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Georgia Tech 36 at NC State 48

NCSU
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.1NCSU 59.2%Kanoah Vinesett 34 Yd Field GoalAWAY 17 - HOME 24 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Kanoah Vinesett 34 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense+7.5Pregame prior−6.9Garbage-time factor+1.6Score differential+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:25: H. King pass to J.T. Byrne for 2 yds, for a TD (A. Birr KICK) (K. Vinesett KICK) — GT win probability +7.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:10: Aidan Birr 23 Yd Field Goal — GT win probability +6.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:00: Will Wilson 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:49: Teddy Hoffmann 55 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) — NCSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:08: Haynes King 3 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick) — GT win probability +12.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 13:49GT 4th & 10 at NCSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−3.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:51NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:56GT 4th & 7 at NCSU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00NCSU 4th & 10 at GT 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:10GT 4th & 5 at NCSU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−11.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:52GT 4th & 7 at NCSU 12, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−7.0
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:46NCSU 4th & 5 at GT 20, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−9.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:25GT 4th & 11 at GT 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:09NCSU 4th & 11 at GT 47, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:49NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:49GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:59NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:25GT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:00NCSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:49NCSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:08GT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:07NCSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:22GT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:1137% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
36.5%
Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #5 N.Rogers caught at NCSU37, for 12 yards to the NCSU37 (#6 R.Shelley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
36.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NCSU46 (#23 Z.Tobe; #5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+15
36.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #4 J.Scott caught at NCSU47, for 2 yards to the NCSU48 (#2 E.Lightsey), out of bounds PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference (#6 W.Grimes) 15 yards from NCSU46 to NCSU31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+26
36.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep right to #44 C.Hardy caught at GT49, for 26 yards to the GT43 (#5 C.Powell-Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
36.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #5 N.Rogers caught at GT41, for 7 yards to the GT36 (#6 R.Shelley), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
36.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 0 yards to the GT36 (#11 B.Manley)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+8
36.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #87 D.Daniels caught at GT30, for 8 yards to the GT28 (#2 E.Lightsey; #23 Z.Tobe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
36.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 16 yards gain to the GT12 (#95 J.Moore; #5 C.Powell-Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
36.5%
Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 5 yards gain to the GT07 (#5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
36.5%
Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GT05 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
41.6%
Cody Hardy 5 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5459% → 62%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
41.1%
(08:48) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GT23 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+50
41.9%
(08:09) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #85 J.Allen caught at GT40, for 50 yards to the NCSU27 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
40.9%
(07:31) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 15 yards gain to the NCSU12 (#1 C.Fordham), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
38.3%
H. King run for 12 yds, for a TD (A. Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:3640% → 48%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
39.6%
(06:41) #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #4 J.Scott caught at NCSU22, for 4 yards to the NCSU26 (#15 T.Butler; #2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
39.9%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #12 T.Hoffmann caught at NCSU29, for 3 yards to the NCSU29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+8
39.7%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #9 T.Anderson caught at NCSU35, for 8 yards to the NCSU37 (#5 C.Powell-Lee; #6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
40.5%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU41 (#98 A.Bradford; #1 C.Spaulding)Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+19
41.2%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 19 yards gain to the GT40 (#9 O.Daniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
41.8%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush right for 3 yards gain to the GT37 (#7 A.Stone; #5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+16
42.2%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #12 T.Hoffmann caught at GT22, for 16 yards to the GT21 (#9 O.Daniels), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
42.9%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #87 D.Daniels caught at GT09, for 15 yards to the GT06 (#23 Z.Tobe; #1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
43.2%
(02:09) #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right thrown to GT00Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
43.2%
PENALTY NCSU False Start (#44 C.Hardy) 5 yards from GT06 to GT11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
47.5%
CJ Bailey run for 11 yds, for a TD (K. Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:5754% → 56%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
45.8%
(01:52) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 10 yards gain to the GT40 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
45.6%
