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HAW

Hawai'i 44 at Air Force 35

AF
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:03 · Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the HAW 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Home team on offense−2.0Pregame prior+12.7Garbage-time factor−1.1Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:33: Kade Frew run for 11 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK) — AF win probability +18.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 2:44: Landon Sims run for 1 yd for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +16.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:55: Cam Barfield run for 27 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +16.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:58: Kemper Hodges run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK) — AF win probability +23.4 pts (now 36%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:30: Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK) — AF win probability +26.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 1:03AF 4th & 4 at HAW 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−4.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 3:49HAW 4th & 13 at AF 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−6.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:21AF 4th & 2 at AF 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:00HAW 4th & 6 at AF 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:21HAW 4th & 2 at AF 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.1%−4.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:33AF 4th & 3 at HAW 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−3.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:14HAW 4th & 3 at AF 21, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%−1.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−12.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:34HAW 4th & 7 at AF 7, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−5.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:25HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:16AF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:11HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:33AF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:44HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:55HAW Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:04AF Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:58AF Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:06HAW Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:30AF Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2633% → 35%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.6%
Micah Alejado run for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
66.5%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
66.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 5 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+59
66.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 59 yds to the AF 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
65.9%
Micah Alejado run for a loss of 1 yard to the AF 6Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
64.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 6 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:5365% → 67%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+64
65.0%
Liam Szarka run for 64 yds to the HAW 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
65.3%
Cade Harris run for 5 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.1%
Dylan Carson run for no gain to the HAW 5Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.7%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Bruin Fleischmann for 5 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5134% → 39%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 6 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
65.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 14 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
65.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for 24 yds to the AF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
64.7%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the AF 28Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
64.5%
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the AF 24Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
61.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 24 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:5062% → 60%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.3%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Kade Frew for 4 yds to the AF 29Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
62.2%
Kade Frew run for 12 yds to the AF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
62.5%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Tre Roberson for 29 yds to the HAW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
63.2%
Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
63.0%
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the HAW 21Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+6
62.3%
Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the HAW 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
62.2%
Rocco Conti run for 2 yds to the HAW 13Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
62.0%
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the HAW 11Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+2
61.2%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Cade Harris for 2 yds to the HAW 9Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+2
60.2%
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the HAW 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5FG
28 plays · 80 yds · 12:0941% → 52%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
59.3%
Cam Barfield run for no gain to the HAW 7Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
59.2%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+11
59.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 11 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
58.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 5 yds to the HAW 23Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+6
57.9%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 6 yds to the HAW 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
57.6%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 26Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+12
57.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Blaze Kamoku for 12 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
56.0%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.4%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
55.7%
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+7
55.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 7 yds to the AF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
54.2%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the AF 47Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+7
53.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 7 yds to the AF 40Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+7
53.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds to the AF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
52.4%
Landon Sims run for 7 yds to the AF 26Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+2
50.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 2 yds to the AF 28Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+7
50.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 7 yds to the AF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
49.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 2 yds to the AF 19Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-4
48.9%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the AF 23Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+14
49.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 14 yds to the AF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
47.9%
(04:39) Shotgun Alejado,Micah pass complete short left to Harris,Jackson caught at AF02, for 9 yards to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:37 PENALTY UH Holding (Kaio,Judah) 10 yards from AF09 to AF19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
0
48.0%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Landon SimsSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+6
47.9%
Micah Alejado run for 6 yds to the AF 13Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
48.1%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
47.6%
Kansei Matsuzawa 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1946% → 45%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
46.2%
Liam Szarka run for 7 yds to the AF 32Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
46.8%
Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the AF 33Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
45.4%
Air Force Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+14
44.7%
Luke Freer punt for 55 yds , Tama Uiliata returns for 14 yds to the HAW 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:1455% → 57%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
44.9%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+18
44.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 18 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
42.7%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
42.7%
Micah Alejado run for 4 yds to the AF 49Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
