2025 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2025 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreFSU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:28 · (02:28) #98 C.Noonkester punt 42 yards to the FSU14 #4 S.White return 2 yards to the FSU14 fumbled by #4 S.White at FSU14 recovered by NCSU #4 T.Thomas at FSU16, End Of Play
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q3 4:17: (04:23) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:17 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann) — NCSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 8:17: (08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at NCSU00, for 9 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:17, 1ST DOWN #15 J.Boggs pass attempt Successful — FSU win probability +26.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- KEY PLAY · Q4 8:00: (08:17) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #9 T.Anderson caught at NCSU37, for 12 yards to the NCSU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN — NCSU win probability +7.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q4 3:46: (03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush left for 2 yards gain to the NCSU42 (#27 A.Barker), out of bounds — NCSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 1:47: (01:52) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #7 J.Joly caught at FSU00, for 12 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:47, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann) — NCSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
- Q1 11:50NCSU 4th & 17 at NCSU 46, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snapGo for it35.4%−0.214% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call35.5%average punt
- Q2 14:06FSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 28, down 7Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snapGo for it54.3%−<0.141% to convertField goalTheir call54.3%60% to makePunt51.4%−2.9average punt
- Q2 10:54NCSU 4th & 7 at FSU 49, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snapGo for it43.9%−0.237% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call44.1%average punt
- Q2 6:11FSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 38, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call54.0%53% to convertField goal52.7%−1.338% to makePunt52.6%−1.4average punt
- Q2 2:56FSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 17, down 4Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snapGo for it50.0%−0.827% to convertField goalTheir call50.8%80% to makePunt46.0%−4.9average punt
- Q2 1:49NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 17, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snapGo for it46.2%−2.219% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call48.3%average punt
- Q2 0:43FSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 47, down 4Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snapGo for it51.0%48% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call50.6%−0.4average punt
- Q3 13:16FSU 4th & 5 at FSU 30, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snapGo for it46.0%−0.541% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call46.5%average punt
- Q3 11:44NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 30, up 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call53.7%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt51.2%−2.5average punt
- Q3 1:12FSU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 11Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call20.8%40% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt20.6%−0.2average punt
- Q4 12:59NCSU 4th & 20 at FSU 47, up 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snapGo for it82.5%−2.310% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call84.9%average punt
- Q4 3:53NCSU 4th & 17 at NCSU 40, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snapGo for it67.5%−7.714% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call75.2%average punt
- Q4 2:28NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 44, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call82.0%40% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt81.2%−0.9average punt
- Q4 1:47NCSU 4th & 6 at FSU 12, up 3Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 86.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call82.7%−1.336% to convertField goal84.0%86% to makePunt62.4%−21.6average punt
- Q4 1:16FSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 33, down 10Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snapGo for it6.3%48% to convertField goalTheir call5.0%−1.349% to makePunt5.0%−1.3average punt
- Q4 0:18NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 40, up 10Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snapGo for it95.0%−0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call95.1%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
- Q1 2:56NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call43.0%97% to makeGo for two42.9%−<0.145% to convert
- Q3 4:17NCSU Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call77.2%97% to makeGo for two77.0%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 8:17FSU Touchdown, down 5 before the tryClose callWent for two · convertedKick26.1%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call25.2%−0.945% to convert
- Q4 1:47NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call94.8%97% to makeGo for two94.5%−0.345% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartNCSUDrive 1PUNT7 plays · 21 yds · 2:5837% → 38%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.6%
(14:59) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #3 H.Smothers caught at NCSU26, for 1 yard to the NCSU26 (#28 J.Cryer; #20 B.Nichelson)Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+27
36.7%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 27 yards gain to the FSU47 (#15 S.Arnoux), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
37.1%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #3 H.Smothers caught at NCSU46, for 7 yards loss to the NCSU46 (#20 B.Nichelson)Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+5
37.3%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU49 (#7 S.Thompson; #19 J.Wilson)Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 12
OPP 49
-5
37.5%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NCSU46 (#7 S.Thompson, #10 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
37.6%
(11:56) #98 C.Noonkester punt 44 yards to the FSU10 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2INT10 plays · 56 yds · 3:4262% → 62%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
37.8%
