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SHSU

Sam Houston 20 at Hawai'i 37

HAW
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSHSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSHSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:37 · Curtis Gerrand punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+19.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:45: Mabrey Mettauer pass intercepted Giovanni Iovino return for 41 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +8.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:18: Luke Weaver pass intercepted Emon Allen return for 66 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — SHSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:37: Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK) — HAW win probability +6.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:15: Landyn Locke pass complete to Elijah Green for 21 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — SHSU win probability +15.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:15: PENALTY SHU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from SHU35 to SHU20. NO PLAY. — HAW win probability +4.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 9SHSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:37SHSU 4th & 12 at SHSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46HAW 4th & 1 at SHSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:46SHSU 4th & 3 at SHSU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29SHSU 4th & 5 at HAW 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50HAW 4th & 21 at HAW 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:20SHSU 4th & 14 at SHSU 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:42HAW 4th & 2 at SHSU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.2%−1.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:33HAW 4th & 14 at SHSU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    67.6%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:57SHSU 4th & 7 at HAW 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00HAW 4th & 1 at SHSU 20, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%−1.9
    75% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−7.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13HAW 4th & 4 at SHSU 25, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%−0.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:39SHSU 4th & 19 at SHSU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−2.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:00HAW 4th & 5 at SHSU 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−1.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:08SHSU 4th & 19 at SHSU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−2.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:01HAW 4th & 1 at SHSU 1, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−6.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:15SHSU 4th & 8 at SHSU 23, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:15SHSU 4th & 8 at SHSU 23, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:47HAW 4th & 2 at SHSU 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SHSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:45HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:18SHSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:37HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:15SHSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:47HAW Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SHSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0530% → 30%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.8%
Mabrey Mettauer run for no gain to the SHSU 35Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
69.8%
Mabrey Mettauer sacked by Jackie Johnson III for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 33Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
69.8%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Austin SmithSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
69.8%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:4170% → 71%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+47
69.7%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 47 yds to the SHSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
69.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+16
69.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 16 yds to the SHSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
69.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Devon Tauaefa for 10 yds to the SHSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
69.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
69.9%
Cam Barfield run for 4 yds to the SHSU 1Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.7%
Cam Barfield run for 1 ydSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.8%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 1 yd for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5230% → 29%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
70.4%
Landan Brown run for 2 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
70.5%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 2 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
70.7%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for 3 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
70.9%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4FUMBLE
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:5671% → 72%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
71.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
70.9%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 17Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+11
70.9%
Luke Weaver run for 11 yds to the HAW 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
71.3%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+15
71.4%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 15 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
72.1%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Max WareSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
71.8%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 9 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
72.0%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the SHSU 43 Landon Sims fumbled, recovered by SHSU CJ JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
72.0%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the SHSU 43 Landon Sims fumbled, recovered by SHSU CJ JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:0829% → 31%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
71.0%
Elijah Green run for 10 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
70.6%
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
70.6%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 8 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
70.6%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Malik Phillips for 22 yds to the HAW 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
70.1%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 1 yd to the HAW 14Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
70.1%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Dylan BurkSimilar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+4
70.8%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 4 yds to the HAW 10Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
68.6%
RJ Lopez 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:3169% → 68%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.2%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass incomplete deep left to White,Brandon thrown to SHU25 PENALTY SHU Pass Interference (Allen,Emon) 15 yards from Hawaii25 to Hawaii40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
69.8%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 41Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-10
69.6%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Weaver,Luke rush middle for 23 yards gain to the SHU36, End Of Play PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Milovale,James) 10 yards from Hawaii41 to Hawaii31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+3
69.0%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 3 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 34
-5
68.4%
Luke Weaver sacked by Alonzo Edwards Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 29Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 21
OWN 29
+8
68.0%
Billy Gowers punt for 56 yds , Tim Burns Jr. returns for 8 yds to the SHSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2431% → 30%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
69.2%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the SHSU 17Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-2
69.1%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 15Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-6
69.8%
Sam Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 14
OWN 9
0
70.4%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the SHSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 3:3970% → 68%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
70.3%
Luke Weaver run for 4 yds to the SHSU 44Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
70.4%
Cam Barfield run for 4 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
70.1%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+4
69.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 4 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
70.4%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
70.4%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-7
70.1%
Luke Weaver sacked by JaMair Diaz for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
67.9%
Billy Gowers punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SHSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 9INT TD
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:4031% → 22%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
68.7%
Elijah Green run for 8 yds to the SHSU 18Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+6
68.4%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Chris Reed for 6 yds to the SHSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
68.5%
Landan Brown run for 3 yds to the SHSU 27Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
68.7%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 5 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+3
68.4%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for 3 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
68.3%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Mettauer,Mabrey pass complete short right to Brown,Landan caught at SHU35, for 0 yards to the SHU35 (Palmer,Elijah) PENALTY SHU Holding (Dieterich,Kolt) 10 yards from SHU35 to SHU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
69.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+5
69.2%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 5 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 15
OWN 30
-41
77.8%
Mabrey Mettauer pass intercepted Giovanni Iovino return for 41 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:2823% → 25%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
77.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Rayfield Lotten for 17 yds to the SHSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
76.2%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 1 yd to the SHSU 43Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+12
77.6%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Elijah Green for 12 yds to the HAW 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
77.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Grady O'Neill for 9 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
76.1%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the HAW 13Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-1
