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ARST

Arkansas State 21 at Kennesaw State 28

KENN
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Fifth Third Stadium
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Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-29.2KENN 50.2%Jaylen Raynor pass complete to KenyonClay for 6 yds for a TD (Clune VanAndel KICK) (Clune Van Andel KICK)AWAY 21 - HOME 28 · Q4 10:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:04 · Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 6 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK) (Clune Van Andel KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Offense timeoutsHome team on offenseDefense timeoutsPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 120Offense timeouts−17.7Home team on offense+10.8Defense timeouts−17.0Pregame prior−3.6Score differential+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:49: Alexander Diggs 7 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick) — KENN win probability +1.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 28 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK) — ARST win probability +26.3 pts (now 64%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q2 0:02: Kennesaw State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (JeRico Washington Jr.) to the KENN 3 — ARST win probability +2.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q4 10:04: Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 6 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK) (Clune Van Andel KICK) — ARST win probability +29.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · Q3 12:03: Jaylen Raynor run for 1 yd for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK) — ARST win probability +0.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ARST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:19ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00KENN 4th & 5 at ARST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    39.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:00KENN 4th & 1 at ARST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−0.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:00ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:07ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:34ARST 4th & 18 at ARST 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:10ARST 4th & 8 at ARST 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:04ARST 4th & 6 at KENN 6, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:19ARST 4th & 9 at ARST 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:09KENN 4th & 21 at ARST 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−3.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:14KENN 4th & 14 at KENN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−4.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:29ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:44KENN 4th & 2 at KENN 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:36ARST 4th & 2 at ARST 15, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:01ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:39KENN 4th & 9 at KENN 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:32KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:02ARST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:04ARST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5671% → 72%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
28.7%
Devin Spencer run for 6 yds to the ARST 21Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-3
28.5%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Tyler Fortenberry for a loss of 3 yards to the ARST 18Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
28.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
28.2%
Jackson Waller punt for 57 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for no gain to the KENN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 17:0029% → 23%
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+11
29.2%
Amari Odom run for 11 yds to the ARST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
23.2%
Alexander Diggs run for 9 yds to the KENN 49Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
23.2%
Alexander Diggs run for 3 yds to the ARST 43Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
23.1%
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 5 yds to the ARST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
23.1%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel BenyardSimilar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+2
22.5%
Amari Odom run for 2 yds to the ARST 41Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
23.7%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Lyndon RavareSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
23.6%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 9 yds to the ARST 21Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
23.0%
Alexander Diggs run for no gain to the ARST 21Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
22.5%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Christian MossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 3TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5528% → 28%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 7 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
27.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 2 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
27.6%
Coleman Bennett run for 5 yds to the KENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+54
28.1%
Gabriel Benyard 54 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
27.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 7 yds to the KENN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:0770% → 70%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
29.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 11 yds to the ARST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
29.2%
Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the ARST 44Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+1
29.2%
Jaylen Raynor run for 1 yd to the ARST 45Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+46
29.3%
Jackson Waller punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARST 38 , Gabriel Benyard returns for 46 yds to the ARST 38Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
30.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Tyler Fortenberry, broken up by Baron HopsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 5TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:2730% → 33%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
30.3%
Chase Belcher run for 1 yd to the ARST 37Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
30.5%
Chase Belcher run for no gain to the ARST 37Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+14
31.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Alexander Diggs for 14 yds to the ARST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
32.1%
Alexander Diggs 7 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
32.5%
Amari Odom pass complete to Christian Moss for 16 yds to the ARST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
32.9%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Lyndon RavareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3061% → 61%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
38.6%
Devin Spencer run for 1 yd to the ARST 20Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+10
38.9%
Jackson Waller punt for 52 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for 10 yds to the KENN 35 Kennesaw State Penalty, personal foul (James Ziglor) to the KENN 18Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
39.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+5
39.5%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Devin Spencer for 5 yds to the ARST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 7TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:0538% → 42%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
38.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Christian Moss for 19 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
39.0%
Coleman Bennett run for 7 yds to the KENN 44Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+7
39.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 7 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
40.4%
Amari Odom run for 9 yds to the ARST 40Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
40.8%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
41.1%
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 11 yds to the ARST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
42.4%
Amari Odom pass complete to Christian Moss for 11 yds to the ARST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
42.4%
Amari Odom run for 14 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:2756% → 52%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
44.3%
Kenyon Clay run for 14 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
43.8%
Kenyon Clay run for 4 yds to the ARST 39Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
