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JMU

James Madison 14 at Georgia State 7

GAST
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · (00:08) Kneel down by James Madison at GSU27 for loss of 2 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:50: Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +19.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:39: PENALTY JMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from GSU35 to GSU40. NO PLAY. — GAST win probability +7.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:26: Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GAST 24 — JMU win probability +7.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:50: Wayne Knight run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +21.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:00: Timeout Georgia State, clock 02:00 — JMU win probability +7.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:24JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01GAST 4th & 19 at JMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27JMU 4th & 6 at JMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:31JMU 4th & 17 at JMU 32, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.0%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:31JMU 4th & 3 at GAST 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    70.5%−0.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:39GAST 4th & 18 at GAST 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:48JMU 4th & 15 at GAST 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:17GAST 4th & 21 at GAST 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−4.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:23GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−5.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:30JMU 4th & 21 at GAST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−4.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:33GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−3.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:32GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:04JMU 4th & 2 at JMU 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:49GAST 4th & 18 at GAST 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1JMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:03GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:50JMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:50JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:2589% → 89%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
10.8%
Wayne Knight run for 17 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
11.1%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete short right to Sanchez,Jaylan thrown to JMU31 PENALTY GSU Roughing The Passer (Mathews,Ian) 15 yards from JMU27 to JMU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
11.1%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 46Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
11.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
11.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 6
OWN 46
-5
11.4%
PENALTY JMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from JMU46 to JMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
11.4%
Patrick Rea punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:1612% → 13%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
11.5%
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the GAST 17Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
11.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 9 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
11.9%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the GAST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+52
12.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 52 yds to the JMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
13.0%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the JMU 22 Rashad Amos fumbled, recovered by GAST Donovan FunschSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
13.0%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Robinson,Javon rush right for 13 yards gain to the JMU09 (McGill,TJ) PENALTY GSU Illegal Shift declined GSU Holding (Overton-Howard,Camden) 10 yards from JMU22 to JMU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 21
OPP 32
-4
13.4%
Jordon Simmons run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 36Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 25
OPP 36
+6
13.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 6 yds to the JMU 30Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 19
OPP 30
+48
13.3%
Braeden McAlister 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1987% → 86%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
13.4%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the JMU 34Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
13.5%
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the JMU 34Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
14.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Michael ScottSimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
14.3%
Patrick Rea punt for 37 yds , Javon Robinson returns for no gain to the GAST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1914% → 19%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
14.4%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ pass incomplete short left to Hurst,Ted thrown to GSU45 PENALTY JMU Pass Interference (Barksdale,DJ) 15 yards from GSU29 to GSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
14.8%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+15
15.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 15 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
15.6%
Jordon Simmons run for 2 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+15
15.9%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ pass incomplete deep middle to Hurst,Ted thrown to JMU02 PENALTY JMU Pass Interference (Thomas,Jacob) 15 yards from JMU37 to JMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
16.2%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the JMU 19Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
16.6%
TJ Finley run for no gain to the JMU 19Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
19.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 19 yds for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5DOWNS
22 plays · 59 yds · 10:2582% → 71%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
18.4%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
18.6%
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the JMU 31Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
19.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+8
20.3%
Lacota Dippre run for 8 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
19.9%
PENALTY JMU Illegal Snap (Greenberg,Zach) 5 yards from JMU39 to JMU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-10
20.7%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Fuller,Jordan rush right for 13 yards gain to the JMU47 (Robinson,Josiah) PENALTY JMU Holding (Greenberg,Zach) 10 yards from JMU34 to JMU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+8
21.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 8 yds to the JMU 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 32
0
22.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for no gain to the JMU 32Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 17
OWN 32
0
22.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q2 14:31
4TH & 17
OWN 32
+23
23.4%
Lacota Dippre run for 23 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
21.9%
Jordan Fuller run for 3 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
22.6%
Jordan Fuller run for 2 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
23.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for 5 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
23.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
23.3%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+9
25.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Za'Ron Collins for 9 yds to the GAST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
24.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 1 yd to the GAST 21Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+4
25.3%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+2
26.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 3
OPP 15
-1
29.5%
Matthew Sluka run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
15 plays · 28 yds · 5:4630% → 37%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
30.4%
Rashad Amos run for 6 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 4
OWN 22
-10
32.3%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short right to Blackburn,Leo caught at GSU20, for 5 yards to the GSU27 (Thomas,Jacob), out of bounds PENALTY GSU Holding (Overton-Howard,Camden) 10 yards from GSU22 to GSU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+1
32.3%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the GAST 13Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+13
32.8%
Cameran Brown run for 13 yds to the GAST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
34.7%
James Madison Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
34.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for no gain to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
37.4%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 7 yds to the GAST 48Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
38.1%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds to the JMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
38.8%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran pass complete short middle to Overton-Howard,Camden caught at JMU46, for 2 yards to the JMU46 (Thomas,Jacob) PENALTY GSU Holding (Boyd,Kynjrick) 10 yards from JMU48 to GSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 20
OWN 42
0
38.1%
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the GAST 42Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+7
38.5%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Rashad Amos for 7 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-5
38.3%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Boyd,Kynjrick) 5 yards from GSU49 to GSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 18
OWN 44
0
38.4%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 18
OWN 44
+13
37.3%
Reed Chandley punt for 49 yds , Wayne Knight returns for 13 yds to the JMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:3560% → 58%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
39.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 11 yds to the JMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
39.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 6 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
