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GAST

Georgia State 24 at Georgia Southern 41

GASO
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:55: Liam Rickman 31 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +8.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:08: JC French IV run for 4 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK) — GASO win probability +14.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:02: Rashad Amos run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +21.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:58: Weston Bryan run for 1 yd for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK) — GASO win probability +25.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:50: JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 16 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK) — GASO win probability +20.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:19GASO 4th & 10 at GAST 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:55GASO 4th & 1 at GAST 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−1.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:55GAST 4th & 13 at GASO 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−5.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:14GASO 4th & 1 at GAST 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−1.9
    88% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−6.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:09GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.8%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q4 8:26GAST 4th & 18 at GAST 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 0:50GAST 4th & 8 at GASO 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:50GAST 4th & 8 at GASO 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:52GAST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:37GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:46GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:08GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:02GAST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:58GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:50GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:33GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 2:2768% → 68%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
67.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 9 yds to the GASO 42Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
67.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Ahmon GreenSimilar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
67.9%
JC French IV run for 3 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
67.9%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
67.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+29
67.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 29 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
68.0%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
68.0%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GAST 20Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
67.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
67.9%
Tripp Bryant 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2TD
15 plays · 88 yds · 7:1232% → 36%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
67.9%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 19 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
67.8%
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
67.5%
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the GAST 38Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
67.5%
Cameran Brown run for 3 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
67.5%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 7 yds to the GAST 48Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+7
67.2%
Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the GASO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
67.1%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Rashad Amos for 10 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.8%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the GASO 35Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
66.7%
TJ Peyton run for 2 yds to the GASO 33Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+11
67.0%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 11 yds to the GASO 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
66.4%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 25Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+10
66.6%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 10 yds to the GASO 15Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
63.9%
Cameran Brown run for 15 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:0464% → 70%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
64.4%
Dalen Cobb run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 28Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-10
64.1%
Georgia Southern Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+2
63.8%
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 2 yds to the GASO 28Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+15
63.2%
JC French IV run for 15 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
64.7%
JC French IV run for 6 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+8
65.0%
OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
64.8%
JC French IV pass complete to Taylor Bradshaw for 4 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
64.7%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
63.4%
Weston Bryan run for 3 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
62.7%
Weston Bryan run for 1 yd to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
64.4%
Bryce Baker run for 1 yd to the GAST 32Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+8
64.3%
JC French IV run for 8 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+4
63.4%
Weston Bryan run for 4 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
69.7%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 20 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 4:5232% → 39%
Q2 12:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
67.8%
Cameran Brown run for 8 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
67.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 9 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
66.6%
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the GAST 45Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+31
67.8%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 31 yds to the GASO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
66.4%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 6 yds to the GASO 18Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-3
66.4%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 21Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+13
67.1%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 13 yds to the GASO 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
66.3%
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the GASO 3Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.3%
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the GASO 3Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
68.2%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short right to Hurst,Ted caught at GASO00, for 3 yards to the GASO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:06 PENALTY GSU Holding (Robinson,Branson) 10 yards from GASO03 to GASO13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
68.7%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
60.7%
Liam Rickman 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3865% → 66%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.1%
JC French IV pass incomplete to JP MikhaelSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+40
64.3%
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 40 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
67.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 12 yds to the GAST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
67.9%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
67.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GAST 12Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
66.9%
Weston Bryan pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 2 yds to the GAST 10Similar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 1
OPP 10
0
65.7%
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the GAST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 3:2038% → 47%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
62.3%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the GAST 13Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
62.5%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 6 yds to the GAST 19Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+9
63.2%
Dennis Murray Jr. run for 9 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
61.2%
Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+15
61.5%
Cameran Brown run for 15 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
60.2%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 4 yds to the GASO 47Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+12
59.6%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 12 yds to the GASO 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
58.0%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Lane Wadle for 12 yds to the GASO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
57.2%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 22 yds to the GASO 1 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
57.3%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Lane Wadle) to the GASO 5Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:4045% → 46%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
45.4%
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 24Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
36.4%
JC French IV run for 15 yds to the GASO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
37.3%
JC French IV run for 5 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+10
38.3%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete short right to Arnold,OJ thrown to GASO45 QB hurried by Walker,Kedrick PENALTY GSU Holding (Jones,Jaylen) 10 yards from GASO44 to GSU 46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
39.2%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+18
38.0%
JC French IV run for 18 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
40.0%
JC French IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+46
45.8%
Tripp Bryant 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:4146% → 47%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
