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HAW

Hawai'i 6 at Arizona 40

ARIZ
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:24 · Noah Fifita run for 4 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Virdel Edwards II) to the HAW 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Pregame prior+17.9Home team on offense+18.5Score differential+9.0Garbage-time factor+8.8Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:26: Quincy Craig run for 54 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK) — ARIZ win probability +4.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:31: Michael Salgado-Medina 35 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +1.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Kansei Matsuzawa 41 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +2.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:51: Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK) — ARIZ win probability +6.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:46: Noah Fifita run for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK) — ARIZ win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:32HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:48HAW 4th & 10 at ARIZ 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:23ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:51HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:21ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:31ARIZ 4th & 17 at HAW 17, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00HAW 4th & 7 at ARIZ 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:24HAW 4th & 20 at HAW 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:24ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06ARIZ 4th & 19 at ARIZ 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:44HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:40ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:18HAW 4th & 1 at ARIZ 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:45ARIZ 4th & 4 at HAW 49, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:14ARIZ 4th & 20 at HAW 34, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:00HAW 4th & 8 at ARIZ 32, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:11ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:26ARIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:51ARIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:46ARIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:29ARIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1514% → 14%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.2%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
86.0%
Hawai'i Penalty, Illegal Shift (Cam Barfield) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
85.9%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Cam Barfield for 7 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+41
85.9%
Billy Gowers punt for 55 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 41 yds to the HAW 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:5686% → 86%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
85.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 27 yds to the HAW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
85.8%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the HAW 19Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+6
85.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for 6 yds to the HAW 13Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
86.1%
Kedrick Reescano run for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 7:1614% → 16%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.9%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
85.8%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 12 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
85.6%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+6
85.5%
Cam Barfield run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
50
+7
85.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 7 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
85.2%
Cam Barfield run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
85.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the ARIZ 36Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
85.0%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+8
85.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the ARIZ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
84.6%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 24Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+8
84.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for 8 yds to the ARIZ 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
84.3%
Micah Alejado pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
84.3%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Cam BarfieldSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
84.6%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Cam BarfieldSimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
83.8%
Kansei Matsuzawa 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1584% → 83%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
83.8%
Kedrick Reescano run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 34Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
84.0%
PENALTY ARIZ Illegal Shift 5 yards from ARIZ34 to ARIZ29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
83.7%
Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the ARIZ 29Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
83.4%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Isaiah MizellSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
83.0%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 33 yds · 5:0816% → 19%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
83.6%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 3 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
83.1%
Landon Sims run for 6 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+10
82.7%
Micah Alejado pass complete to David Cordero for 10 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
82.2%
David Cordero run for 4 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
81.7%
David Cordero run for 1 yd to the HAW 46Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+9
81.7%
Landon Sims run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
81.2%
Landon Sims run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
81.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 6 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-7
80.8%
Micah Alejado sacked by Chase Kennedy for a loss of 7 yards to the ARIZ 45 Micah Alejado fumbled, recovered by HAW Chase Kennedy , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:1683% → 87%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
82.6%
Noah Fifita run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+54
86.8%
Quincy Craig run for 54 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:2015% → 14%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 11 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
85.1%
Micah Alejado sacked by Jabari Mann for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 35Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-3
85.5%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
86.0%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 14
OWN 32
+12
86.3%
Billy Gowers punt for 45 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 12 yds to the ARIZ 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 5:2087% → 88%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.5%
PENALTY HAW Offside (Stocklinski,Carsen) 5 yards from ARIZ35 to ARIZ40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
87.0%
Javin Whatley run for no gain to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
87.0%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Isaiah MizellSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
86.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Isaiah Mizell for 4 yds to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+7
86.3%
Quincy Craig run for 7 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.9%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Sam OlsonSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
86.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the HAW 42Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
86.8%
(07:20) Shotgun Reescano,Kedrick rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HAW41 (Otis,Jamih) PENALTY HAW Offside (Benton,De'jon) 5 yards from HAW42 to HAW37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+29
87.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 29 yds to the HAW 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
87.2%
Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the HAW 15Similar
Q2 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
87.2%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tre SpiveySimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
87.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Ismail Mahdi for 3 yds to the HAW 18Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+1
86.6%
Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the HAW 17Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
88.1%
Michael Salgado-Medina 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 4:3112% → 14%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.1%
PENALTY HAW Delay Of Game 5 yards from HAW25 to HAW20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
88.1%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
88.2%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 11 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
87.9%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the HAW 40Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
88.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 6 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.1%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Max WareSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+28
87.3%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for 28 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
