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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at UNLV 38

UNLV
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:25 · (00:31) #19 B.Gowers punt 44 yards to the UNLV18 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Blowout margin+0.2Pregame prior+4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:16: (08:25) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #9 J.Harris caught at UH47, for 70 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:16, 1ST DOWN #17 K.Matsuzawa kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Freeman, LS: #33 J.Mowrey) #17 K.Matsuzawa kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Freeman, LS: #33 J.Mowrey) PENALTY #17 K.Matsuzawa kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Freeman, LS: #33 J.Mowrey) PENALTY UNLV Delay Of Game declined — HAW win probability +1.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:47: (03:52) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #6 J.Bradley caught at UH00, for 8 yards to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:47, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +2.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:37: (13:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #8 T.Lyons caught at UNLV48, for 72 yards to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:37, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +5.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:45: (05:52) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush left for 14 yards gain to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:45, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +11.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: (14:55) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UH00, for 1 yard to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +5.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:28UNLV 4th & 8 at HAW 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:25HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:12HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:00UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:05HAW 4th & 10 at UNLV 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−6.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:32HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:08HAW 4th & 24 at HAW 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:55HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:11HAW 4th & 13 at UNLV 36, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:13UNLV 4th & 5 at HAW 23, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:16HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:47UNLV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:37UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:45UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55UNLV Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:49UNLV Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 5:2456% → 57%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#11 J.Otis; #57 J.Johnson III)Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
55.9%
(14:25) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #4 D.Irvin Jr. thrown to UH40 PENALTY UH Pass Interference (#21 J.Sinclair) 15 yards from UNLV28 to UNLV43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
56.0%
(14:17) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #84 N.Elksnis caught at UNLV50, for 8 yards to the UH49 (#11 J.Otis; #99 Q.Williams)Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
56.1%
(13:41) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UH48 (#3 J.Smith; #98 C.Stocklinski)Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
56.2%
(13:07) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UH42 (#21 J.Sinclair), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
56.4%
(12:33) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UH00Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
56.4%
(12:28) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush left for 0 yards to the UH42 (#3 J.Smith)Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+13
56.3%
(11:50) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UH31, for 13 yards to the UH29 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
56.8%
(11:08) Shotgun #4 D.Irvin Jr. rush left for 1 yard loss to the UH30 (#17 G.Iovino)Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
56.9%
(10:30) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #3 D.Reynolds thrown to UH20 QB hurried by #79 D.BentonSimilar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+3
56.6%
(10:22) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 3 yards gain to the UH27 (#11 J.Otis)Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
57.0%
(09:32) #32 R.Villela field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham), clock 09:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0443% → 45%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.0%
(09:25) Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UH26 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad; #30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
57.0%
(08:55) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #0 C.Barfield caught at UH29, for 4 yards to the UH30 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
55.2%
(08:25) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #9 J.Harris caught at UH47, for 70 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:16, 1ST DOWN #17 K.Matsuzawa kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Freeman, LS: #33 J.Mowrey) #17 K.Matsuzawa kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Freeman, LS: #33 J.Mowrey) PENALTY #17 K.Matsuzawa kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Freeman, LS: #33 J.Mowrey) PENALTY UNLV Delay Of Game declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2455% → 59%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.1%
(08:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNLV29 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen; #11 J.Otis)Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
55.1%
(07:46) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UNLV22 (#77 J.Sekona, #79 D.Benton)Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+10
54.4%
(07:07) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UH35 PENALTY UH Holding (#24 D.King) 10 yards from UNLV22 to UNLV32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+31
54.9%
(06:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep right to #0 T.Omeire caught at UH47, for 31 yards to the UH37, out of bounds at UH37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
55.8%
(06:23) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 6 yards gain to the UH31 (#17 G.Iovino; #23 V.Edwards II)Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+6
56.2%
(05:44) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UH31, for 6 yards to the UH25 (#3 J.Smith), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UH Face Mask (#3 J.Smith) 13 yards from UH25 to UH12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