(01:23) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT44 (#1 C.Fordham; #8 C.Slone)Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+17
45.5%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at NCSU48, for 17 yards to the NCSU39 (#19 T.Teasdell; #1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
45.5%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NCSU34 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.; #8 C.Slone)Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+8
44.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NCSU26 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
45.1%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU26 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
45.5%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Patterson thrown to NCSU00Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
46.5%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #85 J.Allen thrown to NCSU08 QB hurried by #1 C.FordhamSimilar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
44.3%
A. Birr 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5145% → 44%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
44.6%
(13:47) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 7 yards to the NCSU18 (#7 A.Stone)Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+2
44.7%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU20 (#11 B.Manley; #44 K.Efford)Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+8
44.3%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #31 C.Fields caught at NCSU23, for 8 yards to the NCSU28 (#16 K.Hill)Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
44.2%
(11:56) #98 C.Noonkester punt 32 yards to the GT40 fair catch by #3 E.Rivers at GT40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:1756% → 63%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
44.5%
(11:50) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #80 B.Seither caught at GT41, for 26 yards to the NCSU34 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.; #26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
43.3%
(11:07) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 5 yards gain to the NCSU29 (#6 D.Marshall)Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
43.3%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU26 (#22 J.Vick; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
44.2%
(09:45) #22 T.Maddox rush right for 4 yards gain to the NCSU22 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
42.8%
(09:08) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at NCSU20, for 12 yards to the NCSU10 (#1 C.Fordham; #7 B.Nelson, II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.9%
(08:28) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #88 J.Byrne thrown to NCSU00Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
43.0%
(08:25) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU06 (#1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
44.6%
(07:42) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #3 E.Rivers thrown to NCSU00 QB hurried by #4 T.Thomas PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference (#19 T.Teasdell) 4 yards from NCSU06 to NCSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.7%
(07:42) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU02 (#44 B.Cleveland; #1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.9%
(07:03) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU02 (#1 C.Fordham; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
36.7%
H. King pass to J.T. Byrne for 2 yds, for a TD (A. Birr KICK) (K. Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3539% → 44%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.3%
(06:25) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU26 (#44 K.Efford)Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
39.1%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #5 N.Rogers caught at NCSU31, for 17 yards to the NCSU43 (#5 C.Powell-Lee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
41.7%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 11 yards gain to the GT46 (#2 E.Lightsey) PENALTY NCSU Holding (#74 J.Grant) 10 yards from NCSU43 to NCSU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 20
OWN 33
0
39.6%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #5 N.Rogers thrown to NCSU39. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #5 N.Rogers caught at NCSU39, for 6 yards to the NCSU39 fumbled by #5 N.Rogers at NCSU42 recovered by GT #95 J.Moore at NCSU39, End Of Play)Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
39.4%
(04:44) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #5 N.Rogers thrown to GT34Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+51
38.4%
(04:38) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep right to #9 T.Anderson caught at GT25, for 51 yards to the GT16 (#1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
44.1%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GT09 (#2 E.Lightsey; #95 J.Moore)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 1:5450% → 49%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
49.8%
(02:58) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 10 yards gain to the GT35 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
49.6%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush right for 2 yards gain to the GT37 (#44 B.Cleveland; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
49.8%
(01:58) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #85 J.Allen caught at GT43, for 10 yards to the GT47 (#22 J.Vick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
47.6%
(01:53) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 13 yards gain to the NCSU40 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
46.5%
(01:46) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush left for 4 yards gain to the NCSU36 (#22 J.Vick)Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
46.4%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NCSU45 (#1 C.Fordham, #92 C.Bond)Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+8
52.8%
(01:07) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #80 B.Seither caught at NCSU43, for 8 yards to the NCSU37 (#26 A.Brown Jr.; #8 C.Slone)Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+54
51.5%
(00:59) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 00:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:4554% → 59%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
54.4%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #6 W.Grimes caught at NCSU43, for 7 yards to the NCSU44 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
56.2%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right thrown to NCSU50 QB hurried by #11 B.ManleySimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+11
54.9%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #5 N.Rogers thrown to GT44, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GT Pass Interference (#6 R.Shelley) 11 yard from NCSU44 to GT45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
