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CAM

Campbell 10 at NC State 56

NCSU
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadCAM aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreCAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:43 · Aidan Bonde punt for 47 yds , Teddy Hoffmann returns for 10 yds to the NCSU 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+46.6Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:54: Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Mike Chandler II for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Crabb KICK) — CAM win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: CAM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:13: Hollywood Smothers run for 59 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:48: CJ Bailey pass complete to Cody Hardy for 37 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:45: CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 16 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:33: CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 34 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CAM made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 9:40CAM 4th & 10 at NCSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43CAM 4th & 16 at CAM 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:11CAM 4th & 15 at CAM 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:31CAM 4th & 1 at NCSU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:02CAM 4th & 15 at CAM 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44CAM 4th & 1 at CAM 34, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:36CAM 4th & 6 at NCSU 37, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:01CAM 4th & 2 at NCSU 41, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:48NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 22, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:12CAM 4th & 4 at CAM 48, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:19NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 42, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:46CAM 4th & 5 at CAM 20, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:18NCSU 4th & 9 at CAM 32, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:09CAM 4th & 4 at NCSU 29, down 49
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:45NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 36, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8CAM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:03NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:54CAM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:13NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:48NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:45NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:33NCSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:28NCSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:43NCSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:06NCSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4999% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.4%
Hollywood Smothers run for 24 yds to the NCSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 9
50
+48
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 48 yds to the CAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Keenan JacksonSimilar
Q1 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Will Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:131% → 1%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
JJ Cowan run for no gain to the CAM 25Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Trevor WilsonSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.3%
JJ Cowan run for 14 yds to the CAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Parker JonesSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.2%
Kamden Sixkiller run for 8 yds to the CAM 47Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+7
99.2%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 7 yds to the NCSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.1%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Parker JonesSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.1%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Mike Chandler IISimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
99.1%
Mike Chandler II pass complete to Ethan Lawrence for no gain to the NCSU 46Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+34
99.1%
Aidan Bonde punt for 34 yds , Teddy Hoffmann returns for 2 yds to the NCSU 14 , returns for no gain to the NCSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 3TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.1%
Mike Chandler II run for 1 yd to the NCSU 13Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.0%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Mike Chandler II for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Crabb KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3199% → 99%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.0%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 16 yds to the NCSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.1%
Hollywood Smothers run for 59 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Parker JonesSimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.0%
Ethan Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the CAM 24Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
99.0%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Mike Chandler II for 11 yds to the CAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.9%
Ethan Lawrence run for 1 yd to the CAM 36Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
98.9%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 5 yds to the CAM 41Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-12
98.8%
Kamden Sixkiller sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the CAM 29Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+10
98.8%
Aidan Bonde punt for 47 yds , Teddy Hoffmann returns for 10 yds to the NCSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
98.8%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 14 yds to the NCSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.8%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Wesley GrimesSimilar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.8%
Jayden Scott run for 4 yds to the CAM 48Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+11
98.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Ethan Dowdy for 11 yds to the CAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.0%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Cody Hardy for 37 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.9%
Naieem Kearney run for a loss of 2 yards to the CAM 23Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.8%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Stevie KeenerSimilar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