56.2%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (#72 W.Thomas) 5 yards from UH12 to UH17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+4
56.1%
(04:57) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at UH14, for 4 yards to the UH13 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen)Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+5
56.2%
(04:25) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush left for 5 yards gain to the UH08 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen)Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
58.7%
(03:52) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #6 J.Bradley caught at UH00, for 8 yards to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:47, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 3:1542% → 41%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.0%
(03:46) Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush right for 7 yards gain to the UH32 (#7 J.Pope)Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
57.5%
(02:56) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #5 P.Ashlock thrown to UH36 QB hurried by #7 J.PopeSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
58.1%
(02:55) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #9 J.Harris caught at UH37, for 6 yards to the UH38 (#4 A.Powdrell; #9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
57.2%
(02:27) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #9 J.Harris caught at UH48, for 10 yards to the UH48 (#7 J.Pope) PENALTY UH Holding (#52 D.Briski) 10 yards from UH38 to UH28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+8
57.9%
(02:12) Shotgun #30 L.Sims rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UH36 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+7
58.0%
(01:30) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #1 B.White caught at UH41, for 7 yards to the UH43 (#0 L.Welch)Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+5
57.2%
PENALTY UH False Start (#5 P.Ashlock) 5 yards from UH43 to UH38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
58.2%
(00:37) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #5 P.Ashlock thrown to UNLV48 QB hurried by #55 C.FullerSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
58.9%
(00:31) #19 B.Gowers punt 44 yards to the UNLV18 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:4758% → 64%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
57.8%
(00:24) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNLV26 (#1 P.Manuma; #24 D.King)Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+3
58.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #8 T.Lyons caught at UNLV30, for 3 yards to the UNLV29 (#99 Q.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
58.1%
(14:23) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNLV27, for 1 yard loss to the UNLV28 (#4 E.Palmer; #14 J.Wilson-Jones)Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+72
63.8%
(13:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #8 T.Lyons caught at UNLV48, for 72 yards to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:37, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5936% → 35%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.1%
(13:37) Shotgun #30 L.Sims rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UH33 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
63.5%
(13:06) Shotgun #30 L.Sims rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UH36 (#17 O.Egbase; #54 I.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
63.9%
(12:37) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #30 L.Sims caught at UH36, for 7 yards to the UH43 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad; #54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
63.2%
(11:53) Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush middle for 0 yards to the UH43 (#3 J.Joseph; #54 I.Patterson) PENALTY UH Holding (#59 K.Peihopa) 10 yards from UH43 to UH33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
64.7%
(11:38) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass intercepted by #7 J.Pope at UNLV26 broken up by #10 T.Fulton, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:3665% → 81%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
65.0%
(11:30) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #4 D.Irvin Jr. caught at UNLV30, for 6 yards to the UNLV32 (#4 E.Palmer; #11 J.Otis)Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+7
66.1%
(10:57) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV39 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen; #57 J.Johnson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
66.7%
(10:20) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #6 J.Bradley caught at UH43, for 18 yards to the UH43 (#4 E.Palmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
67.3%
(09:52) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush right for 5 yards gain to the UH38 (#1 P.Manuma)Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+10
67.6%
(09:03) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush left for 10 yards gain to the UH28 (#11 J.Otis; #25 M.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
67.8%
PENALTY UNLV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#6 J.Bradley) 15 yards from UH28 to UH43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
67.8%
(08:54) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep middle to #8 T.Lyons thrown to UH00Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
67.7%
(08:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UH37, for 6 yards to the UH37 (#14 J.Wilson-Jones)Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+4
68.2%
(08:04) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UH33 (#1 P.Manuma), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
69.3%
(07:32) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UH10 broken up by #24 D.KingSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
69.4%
(07:26) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UH25 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen; #16 Z.Allen)Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
68.8%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UH22 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen; #52 L.McCoy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
70.0%
(06:17) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #5 K.Moore caught at UH14, for 8 yards to the UH14 (#4 E.Palmer). UH is challenging the ruling on the field - "". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
81.3%
(05:52) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush left for 14 yards gain to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:45, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 1:2423% → 20%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
50
+3
76.8%
(05:44) Shotgun #30 L.Sims rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNLV47 (#1 C.Borders; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
77.2%
(05:09) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV47 (#30 T.Adeleye; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
