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MEM

Memphis 38 at Georgia State 16

GAST
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q3Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q2Q4Q3TDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:09 · Lachlan Carrigan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factor
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q3Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q2Q4Q3Play 102Pregame prior−21.1Home team on offense+0.5Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7Garbage-time factor+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:18: Timeout Georgia State, clock 09:18 — GAST win probability +6.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:17: Cameran Brown run for 22 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +3.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:34: Makari Bodiford run for 7 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — MEM win probability +7.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:08: Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — MEM win probability +10.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:15: Makari Bodiford run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK) — MEM win probability +7.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:42GAST 4th & 18 at MEM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42GAST 4th & 18 at MEM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:59GAST 4th & 1 at MEM 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59GAST 4th & 1 at MEM 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:50MEM 4th & 16 at GAST 46, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50MEM 4th & 16 at GAST 46, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:09MEM 4th & 13 at MEM 37, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:19GAST 4th & 7 at MEM 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:13GAST 4th & 15 at GAST 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−5.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:39GAST 4th & 18 at GAST 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−8.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:09MEM 4th & 2 at GAST 27, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%−4.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−22.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:15MEM 4th & 1 at GAST 1, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−9.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:07MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:17GAST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:34MEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:08MEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:15MEM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:5316% → 18%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
16.0%
Djay Braswell run for 9 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+15
16.4%
TJ Finley run for 15 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
16.5%
Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 1
50
+5
16.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 5 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
17.0%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the MEM 42Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+16
17.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 16 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
17.7%
Djay Braswell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 28Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+3
18.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Djay Braswell for 3 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-9
18.5%
TJ Finley sacked by Drue Watts for a loss of 9 yards to the MEM 34Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 18
OPP 34
+52
18.4%
Braeden McAlister 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0517% → 17%
Q1 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+16
17.4%
pass to Javon Robinson for 16 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
17.7%
Djay Braswell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 28Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+3
18.2%
to Djay Braswell for 3 yds to the MEM 25, passSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-9
18.5%
sacked by Drue Watts for a loss of 9 yards to the MEM 34Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 18
OPP 34
+52
18.4%
Braeden McAlister 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+50
18.5%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamari Hawkins for 50 yds to the GAST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
17.0%
Sutton Smith run for 16 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:2717% → 19%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+50
17.2%
Brendon Lewis pass to Jamari Hawkins for 50 yds to the GAST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
17.0%
Sutton Smith run for 16 yds to the GAST 0, for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
17.5%
Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-3
17.8%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 34Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+9
17.8%
TJ Finley pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 9 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
18.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Camden Overton-Howard for 20 yds to the MEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
18.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Javon Robinson for 4 yds to the MEM 33Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-5
19.0%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ pass complete deep middle to Hurst,Ted caught at UM00, for 33 yards to the UM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:18 PENALTY GSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from UM33 to UM38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-1
18.7%
TJ Finley pass complete to Djay Braswell for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 39Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+27
18.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 27 yds to the MEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
19.5%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 7 yds to the MEM 5Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
19.7%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the MEM 3Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
19.5%
TJ Finley run for no gain to the MEM 3Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
19.2%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the MEM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
20 plays · 63 yds · 8:3018% → 26%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
17.5%
Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-3
17.8%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 34Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+9
17.8%
pass to Leo Blackburn for 9 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
18.2%
pass to Camden Overton-Howard for 20 yds to the MEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
18.7%
pass to Javon Robinson for 4 yds to the MEM 33Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
19.0%
pass to Ted Hurst, Georgia State Penalty, illegalformation (5 Yards)Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-1
18.7%
pass to Djay Braswell for a loss of 1 yards to the MEM 39Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+27
18.6%
pass to Ted Hurst for 27 yds to the MEM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
19.5%
pass to Ted Hurst for 7 yds to the MEM 5Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
19.7%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the MEM 3Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
19.5%
runSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
19.2%
Branson Robinson runSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
