GAST
Georgia State 24 at Georgia Southern 41
GASO2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 6
01
GASO leading by 17
+24
02
GASO has the ball
+9
03
Blowout context favors the offense
+3
04
Market gave GASO a 68% pregame chance
+1
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 14:46
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 9 yds to the GASO 42
0.0
Q1 14:22
JC French IV pass incomplete to Ahmon Green
+1.0
Q1 14:19
JC French IV run for 3 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 13:58
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GAST 49
+0.4
Q1 13:43
JC French IV pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.
+0.8
Q1 13:33
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 29 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 13:09
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden Brown
+0.5
Q1 13:02
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GAST 20
0.0
Q1 12:24
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb
-0.2
Q1 12:19
Tripp Bryant 38 yd FG GOOD
+3.8
Q1 12:19
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 12:19
-9.8
Q1 12:13
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 63 yds , TJ Peyton return for 20 yds to the GAST 45 Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the GAST 12
+3.0
Q1 12:04
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 19 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST down
+3.8
Q1 11:32
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the GAST 37
0.0
Q1 10:58
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the GAST 38
0.0
Q1 10:13
Cameran Brown run for 3 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 9:28
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 7 yds to the GAST 48
-0.2
Q1 8:56
Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q1 8:21
Cameran Brown pass complete to Rashad Amos for 10 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 7:49
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the GASO 35
-0.6
Q1 7:10
TJ Peyton run for 2 yds to the GASO 33
0.0
Q1 6:35
Cameran Brown pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 11 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 6:05
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 25
-0.4
Q1 5:35
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 10 yds to the GASO 15
0.0
Q1 4:52
Cameran Brown run for 15 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-14.7
Q1 4:52
Braeden McAlister kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Georgia State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaylen Jones)
+17.3
Q1 4:52
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 04:52
+2.6
Q1 4:41
Dalen Cobb run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 28
-11.7
Q1 4:23
Georgia Southern Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the GASO 26
0.0
Q1 3:40
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 2 yds to the GASO 28
-0.1
Q1 3:19
JC French IV run for 15 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 2:58
JC French IV run for 6 yds to the GASO 49
+0.6
Q1 2:39
OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q1 2:13
JC French IV pass complete to Taylor Bradshaw for 4 yds to the GAST 39
+1.6
Q1 1:44
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GAST 37
-1.5
Q1 1:44
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 01:44
+0.4
Q1 1:21
Weston Bryan run for 3 yds to the GAST 34
0.0
Q1 0:55
Weston Bryan run for 1 yd to the GAST 33 for a 1ST down
-0.4
Q1 0:55
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:55
+0.6
Q1 0:00
Bryce Baker run for 1 yd to the GAST 32
-0.3
Q2 14:52
JC French IV run for 8 yds to the GAST 24
0.0
Q2 14:17
Weston Bryan run for 4 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q2 13:37
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 20 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+10.8
Q2 13:37
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 13:37
-19.4
Q2 13:37
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+18.0
Q2 12:47
Cameran Brown run for 8 yds to the GAST 31
-1.9
Q2 12:11
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 9 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 11:44
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the GAST 45
-0.6
Q2 11:08
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 31 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q2 10:35
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 6 yds to the GASO 18
-1.1
Q2 10:10
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 21
0.0
Q2 10:10
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 10:10
0.0
Q2 9:23
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 13 yds to the GASO 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 9:00
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the GASO 3
0.0
Q2 8:37
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the GASO 3
0.0
Q2 8:37
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 08:37
-0.9
Q2 8:06
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short right to Hurst,Ted caught at GASO00, for 3 yards to the GASO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:06 PENALTY GSU Holding (Robinson,Branson) 10 yards from GASO03 to GASO13. NO PLAY.