78.3%
(04:25) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete deep middle to #1 B.White thrown to UNLV02Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+5
78.9%
(04:19) PENALTY UH False Start (#70 J.Milovale) 5 yards from UNLV47 to UH48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
79.7%
(04:19) #19 B.Gowers punt 48 yards to the UNLV04 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:0882% → 82%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
81.8%
(04:12) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNLV15, for 11 yards to the UNLV15, out of bounds at UNLV15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-10
82.4%
(03:47) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 10 yards loss to the UNLV05 (#14 J.Wilson-Jones)Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 20
OWN 5
+3
82.6%
(03:06) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNLV08 (#1 P.Manuma; #57 J.Johnson III) PENALTY UNLV Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+9
81.9%
(02:58) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNLV17 (#52 L.McCoy)Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+1
82.4%
(02:15) #33 C.Brown punt 42 yards to the UH41 #8 T.Uiliata return 1 yard to the UH42 (#28 L.Christensen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:5520% → 22%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
80.0%
PENALTY UNLV UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#28 L.Christensen) 15 yards from UH42 to UNLV43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
78.9%
(02:00) Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV43 (#8 M.McDuffie; #32 K.Scanlan)Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+16
80.0%
(01:37) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #0 C.Barfield caught at UNLV37, for 16 yards to the UNLV27 (#8 M.McDuffie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
78.1%
(01:23) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNLV26 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
78.6%
(01:00) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short left to #5 P.Ashlock thrown to UNLV12 QB hurried by #30 T.AdeleyeSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 9
OPP 26
-1
79.7%
(00:53) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UNLV27 (#1 C.Borders, #32 K.Scanlan)Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
78.1%
(00:05) #17 K.Matsuzawa field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #18 C.Freeman, LS: #33 J.Mowrey), clock 00:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:2821% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
79.3%
(15:00) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UH32 (#8 M.McDuffie) PENALTY UH Holding (#52 D.Briski) 10 yards from UH25 to UH15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
79.8%
(14:36) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UH21 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu; #30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
80.4%
(13:53) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short middle to #30 L.Sims caught at UH24, for 3 yards to the UH24 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
80.9%
(13:14) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete deep right to #1 B.White thrown to UH47 PENALTY UNLV Face Mask (#4 A.Powdrell) 15 yards from UH24 to UH39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
79.4%
(13:07) Shotgun #30 L.Sims rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UH41 (#1 C.Borders)Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
79.8%
(12:25) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #1 B.White thrown to UNLV41Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
80.6%
(12:20) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #0 C.Barfield caught at UH35, for 0 yards to the UH41 (#8 M.McDuffie; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
81.8%
(11:38) #19 B.Gowers punt 47 yards to the UNLV12 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:5183% → 87%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
82.8%
(11:31) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV17 (#5 T.Jones; #17 G.Iovino)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+8
83.3%
(10:52) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV15, for 8 yards to the UNLV25 (#1 P.Manuma; #17 G.Iovino), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.1%
(10:17) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#24 D.King)Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
84.5%
(09:43) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNLV34 (#3 J.Smith; #21 J.Sinclair)Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
84.6%
(09:06) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV39 (#8 K.Mendiola-Jensen; #51 L.Lagafuaina), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.0%
(08:27) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #2 K.Lee caught at UNLV44, for 5 yards to the UNLV44 (#17 G.Iovino; #24 D.King)Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+10
87.2%
(07:44) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #2 K.Lee caught at UNLV38, for 10 yards to the UH46 fumbled by #2 K.Lee at UH50 forced by #52 L.McCoy recovered by UH #4 E.Palmer at UH46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 3:1718% → 13%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
82.2%
(07:33) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #80 B.Kamoku caught at UNLV48, for 6 yards to the UNLV48 (#4 A.Powdrell; #6 M.Bin-Wahad)Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
81.6%
(07:05) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #9 J.Harris caught at UNLV48, for 3 yards to the UNLV45 (#14 B.Edmondson)Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
81.9%
(06:21) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #1 B.White caught at UNLV45, for 5 yards to the UNLV40, out of bounds at UNLV40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
82.5%
(05:48) Shotgun #30 L.Sims rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV37 (#17 O.Egbase)Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
83.1%
(05:08) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Barfield thrown to UNLV38 QB hurried by #6 M.Bin-WahadSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-12
83.9%
(05:03) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 12 yards to the UNLV49 (#9 A.Brown)Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 19
OPP 49
+5
86.3%
PENALTY UH Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNLV49 to UH46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 24
OWN 46
0
86.6%
(04:12) punt 39 yards to the UNLV15 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:0289% → 98%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+20
88.6%
(04:07) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 20 yards gain to the UNLV35 (#5 T.Jones; #8 K.Mendiola-Jensen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
89.2%
(03:25) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV47, for 12 yards to the UNLV47 (#14 J.Wilson-Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.6%
