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PRST

Portland State 3 at Hawai'i 23

HAW
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:24 · Billy Gowers punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PRST 45 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alika Cavaco-Amoy) to the HAW 40 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+27.9Home team on offense+20.0Score differential+10.7Garbage-time factor+9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:39: Luke Weaver pass complete to Cam Barfield for 31 yds for a TD Hawai'i Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cam Barfield) to the PRST 0 (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:30: Kansei Matsuzawa 44 yd FG GOOD Portland State Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Jaylen Lynch) declined — HAW win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:45: Mathias Uribe 25 yd FG GOOD — PRST win probability +1.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:01: John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Cru Newman for 12 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST down — PRST win probability +1.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:58: Kansei Matsuzawa 35 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 10PRST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:55PRST 4th & 9 at PRST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:14PRST 4th & 13 at PRST 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:54HAW 4th & 1 at PRST 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:19PRST 4th & 1 at HAW 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:07HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:18PRST 4th & 2 at HAW 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:17HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:30HAW 4th & 6 at PRST 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:53PRST 4th & 15 at PRST 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:24HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:45PRST 4th & 4 at HAW 7, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:11HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:49PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:12HAW 4th & 5 at PRST 29, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:17PRST 4th & 19 at PRST 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:56HAW 4th & 27 at HAW 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:44PRST 4th & 4 at PRST 30, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:58HAW 4th & 9 at PRST 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:09HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:39HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:541% → 2%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.7%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 9 yds to the PRST 34Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.7%
Delon Thompson run for 2 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
98.6%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Eddy Schultz for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 35Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+11
98.6%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for 11 yds to the PRST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
98.5%
Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the PRST 47Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Portland State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaylen Lynch) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Portland State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaylen Lynch) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Tony Johnson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:5098% → 98%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.4%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 3 yds to the HAW 21Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+7
98.4%
Landon Sims run for 7 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
98.3%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass complete short left to Ashlock,Pofele caught at Hawaii32, for 4 yards to the Hawaii32 (Green,Isaiah; Mamaril,Carsten) PENALTY Hawaii Face Mask (Sotelo,Zhen) 14 yards from Hawaii28 to Hawaii14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 24
OWN 14
+4
98.3%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Cam Barfield for 4 yds to the HAW 18Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+8
98.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 8 yds to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+23
98.1%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Max Ware for 23 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
98.1%
Cam Barfield run for 2 yds to the HAW 47 Cam Barfield fumbled, recovered by PRST Dean BriskiSimilar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+2
98.1%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Billy Gowers punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PRST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3INT
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:532% → 3%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
97.9%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 5 yds to the PRST 17Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
97.9%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jaylen LynchSimilar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+11
97.8%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 11 yds to the PRST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
97.7%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Sagapolutele,John-Keawe pass incomplete deep left to Lynch,Jaylen thrown to Hawaii30 PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (Wilson-Jones,Jaheim) 15 yards from PSU28 to PSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
97.7%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for 9 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+9
97.5%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Delon Thompson for 9 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
97.4%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Sagapolutele,John-Keawe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Hawaii35, End Of Play PENALTY PSU Holding (Minot,James) 10 yards from Hawaii39 to Hawaii49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+2
97.4%
Delon Thompson run for 2 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+10
97.3%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Eddy Schultz for 10 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+10
97.1%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 10 yds to the HAW 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
96.9%
Delon Thompson run for 2 yds to the HAW 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:5397% → 97%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.1%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 4 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Devon TauaefaSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+9
96.9%
Luke Weaver run for 9 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
97.0%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass incomplete deep left to Pupunu,Karsyn thrown to PSU25 PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (Thornton,Dionte) 15 yards from Hawaii40 to PSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Max WareSimilar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 12 yds to the PRST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
97.0%
Cam Barfield run for 7 yds to the PRST 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+3
96.9%
Cam Barfield run for 3 yds to the PRST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.9%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the PRST 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
96.9%