98.8%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 2 yds to the CAM 25Similar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
(01:31) PENALTY CAM False Start (Tate,Barry) 5 yards from CAM25 to CAM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Aidan Bonde punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
98.9%
CJ Bailey run for 2 yds to the CAM 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+10
98.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 10 yds to the CAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
98.8%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Keenan Jackson for 33 yds to the CAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
98.8%
(14:18) Shotgun Bailey,CJ rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CAM05 (Curry,Tavales; Arrington,Chase) PENALTY NCSU Holding (Peak,Jacarrius) 10 yards from CAM06 to CAM16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
99.2%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 16 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.1%
JJ Cowan run for 11 yds to the CAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Barry TateSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.2%
NC State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the NCSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.1%
JJ Cowan run for 3 yds to the NCSU 31Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+2
99.1%
JJ Cowan run for 2 yds to the NCSU 29Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
99.1%
Ethan Lawrence run for 4 yds to the NCSU 25Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-1
99.1%
Ethan Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:4899% → 99%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
99.1%
Campbell Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
50
0
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass incomplete to Wesley GrimesSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
50
+15
99.3%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 15 yds to the CAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.3%
Jayden Scott run for 1 yd to the CAM 34Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
99.4%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Terrell Anderson for 34 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.6%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Trayjen Llanas-Wilcox for 12 yds to the CAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.7%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Trevor Wilson for 4 yds to the CAM 41Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-10
99.6%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Kearney,Naieem rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CAM43 (Fordham,Caden) PENALTY CAM Holding (Colvin,Jayden) 10 yards from CAM41 to CAM31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 16
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Stevie KeenerSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Trayjen Llanas-Wilcox for 1 yd to the CAM 32 Campbell Penalty, Illegal Shift (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+78
99.7%
Aidan Bonde punt for 46 yds , Terrell Anderson returns for 78 yds NC State Penalty, (10 Yards) to the NCSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.6%
Hollywood Smothers run for 5 yds to the NCSU 17Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+35
99.6%
Hollywood Smothers run for 35 yds to the CAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Ethan Dowdy for 6 yds to the CAM 42Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+8
99.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Ethan Dowdy for 8 yds to the CAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 7 yds to the CAM 27Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+13
99.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Jayden Scott for 13 yds to the CAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
Jayden Scott run for 14 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
JJ Cowan run for 2 yds to the CAM 27Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
JJ Cowan run for 3 yds to the CAM 30Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Naieem Kearney for 4 yds to the CAM 34Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Aidan Bonde punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Terrell Anderson at the NCSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
99.7%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete short middle to Joly,Justin thrown to NCSU39 PENALTY CAM Pass Interference (Spivey,Evan) 10 yards from NCSU32 to NCSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+35
99.7%
Jayden Scott run for 35 yds to the CAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
99.7%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Noah Rogers for 13 yds to the CAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 10 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
JJ Cowan run for 2 yds to the CAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
JJ Cowan run for 9 yds to the CAM 34Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Barry Tate for 8 yds to the CAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
99.8%
Campbell Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the CAM 24Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 28
OWN 24
+23
99.8%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Parker Jones for 8 yds to the CAM 32 for a 1ST down NC State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the CAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Ethan LawrenceSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.8%
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Parker Jones for 12 yds to the NCSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
JJ Cowan run for no gain to the NCSU 41Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.8%
Kamden Sixkiller run for 4 yds to the NCSU 37Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Kamden Sixkiller pass incomplete to Stevie KeenerSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 6
OPP 37
-6
99.9%
Kamden Sixkiller sacked by Sabastian Harsh for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Jayden Scott run for 12 yds to the CAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Jayden Scott run for 3 yds to the CAM 42Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
CJ Bailey run for 1 yd to the CAM 41Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the CAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Jayden Scott run for 3 yds to the CAM 29Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+9
99.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the CAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
CJ Bailey run for 1 yd to the CAM 19Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-10