56.9%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #5 N.Rogers caught at GT42, for 4 yards to the GT41 (#6 R.Shelley), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+24
56.8%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #6 W.Grimes caught at GT21, for 24 yards to the GT17 (#44 K.Efford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
57.4%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
57.5%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Jackson thrown to GT00Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
56.1%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right thrown to GT05 QB hurried by #2 E.LightseySimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
59.2%
Kanoah Vinesett 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:5041% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.1%
PENALTY GT False Start (#72 M.Carney) 5 yards from GT25 to GT20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
59.6%
(14:58) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 5 yards gain to the GT25 (#13 T.Price)Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.9%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #85 J.Allen caught at GT27, for 6 yards to the GT31 (#22 J.Vick), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
60.3%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #0 M.Hosley caught at GT41, for 16 yards to the GT47 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
57.7%
(13:23) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #15 L.Harpring caught at NCSU49, for 27 yards to the NCSU26 (#19 T.Teasdell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
55.5%
(12:45) Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 4 yards gain to the NCSU22 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
55.9%
(12:07) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NCSU14 (#8 C.Slone), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
56.4%
(11:24) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU08 (#26 A.Brown Jr.)Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+6
56.8%
(10:43) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #15 L.Harpring caught at NCSU05, for 6 yards to the NCSU02 (#19 T.Teasdell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.0%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU02 (#52 C.Wallace)Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
57.4%
(09:45) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU01 (#25 J.Adedire; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.7%
(09:05) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU01 (#52 C.Wallace; #1 C.Fordham)Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+4
61.6%
(08:23) PENALTY GT False Start (#72 M.Carney) 4 yards from NCSU01 to NCSU05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
55.6%
Aidan Birr 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5860% → 78%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+69
60.1%
(08:07) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 69 yards gain to the GT06 (#6 R.Shelley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GT Face Mask (#6 R.Shelley) 3 yards from GT06 to GT03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
64.6%
(07:45) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GT01 (#44 K.Efford; #99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.6%
Will Wilson 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12FG
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:4926% → 29%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+68
74.3%
(06:49) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at NCSU40, for 68 yards to the NCSU15 (#7 B.Nelson, II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
69.8%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush right for 1 yard loss to the NCSU16 (#1 C.Fordham; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+4
70.9%
(05:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #9 Z.Taylor caught at NCSU12, for 4 yards to the NCSU12, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
73.3%
(04:59) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #85 J.Allen thrown to NCSU00Similar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
71.2%
Aidan Birr 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5177% → 90%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
76.6%
(04:45) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 6 yards gain to the NCSU26 (#9 O.Daniels; #44 K.Efford)Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
77.4%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #5 N.Rogers caught at NCSU32, for 15 yards to the NCSU41 (#2 E.Lightsey; #5 C.Powell-Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
79.4%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU45 (#11 B.Manley). #11 B.Manley injured on the playSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
80.1%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Jackson thrown to GT46 broken up by #16 K.HillSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+55
90.1%
Teddy Hoffmann 55 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2513% → 27%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
87.3%
(02:47) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #85 J.Allen caught at GT23, for 34 yards to the NCSU41 (#1 C.Fordham; #19 T.Teasdell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.3%
(02:04) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Haynes thrown to NCSU43 QB hurried by #13 T.PriceSimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
86.4%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #80 B.Seither thrown to NCSU37Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+11
86.8%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 11 yards gain to the NCSU30 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
85.6%
(01:16) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 23 yards gain to the NCSU07 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
85.8%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU03 (#54 S.Harsh; #33 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.9%
Haynes King 3 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:1981% → 89%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.9%
(00:05) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #6 W.Grimes caught at NCSU28, for 6 yards to the NCSU31 (#16 K.Hill)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
81.6%
(14:59) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU37 (#15 T.Butler; #1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
83.0%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #87 D.Daniels caught at NCSU41, for 13 yards to the NCSU50 (#7 A.Stone; #9 O.Daniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
50
+3
84.4%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT47 (#5 C.Powell-Lee; #99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+7
84.9%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #4 J.Scott caught at GT46, for 7 yards to the GT40 (#15 T.Butler; #23 Z.Tobe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