Luke Weaver run for 6 yds to the PRST 16Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+16
97.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Cam Barfield for 16 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:433% → 3%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
96.9%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Brooks FergusonSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
97.0%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Jaylen LynchSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-3
97.0%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 13Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
97.0%
Tony Johnson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:2797% → 98%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.1%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the PRST 48Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Max WareSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+4
96.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 4 yds to the PRST 44Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+8
96.7%
Luke Weaver run for 8 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
96.8%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
96.8%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the PRST 31Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+31
97.7%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Cam Barfield for 31 yds for a TD Hawai'i Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cam Barfield) to the PRST 0 (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:113% → 3%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
50
0
97.2%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
50
+5
97.2%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Thompson,Delon rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Hawaii44 (Dela Cruz,Ha'aheo) PENALTY Hawaii Offside (Benton,De'jon) 5 yards from Hawaii50 to Hawaii45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
97.1%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for 7 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
97.1%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Cru Newman for 26 yds to the HAW 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.9%
Tyrese Smith run for 3 yds to the HAW 9Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
96.8%
Tyrese Smith run for no gain to the HAW 9Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+6
96.8%
Eddy Schultz run for 6 yds to the HAW 3Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
96.8%
Delon Thompson run for no gain to the HAW 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0497% → 97%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
97.1%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+7
97.0%
Luke Weaver run for 7 yds to the HAW 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
97.0%
Luke Weaver run for 1 yd to the HAW 15Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
96.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 9
OWN 15
+13
96.7%
Billy Gowers punt for 55 yds , Cru Newman returns for 13 yds to the PRST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 1:393% → 4%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.6%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Delon Thompson for 1 yd to the PRST 44Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-5
96.6%
PENALTY PSU False Start (Latu,Semisi) 5 yards from PSU44 to PSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+9
96.7%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 9 yds to the PRST 48Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+14
96.5%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 14 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
96.3%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele sacked by Jamar Sekona for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 41Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+2
96.5%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Delon Thompson for 2 yds to the HAW 39Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+9
96.5%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 9 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+1
96.4%
Delon Thompson run for 1 yd to the HAW 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5197% → 97%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
97.0%
Luke Weaver run for 4 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
96.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Karsyn PupunuSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
96.7%
Billy Gowers punt for 55 yds , Cru Newman returns for no gain to the PRST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
96.9%
J. Sagapolutele takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:1597% → 98%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
96.9%
Luke Weaver run for no gain to the HAW 13Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
96.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Max WareSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+15
96.7%
(14:09) Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass incomplete short right to Pupunu,Karsyn thrown to Hawaii24 PENALTY PSU Roughing The Passer (Elliott,Spencer) 15 yards from Hawaii13 to Hawaii28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
96.9%
Landon Sims run for no gain to the HAW 28Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
96.8%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+30
96.7%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 30 yds to the PRST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 6 yds to the PRST 36Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
96.9%
Luke Weaver run for 6 yds to the PRST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
96.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Max Ware for 4 yds to the PRST 26Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
96.9%
Luke Weaver run for 1 yd to the PRST 25Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-1
96.8%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Cam Barfield for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 26Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
97.8%
Kansei Matsuzawa 44 yd FG GOOD Portland State Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Jaylen Lynch) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:203% → 3%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
97.1%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele sacked by Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina for a loss of 3 yards to the PRST 30Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+3
97.3%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 3 yds to the PRST 33Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
97.3%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Chance MillerSimilar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 10
OWN 33
-5
97.3%
PENALTY PSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from PSU33 to PSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Tony Johnson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:1598% → 98%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
97.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 5 yds to the HAW 35Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-10
97.9%
(07:17) Shotgun Weaver,Luke rush right for 1 yard loss to the Hawaii34 (Walker,Pierce) PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Peihopa,Kuao) 10 yards from Hawaii35 to Hawaii25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 15
OWN 25
-5
97.8%
Luke Weaver sacked by Spencer Elliott for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 20Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+13
97.7%
Landon Sims run for 13 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+7
97.6%
Billy Gowers punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PRST 45 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alika Cavaco-Amoy) to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:323% → 5%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+27