20.6%
Rashad Amos run for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 33Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+13
20.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Rashad Amos for 13 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
21.3%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
21.7%
TJ Finley run for 12 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
22.2%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Kyle Washington for 14 yds to the MEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
22.9%
Cameran Brown pass complete to DJ Riles for 3 yds to the MEM 22Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
26.1%
Cameran Brown run for 22 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2277% → 77%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
22.7%
Frank Peasant run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 2Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 11
OWN 2
-2
23.0%
Marlin Dean SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:5477% → 73%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
22.7%
Frank Peasant run for a loss of 1 yards to the MEM 2Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 11
OWN 2
-2
23.0%
Brendon Lewis sacked by Marlin Dean for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 0Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
24.8%
Sutton Smith run for 12 yds to the MEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
24.5%
Georgia State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Deuce Fillmore) to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
24.0%
Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
24.1%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Marcello BusseySimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-10
24.4%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Lewis,Brendon pass complete deep right to Thompson,Jadon caught at GSU16, for 22 yards to the GSU16, out of bounds at GSU16 PENALTY UM Holding (Breland,Malachi) 10 yards from GSU38 to GSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+2
25.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Bryce Dorsey for 2 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
26.7%
Lachlan Carrigan punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 12:3477% → 79%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
23.2%
Rashad Amos run for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 33Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+13
23.1%
pass to Rashad Amos for 13 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
24.0%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
24.7%
run for 12 yds to the Similar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
25.4%
Cameran Brown pass to Kyle Washington for 14 yds to the MEM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
25.9%
to DJ Riles for 3 yds to the MEM 22, Cameran Brown passSimilar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
26.1%
Cameran Brown run for 22 yds to the MEM 0, for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.5%
Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the MEM 26Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
28.2%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sutton Smith for 2 yds to the MEM 24Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+21
29.1%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 21 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
27.1%
Sutton Smith run for 4 yds to the MEM 49Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+18
27.4%
Brendon Lewis run for 18 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
27.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Bryce Anderson for 13 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
27.4%
PENALTY UM False Start (Mitchell,Parker) 5 yards from GSU20 to GSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+9
28.1%
Makari Bodiford run for 9 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
28.0%
Makari Bodiford run for 4 yds to the GAST 12Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+5
29.2%
Makari Bodiford run for 5 yds to the GAST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.5%
Makari Bodiford run for 7 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8PUNT
18 plays · 12 yds · 14:0079% → 63%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.4%
Sutton Smith run for 12 yds to the MEM 37Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
21.1%
Brendon Lewis pass to Sutton Smith for 8 yds to the MEM 45, Georgia State Penalty, facemask (Deuce Fillmore)Similar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
20.8%
Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
20.9%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+10
21.1%
Brendon Lewis pass to Jadon Thompson, Memphis Penalty, holding (Malachi Breland)Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+2
22.1%
Brendon Lewis pass to Bryce Dorsey for 2 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
22.8%
Lachlan Carrigan punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 6 yds to the MEM 31Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
33.6%
Sutton Smith run for 9 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
32.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcello Bussey for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 39Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
33.7%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Lewis,Brendon rush left for 4 yards gain to the UM43 (Dean,Marlin), out of bounds PENALTY UM Holding offsetting GSU Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+2
33.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sutton Smith for 2 yds to the MEM 37Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
35.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Marcello BusseySimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
36.9%
Lachlan Carrigan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Javon Robinson at the GAST 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:0926% → 28%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+52
26.3%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Grant Hollier for 52 yds to the MEM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
28.6%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the MEM 25Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
29.1%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Javon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
28.6%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Camden Overton-HowardSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
27.5%
Liam Rickman 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3133% → 38%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.8%
Djay Braswell run for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
32.7%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Ted HurstSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
32.0%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 16 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
35.7%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Branson Robinson for 2 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
36.1%
Cameran Brown pass incomplete to Camden Overton-HowardSimilar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+10
34.6%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Ted Hurst for 10 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
37.6%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the MEM 44Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
37.5%
Cameran Brown pass complete to Javon Robinson for 44 yds for a TD (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
17 plays · 13 yds · 13:5833% → 42%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.8%
Djay Braswell run for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
32.7%
Cameran Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
32.0%
