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HAW

Hawai'i 31 at Colorado State 19

CSU
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:27 · Bryan Hansen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense−16.9Score differential−8.8Garbage-time factor−6.0Pregame prior+3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:54: Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 75 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +12.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:50: Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 9 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +14.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:58: Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:50: Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CSU win probability +21.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 2:23: Cam Barfield run for 35 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +7.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:03CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:07CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:28HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:12CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:06CSU 4th & 7 at CSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:02CSU 4th & 9 at CSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:55HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 47, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:27CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:09HAW 4th & 8 at CSU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−9.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:58HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:17CSU 4th & 11 at HAW 48, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:23HAW 4th & 1 at CSU 35, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−4.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−6.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:17CSU 4th & 15 at CSU 33, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 2HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:38HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:54HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:50HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:58CSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:50CSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:23HAW Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5159% → 59%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.1%
Justin Marshall run for 6 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
59.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Jordan RossSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
59.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Tommy MaherSimilar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
59.1%
Bryan Hansen punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:1841% → 44%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
59.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 8 yds to the HAW 43Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+13
59.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 13 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
58.9%
Micah Alejado run for 6 yds to the CSU 38Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
58.8%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the CSU 36Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
58.7%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 6 yds to the CSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
58.5%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Devon TauaefaSimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
58.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds to the CSU 27Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+21
58.7%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 21 yds to the CSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
58.4%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Alejado,Micah pass incomplete short left to Pupunu,Karsyn thrown to CSU00 broken up by Joe,Lemondre PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Joe,Lemondre) 4 yards from CSU06 to CSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
58.1%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Karsyn PupunuSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
58.1%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Alejado,Micah pass incomplete short right to Ashlock,Pofele thrown to CSU00 PENALTY UH Pass Interference (Cenacle,Nick) 15 yards from CSU02 to CSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
55.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 17 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2557% → 55%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.6%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the CSU 30Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
56.6%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Jordan RossSimilar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
56.2%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 14 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
56.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tahj Bullock for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 43Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+3
56.2%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds to the CSU 46Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-2
55.7%
Jackson Brousseau sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 44Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
55.0%
Bryan Hansen punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3445% → 45%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
55.2%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
55.0%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
55.1%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+25
55.3%
Billy Gowers punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 33 , Javion Kinnard returns for 25 yds to the HAW 32 Colorado State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) to the HAW 33Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+25
55.3%
Billy Gowers punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CSU 42 , Javion Kinnard returns for 25 yds to the CSU 32 Colorado State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Ross) to the CSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1256% → 54%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
55.6%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the CSU 47Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
55.8%
Jalen Dupree run for no gain to the CSU 47Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
54.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
53.8%
Bryan Hansen punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1246% → 41%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
53.7%
PENALTY UH False Start (Spencer,Ethan) 5 yards from UH20 to UH15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
53.7%
Micah Alejado run for no gain to the HAW 15Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+7
53.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 7 yds to the HAW 22Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
53.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for 2 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+91
59.4%
Billy Gowers punt for 67 yds , Javion Kinnard returns for 91 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7INT
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:4642% → 44%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.3%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
58.1%
Micah Alejado run for 1 yd to the HAW 29Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+24
58.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 24 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
56.4%
Landon Sims run for 8 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
56.1%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
56.3%
Micah Alejado run for 3 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
56.2%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
55.4%
Micah Alejado run for 3 yds to the CSU 28Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
56.0%
Micah Alejado pass intercepted Jace Bellah return for no gain to the CSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:5559% → 59%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
59.4%
Lloyd Avant run for 4 yds to the CSU 20Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+8
59.5%
Lloyd Avant run for 8 yds to the CSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
59.8%
Jackson Brousseau run for 4 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+7
60.0%
Lloyd Avant run for 7 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.4%
Lloyd Avant run for no gain to the CSU 39Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
60.2%
Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
59.6%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Kojo AntwiSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
58.6%
Bryan Hansen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
46.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 75 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4548% → 46%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
47.9%
Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 36Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
47.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
46.8%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
45.7%
Bryan Hansen punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:0154% → 58%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
46.2%
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+12
45.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 12 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
43.6%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Karsyn PupunuSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
42.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 6 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+2
41.7%
Micah Alejado run for 2 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+15