(02:40) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short middle to #4 D.Irvin Jr. thrown to UH40 QB hurried by #99 Q.WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
91.5%
(02:34) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UH41 (#3 J.Smith; #51 L.Lagafuaina), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
91.9%
(02:02) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UH31 (#4 E.Palmer; #8 K.Mendiola-Jensen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
92.6%
(01:16) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep middle to #0 T.Omeire thrown to UH00 PENALTY UH Pass Interference (#24 D.King) 15 yards from UH31 to UH16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
92.7%
(01:10) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 6 yards gain to the UH10 (#10 K.Akana)Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+9
92.8%
(00:45) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #6 J.Bradley caught at UH01, for 9 yards to the UH01 (#1 P.Manuma), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
(14:55) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UH00, for 1 yard to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:452% → 2%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
97.7%
(14:49) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush right for 7 yards gain to the UH25 (#43 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
97.8%
(14:16) Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush right for 2 yards gain to the UH27 (#1 C.Borders; #15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
98.0%
(13:35) Shotgun #47 C.Vaughn rush middle for 0 yards to the UH27 (#17 O.Egbase; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
98.1%
(13:00) Shotgun #0 C.Barfield rush middle for 0 yards to the UH27 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.7%
(12:49) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush middle for 27 yards gain to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:49, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:220% → 0%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
(12:43) Shotgun #47 C.Vaughn rush left for 7 yards gain to the UH27 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
(12:15) Shotgun #47 C.Vaughn rush right for 5 yards gain to the UH32 (#8 M.McDuffie; #14 B.Edmondson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
99.8%
(11:42) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #30 L.Sims caught at UH35, for 12 yards to the UH44 (#8 M.McDuffie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.8%
(11:08) Shotgun #30 L.Sims rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UH43 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad; #9 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+11
99.8%
(10:41) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #89 N.Delgadillo caught at UNLV49, for 11 yards to the UNLV46 (#5 Q.Keyes; #14 B.Edmondson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
(10:10) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short left to #47 C.Vaughn caught at UNLV41, for 5 yards to the UNLV41 (#43 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
99.8%
(09:42) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass complete short right to #11 K.Pupunu caught at UNLV37, for 8 yards to the UNLV33 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.8%
(09:11) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-4
99.8%
(08:39) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNLV36 (#9 A.Brown, #54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
99.9%
(08:21) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Pupunu thrown to UNLV25 broken up by #4 A.PowdrellSimilar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
99.9%
(08:17) Shotgun #12 M.Alejado pass incomplete deep left to #9 J.Harris thrown to UNLV15 QB hurried by #10 T.Fulton, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 42 yds · 6:58100% → 100%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.8%
PENALTY UNLV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#9 A.Brown) 15 yards from UNLV36 to UNLV21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.8%
(08:09) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNLV27 (#13 E.Gipson; #57 J.Johnson III)Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
(07:30) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNLV30 (#3 J.Smith; #99 Q.Williams)Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
(07:05) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV32 (#17 G.Iovino; #21 J.Sinclair)Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
99.9%
(06:29) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNLV40, for 15 yards to the UNLV47 (#99 Q.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
99.9%
(05:48) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush left for 13 yards gain to the UH40 (#1 P.Manuma; #52 L.McCoy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
(05:06) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush left for 6 yards gain to the UH34 (#3 J.Smith; #21 J.Sinclair)Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
(04:24) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UH32 (#57 J.Johnson III; #77 J.Sekona)Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
(03:45) Shotgun #7 C.Friel rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UH28 (#21 J.Sinclair), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
(03:04) Shotgun #25 R.Ray rush middle for 0 yards to the UH28 (#12 W.Ho'ohuli; #99 Q.Williams)Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
(02:24) Shotgun #23 K.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UH27 (#57 J.Johnson III; #99 Q.Williams)Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #7 C.Friel rush left for 4 yards gain to the UH23 (#21 J.Sinclair)Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
(01:17) Shotgun #7 C.Friel rush left for 1 yard gain to the UH22 (#17 G.Iovino; #25 M.Thompson), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
(01:12) Shotgun #10 D.Cordero rush right for 2 yards gain to the UH24 (#32 K.Scanlan)Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+11
100.0%
(00:36) Shotgun #6 D.Davis rush right for 11 yards gain to the UH35 (#90 E.Logo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
(00:06) Shotgun #10 D.Cordero rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UH44 (#43 K.Ka'aihue)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:45
(05:52) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush left for 14 yards gain to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:45, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)
+11.3
TD · Q4 14:55
(14:55) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UH00, for 1 yard to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)
+5.7
TD · Q2 13:37
(13:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #8 T.Lyons caught at UNLV48, for 72 yards to the UH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:37, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com