45.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 10 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
45.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 8 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+5
44.3%
Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the KENN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
45.8%
Devin Spencer run for 3 yds to the KENN 35Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
45.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Devin SpencerSimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-5
48.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for a loss of 5 yards Jaylen Raynor fumbled, recovered by KENN Tylon DunlapSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0942% → 42%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
58.1%
Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the ARST 26Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+10
54.8%
Devin Spencer run for 10 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
55.8%
Devin Spencer run for 1 yd to the ARST 37Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
56.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Tyler Fortenberry, broken up by Baron HopsonSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-9
57.4%
Jaylen Raynor sacked by Elijah Hill and Tylon Dunlap for a loss of 9 yards to the ARST 28Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+37
58.4%
Jackson Waller punt for 37 yds Kennesaw State Penalty, roughing kicker (James Ziglor) to the KENN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10FUMBLE
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:0554% → 64%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
54.3%
Amari Odom run for 5 yds to the KENN 40Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+14
58.2%
Amari Odom pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 14 yds to the ARST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
59.5%
Amari Odom run for 4 yds to the ARST 42Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
59.5%
Amari Odom pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 3 yds to the ARST 39Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
59.5%
Amari Odom pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 4 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
62.2%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Alexander DiggsSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
62.2%
Amari Odom pass complete to Navelle Dean for 11 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
61.7%
Amari Odom run for 1 yd to the ARST 23Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
62.8%
Alexander Diggs run for no gain to the ARST 23Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+11
63.2%
Amari Odom pass complete to Alexander Diggs for 11 yds to the ARST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
63.8%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 9 yds to the ARST 3Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
63.6%
Alexander Diggs run for 2 yds to the ARST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
64.2%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARST 4 fumbled, recovered by ARST Gavin RansawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:4850% → 28%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
49.7%
Kennesaw State Penalty, off-side (Marcus Patterson) to the ARST 9Similar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 5
OWN 9
+3
56.9%
Kenyon Clay run for 3 yds to the ARST 12Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+12
56.9%
Devin Spencer run for 12 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
67.2%
Devin Spencer run for 3 yds to the ARST 27Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
67.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 4 yds to the ARST 31Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
68.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 4 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
70.7%
Devin Spencer run for 2 yds to the ARST 37Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
70.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Devin Spencer, broken up by Ebenezer DibulaSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
71.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Devin SpencerSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
72.2%
Jackson Waller punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12Uncategorized
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:4255% → 60%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
54.6%
Amari Odom run for 13 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
56.8%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for no gain to the KENN 37 Kennesaw State Penalty, Offensive holding (JaDarious Lee) to the KENN 27Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+31
54.6%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 31 yds to the ARST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
58.2%
Amari Odom sacked by Bryan Whitehead for a loss of 5 yards to the ARST 47Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+22
58.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Christian Moss for 22 yds to the ARST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
60.3%
Amari Odom sacked by Trenton Alan Yowe for a loss of 4 yards to the ARST 29 Amari Odom fumbled, recovered by ARST Ethan Hassler , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 0:2740% → 67%
Q2 0:29
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+8
60.5%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 8 yds to the ARST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
60.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Hunter Summers, broken up by JeRico Washington Jr.Similar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
64.1%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jabari Bush for 28 yds to the KENN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
64.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jabari Bush for 8 yds to the ARST 37Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
61.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Chauncy Cobb for 4 yds to the KENN 23Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-5
62.3%
Arkansas State Penalty, false start (Mason Myers) to the KENN 28Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+28
36.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 28 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)Similar
Q2 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
33.2%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (JeRico Washington Jr.) to the KENN 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:2446% → 49%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
45.9%
Alexander Diggs run for 9 yds to the KENN 34Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
45.5%
Alexander Diggs run for 3 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
46.6%
Alexander Diggs run for 4 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+11
47.3%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 11 yds to the ARST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
49.3%
Amari Odom run for 5 yds to the KENN 49 Odom,Amari rush middle for 5 yards to the ASU43, fumble by Odom,Amari recovered by ASU Yowe,Trenton Alan, Yowe,Trenton Alan rush (Diggs,Alexander).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15TD
17 plays · 72 yds · 19:5652% → 50%
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
47.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Tyler Fortenberry for 5 yds to the ARST 35Similar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
63.8%
Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 30Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+4
64.1%
Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
68.1%
Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARST 43Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+13
68.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Devin Spencer for a 1ST down Kennesaw State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Alexander Ford) to the KENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
67.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 13 yds to the KENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
68.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Tyler Fortenberry, broken up by Caleb OffordSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
67.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for no gain to the KENN 31Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+7
70.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 7 yds to the KENN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
68.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey Rucker for a 1ST down Kennesaw State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Caleb Offord) to the KENN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
68.8%
Jaylen Raynor run for 3 yds to the KENN 13Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