42.0%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
42.7%
Billy Gowers punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:5442% → 41%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
42.1%
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the AF 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
41.0%
Liam Szarka run for 4 yds to the AF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2043% → 60%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.6%
Dylan Carson run for 6 yds to the AF 31Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
42.9%
Liam Szarka run for 7 yds to the AF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
42.6%
Cade Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the AF 37Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+52
41.3%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 52 yds to the HAW 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
60.2%
Kade Frew run for 11 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:5246% → 49%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 9 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
52.8%
(12:00) Shotgun Alejado,Micah pass incomplete short left to Ashlock,Pofele thrown to UH35 broken up by Elie-Stuart,Jordan PENALTY UH Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from UH34 to UH29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
53.3%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 27Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
55.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 21 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
51.1%
Christian Vaughn run for 1 yd to the HAW 49Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
50.8%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+7
50.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 7 yds to the AF 44Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-4
51.1%
Micah Alejado run for a loss of 4 yards to the AF 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4158% → 55%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
57.6%
(09:19) No Huddle Szarka,Liam pass incomplete deep right to Roberson,Tre thrown to UH28 PENALTY AF Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Elwood,Nathan) 5 yards from AF48 to AF43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+6
54.8%
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the AF 49Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
57.1%
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+3
56.9%
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
55.1%
Quin Smith pass incomplete to Owen AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:4252% → 74%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.4%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
48.9%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Landon SimsSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
50.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 11 yds to the AF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
47.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 8 yds to the AF 36Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+13
46.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Koa Eldredge for 13 yds to the AF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
44.9%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the AF 21Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+4
43.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 4 yds to the AF 17Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+13
44.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for 13 yds to the AF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
42.7%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 3 yds to the AF 1Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.1%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1229% → 30%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
29.4%
Dylan Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AF 24Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
28.9%
Cade Harris run for 17 yds to the AF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-14
30.1%
Liam Szarka pass intercepted Matagi Thompson return for 14 yds to the AF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:1774% → 90%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
25.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 5 yds to the AF 32Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-10
24.5%
Hawai'i Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Micah Alejado) to the AF 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+15
26.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 15 yds to the AF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
9.8%
Cam Barfield run for 27 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4214% → 26%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.9%
Cade Harris run for 2 yds to the AF 27Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
26.0%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Cade Harris for 73 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16FG
10 plays · 21 yds · 2:4675% → 89%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
24.9%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
24.9%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the AF 41Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+13
24.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 13 yds to the AF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
20.5%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the AF 23Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
20.0%
Micah Alejado run for 2 yds to the AF 21Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
18.8%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
10.8%
Kansei Matsuzawa 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0718% → 36%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
18.1%
Liam Szarka run for 7 yds to the AF 32Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
18.6%
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-9
15.5%
Liam Szarka sacked by Qwyn Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the AF 28Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 19
OWN 28
-2
14.3%
Liam Szarka run for a loss of 2 yards to the AF 26Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 21
OWN 26
+24
11.2%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
50
+2
12.6%
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+30
12.2%
Liam Szarka run for 30 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
14.0%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Bruin Fleischmann for 14 yds to the HAW 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
13.8%
PENALTY AF False Start (Falk,Alec) 5 yards from UH04 to UH09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
12.5%
Hawai'i Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the HAW 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.9%
Kemper Hodges run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4780% → 94%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
19.7%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
6.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 74 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:247% → 33%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
7.2%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Cade Harris for 41 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
33.3%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 3:4984% → 96%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
16.0%
(04:26) Shotgun Barfield,Cam rush right for 3 yards loss to the UH23 (Fisher,Luke; Fletcher,Blake) PENALTY AF Personal Foul (Perez,Alexander) 15 yards from UH26 to UH41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
12.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Devon Tauaefa for 16 yds to the AF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
10.3%
Landon Sims run for 12 yds to the AF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
8.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Blaze Kamoku for 12 yds to the AF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
8.7%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the AF 16Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+15
7.6%
Landon Sims run for 15 yds to the AF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
7.5%
(02:24) Kneel down by Hawaii at AF02 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
5.7%
(01:57) Kneel down by Hawaii at AF03 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
4.1%
PENALTY AF Delay Of Game (Zdroik,Payton) 2 yards from AF03 to AF01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-6
4.2%
(01:14) Kneel down by Hawaii at AF07 for loss of 6 yards.Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
4.2%
Kansei Matsuzawa 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:253% → 4%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
2.9%
Liam Szarka sacked by Jackie Johnson III for a loss of 4 yards to the AF 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
3.7%
Liam Szarka run for 8 yds to the AF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:30
Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)
+26.1
TD · Q4 5:58
Kemper Hodges run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)
+23.4
TD · Q3 12:33
Kade Frew run for 11 yds for a TD (Jacob Medina KICK)
+18.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com