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MUR

Murray State 21 at Georgia State 37

GAST
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:52 · Tyrell Campbell run for 2 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+6.9Home team on offense+31.1Score differential+22.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0Garbage-time factor+8.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:51: Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds for a TD Georgia State Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the GAST 0 (Jack Tannehill KICK) — MUR win probability +1.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:48: Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK) — GAST win probability +2.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:04: Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 16 yds for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK) — GAST win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:50: Lucas Desjardins 4 Yd pass from Jim Ogle (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MUR win probability +2.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:55: Baxter Wright 3 Yd Run (Baxter Wright Pass to Tyrell Campbell for Two-Point Conversion) — MUR win probability +3.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:35GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:10MUR 4th & 3 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26GAST 4th & 1 at MUR 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:31MUR 4th & 7 at MUR 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:01GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 10, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:52MUR 4th & 6 at GAST 25, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:30GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:34MUR 4th & 6 at MUR 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:32MUR 4th & 12 at MUR 23, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:12MUR 4th & 4 at GAST 15, down 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:58GAST 4th & 15 at GAST 46, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:58MUR 4th & 3 at MUR 29, down 16
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:11GAST 4th & 1 at MUR 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:52MUR 4th & 1 at MUR 45, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 7:26GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:47GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:51MUR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:48GAST Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:04GAST Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:50MUR Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:07GAST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:55MUR Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0698% → 97%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 3 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
97.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-5
97.4%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Blackburn,Leo) 5 yards from GSU31 to GSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+5
97.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 5 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
97.3%
Reed Chandley punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MUR 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:033% → 3%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.2%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Brooks Kleinpeter for 4 yds to the MUR 47Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+11
97.1%
Jawaun Northington run for 11 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
97.0%
Murray State Penalty, unnecessary roughness (-15 Yards) to the MUR 48Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+5
97.0%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Cam Bulluck for 5 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+12
96.9%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Darius Cannon for 12 yds to the GAST 35Similar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
96.9%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Ty BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:2597% → 97%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
96.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 11 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+47
96.8%
Branson Robinson run for 47 yds to the MUR 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.7%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.7%
Rashad Amos run for 6 yds to the MUR 1Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.6%
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the MUR 1Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 1 yd for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:523% → 3%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Jalen RichmondSimilar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.7%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Darius Cannon for 3 yds to the MUR 28Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Jalen RichmondSimilar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.7%
Tom O'Hara punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:4497% → 97%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
96.8%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Overton-Howard,Camden) 5 yards from GSU42 to GSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+5
96.7%
Rashad Amos run for 5 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
96.6%
Rashad Amos run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 2
50
+3
96.6%
Cameran Brown run for 3 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
96.6%
Branson Robinson run for 7 yds to the MUR 40Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
96.5%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the MUR 39Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+31
96.4%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 31 yds to the MUR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
96.4%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the MUR 5Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.4%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q1 2:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.0%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 5 yds for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:423% → 5%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
96.7%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Lucas Desjardins for 20 yds to the MUR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.6%
Jordan Washington run for no gain to the MUR 45Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
96.6%
Jordan Washington run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 5
50
+14
96.5%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Darius Cannon for 14 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
96.4%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Lucas Desjardins for 8 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
96.3%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Trace CorumSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
96.3%
Jordan Washington run for 3 yds to the GAST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
96.2%
Jawaun Northington run for 9 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+11
96.1%
Jawaun Northington run for 11 yds to the GAST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.9%
Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds for a TD Georgia State Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the GAST 0 (Jack Tannehill KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4595% → 95%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
95.3%
Djay Braswell run for 1 yd to the GAST 6Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+6
95.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 6 yds to the GAST 12Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
95.1%
Georgia State Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 5
OWN 10
+22
94.9%
Reed Chandley punt for 41 yds , Darius Cannon returns for 22 yds to the GAST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:026% → 6%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
94.4%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Northington,Jawaun rush left for 4 yards gain to the GSU25 (Rhodes-Nelson,Jabriel) PENALTY Murray Holding (Hamilton,Chase) 10 yards from GSU29 to GSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+8
94.7%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Darius Cannon for 8 yds to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+4
94.3%
Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+2
94.3%
Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
94.5%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Jalen RichmondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1495% → 94%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
94.7%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Robinson,Branson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU29 (Rowsey,Dylan) PENALTY GSU Block Below Waist (Overton-Howard,Camden) 12 yards from GSU25 to GSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
94.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+15
94.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Djay Braswell for 15 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
94.2%
Reed Chandley punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Darius Cannon at the MUR 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:376% → 6%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
94.4%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Brooks Kleinpeter for 12 yds to the MUR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
94.3%
Jordan Washington run for 2 yds to the MUR 30Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
94.2%
Jordan Washington run for 2 yds to the MUR 32Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Darius CannonSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
94.3%
Tom O'Hara punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11INT
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:1094% → 94%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
94.3%
Branson Robinson run for 4 yds to the GAST 20Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+21
94.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 21 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.4%
TJ Finley pass intercepted Marion Ponds return for no gain to the MUR 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 12SF
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:146% → 6%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
93.8%
Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the MUR 7Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+1
93.7%
Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the MUR 8Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+8
94.5%
Jaylen Jones SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13INT
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:3995% → 94%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
94.5%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+52
94.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 52 yds to the MUR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.5%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the MUR 4Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.3%
TJ Finley pass intercepted Marion Ponds return for no gain to the MUR 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:116% → 7%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
93.6%
Jordan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 3Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+20
93.7%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Lucas Desjardins for 20 yds to the MUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-19
93.4%
Jordan Washington run for a loss of 19 yards to the MUR 4 Jordan Washington fumbled, recovered by GAST Josiah RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3694% → 97%
Q2 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
94.0%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the MUR 1Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:444% → 5%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.6%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Lucas Desjardins for 7 yds to the MUR 32Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
95.2%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Lucas Desjardins for 5 yds to the MUR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
95.1%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Sawyer Deerman for 3 yds to the MUR 40Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+10
94.9%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Ogle,Jim pass complete short right to Northington,Jawaun caught at Murray48, for 8 yards to the Murray48, out of bounds at Murray48 PENALTY GSU Holding (Causey III,Bernard) 10 yards from Murray40 to Murray50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
50
0
94.5%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Cam BulluckSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
50
+6
94.7%
Jim Ogle run for 6 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+11
94.5%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Lucas Desjardins for 11 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+51
94.8%
Jack Tannehill 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:204% → 4%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.7%
Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 28Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
95.5%
Jalen Richmond run for a loss of 6 yards to the MUR 22Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+1
95.8%
Jim Ogle run for 1 yd to the MUR 23 Murray State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keyaan Abdul-Rahim) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+56
95.8%
Tom O'Hara punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:056% → 6%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
94.2%
Jim Ogle sacked by D-Icey Hopkins for a loss of 7 yards to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 17
OPP 28
0
94.5%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Jalen RichmondSimilar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+13
94.7%
Tyrell Campbell run for 13 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
94.4%
Jack Tannehill 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:5096% → 96%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
95.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dennis Murray Jr. for 16 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
96.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 15 yds to the MUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
96.2%
Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GAST 48Similar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 13