(11:49) Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep left to #0 D.Robinson thrown to FSU50 broken up by #6 D.MarshallSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+18
37.9%
(11:42) Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at FSU28, for 18 yards to the FSU28 (#19 T.Teasdell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
37.9%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush right for 3 yards gain to the FSU31 (#1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
38.0%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FSU36 (#44 B.Cleveland)Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+7
38.2%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush middle for 7 yards gain to the FSU43 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
38.2%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep middle to #19 M.Danzy thrown to NCSU06 broken up by #6 D.MarshallSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+22
38.5%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep right to #7 L.McCoy caught at NCSU35, for 22 yards to the NCSU35, out of bounds at NCSU35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
38.0%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush left for 1 yard gain to the NCSU34 (#1 C.Fordham; #19 T.Teasdell)Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-18
38.2%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass intercepted by #6 D.Marshall at NCSU09 QB hurried by #54 S.Harsh #6 D.Marshall return 18 yards to the NCSU27 (#0 D.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD11 plays · 73 yds · 5:0239% → 47%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
39.4%
(08:00) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU29 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
39.7%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #3 H.Smothers caught at NCSU24, for 6 yards to the NCSU35 QB hurried by #90 D.Desir (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
40.1%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU40 (#15 S.Arnoux; #0 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
40.7%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU45 (#90 D.Desir)Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
41.4%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 J.Joly caught at NCSU50, for 8 yards to the FSU47 (#28 J.Cryer; #3 E.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
41.8%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 J.Joly caught at FSU36, for 13 yards to the FSU34 (#0 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
42.4%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU32 (#10 J.Williams; #28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+5
42.8%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU27 (#15 S.Arnoux; #24 K.Kirkland)Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
42.6%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #87 D.Daniels thrown to FSU24 broken up by #27 A.Barker, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (#27 A.Barker) 4 yards from FSU27 to FSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
47.0%
(03:01) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep right to #9 T.Anderson caught at FSU00, for 23 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:56, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FG13 plays · 52 yds · 3:3955% → 55%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
45.2%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #7 L.McCoy caught at FSU25, for 5 yards to the FSU25 (#22 J.Vick)Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
45.4%
PENALTY FSU False Start (#13 R.Pittman Jr.) 5 yards from FSU25 to FSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
46.2%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 10 yards gain to the FSU30 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
46.2%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #15 J.Boggs caught at FSU40, for 10 yards to the FSU40 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
46.0%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 11 yards gain to the NCSU49 (#26 A.Brown Jr.; #1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
45.4%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU47 (#1 C.Fordham; #19 T.Teasdell)Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+14
45.8%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 R.Pittman Jr. rush right for 14 yards gain to the NCSU33 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
45.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right thrown to NCSU29 broken up by #33 K.Soares, Jr.Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
45.5%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #27 G.Sawchuk caught at NCSU30, for 5 yards to the NCSU28 (#8 C.Slone; #7 B.Nelson, II)Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
46.5%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep left to #15 J.Boggs thrown to NCSU00 broken up by #6 D.Marshall QB hurried by #8 C.SloneSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
44.9%
(14:10) #22 J.Weinberg field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold), clock 14:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0445% → 46%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
44.9%
(14:06) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 4 yards loss to the NCSU21 (#24 K.Kirkland; #90 D.Desir)Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+27
45.1%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 J.Joly caught at NCSU36, for 27 yards to the NCSU48 (#24 K.Kirkland; #3 E.Joseph), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
47.1%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU49 (#5 D.Lyons)Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
47.2%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU47 (#7 S.Thompson; #90 D.Desir)Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-2
47.2%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 2 yards to the FSU49 (#7 S.Thompson). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 1 yard to the FSU48 (#7 S.Thompson), fumble by #11 C.Bailey recovered by FSU #40 A.Williams at FSU48, End Of Play)Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
46.3%
(10:59) #98 C.Noonkester punt 34 yards to the FSU15 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6MISSED FG22 plays · 68 yds · 7:5053% → 46%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
47.4%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush left for 1 yard gain to the FSU16 (#1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+15