76.6%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Grady O'Neill for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 14Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+3
78.0%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 3 yds to the HAW 11Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
75.1%
RJ Lopez 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 1:4578% → 83%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 2 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
78.0%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 2 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+27
77.6%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 27 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
79.6%
Cam Barfield run for 5 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
79.9%
Cam Barfield run for 4 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
79.6%
Cam Barfield run for 6 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
80.9%
Luke Weaver run for no gain to the SHSU 29Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
80.8%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+9
80.5%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 9 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+38
82.7%
Kansei Matsuzawa 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 4:4481% → 87%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.0%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 10 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
81.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 8 yds to the HAW 43Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
82.2%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
82.5%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 48Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
82.7%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 5 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+5
82.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Cam Barfield for 5 yds to the SHSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
83.3%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 11 yds to the SHSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
83.5%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Cam BarfieldSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
83.5%
Cam Barfield run for 6 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
83.2%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
86.6%
Kansei Matsuzawa 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:2614% → 13%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.8%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 23Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
86.1%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-7
86.5%
Mabrey Mettauer sacked by Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 16Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
86.9%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:3088% → 89%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.1%
David Cordero run for 4 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
88.3%
David Cordero run for 3 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+15
88.9%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass incomplete deep middle to White,Brandon thrown to SHU20 PENALTY SHU Pass Interference (Scott,Jaidan) 15 yards from Hawaii37 to SHU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
89.7%
Luke Weaver sacked by Christopher Eaton Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the HAW 46Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+11
89.6%
Landon Sims run for 11 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
89.6%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Landon SimsSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
89.1%
Billy Gowers punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4512% → 11%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
87.8%
Landan Brown run for 4 yds to the SHSU 13Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+8
87.5%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for 8 yds to the SHSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
87.9%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Mettauer,Mabrey pass incomplete short left thrown to SHU35 QB hurried by Johnson III,Jackie PENALTY SHU Intentional Grounding (Mettauer,Mabrey) 10 yards from SHU21 to SHU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+1
88.4%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Malik Phillips for 1 yd to the SHSU 12Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 19
OWN 12
0
88.6%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Austin SmithSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 19
OWN 12
0
88.8%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16INT TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:3591% → 81%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
91.1%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 12 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.3%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
91.3%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Cam BarfieldSimilar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-66
80.7%
Luke Weaver pass intercepted Emon Allen return for 66 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:2481% → 95%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
81.4%
Landon Sims run for 19 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
84.2%
Luke Weaver run for 13 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
84.8%
Landon Sims run for 8 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+9
85.1%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 9 yds to the SHSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
87.2%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Milovale,James) 5 yards from SHU27 to SHU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+9
86.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 9 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+11
88.2%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 11 yds to the SHSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
88.2%
Dermaricus Davis run for 1 yd to the SHSU 11Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+5
88.4%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the SHSU 6Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
95.0%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 6 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:537% → 17%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
93.2%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for 4 yds to the SHSU 14Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+9
93.3%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 9 yds to the SHSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
93.3%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun Mettauer,Mabrey pass complete short middle to Phoenix II,Michael caught at SHU29, for 10 yards to the SHU33 (Palmer,Elijah) PENALTY SHU Holding (Dieterich,Kolt) 10 yards from SHU23 to SHU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+8
94.0%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 8 yds to the SHSU 21Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+7
94.2%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 7 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+20
94.0%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 5 yds to the SHSU 33 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Giovanni Iovino) to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
94.2%
Elijah Green run for 5 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+12
94.1%
Landyn Locke pass complete to Michael Phoenix II for 12 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
94.1%
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+12
94.3%
Landyn Locke pass complete to Elijah Green for 12 yds to the HAW 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
78.5%
Landyn Locke pass complete to Elijah Green for 21 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
83.3%
PENALTY SHU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from SHU35 to SHU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5390% → 95%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
90.3%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 29 yds to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
92.1%
Landon Sims run for 5 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+13
92.3%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 13 yds to the SHSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
93.1%
Luke Weaver run for 2 yds to the SHSU 10Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
93.3%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+8
92.8%
Luke Weaver run for 8 yds to the SHSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.4%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Landon Sims for 1 yd to the SHSU 1Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.9%
Landon Sims run for no gain to the SHSU 1Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.1%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
94.7%
Kansei Matsuzawa 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:335% → 4%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
95.5%
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
95.5%
Landyn Locke pass incomplete to Michael Phoenix IISimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
95.7%
Landyn Locke pass incomplete to Michael Phoenix IISimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
95.9%
Landyn Locke pass incomplete to Aviyon Smith-MackSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
95.9%
Landyn Locke pass incomplete to Aviyon Smith-MackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:2096% → 99%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.3%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the SHSU 22Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+1
96.3%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the SHSU 21Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
96.4%
Hawai'i Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+15
98.8%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 15 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 48 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
98.4%
Landyn Locke pass complete to Grady O'Neill for 7 yds to the SHSU 29Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+15
98.3%
Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Julian Smith) to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
98.4%
Landyn Locke pass complete to Malik Phillips for 9 yds to the HAW 46Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+19
98.1%
Shane Porter run for 4 yds to the HAW 42 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Personal Foul (Ka'eo Akana) to the HAW 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.8%
Landyn Locke pass complete to Shane Porter for 7 yds to the HAW 20Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-10
97.7%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Locke,Landyn pass complete short middle to Porter,Shane caught at Hawaii16, for 4 yards to the Hawaii16 (Iovino,Giovanni) PENALTY SHU Holding (McCollum,William) 10 yards from Hawaii20 to Hawaii30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
97.9%
Landyn Locke pass incomplete to Michael Phoenix IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:15
Landyn Locke pass complete to Elijah Green for 21 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q3 3:18
Luke Weaver pass intercepted Emon Allen return for 66 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q2 5:45
Mabrey Mettauer pass intercepted Giovanni Iovino return for 41 yds for a TD (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com