42.1%
Billy Gowers punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CSU 25 , Tommy Maher returns for 15 yds to the CSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:2944% → 45%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.0%
Jalen Dupree run for 4 yds to the CSU 29Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
44.2%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jalen Dupree for 4 yds to the CSU 33Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+14
44.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jordan Ross for 14 yds to the CSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
46.5%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Brousseau,Jackson pass incomplete deep right to Ross,Jordan thrown to UH20 broken up by Wilson-Jones,Jaheim PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Ross,Jordan) 15 yards from CSU47 to CSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+8
43.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Lavon Brown for 8 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+9
43.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 9 yds to the CSU 49Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+10
44.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jalen Dupree for 10 yds Jalen Dupree fumbled, recovered by HAW Jackie Johnson IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:1262% → 63%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
38.3%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
38.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for 8 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
38.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.1%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 5:0559% → 78%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
41.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 6 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
39.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 40Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+20
39.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 20 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
38.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 16 yds to the CSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
36.8%
Micah Alejado run for no gain to the CSU 24Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+13
36.6%
Landon Sims run for 13 yds to the CSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
35.9%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the CSU 9Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
21.7%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 9 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1626% → 24%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.1%
Justin Marshall run for 6 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
26.5%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Jordan RossSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-9
25.6%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by Luther McCoy for a loss of 9 yards to the CSU 22 Jackson Brousseau fumbled, recovered by CSU Aitor Urionabarrenechea , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
23.7%
Bryan Hansen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:1179% → 85%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
21.2%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
20.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 4 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+19
19.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 19 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
18.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Blaze Kamoku for 1 yd to the CSU 36Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+13
17.8%
Cam Barfield run for 13 yds to the CSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
16.5%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Nick CenacleSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
16.8%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the CSU 22Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+12
16.6%
(04:05) Shotgun Alejado,Micah pass incomplete deep left to Ashlock,Pofele thrown to CSU00 broken up by Noland,AJ, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Noland,AJ) 12 yards from CSU22 to CSU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
15.8%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
15.8%
Micah Alejado run for 2 yds to the CSU 8Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
15.9%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for no gain to the CSU 8Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
14.8%
Kansei Matsuzawa 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0317% → 25%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.9%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
16.6%
Lloyd Avant run for 12 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.2%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Lavon BrownSimilar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
16.7%
Lloyd Avant run for 3 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+12
16.8%
Lloyd Avant run for 12 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
17.3%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by Tariq Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the CSU 43Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 19
OWN 43
+19
14.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tay Lanier for 19 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
15.6%
Jackson Brousseau run for 4 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+6
16.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Javion Kinnard for 6 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
16.4%
Jackson Brousseau run for 7 yds to the HAW 21Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
13.3%
Javion Kinnard run for 2 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
12.0%
Jackson Brousseau run for 4 yds to the HAW 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
11.9%
Jalen Dupree run for 8 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+7
25.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5381% → 83%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.0%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
16.6%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Karsyn PupunuSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
17.1%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
17.4%
Billy Gowers punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:0319% → 40%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
19.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Lavon BrownSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
15.9%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Javion Kinnard for 9 yds to the CSU 32Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
16.1%
Lloyd Avant run for 4 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
16.8%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the CSU 37Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
16.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Ryan McConnell for 16 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
18.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Tommy MaherSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
17.6%
Javion Kinnard run for no gain to the HAW 47Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-1
16.4%
Javion Kinnard run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 48Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 11
OPP 48
+37
13.0%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tay Lanier for 37 yds to the HAW 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
18.8%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the HAW 6 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, (3 Yards) to the HAW 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2176% → 96%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.0%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
23.7%
Landon Sims run for 12 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
20.2%
Landon Sims run for 7 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+11
16.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 11 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
15.4%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+3
14.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Devon Tauaefa for 3 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
11.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 4 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+35
4.1%
Cam Barfield run for 35 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 9 yds · 0:445% → 5%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
5.0%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Lavon Brown for 8 yds to the CSU 26Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 2
OWN 26
-4
2.5%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by De'Jon Benton for a loss of 4 yards to the CSU 22Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+16
2.2%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Lavon Brown for 16 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
2.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Javion KinnardSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
2.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-5
4.8%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by Tariq Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the CSU 33Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 15
OWN 33
-6
4.8%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by Jackie Johnson III for a loss of 6 yards to the CSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:1598% → 98%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
2.4%
M. Alejado takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-1
2.2%
M. Alejado takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:50
Tahj Bullock run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+21.5
TD · Q3 9:50
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 9 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
-14.1
TD · Q4 11:58
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com