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APP

App State 41 at Georgia State 20

GAST
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:31 · Ian Ratliff punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Pregame prior−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:04: JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 12 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK) — APP win probability +5.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:37: JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 11 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK) — APP win probability +7.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:10: Jaquari Lewis run for 14 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK) — APP win probability +10.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:10: JJ Kohl pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 6 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK) — APP win probability +2.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:50: Grant Hollier 15 Yd pass from Cameran Brown (Cameran Brown Pass to Ted Hurst for Two-Point Conversion) — GAST win probability +4.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 8 of 11APP made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:50APP 4th & 6 at APP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:51GAST 4th & 10 at APP 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:31APP 4th & 2 at APP 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:41GAST 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:24GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36APP 4th & 5 at APP 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:17GAST 4th & 2 at APP 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−1.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:13APP 4th & 6 at APP 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:40GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:42APP 4th & 1 at APP 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.4%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:18GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00APP 4th & 10 at GAST 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−6.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:51GAST 4th & 8 at APP 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:51GAST 4th & 8 at APP 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:56APP 4th & 11 at GAST 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:47GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 31, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:47GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 31, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:00APP 4th & 6 at GAST 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:01APP 4th & 3 at GAST 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:01APP 4th & 3 at GAST 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:28GAST 4th & 8 at APP 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 0 of 3APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:04APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:37APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:10APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:10APP Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:40GAST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:40APP Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:50GAST Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:25GAST Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0552% → 52%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the APP 30Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
47.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 29Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
48.0%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
48.1%
Ian Ratliff punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GAST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:5548% → 49%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.1%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
48.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 12 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
48.4%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
48.4%
Rashad Amos run for 14 yds to the APP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
48.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 4 yds to the APP 35Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+13
48.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 13 yds to the APP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
49.1%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Camden Overton-HowardSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
49.1%
Rashad Amos run for 6 yds to the APP 16Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
49.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the APP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
49.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
49.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
49.4%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
49.1%
Braeden McAlister 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by DeNigel Cooper (09:51) McAlister,Braeden field goal attempt from 28 yards NO GOOD blocked by Cooper,DeNigel (H: Gaines,Bo, LS: Radnoti,Spencer), clock 09:51 recovered by GSU Gaines,Bo at APP15, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1651% → 51%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
48.9%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Alex SanchezSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
48.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 8 yds to the APP 23Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
49.1%
Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the APP 23Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
49.4%
Ian Ratliff punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3749% → 49%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
49.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 13 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
49.9%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 45Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
49.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Avion McBrideSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+5
49.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Branson Robinson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 7
50
0
49.3%
Reed Chandley punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
14 plays · 98 yds · 5:3151% → 57%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
49.5%
Jaquari Lewis run for 1 yd to the APP 3Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
49.6%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+18
50.0%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 18 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
49.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaquari Lewis for 3 yds to the APP 24Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
49.6%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 6 yds to the APP 30Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
49.4%
JJ Kohl run for 4 yds to the APP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
49.5%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+25
49.7%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 25 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
48.6%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+24
48.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Sam Mbake for 24 yds to the GAST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
47.7%
Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the GAST 12Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
47.7%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
43.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 12 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2645% → 44%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
45.0%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the GAST 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-12
44.9%
Cameran Brown sacked by Aiden Benton for a loss of 12 yards to the GAST 31 Cameran Brown fumbled, recovered by GAST Deandre Duffus , return for 0 yards for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
45.2%
Rashad Amos run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 29Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
44.7%
Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+8
44.1%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Avion McBride for 8 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
44.3%
Reed Chandley punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4056% → 55%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
44.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the APP 7Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+1
44.1%
Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the APP 8Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+2
44.4%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 2 yds to the APP 10Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 5
OWN 10
+6
44.6%
Ian Ratliff punt for 38 yds , Javon Robinson returns for 6 yds to the APP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1545% → 44%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
45.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
45.1%
Branson Robinson run for 7 yds to the APP 35Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+1
45.2%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the APP 34Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
44.0%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the APP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5758% → 59%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
42.1%
Jaquari Lewis run for 1 yd to the APP 35Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
41.7%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Sam Mbake for 7 yds to the APP 42Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
41.0%
Jaquari Lewis run for 1 yd to the APP 43Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-5
41.6%
PENALTY APP Delay Of Game 5 yards from APP43 to APP38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
41.2%
Ian Ratliff punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1841% → 39%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
40.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 4 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
40.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Avion McBrideSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+1
39.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 1 yd to the GAST 27Similar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
38.9%
Reed Chandley punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:4460% → 73%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
40.3%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Alex Sanchez for 15 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
39.3%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the APP 34Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
39.2%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
39.9%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 7 yds to the APP 41Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+11
39.1%
Rashod Dubinion run for 11 yds to the GAST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
37.1%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+17
37.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 17 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
35.4%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 18 yds to the GAST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
34.5%
Jaquari Lewis run for 2 yds to the GAST 11Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
26.7%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 11 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 1:1628% → 23%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 7 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