85.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Brandon White for 7 yds to the ARIZ 19Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-1
85.7%
Micah Alejado sacked by Jay'Vion Cole for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 20Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-15
86.3%
(00:44) Shotgun Alejado,Micah pass complete short right to Pupunu,Karsyn caught at ARIZ14, for 9 yards to the ARIZ11 (Harris,Max; Smith,Genesis) PENALTY HAW Pass Interference (Cenacle,Nick) 15 yards from ARIZ20 to ARIZ35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 19
OPP 35
+12
88.0%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Landon Sims for 12 yds to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
85.7%
Kansei Matsuzawa 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:0988% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
87.5%
Kedrick Reescano run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+42
88.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Brandon Phelps for 42 yds to the HAW 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
88.2%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Sam OlsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+10
88.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for 10 yds to the HAW 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
88.2%
Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:278% → 7%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
92.2%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 22Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
92.4%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-7
92.5%
Micah Alejado sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the HAW 15Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
92.8%
Billy Gowers punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:1895% → 95%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
94.7%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Luke WysongSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-11
94.6%
Arizona Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Noah Fifita) to the ARIZ 15Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+19
93.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Isaiah Mizell for 19 yds to the ARIZ 34Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+19
94.3%
Noah Fifita run for 4 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST down Hawai'i Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Virdel Edwards II) to the HAW 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.0%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Cam BarmoreSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
94.9%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Quincy CraigSimilar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-9
94.7%
Noah Fifita sacked by Jackie Johnson III for a loss of 9 yards to the ARIZ 44Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
94.8%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HAW 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:226% → 6%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.9%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
94.0%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Pofele AshlockSimilar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
94.0%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Billy Gowers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5195% → 95%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
95.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Brandon PhelpsSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
95.2%
Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
94.3%
Micah Alejado pass intercepted Taye Brown return for 5 yds to the HAW 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3496% → 99%
Q3 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.7%
Noah Fifita run for no gain to the HAW 10Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.9%
Noah Fifita run for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:152% → 1%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.5%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 4 yds to the HAW 29Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
98.4%
Landon Sims run for 9 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.3%
Micah Alejado pass incomplete to Jackson HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
98.4%
Micah Alejado pass complete to Jackson Harris for 10 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.3%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 3 yds to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-2
98.7%
David Cordero run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 49Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+8
98.8%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 8 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-2
98.8%
Cam Barfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.2%
Noah Fifita run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
99.3%
Ismail Mahdi run for 4 yds to the HAW 49Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Gio RichardsonSimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Isaac Lovison punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tama Uiliata at the HAW 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
99.1%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 6 yds to the HAW 18Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-5
99.1%
PENALTY HAW False Start (Briski,Dean) 5 yards from HAW18 to HAW13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+13
99.1%
Christian Vaughn run for 13 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.1%
Luke Weaver run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 24 Luke Weaver fumbled, recovered by HAW Julian SavaiinaeaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 20FG
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 7 yds to the HAW 17Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-10
99.4%
(14:54) Shotgun Craig,Quincy rush left for 0 yards to the HAW17 (King,Devyn) PENALTY ARIZ Holding (Buchanan,Ty) 10 yards from HAW17 to HAW27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+4
99.4%
Quincy Craig run for 4 yds to the HAW 23Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-11
99.5%
Noah Fifita sacked by De'Jon Benton for a loss of 11 yards to the HAW 34Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 20
OPP 34
+52
99.8%
Michael Salgado-Medina 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21INT
16 plays · 73 yds · 4:380% → 0%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Luke Weaver run for 11 yds to the HAW 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass incomplete short middle to Ware,Max thrown to ARIZ49 PENALTY ARIZ Holding (Cole,Jay'Vion) 10 yards from HAW36 to HAW46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Karsyn PupunuSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
David Cordero run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 45Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+11
99.9%
Luke Weaver run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Tama UiliataSimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+26
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 26 yds to the ARIZ 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for no gain to the ARIZ 6Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
(08:37) Shotgun Weaver,Luke pass incomplete short left to Uiliata,Tama thrown to ARIZ00 PENALTY ARIZ Pass Interference (Hunter,Gavin) 4 yards from ARIZ06 to ARIZ02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Landon SimsSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-28
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass intercepted Gavin Hunter return for 28 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
(08:19) PENALTY ARIZ False Start (Mizell,Isaiah) 5 yards from ARIZ28 to ARIZ23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Gio Richardson for 8 yds to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Gio Richardson for 6 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+9
99.9%
Quincy Craig run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.9%
Quincy Craig run for 11 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+34
99.9%
Quincy Craig run for 34 yds to the HAW 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
99.9%
(06:10) Shotgun Craig,Quincy rush left for 6 yards gain to the HAW03 (Freeman,Deliyon; Sinclair,Justin) PENALTY ARIZ Holding (Whatley,Javin) 10 yards from HAW09 to HAW19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+6
99.9%
Quincy Craig run for 6 yds to the HAW 13 Quincy Craig fumbled, recovered by HAW Quincy CraigSimilar
Q4 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+8
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Brandon Phelps for 8 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23INT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Luke Weaver run for 3 yds to the HAW 28Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Brandon White for 10 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass incomplete to Brandon WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
Luke Weaver pass complete to Blaze Kamoku for 11 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-6
100.0%
Luke Weaver sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the HAW 43Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 16
OWN 43
-3
100.0%
David Cordero run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 40Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 19
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
Luke Weaver pass intercepted Malachi Bailey return for 2 yds to the ARIZ 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
100.0%
Ismail Mahdi run for 17 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
100.0%
Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 11
50
+15
100.0%
Hawai'i Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:51
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 12:26
Quincy Craig run for 54 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q3 6:46
Noah Fifita run for 10 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com