27Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
49.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 8 yds to the JMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
49.2%
George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the JMU 39Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
50.5%
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
49.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
50
+36
51.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 36 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
51.8%
Jordan Fuller run for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+11
51.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 11 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.3%
Jordan Fuller 2 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 0:3439% → 34%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
61.2%
Maurki James run for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 19 Maurki James fumbled, recovered by ODU Maurki JamesSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
61.6%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
63.1%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Grant,Skyler) 5 yards from ODU20 to ODU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+3
63.1%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
66.3%
Ian Brandt punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:5364% → 62%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
63.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 13 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
64.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Jaylan SanchezSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+6
62.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 6 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
62.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Lacota DippreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.1%
Colton Joseph pass intercepted Justin Eaglin return for no gain to the JMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:5765% → 78%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
65.3%
Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+12
66.2%
Alonza Barnett III run for 12 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
66.4%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+10
66.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 10 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
67.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
66.9%
Jordan Fuller run for 9 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
65.8%
Jordan Fuller run for 2 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
78.4%
Wayne Knight 13 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5925% → 23%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.6%
Trequan Jones run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
74.9%
Trequan Jones run for 2 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
75.8%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Tre' Brown IIISimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
76.6%
Ian Brandt punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5177% → 76%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
76.5%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 22Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
76.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+16
75.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 16 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
78.5%
Alonza Barnett III sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the JMU 30Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+7
77.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for 7 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
77.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Braeden WisloskiSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+37
76.3%
Patrick Rea punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:3881% → 92%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
80.6%
Jordan Fuller run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+6
82.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for 6 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+19
81.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 19 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
84.1%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Jahleel Culbreath for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.4%
Alonza Barnett III 6 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:0212% → 11%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.4%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Tre' Brown IIISimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.7%
Colton Joseph run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-11
89.1%
Colton Joseph sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
89.5%
Ian Brandt punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 2:1493% → 98%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
92.8%
Wayne Knight run for 8 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+34
93.0%
Wayne Knight run for 34 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
93.3%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Alonza Barnett III 3 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.9%
Maurki James run for 7 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
97.9%
Maurki James run for 1 yd to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
98.0%
Maurki James run for 3 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.0%
Colton Joseph pass intercepted Justin Eaglin return for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:0398% → 100%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.2%
Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
98.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Josh PhiferSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+30
98.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for 30 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.5%
Jordan Fuller run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Alonza Barnett III 8 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Colton Joseph pass complete to Devin Roche for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Tre' Brown IIISimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Ian Brandt punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 39Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-1
99.8%
Matthew Sluka run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 43Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Patrick Rea punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devin Roche at the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Jailen ButlerSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Colton Joseph pass incomplete to Tre' Brown IIISimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-9
99.9%
Colton Joseph sacked by Jacob Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 19
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Ian Brandt punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 5:26100% → 100%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
99.9%
James Madison Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the JMU 34Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 24
OWN 34
+7
99.8%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the JMU 41Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 17
OWN 41
+39
99.9%
Matthew Sluka run for 39 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
99.9%
George Pettaway run for 7 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Jobi Malary run for 1 yd to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-11
99.9%
Matthew Sluka sacked by Jeremy Mack Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Za'Ron Collins 18 Yd pass from Matthew Sluka (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Quinn Henicle run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Maurki James run for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+8
100.0%
Quinn Henicle run for 8 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Devin Roche run for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Blake Kendall run for no gain to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
100.0%
M. James takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:57
Jordan Fuller 2 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)
+15.8
TD · Q3 10:49
Wayne Knight 13 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)
+12.6
TD · Q2 6:49
Dawson Johnson 16 Yd pass from Colton Joseph (Riley Callaghan Kick)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com