69.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Hunter SummersSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
69.9%
Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the KENN 6Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
71.7%
Jaylen Raynor run for 5 yds to the KENN 1Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
75.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Jordan SmartSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
79.3%
Arkansas State Penalty, false start (Tyler Fortenberry) to the KENN 6Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 6 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK) (Clune Van Andel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 16TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:4369% → 71%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+43
30.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 43 yds to the KENN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
30.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Tyler Fortenberry for 5 yds to the KENN 1Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.4%
Jaylen Raynor run for 1 yd for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:4325% → 26%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
25.2%
Amari Odom run for 10 yds to the ARST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
25.7%
Coleman Bennett run for 6 yds to the ARST 40Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+9
25.5%
Amari Odom pass complete to Christian Moss for 9 yds to the ARST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
26.5%
Amari Odom run for 5 yds to the ARST 26Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+1
29.4%
Coleman Bennett run for 1 yd to the ARST 25Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+15
28.3%
Amari Odom pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 15 yds to the ARST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.9%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gerard Bullock Jr., broken up by Malekhi WeedonSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
25.7%
Coleman Bennett 10 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3966% → 66%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
34.1%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Chauncy Cobb for 17 yds to the ARST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
32.9%
Devin Spencer run for 2 yds to the ARST 44Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
32.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 4 yds to the ARST 48Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-5
31.3%
Arkansas State Penalty, false start (Riley McGehee) to the ARST 43Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
31.9%
Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the ARST 43Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
33.9%
Jackson Waller punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 5:4222% → 25%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
21.6%
Alexander Diggs run for 5 yds to the KENN 25Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
23.7%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Lyndon Ravare, broken up by AG McGheeSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
22.8%
Amari Odom run for 5 yds to the KENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
24.7%
Alexander Diggs run for no gain to the KENN 30Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
24.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 7 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+13
24.4%
Chase Belcher run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
50
-1
27.1%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 49Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+21
26.3%
Amari Odom run for 21 yds to the ARST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
30.3%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Tykeem WallaceSimilar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-10
30.2%
Alexander Diggs run for a loss of 10 yards to the ARST 40 Alexander Diggs fumbled, recovered by KENN Brandon BestSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 20
OPP 40
-1
25.6%
Amari Odom pass complete to Coleman Bennett for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 41Similar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 21
OPP 41
0
24.6%
Joshua Huiet punt for 13 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:5046% → 77%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.3%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 10 yds to the KENN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
50.0%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the KENN 39Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-10
54.6%
Coleman Bennett run for no gain to the KENN 39 Kennesaw State Penalty, Offensive holding (Gerard Bullock Jr.) to the KENN 29Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-5
68.7%
Coleman Bennett run for a loss of 5 yards to the KENN 24Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+7
77.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Christian Moss for 7 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
77.1%
Joshua Huiet punt for 50 yds , Aaron Blancas returns for no gain to the ARST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4825% → 23%
Q4 6:17
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
75.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Hunter Summers, broken up by Isaac PaulSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
73.9%
Devin Spencer run for 3 yds to the ARST 22Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
74.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Devin SpencerSimilar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
76.9%
Jackson Waller punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4283% → 86%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
82.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
83.5%
Amari Odom run for 5 yds to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
87.9%
Coleman Bennett run for no gain to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
86.4%
Joshua Huiet punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:1919% → 17%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
80.9%
Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the ARST 9Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+6
82.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 6 yds to the ARST 15Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 15
0
82.6%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Hunter Summers, broken up by JeRico Washington Jr.Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
83.1%
Jackson Waller punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:3317% → 36%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
83.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Chauncy Cobb for 4 yds to the ARST 16Similar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
60.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey Rucker, broken up by Caleb OffordSimilar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 4
OWN 22
-5
62.9%
Arkansas State Penalty, false start (Wil Saxton) to the ARST 17Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
61.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Hunter Summers, broken up by Milon Jones for a 1ST down Kennesaw State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Milon Jones) to the ARST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
62.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 6 yds to the ARST 22Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
64.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Chauncy CobbSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+2
64.5%
Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1986% → 85%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
86.3%
Coleman Bennett run for 2 yds to the KENN 45Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
86.6%
Coleman Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 44Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
86.3%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Lyndon Ravare Kennesaw State Penalty, Offensive holding (Nikola Milovac) to the KENN 44Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
84.6%
Joshua Huiet punt for 42 yds , Aaron Blancas returns for no gain to the ARST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 26Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:1987% → 86%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
86.6%
Amari Odom run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARST 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 22
-4
86.0%
End of 4th QuarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:04
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Kenyon Clay for 6 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK) (Clune Van Andel KICK)
-29.2
TD · Q2 0:02
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 28 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)
-26.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com