48.0%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 15 yards gain to the FSU31 (#19 T.Teasdell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
47.0%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Lucas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU34 (#1 C.Fordham; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
47.2%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU39 (#26 A.Brown Jr.; #6 D.Marshall)Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+2
46.6%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU41 (#1 C.Fordham; #19 T.Teasdell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
50.2%
(07:59) Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FSU46 (#44 B.Cleveland; #54 S.Harsh)Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+9
49.9%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NCSU45 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
49.4%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 5 yards gain to the NCSU40 (#26 A.Brown Jr.; #4 T.Thomas)Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
49.3%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU30Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
49.7%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU38 (#54 S.Harsh)Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+7
51.4%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush right for 7 yards gain to the NCSU31 (#1 C.Fordham; #8 C.Slone), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
48.7%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 7 yards gain to the NCSU24 (#19 T.Teasdell), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+7
48.7%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NCSU17 (#1 C.Fordham; #25 J.Adedire), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
48.8%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU17 (#1 C.Fordham; #33 K.Soares, Jr.) PENALTY FSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NCSU17 to NCSU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+5
49.4%
(04:44) PENALTY FSU False Start (#76 A.Medley) 5 yards from NCSU22 to NCSU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+8
50.1%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush left for 8 yards gain to the NCSU19 (#26 A.Brown Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+2
49.7%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush left for 2 yards gain to the NCSU17 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.; #26 A.Brown Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+5
51.5%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #15 J.Boggs caught at NCSU12, for 5 yards to the NCSU12, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
54.3%
(02:56) #22 J.Weinberg field goal attempt from 35 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold), clock 02:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7PUNT5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0354% → 52%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
53.6%
(02:55) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU22 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
53.8%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush left for 3 yards gain (3) to the NCSU25 (#27 A.Barker; #9 O.Graham Jr.) PENALTY NCSU Holding (#65 J.Peak) 10 yards from NCSU25 to NCSU15Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+2
53.9%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush left for 2 yards gain to the NCSU17 (#44 J.Jones; #15 S.Arnoux)Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
52.4%
(02:00) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #3 H.Smothers thrown to NCSU15 QB hurried by #40 A.WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
51.5%
(01:54) #98 C.Noonkester punt 36 yards to the FSU47 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0147% → 45%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
52.9%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU45 broken up by #6 D.MarshallSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
53.8%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at FSU50, for 5 yards to the NCSU48 (#1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+1
52.2%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU47 (#22 J.Vick)Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
54.6%
(00:48) #43 M.Chiumento punt 39 yards to the NCSU08 fair catch by #9 T.Anderson at NCSU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9END OF HALF9 plays · 13 yds · 0:3154% → 52%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
54.1%
(00:42) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 11 yards gain to the NCSU19 (#3 E.Joseph; #7 S.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
54.5%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #8 K.Jackson caught at NCSU24, for 6 yards to the NCSU25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
53.6%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left thrown to NCSU28Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+6
52.7%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #7 J.Joly caught at NCSU31, for 6 yards to the NCSU31 (#7 S.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
53.6%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Jackson thrown to FSU45Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+24
52.3%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush left for 14 yards gain to the NCSU45 (#7 S.Thompson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCSU Holding declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3747% → 45%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FSU31 (#1 C.Fordham; #44 B.Cleveland)Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
51.5%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush left for 1 yard loss to the FSU30 (#26 A.Brown Jr.) PENALTY FSU Holding (#13 R.Pittman Jr.) 10 yards from FSU31 to FSU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
53.5%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #5 R.Williams thrown to FSU39 QB hurried by #54 S.HarshSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
54.8%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #5 R.Williams caught at FSU25, for 9 yards to the FSU30 QB hurried by #92 C.Bond (#1 C.Fordham; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
55.2%
(13:25) #43 M.Chiumento punt 50 yards to the NCSU20 #9 T.Anderson return 1 yard to the NCSU21 (#3 E.Joseph; #1 S.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11TD17 plays · 79 yds · 8:5554% → 81%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
54.1%
(13:15) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #9 T.Anderson thrown to NCSU34Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