28.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 11 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
29.3%
TJ Finley sacked by Thomas Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the GAST 35Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 18
OWN 35
0
22.5%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+4
22.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Rashad Amos for 4 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
23.0%
Reed Chandley punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 1:0976% → 82%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
24.0%
JJ Kohl sacked by Richard Kramer for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 18Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+15
24.2%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Kohl,J.J. pass intercepted by Diagne,Chams at APP35, End Of Play PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Diagne,Chams) 15 yards from APP18 to APP33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
23.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Alex Sanchez for 12 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
22.3%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 26 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
20.4%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
20.5%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Kohl,J.J. pass incomplete deep left to Hamlett,Kanen thrown to GSU09 PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Diagne,Chams) 15 yards from GSU29 to GSU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
20.0%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
19.9%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
19.5%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
18.3%
Dominic De Freitas 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2123% → 23%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
22.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 11 yds Javon Robinson fumbled, recovered by GAST Javon Robinson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
23.1%
Dennis Murray Jr. run for 2 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-3
22.9%
TJ Finley pass intercepted Colton Phares return for 3 yds to the GAST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 1:0580% → 91%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
19.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 21 yds to the GAST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
18.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the GAST 14Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
8.7%
Jaquari Lewis run for 14 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:5111% → 12%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
11.1%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 16 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
11.8%
Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down App State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Emory Floyd) to the APP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
11.7%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
11.6%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 2 yds to the APP 41Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
11.6%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Grant HollierSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
11.5%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Jordon SimmonsSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
11.5%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Jordon SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2392% → 97%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
8.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 24 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
7.8%
Jaquari Lewis run for 4 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+27
6.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 27 yds to the GAST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
6.2%
Jaquari Lewis run for 1 yd to the GAST 3Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
6.0%
Jaquari Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 6Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
3.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 6 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:223% → 2%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.0%
Cameran Brown run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
2.8%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 11 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
2.9%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
2.6%
Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+16
2.5%
Cameran Brown pass complete to DJ Riles for 16 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
2.6%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 13 yds to the APP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
2.7%
Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the APP 24Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
2.5%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+16
2.4%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Lane Wadle for 16 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
2.7%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Jordon SimmonsSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
2.5%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Kyle WashingtonSimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
2.3%
Cameran Brown run for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
1.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to David Larkins for 40 yds to the GAST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
1.4%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 6 yds to the GAST 3Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 3 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:321% → 5%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.4%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 11 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
1.4%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
1.3%
TJ Peyton run for 2 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+12
1.5%
Cameran Brown pass complete to DJ Riles for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
50
0
1.7%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to TJ PeytonSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
50
+17
1.5%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Lane Wadle for 17 yds to the APP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
1.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 14 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
1.6%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds to the APP 15Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
0.9%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
5.2%
Grant Hollier 15 Yd pass from Cameran Brown (Cameran Brown Pass to Ted Hurst for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:0498% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
2.3%
Jaquari Lewis run for 9 yds to the APP 47Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+1
2.2%
Jaquari Lewis run for 1 yd to the APP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
2.1%
Jaquari Lewis run for 12 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
2.0%
Jaquari Lewis run for 11 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.9%
Noah Gillon pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for no gain to the GAST 29Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
1.7%
Jaquari Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 30Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
1.7%
Noah Gillon pass incomplete to Jackson GrierSimilar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
1.9%
Dominic De Freitas 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:593% → 3%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
2.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 5 yds to the GAST 35Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
2.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 4 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
2.5%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
2.5%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
2.5%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4299% → 100%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.4%
Noah Gillon pass incomplete to Jackson GrierSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
1.4%
Jaquari Lewis run for 4 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
1.3%
Noah Gillon pass incomplete to Jackson GrierSimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+46
0.5%
Dominic De Freitas 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:140% → 2%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.4%
Javon Robinson run for 6 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
0.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 30Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
0.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 7 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.3%
Cameran Brown run for no gain to the GAST 37Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+20
0.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 20 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
0.3%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass intercepted by Willis,Jaelin at APP40 Willis,Jaelin return 60 yards to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 07:00 PENALTY APP Roughing The Passer (Davis,Thomas) 15 yards from APP43 to APP28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
0.3%
Branson Robinson run for 6 yds to the APP 22Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
0.3%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to DJ RilesSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+22
1.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:5699% → 99%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
0.7%
Khalifa Keith run for 4 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
0.6%
Khalifa Keith run for 1 yd to the GAST 42Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+2
0.6%
Noah Gillon pass complete to Jared Gibble for 2 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
0.7%
Noah Gillon pass incomplete to Doopah ColemanSimilar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
0.7%
Noah Gillon pass incomplete to Doopah ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
1.0%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 12 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
1.0%
Cameran Brown sacked by Caleb Sandstrom for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 48Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+6
0.9%
TJ Peyton run for 6 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
0.9%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Grant HollierSimilar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
0.9%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 4 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.5%
Khamani Alexander run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 6
50
+5
0.4%
Khamani Alexander run for 5 yds to the GAST 45Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
0.4%
Khamani Alexander run for 5 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
0.3%
(01:55) Kneel down by App State at GSU44 for loss of 4 yards.Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 14
OPP 44
-4
0.3%
(01:14) Kneel down by App State at GSU48 for loss of 4 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 18
OPP 48
-2
0.3%
(00:30) Kneel down by App State at GSU50 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:10
Jaquari Lewis run for 14 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)
-10.1
TD · Q2 2:37
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 11 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q1 1:04
JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 12 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com