99.9%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Bailey,CJ pass incomplete short left to Grimes,Wesley thrown to CAM04 PENALTY NCSU Holding (Sowells Jr.,Spike) 10 yards from CAM19 to CAM29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 19
OPP 29
+27
99.9%
CJ Bailey pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 27 yds to the CAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jayden Scott run for 2 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Jalen Ferguson pass complete to Chinua Ezeigbo for 5 yds to the CAM 30Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Naieem Kearney run for 5 yds to the CAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Jalen Ferguson pass complete to Chinua Ezeigbo for 5 yds to the CAM 40Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Naieem Kearney run for no gain to the CAM 40Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Jalen Ferguson pass complete to Dawson Adams-Grenier for 11 yds to the NCSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Naieem Kearney run for 1 yd to the NCSU 48Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Jalen Ferguson pass complete to Barry Tate for 6 yds to the NCSU 42Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Jalen Ferguson pass complete to Naieem Kearney for 1 yd to the NCSU 41Similar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Aidan Bonde punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:04100% → 100%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Jayden Scott run for 6 yds to the NCSU 26Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-10
99.9%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Scott,Jayden "Duke" rush left for 6 yards gain to the NCSU32 (Chambers,Emmanuel) PENALTY NCSU Holding (Erickson,Val) 10 yards from NCSU26 to NCSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+6
99.9%
Lex Thomas pass complete to Tank Boston for 6 yds to the NCSU 22Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Lex Thomas pass incomplete to Teddy HoffmannSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Caden Noonkester punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Jalen Ferguson pass complete to Trayjen Llanas-Wilcox for 4 yds to the CAM 46Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Ethan Lawrence run for 2 yds to the CAM 48Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Jalen Ferguson pass incomplete to David HamiltonSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Aidan Bonde punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Terrell Anderson at the NCSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
99.9%
Lex Thomas pass complete to Coleson Fields for 12 yds to the NCSU 25 for a 1ST down Campbell Penalty, Defensive Offside (Evan Spivey) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Coleson Fields run for 7 yds to the NCSU 32Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Lex Thomas pass incomplete to Ashton LocklearSimilar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Will Wilson pass complete to Griffin Reimer for 7 yds to the NCSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Will Wilson pass complete to Ashton Locklear for 4 yds to the NCSU 43Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Darius Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 42Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Lex Thomas pass incomplete to Ashton LocklearSimilar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Caden Noonkester punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
100.0%
Joshua Ellerbe run for 8 yds to the CAM 23Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jalen Ferguson pass incomplete to Barry TateSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-5
100.0%
PENALTY CAM Delay Of Game 5 yards from CAM23 to CAM18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
Jalen Ferguson pass complete to Joshua Ellerbe for 2 yds to the CAM 20Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+15
100.0%
Aidan Bonde punt for 38 yds , Terrell Anderson returns for 15 yds to the CAM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
(08:44) Shotgun Fields,Coleson rush left for 3 yards gain to the CAM40 (Benton,AJ; Whipple,Aiden) PENALTY CAM Offside (Curry,Tavales) 5 yards from CAM43 to CAM38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 5
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Will Wilson pass complete to Tank Boston for 5 yds to the CAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
100.0%
Will Wilson run for 4 yds to the CAM 29Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-3
100.0%
Coleson Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the CAM 32Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Will Wilson pass incomplete to Tank BostonSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 9
OPP 32
-33
99.9%
Will Wilson pass intercepted Ravel Cato return for 33 yds to the NCSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 24FG
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
100.0%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Ferguson,Jalen pass incomplete short left to Tate,Barry thrown to NCSU32 QB hurried by Wallace,Chazz PENALTY NCSU Pass Interference (Williams,Zane) 6 yards from NCSU41 to NCSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
De'Von Thomas run for 3 yds to the NCSU 32Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
De'Von Thomas run for 6 yds to the NCSU 26Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-3
100.0%
De'Von Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSU 29Similar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
100.0%
Alex Crabb 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Darius Johnson run for 7 yds to the NCSU 32Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Darius Johnson run for 4 yds to the NCSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Coleson Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSU 35Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Coleson Fields run for 1 yd to the NCSU 36Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Lex Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Caden Noonkester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brandon Guzman at the CAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CAMDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Emmanuel Chambers run for no gain to the CAM 22Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
100.0%
Emmanuel Chambers run for 1 yd to the CAM 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jalen Ferguson run for no gain to the CAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:45
CJ Bailey pass complete to Hollywood Smothers for 16 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 2:48
CJ Bailey pass complete to Cody Hardy for 37 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 8:54
Kamden Sixkiller pass complete to Mike Chandler II for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Crabb KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com