54.0%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #8 K.Jackson caught at NCSU25, for 9 yards to the NCSU30 (#24 K.Kirkland)Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
54.2%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU30 (#27 A.Barker; #90 D.Desir)Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+4
53.0%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU34 (#20 B.Nichelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
55.0%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU36 (#93 M.Desir)Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
59.2%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 7 yards gain to the NCSU43 (#93 M.Desir)Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+16
60.4%
(09:58) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 16 yards gain to the FSU41 (#27 A.Barker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
62.6%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU39 (#27 A.Barker; #8 D.McCray)Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
62.9%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #12 T.Hoffmann caught at FSU33, for 6 yards to the FSU33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
62.9%
(08:05) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FSU28 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #20 B.Nichelson), 1ST DOWN. #44 C.Hardy injured on the playSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
64.7%
(07:43) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #87 D.Daniels caught at FSU25, for 10 yards to the FSU18 (#9 O.Graham Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
65.0%
(07:06) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU16 (#90 D.Desir)Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+12
65.5%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #6 W.Grimes caught at FSU12, for 12 yards to the FSU04 (#0 E.Little Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
65.8%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Joly thrown to FSU00 PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (#15 S.Arnoux) 2 yards from FSU04 to FSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.0%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU01 (#7 S.Thompson; #27 A.Barker) PENALTY FSU Illegal Substitution 1 yard from FSU02 to FSU01. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.4%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU01 (#7 S.Thompson). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.5%
(04:23) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:17 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12DOWNS10 plays · 33 yds · 2:5523% → 20%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
77.1%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FSU22 (#1 C.Fordham; #54 S.Harsh)Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+7
78.5%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush right for 7 yards gain to the FSU29 (#54 S.Harsh; #26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
78.8%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU38. #0 D.Robinson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
79.7%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU33 (#54 S.Harsh)Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+13
79.8%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 13 yards gain to the FSU46 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
77.8%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 G.Sawchuk rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU50 (#54 S.Harsh)Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 6
50
0
77.3%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU21 QB hurried by #8 C.SloneSimilar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 6
50
0
78.1%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU35 broken up by #6 D.MarshallSimilar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 6
50
0
79.9%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep left to #19 M.Danzy thrown to NCSU18, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT9 plays · 3 yds · 3:0784% → 83%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
50
+5
83.7%
(01:11) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU45 (#7 S.Thompson)Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
84.1%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU41 (#3 E.Joseph; #8 D.McCray)Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
84.7%
(00:11) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU37 (#0 E.Little Jr.; #6 D.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
85.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU35 (#20 B.Nichelson)Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-1
85.5%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at FSU38, for 1 yard loss to the FSU36 (#3 E.Joseph), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-11
84.4%
(13:49) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 11 yards to the FSU47 (#93 M.Desir)Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 20
OPP 47
0
83.1%
(13:04) #98 C.Noonkester punt 33 yards to the FSU14 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14TD11 plays · 86 yds · 4:3517% → 42%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
82.8%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU18 (#1 C.Fordham; #8 C.Slone)Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+6
83.8%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short left to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU23, for 6 yards to the FSU24 (#6 D.Marshall; #26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
83.7%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep middle to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU33 PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference (#26 A.Brown Jr.) 15 yards from FSU24 to FSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
82.0%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU42 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+10
82.4%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #15 J.Boggs caught at NCSU47, for 10 yards to the NCSU48 (#22 J.Vick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
81.4%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #32 O.Kromah caught at NCSU45, for 3 yards to the NCSU45 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
83.9%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 1 yard gain to the NCSU44 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+34
84.5%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete deep left to #0 D.Robinson caught at NCSU14, for 34 yards to the NCSU10 (#6 D.Marshall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