37.8%
Wayne Knight run for 14 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST down James Madison Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaylan Sanchez) to the JMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
38.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 1
50
+6
36.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 6 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
38.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Logan KyleSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
39.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Lacota DippreSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 10
OPP 44
-5
41.2%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Thomas,Jacob) 5 yards from GSU44 to GSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
42.3%
Patrick Rea punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:3141% → 41%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
40.7%
Javon Robinson run for 2 yds to the GAST 9Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+11
40.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 11 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
40.9%
Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the GAST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
14 plays · 17 yds · 4:3741% → 45%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 8 yds to the GAST 33Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-10
42.4%
Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
42.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 13 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
45.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
45.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 2 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+5
44.3%
(12:50) No Huddle Finley,TJ pass incomplete deep right to Washington,Kyle thrown to JMU15 PENALTY JMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from GSU44 to GSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
45.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 4 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-12
48.2%
TJ Finley sacked by Xavier Holmes for a loss of 12 yards to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 22
OWN 41
0
46.5%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Rashad AmosSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 22
OWN 41
+1
45.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 1 yd to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 21
OWN 42
+12
44.7%
Reed Chandley punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JMU 15 , Wayne Knight returns for 12 yds to the JMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:1754% → 73%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+21
46.5%
Jordan Fuller run for 21 yds to the JMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
45.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 2 yds to the JMU 38Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+10
45.0%
Jordan Fuller run for 10 yds to the JMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
44.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 13 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
44.3%
Jordan Fuller run for 1 yd to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
45.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Jaylan SanchezSimilar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+15
45.9%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete short middle to Collins,Za'Ron thrown to GSU30 broken up by Huff,Jordan PENALTY GSU Personal Foul (Dean,Marlin) 15 yards from GSU38 to GSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.8%
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:2136% → 35%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
35.9%
(06:44) No Huddle Murray Jr.,Dennis rush right for 5 yards gain to the GSU30 (Thomas,Jacob; Hendrick,Trent) PENALTY GSU Holding (Burton,Jeff) 10 yards from GSU25 to GSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+14
36.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 14 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
37.0%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the GAST 30Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-9
36.5%
TJ Finley sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the GAST 21Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
34.7%
Reed Chandley punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 6:4667% → 59%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
33.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Za'Ron CollinsSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
33.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 9 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+7
31.7%
Jordan Fuller run for 7 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
31.3%
Jordan Fuller run for 6 yds to the GAST 45Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
30.8%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
31.5%
Jordan Fuller run for 3 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
32.1%
Jordan Fuller run for 7 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+3
30.7%
Jordan Fuller run for 3 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
31.0%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 30Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+2
32.0%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-7
34.4%
Alonza Barnett III sacked by Bishop Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the GAST 35Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 16
OPP 35
-5
41.5%
PENALTY JMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from GSU35 to GSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 21
OPP 40
0
41.0%
Patrick Rea punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5743% → 40%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
43.0%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Boyd,Kynjrick). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
43.2%
Rashad Amos run for 8 yds to the GAST 9Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 2
OWN 9
0
43.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 2
OWN 9
-4
41.3%
PENALTY GSU False Start 4 yards from GSU09 to GSU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
41.4%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+22
40.4%
Reed Chandley punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GAST 28 , Wayne Knight returns for 22 yds to the GAST 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:3667% → 88%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
32.8%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+15
33.2%
Jordan Fuller run for 15 yds to the GAST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.6%
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the GAST 9Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.9%
Wayne Knight run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0220% → 18%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
19.6%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the GAST 18Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
19.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 9 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+5
20.0%
Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the GAST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
20.5%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
20.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for no gain to the GAST 32Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
18.0%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+3
17.8%
Reed Chandley punt for 50 yds , Wayne Knight returns for 3 yds to the JMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:2285% → 88%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
14.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for no gain to the JMU 21Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
13.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 8 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
11.6%
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the JMU 29Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
12.4%
Patrick Rea punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 15 yds · 2:1019% → 10%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
18.5%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Camden Overton-HowardSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-5
18.1%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Duffus,Deandre) 5 yards from GSU19 to GSU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+10
17.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 10 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+15
17.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 15 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
20.8%
PENALTY GSU False Start (McCrimmon,Jeremiah) 5 yards from GSU39 to GSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
17.2%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+3
17.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 3 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 18
OWN 31
-5
10.4%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Bailey Jr.,Derrell) 5 yards from GSU31 to GSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 23
OWN 26
+10
10.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 10 yds to the GAST 36Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 13
OWN 36
-5
10.2%
PENALTY GSU False Start 5 yards from GSU36 to GSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 18
OWN 31
+3
9.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Branson Robinson for 3 yds to the GAST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18END OF GAME
9 plays · 7 yds · 1:3996% → 96%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
4.3%
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-2
4.0%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 29Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
4.4%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+5
4.9%
PENALTY GSU Offside (Flounoy,Jartavius) 5 yards from GSU25 to GSU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
4.2%
(01:25) Kneel down by James Madison at GSU22 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 12
OPP 22
-3
4.4%
(00:39) Kneel down by James Madison at GSU25 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 25
-2
4.1%
(00:08) Kneel down by James Madison at GSU27 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:50
Wayne Knight run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-21.7
TD · Q3 6:50
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-19.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:26
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GAST 24
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com