+0.7
Q2 7:59
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted Hurst
0.0
Q2 7:55
Liam Rickman 31 yd FG GOOD
-9.6
Q2 7:55
Braeden McAlister kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+2.0
Q2 7:52
JC French IV pass incomplete to JP Mikhael
+7.3
Q2 7:45
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GASO 29
0.0
Q2 7:10
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 40 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 6:44
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 12 yds to the GAST 19 for a 1ST down
+2.1
Q2 6:25
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GAST 16
0.0
Q2 5:45
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GAST 12
0.0
Q2 5:06
Weston Bryan pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 2 yds to the GAST 10
-0.2
Q2 4:14
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the GAST 10
-0.3
Q2 4:14
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 04:14
-6.7
Q2 4:06
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the GAST 13
0.0
Q2 3:35
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 6 yds to the GAST 19
0.0
Q2 2:58
Dennis Murray Jr. run for 9 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 2:21
Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the GAST 34
-0.2
Q2 2:21
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:21
0.0
Q2 1:53
Cameran Brown run for 15 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 1:40
Cameran Brown pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 4 yds to the GASO 47
-1.9
Q2 1:33
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 12 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 1:33
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 01:33
-0.5
Q2 1:17
Cameran Brown pass complete to Lane Wadle for 12 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:49
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 22 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:46
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Lane Wadle) to the GASO 5
0.0
Q2 0:46
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-21.3
Q2 0:46
Braeden McAlister kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.8
Q2 0:40
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 24
-15.3
Q2 0:40
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:40
-4.7
Q2 0:33
JC French IV run for 15 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:21
JC French IV run for 5 yds to the GASO 44
-0.3
Q2 0:21
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:21
+0.2
Q2 0:17
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete short right to Arnold,OJ thrown to GASO45 QB hurried by Walker,Kedrick PENALTY GSU Holding (Jones,Jaylen) 10 yards from GASO44 to GSU 46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q2 0:12
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb
+0.9
Q2 0:05
JC French IV run for 18 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 0:03
JC French IV pass incomplete
+0.7
Q2 0:00
Tripp Bryant 46 yd FG GOOD
+9.8
Q3 14:55
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 64 yds , TJ Peyton return for 22 yds to the GAST 23
+26.6
Q3 14:50
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted Hurst
-5.5
Q3 14:43
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short middle to Robinson,Javon caught at GSU 18, for 1 yard loss to the GSU 22 (Harrington,Brendan), out of bounds PENALTY GSU Holding (Bailey Jr.,Derrell) 10 yards from GSU 23 to GSU 13. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 14:15
Cameran Brown run for 14 yds to the GAST 27
0.0
Q3 13:33
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 7 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q3 12:54
Cameran Brown run for 7 yds to the GAST 41
-0.1
Q3 12:27
Dennis Murray Jr. run for 2 yds to the GAST 43
-1.7
Q3 11:57
Cameran Brown run for no gain to the GAST 43
0.0
Q3 11:09
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for no gain to the GAST 43
-1.1
Q3 11:09
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 11:09
+10.8
Q3 11:05
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GAST 37
0.0
Q3 10:32
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden Brown
0.0
Q3 10:32
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 10:04
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GAST 27
+0.2
Q3 9:33
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete deep right to Brown,Camden thrown to GSU 00 PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Walker,Deuce) 15 yards from GSU 27 to GSU 12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 9:27
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the GAST 11
0.0
Q3 9:27
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 09:27
0.0
Q3 8:38
Dalen Cobb run for 7 yds to the GAST 4
0.0
Q3 8:08
JC French IV run for 4 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+16.1
Q3 8:03
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds , TJ Peyton return for 17 yds to the GAST 17
-1.0
Q3 7:57
Cameran Brown run for 9 yds to the GAST 26
-4.8
Q3 7:27
Dennis Murray Jr. run for 3 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:52
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted Hurst
0.0
Q3 6:44
Cameran Brown run for 12 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 6:21
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass incomplete deep middle to Robinson,Javon thrown to GASO35 PENALTY GASO Targeting (Jackson,Ayden) 15 yards from GSU 41 to GASO44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
-1.0
Q3 6:11
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 10 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q3 6:11
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 06:11
-0.7
Q3 5:52
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short left to Hollier,Grant caught at GASO35, for 1 yard loss to the GASO35 (Hill Jr.,Tracy) PENALTY GASO Roughing The Passer (Moore,Caleb) 15 yards from GASO34 to GASO19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 5:37
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the GASO 15
0.0
Q3 5:09
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 12 yds to the GASO 3 for a 1ST down
+1.7
Q3 4:45
(04:45) PENALTY GSU False Start (Boyd,Kynjrick) 5 yards from GASO03 to GASO08. NO PLAY.
-0.1
Q3 4:16
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the GASO 6
-0.2
Q3 3:43
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass incomplete short right to Robinson,Javon thrown to GASO00 broken up by Smith,Dorrian PENALTY GASO Offside (Hill Jr.,Tracy) 3 yards from GASO06 to GASO03. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 3:38
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the GASO 3
0.0
Q3 3:02
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-25.3
Q3 3:02
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 03:02
+32.2
Q3 3:02
Braeden McAlister kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-30.3
Q3 2:56
JC French IV run for 4 yds to the GASO 29
+2.8
Q3 2:56
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:56
0.0
Q3 2:39
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete deep left to Sanders Jr.,Marcus thrown to GASO49 PENALTY GSU Offside (Butler,Kelan) 5 yards from GASO29 to GASO34. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 2:31
David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:15
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete short left to Cobb,Dalen thrown to GASO50 broken up by Kramer,Richard PENALTY GSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from GASO44 to GASO49. NO PLAY.