Cameran Brown pass to Javon Robinson for 16 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
35.7%
Cameran Brown pass to Branson Robinson for 2 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
36.1%
Cameran Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+10
34.6%
Cameran Brown pass to Ted Hurst for 10 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
37.6%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the MEM 44Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+44
37.5%
Cameran Brown pass to Javon Robinson for 44 yds to the MEM 10, for a TD for a 1ST down (Braeden McAlister PAT MISSED) (Braeden McAlister KICK)Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
41.3%
Djay Braswell run for 9 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-5
43.5%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Williams,Tyhler) 5 yards from GSU28 to GSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+14
42.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Ted Hurst for 14 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
44.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kyle Washington for 3 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-2
46.0%
Djay Braswell run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-6
43.7%
TJ Finley sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+34
41.9%
Reed Chandley punt for 53 yds , Sutton Smith returns for 34 yds to the MEM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12PUNT
17 plays · 26 yds · 20:4634% → 53%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.6%
Brendon Lewis pass to Jadon Thompson for 6 yds to the MEM 31Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
32.8%
Sutton Smith run for 9 yds to the MEM 40Similar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
32.4%
Brendon Lewis pass to Marcello Bussey for a loss of 1 yards to the MEM 39Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+61
33.7%
Brendon Lewis runSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-2
33.9%
Brendon Lewis pass to Sutton Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 37Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
35.8%
Brendon Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
36.9%
Lachlan Carrigan punt for 40 yds to the MEM Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.5%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the GAST 25Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
50.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Rashad Amos for 9 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
52.2%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Leo BlackburnSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+15
49.6%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Finley,TJ rush right for 5 yards loss to the GSU29 (Denis,Jaidyn) PENALTY UM Face Mask (Denis,Jaidyn) 15 yards from GSU34 to GSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-12
56.5%
Georgia State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (TJ Finley) to the GAST 37Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 22
OWN 37
-1
54.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Djay Braswell for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 36Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 23
OWN 36
+10
52.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Leo Blackburn for 10 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 13
OWN 46
-5
52.9%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Amos,Rashad) 5 yards from GSU46 to GSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
52.8%
Reed Chandley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 24:4464% → 68%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
36.1%
Cameran Brown run for 3 yds to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
36.4%
Cameran Brown runSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-2
35.1%
Cameran Brown pass to Javon Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 24Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+20
28.2%
Reed Chandley punt for 41 yds to the , punt out-of-bounds at the , Sutton Smith returns for 20 yds to the MEM 35, Memphis Penalty, holding (10 Yards)Similar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
37.9%
Sutton Smith run for no gain to the MEM 9Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
38.7%
Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the MEM 13Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+10
39.0%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Kluse for 10 yds to the MEM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
37.1%
Sutton Smith run for 3 yds to the MEM 26Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+39
36.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sutton Smith for 39 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
28.9%
Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the GAST 34Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-1
29.4%
Makari Bodiford run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 35Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+8
30.6%
Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+46
31.6%
Gianni Spetic 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2771% → 84%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
28.7%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamari Hawkins for 16 yds to the MEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
27.0%
Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the MEM 42Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
27.5%
Brendon Lewis run for 9 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
26.8%
Sutton Smith run for 8 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+13
26.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jamari Hawkins for 13 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
25.8%
Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
26.3%
Sutton Smith run for 6 yds to the GAST 19Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+5
27.5%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Lewis,Brendon pass incomplete short right to Kluse,Brady thrown to GSU00 PENALTY GSU Offside (Dean,Marlin) 5 yards from GSU19 to GSU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
26.6%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Bryce Anderson for 11 yds to the GAST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
26.5%
Makari Bodiford run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 5Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.2%
Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:2683% → 93%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
16.7%
PENALTY UM False Start (Mitchell,Parker) 5 yards from UM49 to UM44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+1
17.6%
Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the MEM 45Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+21
18.3%
Brendon Lewis run for 21 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
15.6%
Jamari Hawkins run for 5 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-2
14.6%
Sutton Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+11
15.4%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 11 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
14.5%
Sutton Smith run for 13 yds to the GAST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
14.5%
Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the GAST 5Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
13.8%
Brendon Lewis pass complete to Matt Adcock for 1 yd to the GAST 4Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
14.1%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the GAST 1Similar
Q3 0:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.6%
Makari Bodiford run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:08
Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q2 5:34
Makari Bodiford run for 7 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
-7.7
TD · Q3 0:15
Makari Bodiford run for 1 yd for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com