OWN 48
0
96.1%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Derrick Avery Jr.Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+3
96.3%
Djay Braswell run for 3 yds to the MUR 49Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
96.2%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 10
OPP 49
-5
96.0%
(10:04) Chandley,Reed punt 43 yards to the Murray06 PENALTY GSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from Murray49 to GSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
95.9%
Reed Chandley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darius Cannon at the MUR 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:545% → 5%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
95.5%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Lucas DesjardinsSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+10
95.5%
Jim Ogle pass complete to Darius Cannon for 10 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
95.3%
Tyrell Campbell run for 3 yds to the MUR 25Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
95.3%
Tyrell Campbell run for 4 yds to the MUR 29Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
95.0%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to Darius CannonSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
95.3%
Tom O'Hara punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3397% → 99%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
96.9%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 10 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
97.1%
Cameran Brown run for 1 yd to the GAST 35Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
97.0%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+8
97.2%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 8 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
97.3%
Cameran Brown run for 10 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
97.4%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Cameran rush right for 1 yard loss to the Murray45 (Abdul-Rahim,Keyaan), out of bounds PENALTY GSU Holding (McCrimmon,Jeremiah) 10 yards from Murray44 to GSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 20
OWN 46
-5
97.3%
PENALTY GSU Illegal Snap (Williams,Tyhler) 5 yards from GSU46 to GSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 25
OWN 41
+5
97.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Branson Robinson for 5 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+37
97.2%
Dennis Murray Jr. pass complete to Ted Hurst for 37 yds to the MUR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
97.3%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the MUR 16Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+16
99.4%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 16 yds for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 22TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:361% → 4%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.8%
Baxter Wright run for 8 yds to the MUR 33Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
98.8%
Tyrell Campbell run for 18 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.9%
Baxter Wright run for 2 yds to the GAST 47Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+1
98.9%
Baxter Wright run for 1 yd to the GAST 46Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+15
98.9%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Ogle,Jim pass incomplete deep right to Green,LJ thrown to GSU26 PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Fillmore,Deuce) 15 yards from GSU46 to GSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.8%
Tyrell Campbell run for no gain to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
98.8%
Jim Ogle pass incomplete to LJ GreenSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+15
99.0%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Ogle,Jim pass incomplete short middle to Desjardins,Lucas thrown to GSU16 PENALTY GSU Roughing The Passer (Dean,Marlin) 15 yards from GSU29 to GSU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
98.9%
Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the GAST 13Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+7
99.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 7 yds to the GAST 6Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+2
99.1%
Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the GAST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.5%
Lucas Desjardins 4 Yd pass from Jim Ogle (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:2299% → 100%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
99.0%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 13 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.1%
Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 3
50
+18
99.1%
Rashad Amos run for 18 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.1%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Kyle Washington for 10 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.1%
Djay Braswell run for 7 yds to the MUR 15Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+1
99.1%
Djay Braswell run for 1 yd to the MUR 14Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
99.1%
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd to the MUR 13Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+4
99.0%
Rashad Amos run for 4 yds to the MUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.1%
Javon Robinson run for 6 yds to the MUR 3Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 3 yds for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 24TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:041% → 4%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
Georgia State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Alex Mullings) to the MUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.3%
Tyrell Campbell run for 5 yds to the MUR 41Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
99.3%
Tyrell Campbell run for 4 yds to the MUR 45Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Tyrell Campbell run for no gain to the MUR 45Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.4%
Tyrell Campbell run for 2 yds to the MUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
99.4%
Baxter Wright pass complete to Jalen Richmond for 13 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.3%
Baxter Wright run for no gain to the GAST 40Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+25
99.3%
Kevin Emmanuel run for 10 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST down Georgia State Penalty, Personal Foul (Richard Kramer) to the GAST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.3%
Baxter Wright pass complete to Jalen Richmond for 8 yds to the GAST 7Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
99.3%
Tyrell Campbell run for 4 yds to the GAST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.8%
Baxter Wright 3 Yd Run (Baxter Wright Pass to Tyrell Campbell for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5899% → 99%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds to the MUR 38Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+6
99.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
99.4%
(00:21) Kneel down by Georgia St. at Murray34 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:55
Baxter Wright 3 Yd Run (Baxter Wright Pass to Tyrell Campbell for Two-Point Conversion)
-3.6
TD · Q2 0:48
Rashad Amos run for 1 yd for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q4 12:50
Lucas Desjardins 4 Yd pass from Jim Ogle (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com