+0.7
Q3 2:05
JC French IV run for 8 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q3 1:43
David Mbadinga run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 44
+1.6
Q3 1:06
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 7 yds to the GAST 37
-1.0
Q3 0:34
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 35 yds to the GAST 2 for a 1ST down
+1.1
Q3 0:00
JC French IV run for 1 yd to the GAST 1
+0.3
Q4 14:58
Weston Bryan run for 1 yd for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+25.4
Q4 14:47
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 54 yds , TJ Peyton return for 34 yds to the GAST 45
-0.3
Q4 14:40
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass incomplete short right to Robinson,Javon thrown to GASO40 PENALTY GSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Boyd,Kynjrick) 5 yards from GSU 45 to GSU 40. NO PLAY.
-5.0
Q4 14:31
Cameran Brown run for 11 yds to the GASO 49
+0.7
Q4 14:04
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 5 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q4 13:37
PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game (Brown,Cameran) 5 yards from GASO44 to GASO49. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 13:19
Cameran Brown pass complete to Lane Wadle for 15 yds Lane Wadle fumbled, recovered by GAST Akeondre Chaney
0.0
Q4 12:28
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 36
+5.5
Q4 12:14
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 12 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q4 11:53
David Mbadinga run for 16 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST down
+0.5
Q4 11:19
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the GAST 33
+0.2
Q4 10:34
JC French IV pass complete to Ahmon Green for 4 yds to the GAST 29
0.0
Q4 10:05
Georgia State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jartavius Flounoy) to the GAST 16 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q4 9:50
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 16 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+13.2
Q4 9:50
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.1
Q4 9:42
Cameran Brown pass complete to Rashad Amos for 4 yds to the GAST 21
-2.8
Q4 9:15
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete deep left to Blackburn,Leo caught at GSU 48, for 31 yards to the GASO48 (Chaney,Akeondre), out of bounds PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Blackburn,Leo) 11 yard from GSU 21 to GSU 10. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 8:53
Cameran Brown pass complete to Derrick Avery Jr. for 7 yds to the GAST 17
0.0
Q4 8:39
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Rashad Amos
0.0
Q4 8:26
Reed Chandley punt for 54 yds , Peyton Plott returns for 22 yds to the GAST 49
0.0
Q4 8:26
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 08:26
+4.1
Q4 8:20
OJ Arnold run for 14 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 7:38
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GAST 33
+0.1
Q4 6:56
OJ Arnold run for 15 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:56
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 06:56
+0.1
Q4 6:10
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GAST 12
-0.1
Q4 5:29
JC French IV pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.
+0.1
Q4 5:20
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GAST 8 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:39
Weston Bryan run for 3 yds to the GAST 5
+0.2
Q4 4:39
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 04:39
0.0
Q4 4:33
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 5 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+2.8
Q4 4:28
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 63 yds , TJ Peyton return for 19 yds to the GAST 21
0.0
Q4 4:20
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 7 yds to the GAST 28
-1.8
Q4 3:55
Cameran Brown pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 10 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 3:32
Cameran Brown pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 9 yds to the GAST 47
0.0
Q4 3:15
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted Hurst
0.0
Q4 3:05
Cameran Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:45
Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the GASO 44
0.0
Q4 2:23
Cameran Brown pass complete to DJ Riles for 14 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:01
Cameran Brown pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 1 yd to the GASO 29
-0.1
Q4 2:01
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:01
0.0
Q4 1:53
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon Robinson
+0.1
Q4 1:42
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 10 yds to the GASO 19 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 1:25
Cameran Brown run for 10 yds to the GASO 9 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:13
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Dennis Murray Jr.
0.0
Q4 1:07
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon Robinson
0.0
Q4 0:54
Cameran Brown run for 1 yd to the GASO 8
0.0
Q4 0:54
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:54
0.0
Q4 0:50
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Keron Milton
0.0
Q4 0:50
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Keron Milton
0.0
Q4 0:44
run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 7
+3.0
Q4 0:00
run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 6
-0.2
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:02
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 03:02
+32.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:02
Braeden McAlister kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-30.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:55
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 64 yds , TJ Peyton return for 22 yds to the GAST 23
+26.6