82.1%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Williams rush middle for 2 yards loss to the NCSU12 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
84.5%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU09 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
57.7%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at NCSU00, for 9 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:17, 1ST DOWN #15 J.Boggs pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15PUNT9 plays · 15 yds · 4:0769% → 75%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
69.1%
(08:17) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #9 T.Anderson caught at NCSU37, for 12 yards to the NCSU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
71.0%
(07:45) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #9 T.Anderson caught at NCSU40, for 3 yards to the NCSU40 (#19 J.Wilson)Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
72.3%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #9 T.Anderson caught at NCSU42, for 6 yards to the NCSU46 (#15 S.Arnoux; #0 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
73.3%
(06:30) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU47 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #90 D.Desir), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
75.2%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU50 (#5 D.Lyons; #90 D.Desir)Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 7
50
0
75.8%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #12 T.Hoffmann thrown to FSU17 QB hurried by #90 D.DesirSimilar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 7
50
-10
75.2%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 10 yards to the NCSU40 (#8 D.McCray)Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 17
OWN 40
+25
75.2%
(04:01) #98 C.Noonkester punt 25 yards to the FSU35 muffed by #24 K.Kirkland at FSU35 recovered by NCSU #98 C.Noonkester at NCSU40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16FUMBLE5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1880% → 83%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
80.4%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush left for 2 yards gain to the NCSU42 (#27 A.Barker), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
81.2%
(03:20) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NCSU49 (#15 S.Arnoux)Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
85.2%
PENALTY NCSU False Start (#65 J.Peak) 5 yards from NCSU49 to NCSU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
84.4%
(02:34) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #12 T.Hoffmann thrown to FSU38 broken up by #3 E.JosephSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+2
83.1%
(02:28) #98 C.Noonkester punt 42 yards to the FSU14 #4 S.White return 2 yards to the FSU14 fumbled by #4 S.White at FSU14 recovered by NCSU #4 T.Thomas at FSU16, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17TD5 plays · 16 yds · 0:2988% → 96%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
88.1%
(02:17) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU15 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
88.0%
(02:15) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU12 (#31 E.Herring)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
88.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #5 N.Rogers thrown to FSU00Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+12
95.8%
(01:52) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #7 J.Joly caught at FSU00, for 12 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:47, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18MISSED FG6 plays · 31 yds · 0:227% → 7%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
93.4%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at NCSU46, for 25 yards to the NCSU39 (#8 C.Slone; #26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
92.0%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short right to #13 R.Pittman Jr. caught at NCSU35, for 6 yards to the NCSU33 (#6 D.Marshall), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
91.1%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short left to #15 J.Boggs thrown to NCSU23 QB hurried by #54 S.HarshSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
91.6%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU27 broken up by #6 D.MarshallSimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
93.0%
(01:16) #22 J.Weinberg field goal attempt from 51 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #32 M.Arnold), clock 01:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT8 plays · 5 yds · 0:5497% → 98%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
96.5%
(01:15) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU37 (#5 D.Lyons; #93 M.Desir)Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
96.7%
(01:08) Shotgun #3 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU38 (#6 D.Jackson Jr.; #93 M.Desir)Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+2
97.2%
(01:06) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush right for 2 yards gain to the NCSU40 (#8 D.McCray)Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
98.4%
(00:23) #98 C.Noonkester punt 34 yards to the FSU26 fair catch by #4 S.White at FSU26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20END OF GAME4 plays · 31 yds · 0:093% → 4%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+31
97.0%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #15 J.Boggs caught at FSU42, for 31 yards to the NCSU43 (#2 R.Royal, III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.2%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass incomplete deep right to #0 D.Robinson thrown to NCSU00Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-8
96.3%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass intercepted by #6 D.Marshall at NCSU04 QB hurried by #8 C.Slone #6 D.Marshall return 8 yards to the NCSU12, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:17
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Castellanos pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at NCSU00, for 9 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:17, 1ST DOWN #15 J.Boggs pass attempt Successful
-26.8
TD · Q3 4:17
(04:23) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:17 #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #98 C.Noonkester, LS: #95 J.Mann)
+14.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:00
(08:17) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #9 T.Anderson caught at NCSU37, for 12 yards to the NCSU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
+7