97.1%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Eddy Schultz for 13 yds to the HAW 27 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Wynden Ho'ohuli) to the HAW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
97.0%
Micah Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 15Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+8
97.1%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 8 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
97.2%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Delon ThompsonSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
95.4%
Mathias Uribe 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:2697% → 97%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.6%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
96.6%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 17 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.3%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
97.3%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
97.1%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Max WareSimilar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
96.9%
Billy Gowers punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PRST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:124% → 4%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
95.8%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Cru Newman for 12 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
95.4%
Cru Newman run for 11 yds to the PRST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
95.2%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele run for 2 yds to the PRST 44Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-5
95.2%
PENALTY PSU False Start (Miller,Andre) 5 yards from PSU44 to PSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+6
96.0%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for 6 yds to the PRST 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
95.6%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Eddy SchultzSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Tony Johnson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:2597% → 98%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
97.0%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 1 yd to the HAW 21Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
97.1%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 8 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
97.0%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the HAW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
97.1%
Landon Sims run for 7 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
97.3%
Cam Barfield run for 1 yd to the HAW 39Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-5
97.1%
(11:27) Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass complete short right to Ashlock,Pofele caught at Hawaii40, for 1 yard to the Hawaii40 (Mamaril,Carsten) PENALTY Hawaii False Start 5 yards from Hawaii39 to Hawaii34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+9
97.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 9 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.3%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
97.3%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+23
97.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 23 yds to the PRST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
97.5%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-6
97.5%
Brandon White run for 9 yds Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Tama Uiliata) to the PRST 35Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+6
97.4%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Max Ware for 6 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
97.9%
Kansei Matsuzawa 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:462% → 2%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.8%
Eddy Schultz run for 11 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
97.7%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele run for a loss of 9 yards to the PRST 27 John-Keawe Sagapolutele fumbled, recovered by PRST John-Keawe SagapoluteleSimilar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 19
OWN 27
0
97.9%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele run for no gain to the PRST 27Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 19
OWN 27
0
98.0%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Eddy SchultzSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Tony Johnson punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · -17 yds · 1:1198% → 98%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.4%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 5 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-10
98.4%
(05:37) Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass complete deep left to White,Brandon caught at PSU04, for 53 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:29 PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Briski,Dean) 10 yards from Hawaii47 to Hawaii37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+4
98.2%
Luke Weaver run for 4 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-11
98.3%
Luke Weaver sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 22
OWN 30
-5
98.0%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Ioane,Matteus) 5 yards from Hawaii30 to Hawaii25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 27
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Billy Gowers punt for 56 yds , Cru Newman returns for 5 yds to the PRST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:032% → 2%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
98.4%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Chance Miller for 7 yds to the PRST 31Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-1
98.3%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 30Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
98.3%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Eddy SchultzSimilar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
98.4%
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass incomplete to Eddy SchultzSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:3399% → 100%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
98.6%
Dermaricus Davis run for 9 yds to the PRST 21Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-10
98.6%
Hawai'i Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PRST 28Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+10
98.6%
Dermaricus Davis pass complete to Nick Delgadillo for 10 yds to the PRST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.8%
Dermaricus Davis pass incomplete to Nick DelgadilloSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
98.8%
Christian Vaughn run for 6 yds to the PRST 12Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 4
OPP 12
-5
98.8%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Tauaefa,Devon) 5 yards from PSU12 to PSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
98.8%
Dermaricus Davis pass incomplete to Nick DelgadilloSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
99.5%
Kansei Matsuzawa 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.5%
Tyrese Smith run for 1 yd to the PRST 15Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+6
99.5%
Eddy Schultz run for 6 yds to the PRST 21Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+15
99.5%
Jaylen Lynch run for 15 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 3:45
Mathias Uribe 25 yd FG GOOD
-1.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:01
John-Keawe Sagapolutele pass complete to Cru Newman for 12 yds to the PRST 31 for a 1ST down
-1.1
FG · Q3 9:30
Kansei Matsuzawa 44 yd FG GOOD Portland State Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Jaylen Lynch) declined
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com