85.7%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 7 yards gain to the GT33 (#24 R.Triplette; #44 K.Efford)Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+8
86.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush left for 8 yards gain to the GT25 (#44 K.Efford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
86.5%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 C.Fields rush middle for 1 yard loss to the GT26 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+6
87.1%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #5 N.Rogers caught at GT20, for 6 yards to the GT20 (#5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
87.2%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #9 T.Anderson thrown to GT18Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
89.0%
Kanoah Vinesett 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0812% → 9%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.0%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King sacked for loss of 1 yard to the GT24 (#8 C.Slone, #33 K.Soares, Jr.). #33 K.Soares, Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
89.1%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #80 B.Seither thrown to GT41 QB hurried by #8 C.SloneSimilar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
90.1%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 0 yards to the GT24 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
90.6%
(08:29) #47 M.Nichols punt 42 yards to the NCSU34 #9 T.Anderson return 0 yards to the NCSU34 (#27 C.Alexander; #39 W.Kiker) PENALTY NCSU Holding (#36 K.McBride) 10 yards from NCSU34 to NCSU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:1090% → 99%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
90.2%
(08:23) Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NCSU30 (#1 C.Spaulding; #6 R.Shelley)Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+2
91.0%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU32 (#1 C.Spaulding)Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+11
91.6%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #5 N.Rogers caught at NCSU43, for 11 yards to the NCSU43 (#4 D.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
92.6%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU46 (#7 A.Stone; #98 A.Bradford)Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+12
93.4%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #6 W.Grimes caught at GT43, for 12 yards to the GT42 (#5 C.Powell-Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
93.7%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT39 (#2 E.Lightsey; #44 K.Efford)Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
94.6%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT36 (#5 C.Powell-Lee)Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
94.8%
(04:55) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 6 yards gain to the GT30 (#16 K.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
98.8%
Jayden Scott 30 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 1:352% → 4%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
98.3%
(04:00) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #88 J.Byrne caught at GT24, for 4 yards to the GT28 (#21 J.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
98.3%
(03:37) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #85 J.Allen thrown to GT32 broken up by #54 S.Harsh QB hurried by #54 S.HarshSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+15
98.3%
(03:32) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #85 J.Allen thrown to GT34 QB hurried by #4 T.Thomas PENALTY NCSU Targeting (#4 T.Thomas) 15 yards from GT28 to GT43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
98.3%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #4 I.Canion caught at GT43, for 13 yards to the NCSU44 (#22 J.Vick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
98.2%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #85 J.Allen caught at NCSU34, for 10 yards to the NCSU34 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.9%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #15 L.Harpring thrown to NCSU31Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
97.9%
(02:50) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #15 L.Harpring caught at NCSU27, for 8 yards to the NCSU26 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+10
98.0%
(02:27) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #15 L.Harpring caught at NCSU17, for 10 yards to the NCSU16 (#21 J.Johnson; #33 K.Soares, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
96.5%
Zion Taylor 16 Yd pass from Haynes King (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:1297% → 98%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
97.4%
PENALTY NCSU False Start (#82 P.Douglas) 5 yards from GT46 to NCSU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+4
97.3%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT47 (#2 E.Lightsey; #15 T.Butler)Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+2
97.5%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the GT45 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-2
97.8%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Scott rush right for 2 yards loss to the GT47 (#99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
98.1%
(01:21) #98 C.Noonkester punt 35 yards to the GT12 fair catch by #3 E.Rivers at GT12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20END OF GAME
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:572% → 3%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
98.1%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT20, for 11 yards to the GT23 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.1%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT28, for 8 yards to the GT31 (#8 C.Slone)Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+9
97.8%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #80 B.Seither caught at GT38, for 9 yards to the GT40 (#26 A.Brown Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.9%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.9%
(00:32) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT42, for 3 yards to the GT43 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.; #8 C.Slone)Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+30
98.0%
(00:11) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep left to #80 B.Seither caught at NCSU27, for 30 yards to the NCSU27, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.2%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
97.4%
(00:05) Shotgun #10 H.King pass intercepted by #1 C.Fordham at NCSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:00
Will Wilson 1 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+13
TD · Q3 0:08
Haynes King 3 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)
-12.9
TD · Q3 2:49
Teddy Hoffmann 55 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com