54.4%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-10
54.5%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short middle to Robinson,Javon caught at GSU 18, for 1 yard loss to the GSU 22 (Harrington,Brendan), out of bounds PENALTY GSU Holding (Bailey Jr.,Derrell) 10 yards from GSU 23 to GSU 13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+14
54.6%
Cameran Brown run for 14 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+7
54.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 7 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
52.8%
Cameran Brown run for 7 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
51.1%
Dennis Murray Jr. run for 2 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
51.2%
Cameran Brown run for no gain to the GAST 43Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
52.6%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for no gain to the GAST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:5758% → 71%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
57.7%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
57.5%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+7
57.0%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
59.2%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+15
59.0%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete deep right to Brown,Camden thrown to GSU 00 PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Walker,Deuce) 15 yards from GSU 27 to GSU 12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
59.0%
David Mbadinga run for 1 yd to the GAST 11Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+7
56.8%
Dalen Cobb run for 7 yds to the GAST 4Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
71.3%
JC French IV run for 4 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10TD
17 plays · 83 yds · 4:5534% → 63%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
65.9%
Cameran Brown run for 9 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
64.3%
Dennis Murray Jr. run for 3 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
65.2%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
66.0%
Cameran Brown run for 12 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
62.9%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass incomplete deep middle to Robinson,Javon thrown to GASO35 PENALTY GASO Targeting (Jackson,Ayden) 15 yards from GSU 41 to GASO44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
61.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 10 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
58.9%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short left to Hollier,Grant caught at GASO35, for 1 yard loss to the GASO35 (Hill Jr.,Tracy) PENALTY GASO Roughing The Passer (Moore,Caleb) 15 yards from GASO34 to GASO19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
58.5%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the GASO 15Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+12
58.4%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 12 yds to the GASO 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
57.6%
(04:45) PENALTY GSU False Start (Boyd,Kynjrick) 5 yards from GASO03 to GASO08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
58.8%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the GASO 6Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
58.7%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass incomplete short right to Robinson,Javon thrown to GASO00 broken up by Smith,Dorrian PENALTY GASO Offside (Hill Jr.,Tracy) 3 yards from GASO06 to GASO03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
58.7%
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the GASO 3Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
37.3%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:5841% → 72%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.1%
JC French IV run for 4 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
41.4%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete deep left to Sanders Jr.,Marcus thrown to GASO49 PENALTY GSU Offside (Butler,Kelan) 5 yards from GASO29 to GASO34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
43.6%
David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
44.1%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete short left to Cobb,Dalen thrown to GASO50 broken up by Kramer,Richard PENALTY GSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from GASO44 to GASO49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+8
45.2%
JC French IV run for 8 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
45.6%
David Mbadinga run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 44Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+7
44.1%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 7 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+35
44.6%
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 35 yds to the GAST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
46.7%
JC French IV run for 1 yd to the GAST 1Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.9%
Weston Bryan run for 1 yd for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2135% → 34%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
65.3%
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass incomplete short right to Robinson,Javon thrown to GASO40 PENALTY GSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Boyd,Kynjrick) 5 yards from GSU 45 to GSU 40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+11
67.9%
Cameran Brown run for 11 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
63.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 5 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
63.4%
PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game (Brown,Cameran) 5 yards from GASO44 to GASO49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+15
66.2%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Lane Wadle for 15 yds Lane Wadle fumbled, recovered by GAST Akeondre ChaneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:3870% → 94%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
70.1%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 36Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+12
70.8%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 12 yds to the GASO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
73.4%
David Mbadinga run for 16 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
73.9%
David Mbadinga run for 3 yds to the GAST 33Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+4
75.2%
JC French IV pass complete to Ahmon Green for 4 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+15
73.9%
Georgia State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jartavius Flounoy) to the GAST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
94.1%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 16 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:1610% → 9%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.9%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Rashad Amos for 4 yds to the GAST 21Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-11
90.4%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete deep left to Blackburn,Leo caught at GSU 48, for 31 yards to the GASO48 (Chaney,Akeondre), out of bounds PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Blackburn,Leo) 11 yard from GSU 21 to GSU 10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+7
89.2%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Derrick Avery Jr. for 7 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
91.1%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Rashad AmosSimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+22
91.5%
Reed Chandley punt for 54 yds , Peyton Plott returns for 22 yds to the GAST 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:4797% → 99%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
97.0%
OJ Arnold run for 14 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
97.3%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GAST 33Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
97.4%
OJ Arnold run for 15 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
97.6%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GAST 12Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
97.8%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+4
97.7%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GAST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
97.9%
Weston Bryan run for 3 yds to the GAST 5Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 5 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16DOWNS
19 plays · 71 yds · 3:302% → 2%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
98.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 7 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+10
98.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 10 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
98.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 9 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
98.2%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
98.4%
Cameran Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.3%
Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the GASO 44Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+14
98.2%
Cameran Brown pass complete to DJ Riles for 14 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
98.1%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 1 yd to the GASO 29Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
98.2%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+10
98.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 10 yds to the GASO 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
98.2%
Cameran Brown run for 10 yds to the GASO 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.2%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Dennis Murray Jr.Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.2%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.3%
Cameran Brown run for 1 yd to the GASO 8Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.4%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Keron MiltonSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.4%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Keron MiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
99.2%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 7Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-1
99.1%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:58
Weston Bryan run for 1 yd for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+25.1
TD · Q3 3:02
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-21.4
TD · Q4 9:50
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 16 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com